Abstract
New fractional operators have the aim of attracting nonlocal problems that display fractal behaviour; and thus fractional derivatives have applications in long-term relation description along with micro-scaled and macro-scaled phenomena. Formulated by fractional operators, the formulation of a dynamical system is used in applications for the description of systems with long-range interactions. Vector-borne illnesses are one of the world’s most serious public health issues with a large economic impact on the nations that are impacted. Population increase, urbanization, globalization, and a lack of public health infrastructure have all had a role in the introduction and reemergence of vector-borne illnesses during the last four decades. The control of these infections are important to lessen the economic burden of vector-borne diseases in infected regions. In this research work, we formulate the transmission process of Zika virus with the impact of sexual incidence rate and vaccination in terms of mathematics. We presented the fundamental theory of fractional operators Caputo–Fabrizio (CF) and Atangana–Baleanu (AB) for the analysis of the proposed system. We examine our system of Zika infection and determined the endemic indicator through a next-generation matrix technique. The uniqueness and existence of the solution has been investigated through fixed point theory. Accordingly, a numerical method has been introduced to investigate the dynamical nature of the system and make a comparison of the outcomes of the operators. The impact of different input factors has been conceptualized through dynamical behaviour of the system. We observed that lowering the index of memory, the fractional system provides accurate results about the recommended Zika dynamics and dramatically reduces infected people. It has been proved that high efficacy of a vaccine can lower the level of infection. Moreover, the impact of other parameters on the system of Zika virus infection are highlighted through numerical results.
1. Introduction
Vector-borne illnesses are transferred through hematophagous arthropods such as triatomine bugs, sand flies, ticks and mosquitoes; these infections are found all over the world. Viruses cause the most common vector-borne illnesses all around the world, among these are viral infection dengue, malaria, west Nile virus infection and Zika virus infection. In this paper, we will mainly focus on the transmission phenomena of the Zika virus illness. This viral infection was found in monkeys and the first case in humans was reported in Tanzania and Uganda in 1952. In 1960 and 1980, a few cases were found in Africa and Asia and then the virus of Zika expanded to other parts of the world. This dangerous infection is then spread to many countries in the world with a highest incidence. The symptoms of this condition include headache, rash, fever, muscle pain, conjunctivitis, discomfort of joints and malaise. Zika is a mosquito-borne virus transmitted mostly by Aedes mosquitoes. Aside from that, Zika virus can be passed from mother to child during delivery or shortly after birth. Sexual interactions and blood transfusions are also responsible for the spread of Zika virus.
Mathematical models are a significant tool for understanding different natural phenomena [1,2,3]. Several mathematical models [4,5,6,7,8,9,10] have been reported in the last several years to analyze the transmission process of the Zika virus. The researchers in their work included the below main factors in models: (i) sexual transmission and vector [4,11]; (ii) vector and sexual transmission; (iii) vertical and vector transmission [5,12]; and (iv) optimum control of pesticide spraying, other preventives, and treatment [6,11]. Fractional calculus is a leading framework for the inspection of the impact of the index of memory on dynamics of infections for producing more realistic results. Many academics have investigated how fractional extensions of integer-order mathematical models describe natural facts in a systematic fashion [13,14,15,16]. Further, applications of the fractional differential system have been studied in [17,18]. Fractional-order derivatives have grown in popularity in recent years, and they are now frequently employed in modeling real-world events and exploring disease transmission and control [19,20,21,22,23]. In recent years, various investigations with biological models using fractional-order derivatives have been carried out [24,25,26,27].
As a result of the foregoing study, we have chosen to offer a model for the transmission process of Zika virus infection with the help of fractional operators. The other sections of this research are structured as: Section 2 contains the essential definitions and assertions of the fractional theory of CF and AB operators. In Section 3, we build a Zika virus infection model with the influence of sexual transmission in the structure of fractional order CF and AB derivatives as well as to analyze the steady-states and endemic indicators of the proposed system. We used the theory of fixed point to prove the uniqueness and existence of the suggested system’s solution in Section 4. We inspect the model in the framework of the Atangana–Baleanu derivative in Section 5 of the paper. In Section 6, we visualize the dynamical nature of the system with the impact of different input factors and perform a comparative analysis of the operators. Finally, the overall work is summarized in Section 7 of the paper.
2. Fractional Theory
The fundamental results and definitions of the fractional Caputo–Fabrizio (CF) and Atangana–Baleanu (AB) operators are provided in this section of the paper. These operators as fractional derivatives use the generalized Mittag–Leffler function as the non-local and non-singular kernel and accepts all properties of fractional derivatives. Then, we investigate our model with the help of these results and definitions. First, we present the idea of a CF operator as given below:
Definition 1.
Take a function , then the CF fractional derivative [28] is as follows:
where b is greater than a and indicates the normality [28] with the condition that . In the case, if , we have:
Remark 1.
In the case where and , then Equation (2) implies the below:
We also have:
Definition 2
([29]). For a given function g, the integral in the fractional framework is given as below:
in which the term ℘ indicates the fractional order of the integral with the condition .
Remark 2.
The above Definition 2 gives the following:
which implies that , . The researchers in [29], introduced the following with the help of (6)
in which the term ℘ is the fractional order with .
In the upcoming part, we present the concept of the AB fractional operator [30]. We will use these ideas in the analysis of Zika dynamics.
Definition 3.
Consider h in a way that , then the AB derivative in Caputo form is indicated by ABC and is given by:
where the fractional order and b is greater than a.
Definition 4.
For the ABC derivative, the fractional integral is indicated by and is given by:
Theorem 1
([30]). Take h in a way that , then the below is fulfilled:
In the above ABC derivative, the Lipschitz condition is satisfied in the following manner [30]:
Theorem 2
([30]). Let us take the following fractional system:
then there is a unique solution of the above system given by:
3. Evaluation of the Fractional Dynamics
The transmission phenomena of Zika virus infection with the effect of sexual transmission rate and vaccination in terms of mathematics has been introduced through this study. We categorized the total hosts’ size into four classes, which are, susceptible , exposed , infected , recovered compartments while the mosquitoes’ size is categorized into three classes, which are susceptible , exposed and infected classes. In our formulation, we assumed the recruitment rate and for humans and vectors, respectively, while the rate of natural death of humans and vectors is taken to be and . The vaccination rate of susceptible humans is considered to be p, while the recovery rate of the infected class is denoted by . The force of infection of humans and vectors is taken to be and while the transmission through sexual interaction of humans is considered. Then, the system of Zika virus infection with the above assumptions is:
with
In the above formulation, the input factor d indicates the effective rate of mosquito control. There are numerous applications of fractional calculus in science, including mathematical biology. It has been demonstrated that fractional frameworks can more precisely depict the dynamics of infections than traditional integer order derivatives. The above model of Zika virus infection can be written through the CF operator as:
where ℘ is the order of CF fractional operator. The positive invariant region of the hypothesized fractional system of Zika virus infection is given below:
Theorem 3.
Let us assume the set Ω in a manner that is a positive invariant for our model (9) of Zika virus disease.
Model Analysis
The suggested model (9) of Zika virus infection for a steady-state and stability is investigated in this portion of the study. First, we investigate the suggested system’s disease-free equilibrium, which is denoted by and is given by:
For the reproduction number [31,32,33], we utilize the method of next-generation matrix in the following manner:
where we have and Further, we have the following, after simplifications:
which implies that
This is the required of our system of Zika infection, which illustrates the status of infection in the community.
Theorem 4.
The infection-free steady-state of the Zika virus infection system (9) is locally asymptotically stable for and is unstable in another status.
4. Solution Analysis via CF
In this part, we have focused on the analysis of the solutions of the hypothesized fractional system of Zika virus infection. Fixed point theory will be applied to investigate the existence of solution (9). The following steps are followed for this purpose:
We used the concepts of the research [29] and obtained the below:
Further, we have:
Theorem 5.
The kernels and fulfil the condition of Lipschitz and contraction if the below satisfies:
Proof.
For the above demanded outcomes, we take and , and start from in the following manner:
After simplification of (13), we attain the below:
Here, we take with , due to boundedness, we get the below
Thus, we proved the Lipschitz condition for . In addition to this, the contraction is also obtained from the condition . In the same way, we can determine the Lipschitz conditions as:
Equation (11) implies the following, after simplification:
further, we get:
with the below mentioned initial values:
The difference terms are obtained as follows:
Observing the following:
Evaluating in the same way, we get:
Furthermore,
Similarly, we have:
□
Theorem 6.
If one can search a in a manner that the following condition satisfies
then, we have an exact coupled-solution of the proposed fractional system (9).
Proof.
As the Lipschitz condition is fulfilled and , , and are bounded. Then, from (24) and (25), we have the following:
As a result of this, continuity and existence of the solutions are achieved. Furthermore, we have to show that the above is a solution of (9). Follow the upcoming technique:
In the next step, we take
Further, we have:
At time , we have:
Following the same steps and using (30), we have:
In a similar passion, we obtain that approaches to 0 as n approaches ∞. □
To prove the solution uniqueness of the system (9), we assume is another solution in a contrary manner, then:
By using norm on (31), we have:
Here, we have the following Lipschitz condition:
This implies that:
Theorem 7.
5. Model in Atangana–Baleanu Framework
Here, we present our model (8) of Zika virus infection through Atangana–Baleanu (AB) fractional operator in the following way:
In the above system, the term indicates the Atangana–Baleanu (AB) fractional derivative. In the upcoming section, we will analyze the solution of the above system (38).
Analysis of the Solution
In this subsection of the article, we will focus on the solution’s existence of the aforementioned system (38) with the help of fixed point theory. For this purpose, we rewrite the above system (38) in the form:
where indicates the vector form of system variables and is a continuous function of vectors, and is given by:
and is the state variable initial values. In addition to this, fulfils the Lipschitz condition as:
Theorem 8.
Proof.
For the demanded outcomes, the fractional integral of the Atangana–Beleanu (AB) fractional operator is applied to the system (39), we obtained the below:
Here, we take and , given as:
It is clear that with norm make a Banach space; furthermore, we have:
where we have , in a manner that:
Applying given in (44), we have:
This implies that:
in which
6. Numerical Results
In this section of the paper, we perform different simulations to highlight the dynamics of Zika virus infection with different assumptions of input parameters. We assumed the values of input parameter for numerical results. The most critical factors are highlighted through numerical results. We considered the values of state-variables as follows: and We also perform a comparative analysis of CF and ABC derivative graphically.
In the first scenario presented in Figure 1, Figure 2 and Figure 3, the dynamical behaviour of the system has been plotted with different values of the fractional order. We noticed that this parameter has an excellent influence on the exposed and infected individuals of vectors and hosts which may control the level of infection in the community. The reason for this is that memory is an important factor in vector borne infection and can effectively control the infection. In the second scenario illustrated in Figure 4, we have shown the impact of transmission rate on the transmission process of Zika virus infection while the effect of input parameter has been shown in Figure 5 and Figure 6 in the third scenario. In the fourth scenario demonstrated in Figure 7, the impact of vaccination has been illustrated. Through our results, we observed that, by increasing the efficacy of vaccine, the endemic level of the system is much decreased.
Figure 1.
Time series analysis of the proposed fractional system of Zika virus infection with various fractional values, i.e., .
Figure 2.
Graphical view analysis of the solution pathways of exposed and infected classes of our fractional system of Zika virus infection with various fractional values, i.e., .
Figure 3.
Graphical view analysis of the solution pathways of exposed and infected classes of our fractional system of Zika virus infection with various fractional values, i.e., .
Figure 4.
Graphical view analysis of the solution pathways of exposed and infected classes of our fractional system of Zika virus infection with various values of the parameter , i.e., .
Figure 5.
Graphical view analysis of the solution pathways of exposed and infected classes of our fractional system of Zika virus infection with various values of the parameter b, i.e., .
Figure 6.
Illustration of the solution pathways of all the classes of our fractional model of Zika virus infection with various values of the input parameter b, i.e., .
Figure 7.
Illustration of the solution pathways of all the classes of our fractional model of Zika virus infection with various values of the input parameter p, i.e., .
In the fifth simulation, the dynamics of Zika virus infection have been visualized with the fluctuation of the input factor d in Figure 8. This parameter can control the subsequent spread of the infection. These numerical results predicted the most important factor of the system and are recommended to the policy makers. A comparative analysis of both the operators are performed in Figure 9, Figure 10 and Figure 11, from which we noticed that the results of ABC are better than those of the CF operator.
Figure 8.
Illustration of the solution pathways of all the classes of our fractional model of Zika virus infection with various values of the input parameter d, i.e., .
Figure 9.
Comparative analysis of CF and ABC operators through the proposed model.
Figure 10.
Time series analysis to compare the proposed CF and ABC operator.
Figure 11.
Time series analysis to compare the proposed CF and ABC operator from day 10 to day 15.
7. Conclusions
In this research, we have structured a compartmental model for the transmission pathway of Zika virus infection with the influence of sexual incidence rate and vaccination. We have, thus, presented the fundamental results of fractional calculus for the analysis of the proposed system of Zika virus infection. The system of Zika virus infection is interrogated through CF and ABC operators. We have further examined our system of Zika infection and determined the endemic indicator through the next-generation matrix method. The uniqueness and existence of the solution has been investigated through fixed point theory. A numerical scheme to investigate the dynamical behaviour of the system has also been constructed; hereafter, a comparison of the outcomes of the operators has been conducted. The impact of different input factor has been conceptualized through the dynamical behaviour of the system. Consequently, we have observed that lowering the fractional order parameter and decreasing sexual contact with the exposed and infected individuals are dramatically reduced. It has also been noticed that the efficacy of the vaccine is also important while the input factor b is critical. Furthermore, the impact of mosquito biting rate on infected humans has been analyzed and, based on this, control policymakers can be advised toward the point that decreasing the biting rate may greatly lower the level of Zika infection. We have shown the impact of vector control on the system and highlighted the importance of parameter d on the system as well. We have, accordingly, aimed to pave the way for future research with real datasets using fractional methods and comparisons based on the examination of our system of Zika infection and the determination of the endemic indicator through a next-generation matrix method. In the future, we also aim this scheme through comparative methods so that the most optimal models will be attained for related complex diseases.
Author Contributions
Conceptualization, E.N.M.; Formal analysis, S.H., T.B. and Y.K.; Funding acquisition, T.B.; Investigation, S.H. and N.I.; Methodology, N.I.; Software, N.I. and W.W.M.; Supervision, E.N.M.; Validation, Y.K.; Visualization, E.N.M.; Writing—original draft, S.H., N.I., T.B., Y.K. and W.W.M.; Writing—review & editing, S.H., N.I., T.B., Y.K. and W.W.M. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Funding
This research received no external funding.
Acknowledgments
The work was supported by Universiti Sultan Zainal Abidin (UniSZA) under the research fund by CREIM (Centre for Research Excellence and Incubation Management) UniSZA.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare no conflict of interest.
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