1. Introduction
In the highly uncertain and dynamically evolving environment of modern financial markets, stochastic risk modeling has emerged as a critical tool for addressing asset price volatility, interest rate fluctuations, and sudden shocks. While conventional stochastic models can characterize the continuous evolution of risk factors, they face significant limitations in capturing variation features such as jump diffusion and asymmetric heavy tails. Lévy processes, as a subclass of stochastic processes with stationary and independent increments, are widely used in financial and insurance modeling to capture random fluctuations such as asset price jumps or claim arrivals and provide a comprehensive modeling perspective for financial risk analysis via their triplet representation: drift rate per unit time, diffusion coefficient, and jump magnitude. Lévy processes can not only effectively characterize sharp fluctuations in asset prices and extreme market events, but also demonstrate significant advantages in risk management and financial asset pricing: in insurance actuarial science, they provide a powerful analytical tool for modeling claim risks; in financial engineering, they play crucial roles in both early-stage default pricing for credit risk and tail risk management for market risk.
Kyprianou (
2014) elaborated on the relevant theories and applications of the Lévy processes and added content on subjects such as scale function and fluctuation theory and their application in ruin theory.
Within the conceptual framework of Lévy processes, spectrally negative Lévy processes have emerged as a critical research subject due to their distinctive path properties. These processes are restricted to jumps occurring only in the negative direction (
Bertoin 1996). The characteristic of allowing only unilateral jumps endows them with unique advantages in applications in financial engineering and actuarial modeling. In recent years, related research has mainly focused on the following directions: (1) the application of spectrally negative Lévy processes in finance and insurance (e.g.,
Albrecher and Thonhauser 2008;
Landriault and Lkabous 2021;
Song and Sun 2023, etc); (2) risk-measurement methods based on spectrally negative Lévy processes, such as VaR (Value at Risk) or CVaR (Conditional Value at Risk) (e.g.,
Emmer and Klüppelberg 2004;
Landriault et al. 2011;
Wang et al. 2020, etc); (3) the application of spectrally negative Lévy processes in option pricing, portfolio optimization, and risk-capital allocation (e.g.,
Schoutens 2003;
Cont and Tankov 2003;
Aguilar and Kirkby 2023, etc). For recent research on the spectrally negative Lévy risk model, see
Renaud (
2019),
Noba (
2021),
Avanzi et al. (
2021),
Zhang (
2022),
Irie and Shimizu (
2024), etc.
Among the indicators that characterize risk, dividends and ruin are the indicators that researchers pay the most attention to. At the beginning of the 20th century, actuaries focused on studying the possibility of ruin and using it to assess the risks a company faced. During the Fifteenth Annual Symposium of the New York Society of Actuaries,
De Finetti (
1957) introduced the optimal dividend problem (that is, the problem of seeking to maximize the expected present value of aggregate dividend payments before ruin) into risk theory for the first time. These two fundamental questions, namely what dividend strategy to adopt and the amount of dividends, have gradually become important research topics in insurance-risk theory (
Avanzi 2009).
As dividend strategies are a core tool for enterprises aiming to balance risk reserves and shareholder returns, their design needs to take into account the uncertainty of market fluctuations and the efficiency of capital operations. multi-periodic dividend constraints are particularly relevant in regulated financial sectors, such as banking under the Basel III framework, where institutions must maintain capital adequacy while optimizing dividend payouts. In insurance, firms face similar pressures to balance policyholder obligations with shareholder returns. Especially in asymmetric financial markets where jump risks exist, the question of how to maximize long-term returns by dynamically adjusting dividend strategies has become a core issue in both theoretical research and practical application. In recent years, many researchers have introduced different types of dividend strategies and explored several issues related to specific risk models under these strategies.
Jeanblanc-Picqué and Shiryaev (
1995) and
Asmussen and Taksar (
1997) introduced a threshold-based dividend strategy with a limited payout rate. Under this approach, dividends are distributed at a fixed rate
only when the corporation’s capital surplus (after accounting for dividends) exceeds a predetermined threshold level
. Conversely, no dividends are paid if the capital surplus falls below this threshold. Many researchers have discussed several issues related to insurance risk models under threshold strategies. For relevant papers, see
Lin and Pavlova (
2006),
Ng (
2009),
Shen et al. (
2013),
Yu et al. (
2018),
Yang et al. (
2020),
Gao et al. (
2022), etc.
In addition, based on the reality of regular dividend payments,
Albrecher et al. (
2011) first introduced the concept of a periodic dividend strategy based on the Cramér–Lundberg model. This dividend strategy allows dividends to be distributed only at certain fixed time points (discrete time points that meet certain conditions); that is, if the capital surplus observed at those time points is greater than a given level
, the excess is paid to shareholders as a one-time dividend; otherwise, no dividend is paid. In practice, the periodic dividend strategy is an important tool in the capital management of financial institutions. Its core feature is to implement fixed profit distribution at a preset fixed interval (such as quarterly or annual). This strategy achieves a reasonable return on shareholder value while ensuring institutional capital adequacy by establishing an institutionalized dividend schedule and a scientific distribution mechanism. For more information on the periodic dividend strategy, see
Avanzi et al. (
2014),
Zhong et al. (
2021),
Xie and Zhang (
2021),
Mata et al. (
2023), etc.
Combining the advantages of periodic dividend strategies and threshold dividend strategies,
Cheung and Zhang (
2019) introduced a dividend strategy with both periodic and threshold constraints: given a series of discrete observation time points, whenever the corporation’s capital surplus at these observation time points exceeds the threshold level
, a fixed proportion
of the excess is paid out as dividends; otherwise, no dividends are paid. Using the discounted increment density method, they systematically studied the Poisson risk model under this strategy, not only deriving the analytical solution for the expected discounted dividends before ruin but also rigorously proving that when the observation time interval approaches zero, this strategy converges to the traditional continuous threshold strategy. It should be noted that the periodic threshold dividend strategy proposed by
Cheung and Zhang (
2019) has certain limitations: its static decision framework does not consider the cross-period transmission effects of risk factors and cannot dynamically adjust the dividend rate based on the capital surplus at a given observation time point, making it difficult for users of this strategy to adapt to the complexity of the actual financial environment. To overcome the above limitations, a better strategy would move from a static framework to dynamic adjustment; that is, it would implement differentiated dividend rules based on risk exposure and capital levels at different stages. For example, in the insurance industry, companies must periodically assess their capital surplus and distribute dividends to shareholders when it exceeds a predefined threshold. The multiperiod threshold strategy enables firms to dynamically adjust dividend payments based on capital surplus at varying observation points, thereby enhancing their flexibility in response to market shifts. During periods of high volatility, insurers can choose to conserve capital to mitigate risk, while in stable conditions, they can maximize shareholder returns; this represents a significant practical advantage over static models like that of
Cheung and Zhang (
2019). Therefore, it is necessary to construct a multiperiod threshold strategy with time-varying adaptability that can not only capture the dynamic capital surplus at different observation points but also enhance risk-response flexibility through a period-specific dividend mechanism. To this end, we propose a multiperiod threshold dividend strategy based on two core elements: (1) preset heterogeneous observation intervals
(such as key financial nodes like the end of a quarter or half-year); (2) a dynamic threshold
linked to financial health (usually based on surplus capital or retained surplus). When the capital surplus at the
-th-type observation point exceeds
, the excess part is paid out as dividends at a preset rate
; otherwise, no dividends are paid. From the perspective of dividend strategy in the actuarial field, this dynamic dividend strategy enables insurers to balance regulatory compliance and shareholder returns by adjusting payouts based on surplus assessments. It allows firms to increase dividends in stable times and conserve capital during periods of volatility, enhancing competitive positioning and long-term resilience. The approach supports sustainable growth while maintaining compliance in fluctuating markets. Building upon the aforementioned analytical foundation, this paper innovatively constructs a multiperiod threshold dividend decision model with time-varying characteristics under the framework of the spectrally negative Lévy process. In the proposed discounted increment density method, we simultaneously examine the two key objective functions of dividend and ruin. This study aims to investigate multi-periodic threshold dividend strategies under the spectrally negative Lévy risk model. Traditional dividend strategies often rely on single-period or continuous observations, whereas in real-world financial markets, dividend decisions are typically reviewed at fixed periodic intervals. Therefore, exploring multi-periodic threshold strategies is of significant theoretical and practical importance for corporate capital allocation and risk management. This study achieves breakthroughs in both theoretical and methodological dimensions through synergistic modeling of spectrally negative Lévy processes and multiperiod threshold dividend strategies. Theoretically, the proposed multiperiod threshold dividend strategy expands the research boundaries of insurance risk theory. Methodologically, the integration of discounted increment density, Dickson–Hipp operators, and Laplace transform techniques establishes a novel analytical framework for addressing complex financial insurance problems.
The rest of this paper is organized as follows. In
Section 2, the spectrally negative Lévy risk model based on the multiperiod threshold dividend strategy is systematically constructed. In
Section 3, we introduce the concept of the “discounted increment density”, which is a key tool for studying the main target variables of this paper, and present some important results related to it. In
Section 4, we derive the integro-differential equation governing the expected present value of aggregate dividend payments and give its explicit solution using a combination of the operator introduced by Dickson and Hipp and the inverse Laplace transform. In
Section 5, we derive the explicit solution of the Gerber–Shiu function using a method similar to that provided in
Section 4. In
Section 6, we verify the effectiveness and practicality of our method based on numerical solutions of some specific examples. The last section summarizes this paper.
2. Model Formulation
In this paper, the underlying process of the operation of an insurance company (before dividends) is modeled by a spectrally negative Lévy process
described as follows (see
Kyprianou 2014). For
, let
represent the conditional probability measure under the initial condition
and let
denote its corresponding conditional expectation. To simplify notation, we define
and
. The process
can be uniquely characterized by the Laplace exponent
where
,
is the indicator function and
is a non-negative measure centered on
that satisfies the usual condition
. Under the assumption
, the process
is guaranteed to have a finite first moment. Moreover, we assume that the constant
satisfies the positive security loading requirement
, precluding scenarios where
exhibits monotonic trajectories (e.g., where
is a subordinator; see Section 2.6 of
Kyprianou (
2014)).
Under conventional threshold dividend strategies (e.g.,
Lin and Pavlova 2006), continuous dividend payments are triggered by surplus levels surpassing a critical value
, with dividends calculated as a fixed proportion of premium income.
Albrecher et al. (
2011,
2013) modified this threshold dividend strategy through the inclusion of regular monitoring time points. Our work revises the current periodic dividend strategy via the incorporation of different types of time points for periodic observation and implementing the allocation of different proportions of lump-sum dividends at these time points. As in
Cheung and Zhang (
2019) and
Peng et al. (
2020), we assume the surplus process is examined periodically by the insurance company at stochastic observation times
with
. These observation times include different types of points,
;
; until
. The observations are used to decide whether or not to pay dividends according to the following multi-periodic dividend strategy.
For each a dividend is paid at the observation time if the surplus at this time (before any dividend payouts) exceeds the surplus at the previous observation time (after dividend payouts) and if the surplus level is greater than the threshold level ;
At the -th-type of observation time point () where a dividend is payable, the dividend amount is calculated as the proportion () of the greater value between the net surplus at the previous time point (after deducting dividends) and the threshold level .
Based on the above modified multi-periodic threshold dividend strategy, we introduce the surplus process as
, which can be mathematically described as follows. Denote by
(
) the sequence of surplus values recorded at the epochs
directly preceding any dividend disbursement. Subsequently, the process
and
are jointly characterized through the following equations:
and
where
max
and where for
,
represents the set of
-th-type periodic observation times.
To better illustrate the spectrally negative Lévy process
, we plot a possible sample path for the process in
Figure 1. The path in
Figure 1 begins with an initial surplus
and shows the dynamic characteristics of the spectrally negative Lévy process between two observation periods, namely, random fluctuations with upward drift and no positive jumps.
Figure 1 also labels several discrete observation time points of different types (e.g.,
etc.). When the profit level of the process at a given observation point (such as the moments corresponding to
and
) exceeds the preset dividend threshold
, the company will distribute a dividend, causing the profit to drop vertically instantly. The size of the dividend is calculated as a preset fraction
of the excess; at some observation points (such as
), despite monitoring, no dividend is paid because the surplus does not reach the threshold
and the process continues to evolve; the end of the path shows a ruin event, which occurs at time
; at that time, the value of the surplus process
falls below zero.
For
, and
let
be the
-th-type interobservation times. Throughout the paper, we assume that the inter-observation times
are independent and exponential distributions with the same parameter
; that is, the probability density function is
Moreover, for
let
be the inter-observation times. Since
contains all the possible types of observation time points, it is easy to get that
, so the inter-observation times
constitute a sequence of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables characterized by an exponential density function
In insurance and financial practice, dividend payments are typically reviewed at fixed intervals, such as quarterly or annually. However, real-world operations often face uncertainties—market volatility, fluctuating company finances, or regulatory changes—that disrupt these fixed schedules. The assumption of exponentially distributed inter-observation times allows our model to capture this uncertainty, offering a more realistic simulation of irregular review timings compared to static periodic models. This flexibility is particularly valuable in dynamic financial environments where adaptability to unpredictable conditions is crucial.
In this paper, we assume that the solvency can be monitored at the discrete time points
and the ruin time is formally defined as
, where
represents the number of observations before ruin. One quantity of interest is the expected present value of aggregate dividend payments until ruin, given by
where
is the force of interest. Moreover, we are also interested in studying the Gerber–Shiu expected discounted penalty function, which is defined as follows:
where
is the nonnegative measurable function of the surplus before ruin
and the deficit at ruin
. In the limiting case where the barrier parameter
, dividend payments are entirely suspended and the adjusted risk model collapses to the classical spectrally negative Lévy framework with no mechanism for dividend distribution. In this model, the ruin time is given by
, where
, and
if
for all
. Then, in the case that
, the corresponding Gerber–Shiu expected discounted penalty function is defined as follows:
3. The Discounted Increment Between Observations
In this section, we first introduce the discounted increment density of the continuous observed surplus level, which is proposed by
Albrecher et al. (
2013) and plays an important role in analyzing the target variables
and
. For a sequence of independent and identically distributed two-dimensional random vectors
, let
,
, be the discounted density of the increment
discounted at rate
, so that it satisfies
is a bilateral discounted increment density that admits a decomposition into two components, as follows:
where the density functions
and
characterize the net profit and deficit of
within the time frame
, respectively. By (
9) and (
10), it is easy to get that
Because
follows an exponential distribution with parameter
, we derive the following result:
where
serves as the
-potential density associated with
defined by
The explicit expression of
can be presented through the
-scale function introduced by
Kyprianou (
2014). Kyprianou’s foundational work (Theorem 8.1(i)) establishes the
-scale function
for all
. This function vanishes identically on the negative real axis (that is,
), and, for
, it is uniquely characterized by its Laplace transform
where
is the supremum of all
satisfying
, serving as the inverse of the Laplace exponent
on the right half-line. Following Corollary 8.9 in
Kyprianou (
2014), one can get
Furthermore, the identity
implies, through differentiation with respect to
, the derivative relationship
. Therefore, by replacing
with
, (
15) can be rewritten as
By substituting (
16) into (
12) and comparing its result with (
9), we can get that
where
From (
17) and (
11), we have
and
Remark 1. The upper bound for can be derived by applying the discounted increment density. According to the definition of in (6), one can get Next, we introduce some auxiliary mathematical symbols and operators that will be used to more clearly demonstrate the solution of the main objective variables. Let
denote the Laplace transform of the function
, defined over the domain
, and denote
by the operator of the inverse Laplace transform with argument
. Moreover, we introduce the operator first introduced by Dickson and Hipp,
, which is defined as follows: for any integrable function
on
and any complex number with
,
More properties of the operator introduced by Dickson and Hipp are described in
Li and Garrido (
2004).
4. The Expected Present Value of Aggregate Dividend Payments Until Ruin
This section focuses on analyzing the expected present value of aggregate dividend payments until ruin, denoted by
. We initiate our analysis by deriving the governing integro-differential equations for
and subsequently employ the Laplace transform with the operator introduced by Dickson and Hipp’s methodology to resolve these equations. For clarity of exposition, we write
as
We now proceed to establish the system of integral equations satisfied by
. For
, by using the discounted increment density
,
and considering the increment of surplus process
from time
to
, while taking into account
-types of observation times, we can obtain that
For
, by using arguments similar to those used above, we can obtain that
We now begin to solve the integral Equations (
23) and (
24). For convenience, we denote the constant
as
. By substituting (
19) into (
23) and making some changes to variables, (
23) can be rewritten as
Applying the operator
to both sides of (
25), we can obtain that, for
,
Let
denote a solution to (
26)
with an initial condition
. It is easy to get that
where
is an undetermined constant. Applying the inverse Laplace transform to Equation (
27) in its entirety yields
Using the inverse Laplace transform to (
29), we can get
where the expression of
can be given through the
-scale function. Specifically, by (
18) we have, for
,
Then, (
29) can be rewritten as
Further, using the inverse Laplace transform in (
32), for
, one can get
On the other hand, for
, by integral transforms on (
24) and some careful mathematical calculations, we can obtain
where
. For
, applying a multiplicative weighting of
to both sides of (
34) and performing integration over the interval
yields
Note that
and the integral expression on the right-hand side of (
35) can be respectively calculated as
Then, by substituting the right-hand side of (
36) and (
37) into (
35),
can be expressed as
To analytically determine the constant
, we consider the root of the following equation:
Let
, since
and
We conclude that the function
possesses a unique positive root
within the interval
. By leveraging the upper-bound constraint on
established in (
20), for
, we can get
and
By substituting (
43) into (
38), we can obtain that
Applying the inverse Laplace transform to Equation (
44) in its entirety yields
where
and
By (
25) and (
34), and noting that
, we can get
and to solve this equation for
we can get
Therefore,
can be represented as
5. The Gerber–Shiu Expected Discounted Penalty Function
In this section, we shall study the Gerber–Shiu expected discounted penalty function at the time of ruin (denoted as
). In a structure similar to that of the previous section, we begin by formulating the integro-differential equations obeyed by
, then employ the Laplace transform and the operator introduced by Dickson and Hipp to solve these integro-differential equations. For convenience,
can be written as
We now proceed to establish the system of integral equations associated with
. For
, by using an analysis similar to that used in the previous section, one can obtain that
For
, by using arguments similar to those used above, we can obtain that
By substituting Equations (
19) into Equation (
52) and making some changes to variables, (
52) can be rewritten as
where
. Then, applying the operator
to both sides of (
54), one can get that, for
,
On the other hand, by using arguments similar to those used above, one can find that
satisfies an integro-differential equation of identical structural form to (
55); that is, for
,
Then, combining (
55) and (
56), we have that
where
represents an undetermined coefficient whose value will be explicitly resolved through subsequent analysis.
Next, we solve
and the constant
to determine the expressions for
and
. Applying the Laplace transforms on (
56) for both sides, one can get that
i.e.,
To determine the unknown constant
in (
59), we define
It is easy to get that
and
Given that
is continuous and given the intermediate value theorem, we can conclude that
has a positive root in
and set it as
. Note that when
,
. Then, for any
with
, we have
under the integrability assumption of the Gerber–Shiu function, which means that
is also a root of the numerator in (
59). Thus, we can get
Then, substituting (
63) into (
59) yields
and together with the inverse Laplace transform, this gives
On the other hand, for
, by integral transforms on (
53) and some careful mathematical calculations, we can obtain
where
. We now solve the integral Equation (
66) to obtain the expression of
. For
, a multiplicative weighting of
to both sides of (
66) and integration over the interval
yields
which can yield that
Since
is bounded for
and
is a root of the denominator in (
68),
must be a root of the numerator in (
68). Thus, we can easily get
Substituting (
69) into (
68) yields
Taking the inverse Laplace transform on both sides of (
70) yields
where
By (
54) and (
66), and noting that
, we can get
Therefore,
can be expressed as
6. Numerical Illustrations
In this section, we use a perturbed compound Poisson risk model, which is a special case of the spectrally negative Lévy process, to provide numerical examples for
and
, as analyzed in
Section 4 and
Section 5. The proposed risk process before dividends are deducted is expressed as
where
is the initial surplus,
is the premium rate per unit time, the claim process
is a Poisson counting process with intensity
,
is an i.i.d. sequence of positive random variables with a probability density function
for
,
is a disturbance coefficient, and
denotes a Wiener process initialized at
. Additionally, mutual independence holds among
. By (
1), we have that
is uniquely determined by the Laplace exponent
where
. For convenience, we presume that
is a rational function and is given by
where
and
are polynomials in
with degrees
and
(
). Furthermore, we assume that
and
do not have a common zero point and that the coefficient of
in
is
. Under the previous assumption,
has exactly
roots. We postulate that these
roots are distinct, with mathematical certainty establishing precisely one positive solution
, while the remaining
roots rigorously satisfy the negativity criterion
for
.
We now begin to investigate the numerical solutions for
and
. To obtain specific numerical solutions, we must first derive explicit expressions for the key functional components:
,
,
,
, and
, as defined in (
50) and (
74).
First, we derive the explicit expression for
. The analytical foundation for this numerical computation requires resolving the explicit formulation of the discounted density function
through the Laplace transform. For
, it is a scale function whose Laplace transform can be written as
where
and
. Then, through the application of the inverse Laplace transform to (
78), we can get
By substituting (
79) into (
18), we can obtain
Then, the Laplace transform of (
80) (i.e.
) can be given by
Substituting (
81) into (
29) yields
where
are different roots of the equation
, and
. From the analysis of
in
Section 5, we have that one of the roots of
is equal to
. Taking the inverse Laplace transform of (
82), one can obtain
Next, we derive the explicit expressions for
and
. By (
46) and (
81), the Laplace transform of
can be expressed as
where
are all negative roots of the equation
and
. After applying the inverse Laplace transform to
, we can obtain that
Applying the operator introduced by Dickson and Hipp to (
80), we can get
Then, by (
83) and (
86), we have that
Therefore, by (
47) and (
87), the Laplace transform of
can be expressed as
where
is a polynomial of degree
, and
. Then, by performing the inverse Laplace transform on (
88), one can get
Finally, we derive the explicit expressions for
and
. Assume that the penalty function is always equal to 1 (i.e.
). By (
54), we can get that
and find its Laplace transform, as follows:
Substituting (
91) into (
64) gives that
where
, and
. Therefore, the inverse Laplace transform of
can be written as
By (
86) and (
93), we can get that
Then, by (
72) and (
94), the Laplace transform of
can be expressed as
where
and
. Then, applying the inverse Laplace transform to (
95), one can get that
Based on the explicit expressions for
,
,
,
, and
provided respectively in (
83), (
85), (
89), (
93), and (
96), we can now present values of
and
across varying values of
, systematically investigating their dependence with different combinations of the parameters
,
,
, and
.
In
Table 1,
Table 2,
Table 3 and
Table 4, we systematically present the numerical computation results of the function
under different combinations of parameters
,
,
, and
. Through these four comparative tables, we present quantitative data that analyze the effects of these parameters on
. To further uncover the patterns in the variation of the function,
Figure 2a–d depict the corresponding curves of
using visualization methods, intuitively demonstrating its dynamic characteristics as it evolves with the independent variable
. Through a systematic analysis of the data in
Table 1,
Table 2,
Table 3 and
Table 4 and the observations given in
Figure 2a–d, we have identified a significant common trend: within the studied parameter ranges, the value function
increases strictly with each of the parameters
,
,
, and
. This result unequivocally demonstrates the systematic regulatory effects of these parameters on
, where an increase in any individual parameter directly leads to the enhancement of the value function.
Figure 2a reveals a crucial detail about the strategy. When the company reduces the dividend payout ratio for the first type of observation (less frequent,
), it simultaneously increases the payout ratio for the second type of observation (more frequent,
). Since the second type of event occurs twice as frequently as the first, the positive contribution of the increased payout ratio to total expected dividends outweighs the negative impact of the reduced payout ratio for the first type. Therefore, the net effect of the strategy is an increase in expected shareholder returns. This demonstrates that combining a higher dividend payout ratio with more frequent observations is an effective way to maximize shareholder value when designing a multiperiod dividend strategy. For
Figure 2b, which suggests that increasing the value of
allows the company to more promptly capture surplus exceeding the threshold and pay dividends, thereby increasing
. Furthermore, it further suggests that, given limited resources, prioritizing increasing the frequency of observation types associated with higher dividend payout ratios is a more effective way to maximize shareholder value.
Figure 2c shows that a higher threshold
implies that the company is employing a more conservative capital strategy, requiring the retention of more surplus as a safety buffer. This reduces risk but also delays and reduces dividend payments, thereby lowering
. Conversely, a lower threshold
represents a more aggressive strategy, making it more likely that dividend payments will be triggered and thereby maximizing short-term cash returns to shareholders, but it may also make the company more vulnerable to future negative shocks.
Figure 2d illustrates the application of standard financial valuation principles. The discount rate
represents the time value of money. Since dividends are a series of cash flows paid at different points in the future, a higher discount rate means that future dividends are worth less today. This emphasizes the importance of the macro interest-rate environment in assessing the value of a company’s dividend strategy.
On the other hand,
Table 5,
Table 6,
Table 7 and
Table 8 present numerical results for the Gerber–Shiu function
under various combinations of parameters
,
,
, and
. To further explore the function’s patterns in variation,
Figure 3a–d illustrate its curves, highlighting how
changes with the independent variable
. This integration of tabular data and graphical representations provides dual validation of the function’s behavior through numerical and visual analysis. Analysis of the parameter combinations in
Table 5,
Table 6,
Table 7 and
Table 8 alongside trends in
Figure 3a–d reveals a clear pattern:
decreases with increases in each parameter
,
,
, or
. This finding confirms the parameters’ inhibitory effects on
, offering quantitative insights into its sensitivity.
Figure 3a further illustrates the risk–return trade-off. When companies increase their dividend payout ratios for the more frequent second-type events, the result is more frequent and larger capital outflows overall. This “more efficient” capital distribution, while increasing shareholders’ expected returns
, also causes the company’s capital buffer to be depleted more quickly, increasing its ruin risk in the event of future adverse shocks.
Figure 3b shows that more frequent surplus checks (i.e., increasing
), while they create more opportunities for increased dividend payments (as shown in
Figure 2b), also lead to more frequent capital outflows. This continuous “capital depletion” weakens the company’s risk buffer, making it more vulnerable to future significant losses and increasing the likelihood of ruin. This further highlights the inherent contradiction between maximizing dividends and controlling risk.
Figure 3c demonstrates that raising the dividend payout threshold (i.e., increasing
) is a conservative financial strategy. It forces companies to build a stronger capital base before distributing profits to shareholders. This larger capital buffer can more effectively withstand future adverse shocks, significantly reducing the company’s ruin risk, as reflected in the decline in
. For
Figure 3d, since
measures the expected discounted value of future penalties incurred in the event of ruin, ruin is an event that may occur in the distant future. According to the time value principle, the later an event occurs, the lower its present value today. When the discount rate
increases, future events are discounted more severely. Therefore, even if the actual probability of ruin remains unchanged, the discounted expected penalty value
will decrease accordingly.
In this study, we analyzed the multi-periodic threshold dividend strategy under the spectrally negative Lévy risk model, deriving explicit solutions for the expected present value of dividends and the Gerber–Shiu function. Numerical results suggest that the proposed multi-periodic strategy outperforms traditional single-period strategies under certain parameter settings. Theoretically, this research extends the application of Lévy risk models to dividends, particularly in the context of multi-periodic observations. It provides a novel perspective for future studies, such as those that may explore the impact of varying observation interval distributions on dividend strategies. Practically, the proposed strategy offers actionable insights for insurance companies’ dividend strategies, especially in scenarios requiring periodic policy reviews. By optimizing the timing and amount of dividend payments, firms can enhance risk management and improve capital efficiency.