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Risks, Volume 12, Issue 9

2024 September - 16 articles

Cover Story: Telematics data on driving behaviour variables are leveraged to assess driver risk and predict future insurance claims. Drivers are categorised based on their habits, and premiums are established to reflect their driving risk accurately. To achieve this, models such as the two-stage Poisson model, Poisson mixture model, and Zero-Inflated Poisson model are employed, further enhanced by regularisation techniques like lasso, adaptive lasso, elastic net, and adaptive elastic net. The Poisson mixture model with adaptive lasso regularisation outperforms other models. A novel usage-based experience rating premium pricing method enables frequent premium updates based on recent driving behaviour, rewarding responsible driving practices, reducing cross-subsidisation among risky drivers, and improving loss reserving accuracy for auto insurance companies. View this paper
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Articles (16)

  • Article
  • Open Access
2,709 Views
33 Pages

Funding Illiquidity Implied by S&P 500 Derivatives

  • Benjamin Golez,
  • Jens Jackwerth and
  • Anna Slavutskaya

18 September 2024

Based on the typical positions of S&P 500 option market makers, we derive a funding illiquidity measure from quoted prices of S&P 500 derivatives. Our measure significantly affects the returns of leveraged managed portfolios; hedge funds with...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6,018 Views
12 Pages

Automated Machine Learning and Asset Pricing

  • Jerome V. Healy,
  • Andros Gregoriou and
  • Robert Hudson

14 September 2024

We evaluate whether machine learning methods can better model excess portfolio returns compared to the standard regression-based strategies generally used in the finance and econometric literature. We examine 17 benchmark factor model specifications...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
4,652 Views
13 Pages

14 September 2024

Following the introduction of EUR/USD futures and USD/JPY futures on 31 October 2022, Thailand Futures Exchange first entered the top 11 list of derivatives exchanges based on foreign exchange derivative volumes in 2022. This paper investigates the d...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
4,995 Views
23 Pages

13 September 2024

This study delves into the influence of banks’ governance and ownership structures on green lending. To examine this, we utilized the two-step system GMM and PCSE methods on the panel data of Vietnamese commercial banks spanning from 2010 to 20...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
3,813 Views
24 Pages

12 September 2024

This study examines the influence of fraud disclosure (FR_DISC) in annual reports on the financial stability of Takaful insurance (TKI) in Saudi Arabia over the period of 2014 to 2022. Moreover, the current study aims to explore the mediating impact...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
4,357 Views
22 Pages

Corporate Governance and Capital Structure Decisions: Moderating Role of inside Ownership

  • Suman Paul Chowdhury,
  • Riyashad Ahmed,
  • Nitai Chandra Debnath,
  • Nafisa Ali and
  • Roni Bhowmik

10 September 2024

This study empirically investigates the association between board attributes and capital structure decisions of non-financial listed firms in Bangladesh. This study also investigates how this association is shaped and moderated by the level of inside...

  • Feature Paper
  • Review
  • Open Access
3 Citations
30,936 Views
22 Pages

Trends and Risks in Mergers and Acquisitions: A Review

  • Manuel García-Nieto,
  • Vicente Bueno-Rodríguez,
  • Juan Manuel Ramón-Jerónimo and
  • Raquel Flórez-López

9 September 2024

This study examines risk factors in mergers and acquisitions (M&As) identified in the recent literature, addressing the following question: “What risk factors associated with M&A transactions are discussed in the recent academic literat...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,693 Views
13 Pages

6 September 2024

This paper aims to assess the return and downside risk of a decumulation portfolio established at the retirement age of a senior, with a determined lifetime horizon differentiated by the sex of the citizen. To measure the portfolio’s return and...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3,942 Views
28 Pages

Insurance Analytics with Clustering Techniques

  • Charlotte Jamotton,
  • Donatien Hainaut and
  • Thomas Hames

5 September 2024

The K-means algorithm and its variants are well-known clustering techniques. In actuarial applications, these partitioning methods can identify clusters of policies with similar attributes. The resulting partitions provide an actuarial framework for...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
3,429 Views
25 Pages

A Financial Stability Model for Iraqi Companies

  • Narjis Abdlkareem Ibrahim,
  • Mahdi Salehi,
  • Hussen Amran Naji Al-Refiay and
  • Mahmoud Lari Dashtbayaz

4 September 2024

The current study aims to develop a financial stability model in Iraq; after reviewing the relevant literature and sources related to financial stability and considering Iraq’s social, economic, political, and cultural conditions, a conceptual...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
4,549 Views
20 Pages

A Novel Hybrid Deep Learning Method for Accurate Exchange Rate Prediction

  • Farhat Iqbal,
  • Dimitrios Koutmos,
  • Eman A. Ahmed and
  • Lulwah M. Al-Essa

30 August 2024

The global foreign exchange (FX) market represents a critical and sizeable component of our financial system. It is a market where firms and investors engage in both speculative trading and hedging. Over the years, there has been a growing interest i...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
1,984 Views
16 Pages

The Spatial Analysis of the Role of Green Finance in Carbon Emission Reduction

  • Menghan Xiao,
  • Xiaojing Guo,
  • Gonghang Chen,
  • Xiangfeng Ji and
  • Wenqing Sun

29 August 2024

Under the “dual carbon” goal, the core issue at present is to improve the environment while ensuring economic development. As a result, green finance, that is a tool that integrates finance and environmental protection, has shown increasi...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
4,858 Views
33 Pages

28 August 2024

We leverage telematics data on driving behavior variables to assess driver risk and predict future insurance claims in a case study utilising a representative telematics sample. In the study, we aim to categorise drivers according to their driving ha...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
1,822 Views
24 Pages

Dynamic Asset Pricing in a Unified Bachelier–Black–Scholes–Merton Model

  • W. Brent Lindquist,
  • Svetlozar T. Rachev,
  • Jagdish Gnawali and
  • Frank J. Fabozzi

27 August 2024

We present a unified, market-complete model that integrates both Bachelier and Black–Scholes–Merton frameworks for asset pricing. The model allows for the study, within a unified framework, of asset pricing in a natural world that experie...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,286 Views
22 Pages

26 August 2024

In risk assessment, numerous subfactors influence the probabilities of the main factors. These main factors reflect adverse outcomes, which are essential in risk assessment. A Bayesian network can model the entire set of subfactors and their intercon...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
3,392 Views
26 Pages

26 August 2024

The research determines the level of financial risk in the Russian healthcare system and identifies prospects for improving the current Russian practice of financial risk management in healthcare when providing high-tech medical care for sustainable...

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Risks - ISSN 2227-9091