GeoHazards, Volume 6, Issue 4 (December 2025) – 27 articles

Drought remains one of the most damaging natural hazards to agricultural production and is projected to continue posing substantial risks to food security in the future, particularly in major rice-growing regions. Based on the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios under CMIP5, this study used a process-based crop growth model to simulate the growth of rice in China in different future periods (short-term (2031–2050), medium-term (2051–2070), and long-term (2071–2090)). We fitted rice vulnerability curves to evaluate the rice drought risk quantitatively according to the simulated water stress (WS) and yield. The results showed that the drought hazard in major rice-growing areas in China (MRAC) were low in the middle and high in the north and south. The areas without rice yield loss will decline in the future, while the areas with a high yield loss will increase, especially in southwestern China and the middle and lower Yangtze Plain (MLYP). Owing to the markedly increased evaporative demand and the reduced moisture transport caused by a weakening East Asian summer monsoon, northeastern China will be a high-risk area in the future, with the expected yield loss rates in scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 being 39.75% and 45.5%, respectively. In addition, under the RCP8.5 scenario, the yield loss rate of different return periods in south China will exceed 80%. A significant gap between rice supply and demand affected by drought is expected in the short-term future. The gaps will be 67,770 kt and 78,110 kt under the RCP4.5-SSP2 and RCP8.5-SSP3 scenarios, respectively. The methodology developed in this paper can support the quantitative assessment of drought loss risk in different scenarios using crop growth models. In the context of the future expansion of Chinese grain demand, this study can serve as a reference to improve the capacity for regional drought risk prevention and ensure regional food security. Full article

On 19 December 2015 and 21 February 2017, Longyearbyen was hit by major avalanches from the steep hillside of the mountain Sukkertoppen. In this article, we specifically consider the 2015 avalanche that destroyed eleven houses and buried nine people; seven were located and rescued, while two died. We describe the meteorological conditions leading up to the avalanche, the rescue operation, the media coverage, and the immediate aftermath of the catastrophe. Both events came as a result of warming, strong easterly winds, and drifting snow, with the December 2015 event being the most extreme. The 2017 avalanche damaged two houses, but no people were hurt. We analyse the catastrophes in relation to the knowledge of the risks and impacts of avalanches in Longyearbyen, as provided through field-based student courses at the University Centre of Svalbard (UNIS). To protect against further avalanche accidents, parts of Longyearbyen have been restructured, and physical barriers against avalanches have been installed on the hillside of Sukkertoppen. Now there are snow drift fences to reduce snow accumulation in the release areas, avalanche protection fences mounted in the hillside, and a large wall at the foot of the mountain to catch avalanche debris in the future. In hindsight, the accidents have contributed to an increased national awareness of the danger of severe weather events. Full article

Critical transmission lines frequently traverse geologically complex mountainous regions, where harsh environments and variable climatic conditions pose significant geohazard risks. Utilizing 163 Sentinel-1A scenes (January 2018 to October 2023), we employed Multi-Temporal InSAR (MT-InSAR) to derive the deformation field along the transmission corridor. Time-series analysis of the Lingshao (LS) line towers, interpreted through the principles of mining subsidence, revealed the mechanisms behind their differential tilt. Simultaneously, time-series deformation at the tower footings was input to a deep learning model for 365-day prediction; the accuracy and practical applicability of which were rigorously assessed. The results demonstrate that (1) a unidirectional subsidence funnel within the transmission corridor deformation field, in the absence of zonal settlement features, strongly indicates the presence of a goaf beneath the line; (2) the integrated approach combining time-series InSAR with the settlement trough method proves feasible for monitoring transmission tower tilt, as validated through field verification; (3) the magnitude and direction of tower tilt correlate directly with their position in the mining-induced subsidence basin, showing convergent tilt in tensile zones, divergent tilt in compressive zones, and uniform settlement in neutral zones; (4) for the eight selected typical tower footings, predicted deformation values ranged from −284.6 mm to −186.3 mm, showing excellent agreement with measurements through correlation coefficients of 0.989–0.999 and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) values of 0.54–2.17 mm. The framework enables proactive hazard avoidance during line routing and provides early warning for tower defects, significantly enhancing power infrastructure resilience in mining-affected regions. Full article

Modern statistical techniques enable quantitative characterisation of seismic activity. Analysis of the 2011 Tohoku megathrust earthquake revealed clear precursory signals: shortened inter-event intervals, increased magnitude scale (σ), and a pronounced precursory swarm immediately before the mainshock. While unique to this magnitude 9 event, here I present subtler anomalies that may precede magnitude 7-class events, particularly when swarms occur. In such cases, magnitude distributions often differ from background seismicity, frequently showing elevated location (μ) and scale (σ). Conversely, σ is sometimes reduced, particularly in volcanic regions, where large earthquakes may occur without discernible swarms. Detection of swarm activity and analysis of magnitude parameters thus remain central to seismic risk assessment. If swarm characteristics resemble background levels, the likelihood of a major event is presumably low. However, the distinct, immediate precursory swarm observed before the Tohoku earthquake has not been replicated elsewhere. These findings indicate that statistical anomalies may signal elevated risk but are unlikely to enable precise temporal prediction of seismic events. Full article

During January–February 2025, the Santorini volcanic complex experienced intense seismic activity, increasing interest and concern regarding the possible reactivation of the magmatic system. This study investigates the spatial and magnitude distribution of seismic events with the aim of distinguishing between tectonic and volcanic earthquakes and understanding the underlying processes governing seismicity in the region. The analysis is based on data from the national and local seismic network, including epicenter and focus determination, local magnitude (M_L) calculation, depth analysis, statistical processing, and the application of machine learning methods for event classification. The results show that tectonic earthquakes are mainly located at depths, D > 8 km along active faults, while volcanic earthquakes are concentrated at shallower levels (D < 5 km) below the volcanic center. The analysis of b values suggests the differentiation of the focal mechanism, with higher values for volcanic events, which is related to fluid and magmatic pressure processes. The spatiotemporal evolution of seismicity demonstrates seismic swarm characteristics, without a main earthquake, which are attributed to processes within the subvolcanic system. The study contributes to improving the understanding of the current seismovolcanic crisis of Santorini and enhances the ability to identify magmatic instability processes in a timely manner, critical for hazard assessment and monitoring of the South Aegean volcanic arc. Full article

The 17 November 2023 M_W 6.8 earthquake located offshore of Southern Mindanao, Philippines, triggered soil liquefaction along the lowlands of the Sarangani Peninsula. Detailed mapping, geomorphological interpretations, geophysical surveys, comparison with predictive models, and grain size analysis were conducted to obtain a comprehensive understanding of the earthquake parameters and subsurface conditions that permitted liquefaction. Soil liquefaction manifested as sediment and water vents, fissures, lateral spreads, and ground deformation, mainly along landforms with shallow groundwater levels such as river deltas, fills, floodplains, and beaches. In populated areas, ground failure due to liquefaction also damaged some buildings. All these impacts fall within the boundaries of the available liquefaction hazard maps for Sarangani Peninsula and the predictive empirical equations generated by various authors. Simulated peak ground acceleration values also indicate that sufficient ground shaking was generated for the soil to liquefy. Refraction microtremor (ReMi) surveys reveal shear wave velocities ranging from 121 to 215 m/s, which infer the presence of soft and stiff soils beneath the surface, promoting the sites’ potential to liquefy. Grain size analyses of sediment ejecta confirm the presence of these liquefiable sediments from the subsurface, with grain sizes ranging from silt to medium sand. The results of three-component microtremor (3CMt) surveys also show varying sediment thicknesses, which are consistent with the thickness of soft sediment layers inferred by ReMi surveys. The information resulting from this study may be useful for researchers, planners, and engineers for liquefaction hazard assessment and mitigation, especially in the Sarangani Peninsula. Full article

This present study demonstrates the assessment of agricultural drought hazard based on satellite indices for drought risk mapping in part of the South Koel river basin (India) with coverage of (7261 km²). Satellite-based drought indices and NDVI anomalies have been calculated using Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data sets. The variations in vegetation condition from years 2000–2023 for the month of October were examined using additional NDVI and LST products from MODIS data. Vegetation Condition Index (VCI), Temperature Condition Index (TCI), and Vegetation Health Index (VHI) are satellite-based drought indices that were used for agricultural mapping. The study area’s long-term NDVI anomaly demonstrates the negative impact of climate extremes during the past 23 years. Values in drought-prone areas ranged from 10 to 50. The majority of the study area has been severely impacted by drought in 2001, 2005, 2010, and 2023, with water scarcity and mediocre vegetative conditions. Results showed that 59.33% of the study area is in drought risk zone and, among the five districts in the study area, Gumla is in high-risk zone. It covers 610 villages and spans an area of 3275 km², out of which 2119 km² with a population of 415,341 are specifically at high risk. Full article

The Late Holocene flood history of the Cauvery River floodplain in the Poompuhar region was reconstructed using a multiproxy sedimentological approach applied to three trench cores. Lithostratigraphy, loss on ignition (LOI), magnetic susceptibility (MS), sand–silt–clay textural analysis, granulometric statistics (Folk and Ward), Passega CM diagrams, and grain angularity provide complementary evidence to differentiate high-energy flood deposits from background slackwater sediments. Grain-size processing and statistical analyses were carried out in R using the G2Sd package, ensuring reproducible quantification of mean size, sorting, skewness, kurtosis, and transport signatures. We identified 10 discrete high-energy event beds. These layers are characterised by >80% sand content, low LOI (<3.5%), and low frequency-dependent MS (χfd% < 2%), confirming rapid, mineral-dominated deposition. A tentative chronology, projected from the regional aggradation rate, suggests two major flood clusters: a maximum-magnitude event at ~3.2 ka and a synchronous cluster at ~1.6–1.8 ka. These events chronologically align with the documented phases of channel avulsion in the adjacent Palar River Basin, supporting the existence of a synchronised Late Holocene climato-tectonic regime across coastal Tamil Nadu. This hydrological evidence supports the hypothesis that recurrent high-magnitude flooding triggered catastrophic channel avulsion of the Cauvery distributary, leading to the fluvial abandonment and decline of the ancient port city of Poompuhar. Securing an absolute chronology requires advanced K-feldspar post-IR IRSL dating to overcome quartz saturation issues in fluvial deposits. Full article

This article proposes a novel methodology based on the 2D hydraulic model of the HEC-RAS software, with a stepped ascending hydrograph that allows determining the maximum capacities of the channel (value at which overflow occurs), identifying potential breaking and overflow points, and the affected areas. This methodology also allows for determining whether the theoretical hydraulic capacities indicated by official agencies correspond to the current capacity of the channel. The areas analyzed correspond to the urban channel sections of the Segura River as it passes through Murcia, Orihuela, Almoradí, and Rojales. The results show that the capacity is much lower than the estimated flows, which explains the overflows of the Segura River in some sections. These results have been compared with the events of the September 2019 flood. The discussion addresses some potential problems identified during the modeling process and how they were resolved. The importance of understanding these capacities for better flood management is also highlighted. It is concluded that the Segura River channel capacity is lower, that it is a method that can be extrapolated to other rivers, and that it allows for more effective management of river floods, reducing the impacts on the population. Full article

The Santorini volcano in the South Aegean Volcanic Arc is of great scientific importance. Knowledge of historical eruptions is valuable for better understanding the volcanic cycle and for improved hazard assessments. One of the little-known historical eruptions occurred either in 1570 or in 1573 or from 1570 to 1573 CE. We bring to light a very little-known but reliable Greek manuscript dated in 1588 CE which improves our knowledge about this eruption. The manuscript documents that the eruption occurred in 1572 and took place within the sea caldera between Santorini and Palaia Kameni. It makes it clear that “fire, smoke, and stones” were coming out between the two islands and a new volcanic island named Mikri Kameni was born. This landscape has been verified by independent maps of the 17th and 18th centuries. The floating pumice was transported by the sea as far as to Thessaloniki and Constantinople. Also, we learn a lot about the consequences of the eruption: (1) smoke and heat destroyed the vineyards and the planting season on Santorini, i.e., spring–summer, (2) it is likely that sulfurous gases were released, and (3) the residents of Santorini were forced to move to nearby islands. The duration of the eruption was ~1 year, but the fire and smoke disappeared suddenly. The Volcanic Explosivity Index of the eruption was estimated to be as high as 3. Full article

Over the past five decades, the Tallet Alsauda district of Aleppo (Syria) has experienced multiple catastrophic collapses, attributed to a network of subsurface chalk cavities formed through historic quarrying and possible natural karstification. Yet, no comprehensive investigation has previously been conducted to characterise the cavities or clarify the governing failure mechanisms. Such assessments are particularly difficult in historic urban environments, where void geometries are irregular, subsurface data scarce, and underground access limited. This study addresses these challenges through an integrated programme of fourteen boreholes, laboratory testing, and inverse-distance interpolation to reconstruct subsurface geometry and overburden thickness. These data-informed three-dimensional finite element simulations are designed to test the hypothesis that chalk deterioration, driven by both natural and anthropogenic processes, controls the instability of cavity roofs. Rock mass parameters, particularly the Geological Strength Index (GSI), were progressively reduced and evaluated against the site’s documented collapse history. The simulations revealed that a modest decline in GSI from ~53 to 47 precipitated abrupt displacements (>300 mm) and upward-propagating plastic zones, consistent with field evidence of past collapses. These results confirm that instability is governed by threshold reductions in material strength, with sewer leakage identified as a principal trigger accelerating chalk softening and roof destabilisation. Full article

The Longshou Shan area is located on the northeastern margin of the Tibetan Plateau in northwest China. The study area is located where the sinistral Altyn Tagh and Haiyuan Faults overlap and the Qilian Shan thrust fault systems in the northeastern Kunlun–Qaidam Block converge. This region experiences frequent seismic events, including large-magnitude earthquakes, which are significant indicators of ongoing tectonic deformation and stress accumulation in the Earth’s crust. The seismicity of Longshou Shan is not only a consequence of its tectonic setting but also a key factor in understanding the seismic hazard posed to the surrounding areas. The tectonic activity within the Longshou Shan region of NW China is a focus of our geomorphological research due to its significance in understanding the complex interactions between tectonic forces and surface processes. Situated on the northeastern edge of the Tibetan Plateau and along the eastward trace of the Altyn Tagh Fault, Longshou Shan is crucial for investigating the plateau’s northward expansion. This study leverages ALOS-based digital elevation models (DEMs) and geomorphic indices to evaluate the tectonic activity in the area, employing various indices such as mountain front sinuosity, valley floor width-to-height ratio, hypsometric curves, asymmetry factors, basin shape indices, and channel steepness index to provide a comprehensive tectonomorphological analysis. Our results indicate intense tectonic activity on both sides of Longshou Shan, making it a highly hazardous seismic area. We also highlight the importance of thrust faults and related crustal shortening in the formation and expansion of the plateau. Full article

Identifying landslide boundaries and morphological features using traditional methods is labor-intensive, costly, and often limited—especially in areas altered by human activity or covered with dense vegetation. In such cases, modern remote sensing methods are considered a good alternative; however, their accuracy and reliability also depend on several factors. This study aims to identify landslide boundaries and morphological features using modern remote sensing techniques and to compare and validate the derived parameters with those obtained through traditional field methods. In this study, the remote sensing technology employed is a high-resolution digital elevation model (HRDEM) generated by a LiDAR sensor mounted on an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV). Based on this dataset, various terrain parameters were analyzed, including slope, aspect, contour, curvature, hillshade, the topographic ruggedness index (TRI), the topographic position index (TPI), and the topographic wetness index (TWI). Individual analysis, composite analysis, and principal component analysis (PCA) of these parameters enabled the identification of the landslide boundaries and key morphological elements. This study was conducted on a landslide-prone slope in the Surami area of Georgia, which is characterized by extensive anthropogenic impact. The accuracy of the LiDAR-derived results was confirmed through field validation. This study demonstrates the effectiveness of UAV-LiDAR technology in areas affected by anthropogenic activity. Full article

This study combines a multidisciplinary approach to Pyrenean and Alpine glacial lakes to characterize the sensitivity of Late Glacial to Holocene subaquatic flood deposits in deltaic environments to slope failures triggered either by earthquakes, rockfalls, or snow avalanches. To clarify the possible interactions between environmental changes and these natural hazards in mountain and piedmont lakes, we analyze the lacustrine sedimentary records of key historical events and discuss the recurrence of similar regional events in the past. High-resolution seismic profiles and sediment cores from large perialpine lakes (Bourget, Geneva, and Constance) and from small mountain lakes in the French Alps and the Pyrenees were used to establish a conceptual model linking environmental changes, tributary flood sedimentary processes, subaquatic deltaic depocenters, and potentially tsunamigenic mass-wasting deposits. These findings illustrate the specific signatures of the largest French earthquakes in 1660 CE (northern Pyrenees) and in 1822 CE (western Alps) and suggest their recurrence during the Holocene. In addition, the regional record in the Aiguilles Rouges massif near Mont Blanc of the tsunamigenic 1584 CE Aigle earthquake in Lake Geneva may be used to better document a similar Celtic event ca. 2300 Cal BP at the border between Switzerland and France. Full article

The lower Mahanadi basin in eastern India is experiencing significant land and soil transformations that directly influence agricultural sustainability and ecosystem resilience. In this study, we used geospatial techniques to analyze the spatial-temporal variability of soil quality and land cover between 2011 and 2020 in the lower Mahanadi basin. The results revealed that the cropland decreased from 39,493.2 to 37,495.9 km², while forest cover increased from 12,401.2 to 13,822.2 km², enhancing soil organic carbon (>290 g/kg) and improving fertility. Grassland recovered from 4826.3 to 5432.1 km², wastelands declined from 133.3 to 93.2 km², and water bodies expanded from 184.3 to 191.4 km², reflecting positive land–soil interactions. Soil quality was evaluated using the Simple Additive Soil Quality Index (SQI), with core indicators bulk density, organic carbon, and nitrogen, selected to represent physical, chemical, and biological components of soil. These indicators were chosen as they represent the essential physical, chemical, and biological components influencing soil functionality and fertility. The SQI revealed spatial variability in texture, organic carbon, nitrogen, and bulk density at different depths. SQI values indicated high soil quality (SQI > 0.65) in northern and northwestern zones, supported by neutral to slightly alkaline pH (6.2–7.4), nitrogen exceeding 5.29 g/kg, and higher organic carbon stocks (>48.8 t/ha). In contrast, central and southwestern regions recorded low SQI (0.15–0.35) due to compaction (bulk density up to 1.79 g/cm³) and fertility loss. Clay-rich soils (>490 g/kg) enhanced nutrient retention, whereas sandy soils (>320 g/kg) in the south increased leaching risks. Integration of LULC with soil quality confirms forest expansion as a driver of resilience, while agricultural intensification contributed to localized degradation. These findings emphasize the need for depth-specific soil management and integrated land-use planning to ensure food security and ecological sustainability. Full article

Since March 2021, a series of volcanic eruptions on Iceland’s Reykjanes Peninsula has repeatedly triggered wildfires in moss-dominated heathlands—an unprecedented phenomenon in this environment. These fires have consumed extensive organic material, posing emerging health risks and long-term ecological impacts. Using high-resolution multispectral satellite data from the Copernicus program, we present the first quantitative assessment of the spatial and temporal dynamics of volcanic wildfire activity. Our analysis reveals a cumulative burned area extending 11.4 km² beyond the lava flows, primarily across low-relief terrain. Time series of the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) capture both localized fire scars and diffuse, landscape-scale burn patterns, followed by slow and spatially heterogeneous recovery. Complementary ground surveys conducted in August 2024 document diverse post-fire successional pathways, with vegetation regrowth and species composition strongly governed by microtopography and substrate texture. Together, these results demonstrate that volcanic wildfires represent a novel and consequential secondary disturbance in Icelandic volcanic systems, highlighting the complex and protracted recovery dynamics of moss heath ecosystems following fire-induced perturbation. Full article

Coastal boulder deposits (CBDs) are among the most striking geomorphic signatures of extreme wave activity, recording the action of both tsunamis and severe storms. Their significance extends beyond geomorphology, providing geological archives that capture rare but high-impact events beyond the scope of instrumental or historical records. This review critically examines the origins, emplacement mechanisms, diagnostic morphology, monitoring tools, and global case studies of CBDs with the aim of clarifying the storm–tsunami debate and advancing their application in coastal hazard assessment. A systematic literature survey of 77 peer-reviewed studies published between 1991 and 2025 was conducted using Scopus and Web of Science, with inclusion criteria ensuring relevance to extreme-wave processes, geomorphic analysis, and chronological methods. Multiproxy approaches were emphasized, integrating geomatics (RTK-GPS, UAV-SfM, TLS, LiDAR), geochronology (¹⁴C, U–Th, OSL, cosmogenic nuclides, VRM), and hydrodynamic modeling. Findings show that tsunamis explain the largest and most inland megaclasts, while modern storms have proven capable of mobilizing boulders exceeding 200 t at elevations up to 30 m. Many deposits are polygenetic, shaped by successive high-energy events, complicating binary classification. CBDs emerge as multifaceted archives of extreme marine forcing, essential for refining hazard assessments in a changing climate. Full article

Landslides are a major natural hazard capable of causing severe damage to infrastructure, ecosystems, and human life. They result from complex interactions of geological, hydrological, and environmental factors, with soil properties playing a crucial role by influencing the mechanical behavior and moisture dynamics of slope materials that drive initiation and progression. In South Africa, few studies have examined soil influences on landslide susceptibility, and none have been conducted in the Eastern Cape Province. This study investigated the role of soil physical and chemical properties in landslide susceptibility by comparing profiles from landslide scars and stable sites in the Port St. Johns and Lusikisiki region. Samples from topsoil and subsoil horizons were analyzed for soil organic matter (SOM), cation exchange capacity (CEC), saturated hydraulic conductivity (Ksat), exchangeable sodium adsorption ratio (SARexc), and texture. Statistical analyses included the Shapiro–Wilk test to evaluate data normality. For inter-profile comparisons, Welch’s t-test was applied to normally distributed data, while the Mann–Whitney U test was used for non-normal distributions. Intra-profile differences across more than two groups were assessed using the Kruskal–Wallis test for the non-normally distributed data. Results showed that landslide-prone soils had higher SOM, CEC, and Ksat in topsoil, promoting moisture retention and rapid infiltration, which favor pore pressure build-up and slope failure. Non-landslide soils displayed higher sodium-related indices and finer textures, suggesting more uniform water retention and resilience. Vertical variation in landslide soils indicated hydraulic discontinuities, fostering perched saturation zones. Findings highlight landslide initiation as a product of interactions between hydromechanical gradients and chemical dynamics. Full article

Slope failures represent one of the most serious geotechnical hazards, which can have severe consequences for personnel, equipment, infrastructure, and other aspects of a mining operation. Deterministic and stochastic conventional methods of slope stability analysis are useful; however, some limitations in applicability may arise due to the inherent anisotropy of rock mass properties and rock mass interactions. In recent years, Machine Learning (ML) techniques have become powerful tools for improving prediction and risk assessment in slope stability analysis. This review provides a comprehensive overview of ML applications for analyzing slope stability and delves into the performance of each technique as well as the interrelationship between the geotechnical parameters of the rock mass. Supervised learning methods such as decision trees, support vector machines, random forests, gradient boosting, and neural networks have been applied by different authors to predict the safety factor and classify slopes. Unsupervised learning techniques such as clustering and Gaussian mixture models have also been applied to identify hidden patterns. The objective of this manuscript is to consolidate existing work by highlighting the advantages and limitations of different ML techniques, while identifying gaps that should be analyzed in future research. Full article

Sediment erosion under turbulent wave action is a highly dynamic process shaped by the interaction between wave properties and sediment characteristics. Despite extensive empirical research, the underlying mechanisms of wave-induced erosion remain insufficiently understood, particularly regarding the threshold energy required for particle mobilization and the factors governing displacement patterns. This study employed a custom-built wave flume and a 3D-printed sampler to examine sediment behavior under controlled wave conditions. Rounded glass beads, chosen to eliminate the influence of particle shape, were used as sediment analogs with a similar specific gravity to natural sand. Ten experiments were conducted to systematically assess the effects of particle size, particle number, input voltage (wave power), and water depth on sediment response. The results revealed that (1) only a fraction of particles were mobilized, with the remainder forming stable interlocking structures; (2) the number of displaced particles increased with particle size, particle count, and water depth; (3) a threshold wave power is required to initiate erosion, though buoyancy under shallow conditions reduces this threshold; and (4) wave steepness, rather than voltage or wave height alone, provided the strongest predictor of sediment displacement. These findings highlight the central role of wave steepness in erosion modeling and call for its integration into predictive frameworks. The study concludes with methodological limitations and proposes future research directions, including expanded soil types, large-scale flume testing, and advanced flow field measurements. Full article

Dam collapse is a catastrophic event involving an artificial reservoir usually filled with water for hydropower or irrigation purposes. Several cases of dam collapses have overwhelmed entire valleys, reconfiguring their geomorphology, redesigning their landscape, and causing several thousand casualties. These episodes led to more careful regulations and the activation of more effective monitoring and mitigation strategies. A fundamental tool in defining appropriate procedures for alert and risk scenarios is the Dam Emergency Plan (PED), an operational document that establishes the actions and procedures required to manage potential hazards (e.g., geo-hydrological and seismic risk). The aim of this study is to describe a reference methodology for identifying geo-hydrological criticalities based on historical and geomorphological data, applied to civil protection activities. A further objective is to provide a structured inventory of Italian reservoirs, assigning each a potential risk index based on an analytical approach considering several factors (age and construction methodology of the dam, morphological and environmental settings, anthropized environment, and exposed population). The approach identifies that the most significant change in risk over time is not only the dam itself but also the transformation of the territory. This methodology does not incorporate probabilistic forecasting of flood or climate change; instead, it objectively characterizes the exposed territory, offering insights into existing vulnerabilities on which to base effective mitigation strategies. Full article

On 10 August 2025, a powerful earthquake (M_w = 6.1) occurred in Balıkesir, located within the Aegean Graben System, one of Türkiye’s major tectonic elements, and was felt across a very wide region. This study presents a comprehensive assessment of the seismotectonic characteristics, recorded ground motions, and observed structural performance during this earthquake, focusing specifically on implications for regional seismic hazard assessment. Peak ground acceleration values obtained from local accelerometer stations were compared with predicted peak ground accelerations. The study also conducted comparisons for Balıkesir districts using the two most recent earthquake hazard maps used in Türkiye. Comparative hazard analyses revealed whether existing seismic hazard maps adequately represent Balıkesir. The findings highlight the need for region-specific hazard model updates, improved implementation of earthquake-resistant design rules, and targeted retrofit strategies to mitigate future earthquake risk. The methodology adopted in this study involved comparative hazard analysis using the last two seismic hazard maps, evaluation of PGA’s across 20 districts of Balıkesir Province, and a field-based survey of structural damage. This integrative approach ensured that both seismological and engineering perspectives were comprehensively addressed. Full article

Nepal is highly susceptible to natural hazards, including earthquakes, flooding, and landslides, all of which may occur independently or in combination. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of these natural hazards, posing growing risks to Nepal’s infrastructure and development. To the authors’ knowledge, the majority of existing geohazard research in Nepal is typically limited to single hazards or localised areas. To address this gap, MiMapper was developed as a cloud-based, open-access multi-hazard mapping tool covering the full national extent. Built on Google Earth Engine and using only open-source spatial datasets, MiMapper applies an Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) to generate hazard indices for earthquakes, floods, and landslides. These indices are combined into an aggregated hazard layer and presented in an interactive, user-friendly web map that requires no prior GIS expertise. MiMapper uses a standardised hazard categorisation system for all layers, providing pixel-based scores for each layer between 0 (Very Low) and 1 (Very High). The modal and mean hazard categories for aggregated hazard in Nepal were Low (47.66% of pixels) and Medium (45.61% of pixels), respectively, but there was high spatial variability in hazard categories depending on hazard type. The validation of MiMapper’s flooding and landslide layers showed an accuracy of 0.412 and 0.668, sensitivity of 0.637 and 0.898, and precision of 0.116 and 0.627, respectively. These validation results show strong overall performance for landslide prediction, whilst broad-scale exposure patterns are predicted for flooding but may lack the resolution or sensitivity to fully represent real-world flood events. Consequently, MiMapper is a useful tool to support initial hazard screening by professionals in urban planning, infrastructure development, disaster management, and research. It can contribute to a Level 1 Integrated Geohazard Assessment as part of the evaluation for improving the resilience of hydropower schemes to the impacts of climate change. MiMapper also offers potential as a teaching tool for exploring hazard processes in data-limited, high-relief environments such as Nepal. Full article

Landslides are common in mountainous regions and can significantly affect human life and infrastructure. The aim of this study is to analyze the role of hydrothermally altered rocks in generating ground instability and triggering debris flows in the Canoas microbasin, Sierra de Angangueo, within the Monarch Butterfly Biosphere Reserve. We characterized the unaltered (andesite) and altered (andesitic breccia) rocks from the landslide scarp through fieldwork and laboratory analysis. The altered rock exhibited an extremely low simple compressive strength of 0.47 ± 0.05 MPa. In contrast, the unaltered rock exhibited a higher strength of 36.26 ± 18.62 MPa and lower porosity. Petrographic analysis revealed that the unaltered rock primarily consists of an andesitic groundmass with plagioclase and orthopyroxene phenocrysts partially altered to sericite and kaolin. In comparison, the altered rock contains a matrix rich in clay, iron oxides, and completely replaced phenocrysts. The andesitic breccia has a high proportion of clay and silt and displays soil-like mechanical properties, making it vulnerable to saturation collapse during heavy rainfall. This research offers valuable insights into geological risk management in mountainous volcanic regions. The findings demonstrate that the presence of hydrothermally altered andesitic breccia with weak geomechanical properties was the critical factor that triggered the Canoas debris flow, underscoring hydrothermal alteration as a key control of slope instability in volcanic settings. Full article

Approaches to magnetotelluric monitoring of variations in apparent resistivity and electromagnetic emission that may serve as earthquake precursors are considered. Monitoring of apparent resistivity is advised in the range 7–300 Hz, where natural electromagnetic fields exhibit stable behavior, while at lower frequencies the behavior of the electrotelluric and magnetic fields should be analyzed. We present results of studies aimed at identifying active faults and searching for stress–strain sensitive zones for installing measurement equipment based on the registration of tidal variations in apparent resistivity. The features of apparent resistivity anomalies preceding earthquakes in China based on direct current measurements are discussed. Based on the analysis of natural electromagnetic field monitoring in the ULF and ELF ranges in China, the anomalies recorded prior to several recent earthquakes are considered. Before the Yangbi earthquake (2017) and the series of Yangbi (2021) and Ninglang (2022) earthquakes, variations in apparent resistivity were observed that have a pulsed behavior and probably are manifestations of electromagnetic emission. Possible sources of these anomalies are active faults located near the monitoring stations. Full article

Global environmental challenges, including eutrophication and hypoxia in enclosed water bodies, require innovative solutions for sustainable water quality management. Lake Biwa, Japan’s largest freshwater lake, suffers from hypoxia in its bottom layers due to strong summer stratification that inhibits vertical mixing. To address this issue, the present study employed a three-dimensional hydrodynamic–ecosystem model to numerically evaluate the effectiveness of training walls (guiding dikes) at river mouths in enhancing vertical mixing and improving bottom-layer oxygenation. Simulations revealed that the installation of guiding dikes significantly altered horizontal advection and promoted vertical mixing, particularly during winter, when weakened stratification allowed snowmelt inflows to sink along the dikes. As a result, local increases in dissolved oxygen concentrations of up to 0.4 mg/L were observed in the bottom layer. These findings demonstrate that guiding dikes can effectively improve oxygen supply to hypoxic zones, especially during periods of low stratification, providing a promising strategy for lake management in temperate regions experiencing seasonal snowmelt. Full article

The Niland Moving Mud Spring, located near the southeastern margin of the Salton Sea, represents a rare and evolving geotechnical hazard. Unlike the typically stationary mud pots of the Salton Trough, this spring is a CO₂-driven mud spring that has migrated southwestward since 2016, at times exceeding 3 m per month, posing threats to critical infrastructure including rail lines, highways, and pipelines. Emergency mitigation efforts initiated in 2018, including decompression wells, containment berms, and route realignments, have since slowed and recently almost halted its movement and growth. This study integrates hydrochemical, temperature, stable isotope, and tritium data to propose a refined conceptual model of the Moving Mud Spring’s origin and migration. Temperature data from the Moving Mud Spring (26.5 °C to 28.3 °C) and elevated but non-geothermal total dissolved solids (~18,000 mg/L) suggest a shallow, thermally buffered groundwater source influenced by interaction with saline lacustrine sediments. Stable water isotope data follow an evaporative trajectory consistent with imported Colorado River water, while tritium concentrations (~5 TU) confirm a modern recharge source. These findings rule out deep geothermal or residual floodwater origins from the great “1906 flood”, and instead implicate more recent irrigation seepage or canal leakage as the primary water source. A key external forcing may be the 4.1 m drop in Salton Sea water level between 2003 and 2025, which has modified regional groundwater hydraulic head gradients. This recession likely enhanced lateral groundwater flow from the Moving Mud Spring area, potentially facilitating the migration of upwelling geothermal gases and contributing to spring movement. No faults or structural features reportedly align with the spring’s trajectory, and most major fault systems trend perpendicular to its movement. The hydrologically driven model proposed in this paper, linked to Salton Sea water level decline and correlated with the direction, rate, and timing of the spring’s migration, offers a new empirical explanation for the observed movement of the Niland Moving Mud Spring. Full article