1. Introduction
The aviation sector contributes to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, producing 2–3% of global carbon dioxide (
) [
1] and 2–5% of total anthropogenic GHGs [
2,
3,
4], including
, nitrous oxides and methane (
) [
5,
6]. These emissions are apparently linked with global warming through radiative forcing, aviation-induced cloudiness, such as contrails, etc. [
1,
7,
8]. While aviation’s global impact is relatively small, its regional effects on air pollution can rival those of ground transportation, affecting public health [
9,
10].
Aviation’s heavy reliance on fossil fuels challenges the sector’s sustainability. Rising demand, geopolitical conflicts, such as the 2022 Ukraine War, and supply shortages have driven up fuel prices, creating an energy crisis [
11]. Despite modern aircraft being 75–80% more fuel-efficient than those of 50 years ago [
3,
12], projected air traffic growth of 4.3% annually over the next 20 years [
13] will lead to increased fuel consumption and a corresponding 4% rise in emissions [
4].
There is thus need to explore new, alternative fuels. International agreements, like the Paris Agreement, and industrial strategies, such as the European Green Deal, aim to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050, requiring annual
emission reductions of 4–8% [
12,
14]. These initiatives call for significant investments in alternative aviation fuels, fuel-efficient technologies and infrastructures to meet these goals [
12,
15].
Out of the above pathways, this study focuses on alternative aviation fuels and specifically non drop-in fuels, namely fuels that, due to their dissimilar properties (heating value, atomization, density, etc.) compared to conventional jet fuel, require alterations on the fuel delivery systems, fuel tanks, injectors and other infrastructure. According to the road-map towards carbon neutrality [
1,
12], non-drop in fuels, such as Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG), are placed as a mid-term solution, while liquefied hydrogen and battery-assisted flight finally dominate in the long term [
6,
16]. The near-term solution of bioenergy-derived kerosene (also known as bio-kerosene) is credited with the ability to decrease net
emissions up to
within its life-cycle [
1,
2,
3,
11] and is already certified for use on commercial flights when blended with fossil kerosene [
11,
15,
17,
18]. A comparison between the more technologically mature bio-kerosene and non drop-in fuels would hold more interest from a techno-economic or life-cycle perspective. However, this falls outside the scope of the current research, which focuses on evaluating non-drop-in fuels in current aero-engines and advancing the corresponding simulation methods required to achieve this.
A recent study [
19] tackles the integration of LNG in aviation by evaluating the mission of retrofitted aircraft, so as assess the trade-offs between energy consumption and
emission per range unit by taking into account only its different heating value, density and pre-calculated Emission Indexes (EIs). Another approach [
20] extends even further by re-designing the engine cycle according to aircraft thrust requirements and running an aircraft mission analysis for a plethora of alternative fuels, representing each main fuel family (i.e., methane for alkanes, butanol for alcohols, bio-kerosene for drop-in SAFs, etc.). A different approach [
21] suggests, via simulation, a novel propulsion system of a turbofan coupled with a fuel cell to power the aircraft’s auxiliary power unit in order to evaluate performance enhancement and
reductions, with respect to only the design operating conditions when utilizing non-drop-in fuels including hydrogen, methane, methanol, ethanol, dimethyl ether and their blends.
LNG offers several advantages and drawbacks as an aviation fuel. One of its key benefits is its ability to generate about 20% less
emissions for the same heat output compared to conventional jet fuel. It is also economically feasible when derived from fossil sources due to the vast natural gas reserves and low production costs, making it a viable alternative aviation fuel [
1,
19]. Additionally, LNG has a higher specific energy density, leading to reduced fuel consumption. However, LNG has notable drawbacks. Its low volumetric energy density necessitates larger storage tanks, which is challenging in the limited space available on aircraft. Significant infrastructure investments are required for airports, including LNG storage tanks, liquefaction facilities, and refueling pipelines. LNG’s reactive nature also introduces safety concerns, particularly in crash scenarios. Furthermore, using LNG increases the aircraft’s tank weight and drag, leading to a 7–10% rise in energy consumption according to respective literature [
19].
MeOH, on the other hand, is one of the most commonly produced chemicals with a broad range of applications [
22]. While it is not widely used directly as aviation fuel, it mostly serves as feedstock to produce synthetic kerosene [
1]. MeOH can be synthesized from fossil sources or biogenic materials, offering potential life-cycle
reduction, depending on the methods used for hydrogen production and
sourcing [
1,
22,
23]. Combustion of MeOH emits 5.5% less
than kerosene for the same energy output while offering significant emission reduction potential such as
by 75–90% and particulate matter emissions by 50% in certain applications [
10,
24,
25]. Its high vaporization heat also lowers the post-combustion temperature of a gas turbine powerplant, reducing thermal
formation and potentially enhancing turbine lifespan [
24,
25]. Despite these advantages, MeOH has several drawbacks. Its low specific energy density requires approximately twice more fuel mass flow compared to kerosene for the same net thrust which, when coupled with its low volumetric energy density, causes increased size and weight requirements for the aircraft, engine and wings, making the aircraft mission much more energy consuming [
1]. Retrofitting propulsion systems for MeOH use requires specialized injectors and more energy-intensive pumps to handle the increased fuel workload and compensate for methanol’s low lubricating properties [
22,
23,
25]. Therefore, is a highly toxic and corrosive fuel, which necessitates the use of specialized storage containers and strict safety measures for its handling. Furthermore, methanol is only poorly miscible with kerosene, making it unsuitable for blending [
25]. While MeOH shows promise in reducing emissions, its usefulness in aviation remains under-explored, and further research is needed to fully assess its potential.
While the aforementioned computational studies provide valuable insights into the integration of non drop-in fuels, they assume that the combustion process remains unaffected by changes in engine design or fuel type. To evaluate emissions within the design space, these studies rely on either fixed Emission Indices (EIs) or simple (one-reaction) stoichiometric calculations, neglecting potential fluctuations in combustion efficiency. As a result, they are unable to fully quantify key aviation pollutants such as
,
and
, leaving gaps in understanding the environmental impacts of such fuels. Other studies [
26,
27,
28,
29,
30] focus on accurately predicting combustion and post-combustion properties (e.g., emissions, ignition delay time, flame speed) of alternative fuels by employing state-of-the-art physics-based tools using detailed chemical and thermodynamic calculations. Addressing this gap, the current study proposes integrating advanced 0-D turbomachinery component models [
31] with a physics-based Chemical Reactor Network (CRN) model for isobaric gas turbine combustors [
30] within a unified simulation framework. This framework ensures transparency, seamless intercommunication between tools, and ease of use. The proposed model is applied to evaluate the performance and emission characteristics of a modern Geared Turbofan (GTF) engine powered by two liquid non-drop-in fuels: LNG and methanol (MeOH).
The engine model developed in this study is first applied and adapted to the layout of a current generation GTF. Once validated, the adapted model is used to simulate the performance of the aforementioned non-drop-in fuels. Initial simulations assume the same output thrust conditions as those of the engine’s baseline Jet-A operating conditions. Subsequently, simulations are performed under set turbine inlet temperature (TIT) conditions matching the baseline, thereby expanding our understanding of the engine’s operating limits and its associated emissions. Finally, a real mission scenario within the operational scope of the studied engine is simulated to demonstrate that the advantages of these fuels persist under actual flight objectives and constraints.
4. LNG and MeOH Evaluation
The calibrated GTF model is employed to evaluate the use of MeOH and LNG on the engine in question. Each fuel has physical and chemical properties that differentiate it significantly from typical jet fuel as shown in
Table 1, those most concerning this work being Lower Heating Value (LHV) and latent vaporization heat.
Table 1.
Properties of simulated fuels.
Table 1.
Properties of simulated fuels.
Properties | Jet-A | LNG | MeOH |
---|
Chemical formula | * | , , | |
Density [kg/m3] | 775–840 (at 15 °C) | 420–470 (at −160 °C) | 798 (at 15 °C) |
Lower heating value [MJ/kg] | 42.8–43.2 | 48–55 | 20.09 |
Latent heat of vaporization [kJ/kg] | 250 | 510 | 1100 |
Freezing point [°C] | −47 | −182.2 | −97.6 |
Autoignition Temperature [°C] | 255 | 535 | 465 |
Min. Autoignition Energy [MJ] | 0.25–0.4 | 0.28–0.30 | 0.21 |
Given that both alternative fuels have lower carbon content and higher vaporization heats than Jet-A, they are anticipated to reduce the cycle maximum temperature and the overall engine emissions for the same thrust level attained with Jet-A; set-. Also, compared to Jet-A, LNG’s higher LHV implores a decrease in fuel flow, while MeOH’s lower LHV indicates the opposite. This initial evaluation involves comparisons of fuel consumption, Turbine Inlet Temperature (TIT), rotational speed (N) and emission results (including both EI and LTO calculations). Furthermore, variations of the cycle temperature, pressure and core airflow per station for each fuel are analyzed to better understand their overall impact on engine performance. The set-thrust approach evaluates the ability of the studied fuels to meet the propulsive requirements of the current aircraft design, thus assuming their conceptual application in the current aircraft fleet.
Subsequently, the LNG and MeOH are evaluated and compared in the same manner, but this time under the assumption that the same TIT as the baseline Jet-A operation is maintained. This analysis, referred as set-TIT approach, serves to enhance our understanding of the expansion of current technological capabilities of aero-engines when fueled by LNG or MeOH. It assumes that retrofitting requirements for such fuels affects the propulsive needs of the existing fleet [
1,
19]. Thus, this analysis opts to provide insights into the adaptability of current engine technology to alternative fuels.
In both evaluations, it is assumed that the CRN burner model configuration remains the same according to the adaptation process followed in
Section 2.3, meaning that the zones of the model are expected to operate at the adapted
conditions, regardless of the fuel used. This assumption is based on the premise that the TalonX operation remains consistent and adapts to the new fuels in a similar manner as it does to Jet-A, given that no specific information is provided for the burner for LNG or MeOH-powered operation.
4.1. Set-Thrust Operation
The set-
condition denotes the possibility of operating current engines using LNG or MeOH with minimized changes in the engine cycle and aircraft infrastructure, assuming alterations be limited to the aircraft’s fuel storage and supply systems. Thereby, the set-
approach constitutes a more conservative alternative fuel evaluation scenario. The main thermodynamic and emission parameters yielded from this analysis are shown in
Table 2.
For the same thrust, LNG fuel consumption drops by approximately 12%, while MeOH produces a fuel flow increase by 105%, a finding also observed in [
19,
24,
25]. TIT is lowered for both fuels, yet the greatest decrease of 2.5–4% is observed for MeOH. Both aforementioned trends are visualized in
Figure 9. As stated above, the heat of vaporization, being greater than Jet-A in both fuels, causes the TIT drop, thus indicating the potential of improving the engine life expectancy. Yet the cooling advantage of MeOH lies also in its lower LHV, which causes more fuel mass to be injected into the burner, which in turn requires even more heat to ignite.
The decrease in all post-combustion temperatures (Stations 4, 45, 5) caused by both fuels can be observed also in
Figure 10, where the covered cycle parameter variations relative to GTF/Jet-A operation are displayed, yet only for the Take-Off and Idle (Id) modes, given that they constitute the boundaries of possible variation.
Figure 10 shows the aforementioned total mass-flow differentiation induced by each fuel due to their heating properties. Since the rotational speeds of both the high and low pressure spools remain virtually unchanged (see
Table 2), the relatively minor variations in the engine’s baseline total pressure profiles are reasonable.
Regarding the EIs covered in
Table 2, both fuels severely reduce emissions for the same thrust setting. Examining only the EIs indicates that MeOH shows a clear advantage over LNG when it comes to curbing of pollutant emissions. Yet when analyzed as part of the engine LTO cycle for each fuel, the results differ, because the variation of
and the time of each phase play a significant factor as well, according to Equation (
2). The increase in fuel consumption of MeOH, presented in
Table 2, plays a significant factor in the LTO emitted mass of pollutants shown in
Figure 11. Specifically, the
reduction potential of LNG is about 21%, while MeOH’s potential amounts to 10%, always relative to the GTF/JetA results of the model, presented in
Figure 8. In contrast, MeOH clearly displays the capability to reduce LTO
by 64%, thus overcoming the LNG’s potential of 48%, proving that when it comes to
the EI reduction prevails over the increase in fuel flow. The emitted mass of LTO
remains practically the same for both fuels.
4.2. Set-TIT Operation
Having shown that the GTF can produce the desired thrust using MeOH and LNG while reducing post-combustion temperatures, the potential for producing more thrust than the Jet-A operation comes into question. More importantly, the thrust-increasing potential is expected [
24,
25] and should be quantified for the current aero-engine, along with assessing its influence on emission and other cycle parameters. The results of the evaluation approach in question for LNG and MeOH are displayed in
Table 3 (the baseline Jet-A operation is the one shown in
Table 2). Idle is excluded from this analysis, as there is no practical need for additional
for this operating regime.
The initial research enquiry of this work is answered for both fuels and is visualized in
Figure 12. LNG is capable of increasing net thrust by 3.5% for TO to 5% for Climb (Cl) operation, while still consuming 8–7% less fuel mass than Jet-A, respectively. Furthermore, MeOH can boost net thrust by up to 10% during TO and 15% during Cl while also leading to a 132–138% increase in fuel consumption, respectively.
By further examining the cycle parameter variations in the TO and Cl modes displayed in
Figure 13, the cycle parameter trends are similar for both fuels but more emphatic for MeOH. It can be deduced that both fuels lead to a significant increase in core airflow (2–10%) before combustion, indicating that more air is drawn into the engine’s intake. This is accompanied by a rise in the overall pressure ratio (OPR) and the expected temperature increases at Stations 25 and 3. The resulting increase in the load on the compressor components, which is primarily responsible for the thrust augmentation, may necessitate modifications to the compressor block, such as a proportional increase in size. This is also expected to result in an increase in engine dry weight, a conclusion similarly highlighted in [
1] for ethanol, a closely related but distinct alternative aviation fuel. For both fuel types, the additional fuel required to meet the set-TIT condition results in a 1–6% increase in rotational speed, as shown in
Figure 14. This change in power plant operation reasserts the previous statement as higher rotational speeds could negatively impact engine lifespan and should be thoroughly assessed. Also, the increased
(see
Figure 12) causes exhaust gases with greater specific heat capacities to pass through the turbine [
20]. This in turn leads more energy to be recuperated from the turbines and transferred to the compressors working at greater speeds, thus causing airflow and compression ratio to increase. This trend applies to both fuels across all studied modes but is more pronounced for MeOH, particularly during Cl due to its significant increase in
.
Finally, the emission assessment shows a slightly smaller reduction potential for all studied pollutants from an EI perspective (see
Table 3). Yet, once again, the LTO calculations for
,
and
presented in
Figure 15 indicate otherwise. LNG overall keeps its LTO decreasing ability, though slightly mitigated. It is clear that in the equal-TIT condition, MeOH loses its GHG reduction potential, given that the
emitted mass for MeOH rises by 10% compared to Jet-A, predominately due the greatly increased Idle fuel consumption given that the aircraft spends the most time in that phase. Otherwise, for MeOH, the LTO emitted mass of
remains virtually unchanged, while its
reduction ability remains more potent than LNG.
4.3. Mission Analysis
The selected mission is meant to prove the mere feasibility of LNG- and MeOH-powered flight under simple weight restrictions of current aircraft, not to evaluate the mission-wise operational limits of the studied fuels, engine and aircraft. According to data from Eurocontrol, the average flight distance in Europe for 2019 (pre-pandemic) was 1062 km, while over 80% of flights departing from Europe (EU27 + U.K.) involved distances of up to 2000 km [
41]. Therefore, different fuel scenarios are evaluated on an average real flight scenario from London to Barcelona, with a range of 1109 km. The flight model used to compute the mission parameters as well as the assumptions made for the aircraft weights and retrofitting are discussed in
Appendix D, by explaining the information of
Figure A1. The mission profile specifics and flight route are presented in
Figure A2 of the same Appendix. Additional aircraft data, such as aerodynamic parameters needed for mission analysis, are sourced from Base of Aircraft Data (BADA) [
42].
The proposed GTF model is implemented to predict engine performance during flight by inputting the flight speed, altitude and net-thrust requirements of the mission. The emission evaluation of an aircraft during flight using engine-integrated detailed chemistry models, all executed within the PROOSIS environment, is also an important originality of this work. The mission analysis results are presented in
Table 4 and
Figure 16 and
Figure 17 covering variations in emission, net-thrust, Take-off Weight (TOW), total Fuel Weight (FW) and aircraft weight for each fuel scenario.
As established above, the low LHV of MeOH increases FW by 110% and TOW by 8%, since the payload and OEW remain the same for both fuels. In contrast, LNG reduces FW by 11.5% while increasing slightly TOW by 0.4% due to the increased OEW, which is caused by the LNG tank retrofitting assumption. However, the TOW and FW stay within the maximum allowable limit of 77 and 20 tons, respectively (see
Appendix D), for both alternative fuels. This signifies that the flight with LNG and MeOH remains within the weight restrictions of the A320 for the mission in question.
Additionally, this specific flight scenario, under the assumptions made, grossly falls within the set-
category regardless of the fuel used, as indicated by the thrust time-series in
Figure 17. This demonstrates that, for missions of comparable range, the set-
assumption is viable when evaluating MeOH or LNG for current aircraft. Finally, total
,
and
emissions are all lowered by both fuels as illustrated in Figure misOverall. The trends of
and
EIs in
Figure 17 once again appear to be inversely correlated. This observation is also supported by theory [
38], which predicts a decrease in
and an increase in
during the progression of a typical mission.
5. Discussion
The integration of a CANTERA-based component into the PROOSIS environment represents the primary novelty of this study, enabling aero-engine models to efficiently evaluate a wide range of fuels, provided a corresponding plug-in combustion mechanism is available. This approach eliminates the need to determine fuel-specific thermal properties (e.g., LHV) and combustion efficiency correlations, typically bare minimum requirements for evaluating alternative fuels on a 0-D level. Instead, if the base chemical composition of the fuel is known or approximated, the evaluation process becomes significantly streamlined. Previous studies using PROOSIS relied on correlation methods to predict emission trends and fuel efficiency variations [
31,
33]. In contrast, the proposed model introduces added generality for estimating aero-engine emissions and design-sensitive parameters related to the burner. This added capability is particularly valuable for engine and mission design analyses [
43].
The evaluation of GTF operation fuelled by LNG and MeOH reasserts their literature-covered thrust-production ability within current engine setups coupled with their overall emission reduction potential. Furthermore, this study aims to facilitate the preliminary re-design of existing engines to optimally accommodate alternative fuels, both in terms of emissions and fuel consumption [
30]. This is achieved by employing advanced, generalist burner models rather than the simplistic iterations commonly used in prior studies [
20]. In practice, the GTF-adapted model was verified against corresponding ICAO data for Jet-A operation, demonstrating sufficient fidelity in predicting engine thermodynamic cycle and emissions, particularly for
trends.
Considering the evaluation results of LNG and MeOH, focusing solely on the engine performance independent of its mission area of application, two approaches were adopted: one with a set-thrust equal to the baseline and the other with a set-TIT condition.
Set-thrust evaluation of LNG and MeOH successfully addresses the current propulsive need of the A320neo and produces estimations which are in agreement with previous studies. The results show that both fuels can store enough energy in the working medium to power the turbine and convert the rest into thrust while decreasing its post-combustion temperature and its overall emissions [
10,
19,
20,
24,
25]. This further confirms that both fuels are potentially capable of powering an A320 aircraft with benefits for engine life and emissions, provided the modifications to the fuel supply and storage systems remain within the aircraft’s weight and volume constraints. However, this mission evaluation approach should be further investigated to understand how these fuels are expected to reduce the operational range of the aircraft [
1]. Moreover, the proven decrease in TIT when using such fuels suggests a possible reduction in the need for turbine cooling air bleeds. This opens up additional opportunities for optimization when considering an engine redesign with a set-
objective, as less cooling air bleed could improve overall engine efficiency and performance (through a snowball effect concerning the beneficial effect of bleed lowering to turbine efficiency reducing TIT even further).
The set-TIT approach causes new insights to emerge regarding the impact of LNG and MeOH on the engine cycle and emission profiles. The previously discussed TIT-decrease margin can be forfeited to generate even greater thrust to accommodate the highlighted need of a greater TO thrust due to maximum TOW augmentation caused by either the cryogenic tank configuration for LNG [
19] or by the absolute increase in
for MeOH [
10,
24]. This evaluation strategy achieves extra thrust by increasing fuel consumption, which in turn raises rotational speeds and enhances airflow and the OPR. The additional energy from the increased fuel use is distributed between the turbines and the exhaust jet momentum, both contributing to the thrust gain. However, this shift in operating conditions, moving away from the engine design point, should have a negative rather than a neutral impact on its lifespan. As a result, a redesign of the compressor block is advised to accommodate the higher thermal and energy demands when using LNG or MeOH under a set-TIT operating regime. Therefore, although the set-TIT operation offers a notable yet diminished overall emission reduction potential, it should not be regarded as a viable integration option for the fuels in question. Instead, it highlights the potential benefits of aero-engine redesign in the context of alternative fuels. Engine models such as the one proposed, coupled with multidisciplinary engine design methods, could be crucial for the development of fuel-specific engine re-sizing solutions or even novel configurations, as emphasized by the authors in [
43].
Finally, for the aircraft mission analysis, the proposed engine model is integrated with an in-house flight evaluation tool. Assuming an A320 is retrofitted to run on LNG or MeOH, the analysis demonstrates that using these fuels for an average European mission range is feasible without exceeding the aircraft’s weight restrictions. This is achievable because, although shows a linear relationship with changes in total FW (a slight decrease for LNG and a twofold increase for MeOH), the maximum Take-Off Weight (TOW) remains largely unchanged for LNG and only slightly increases for MeOH. As a result, the net-thrust profile of the mission remains nearly identical for both fuels, confirming that the set- operation is a valid assumption for evaluating alternative fuels, if assumed that no changes are made to the aircraft’s aerodynamic design and that the mission range is within certain limits. Finally, regarding all evaluated emissions, again, both fuels display reduction capabilities, with LNG having an advantage in reducing and , with MeOH showing greater potential for .
6. Conclusions
To conclude, a 0-D GTF model with an integrated detailed chemistry isobaric burner was developed, tested and applied to evaluate two non drop-in fuels, LNG and MeOH. A robust simulation framework combining the PROOSIS v6.2.0 software and a detailed CRN model was successfully coupled to assess the thermodynamic and emission performance of the fuels. The integration of advanced CRN techniques allowed for more detailed analysis of the combustion process, pollutant formation mechanisms and the impact of alternative fuel properties on engine performance. The proposed model provided a detailed and accurate analysis of LNG and MeOH as alternative aviation fuels while even being capable of producing cycle and emission predictions during a simulation of real flight scenario.
LNG stands out as a near-term solution with manageable integration efforts and enhanced emission mitigation and minor cycle improvement abilities in every evaluated scenario. Emission-wise, its LTO reduction potential compared to Jet-A, ranges from 19–21% for , 45–48% for and constant 39% for , depending on the thrust or TIT requirements assumed. Despite its challenges, MeOH demonstrates strong potential as a long-term alternative fuel, offering exceptional post-combustion temperature reduction and reduction capabilities, albeit with increased fuel storage requirements. Cycle-wise MeOH causes fuel mass consumption to increase by 105% while also reducing TIT by an average of 3% under set- operation. Additionally, under set- operation, MeOH holds the ability to increase thrust by 10%. Emission-wise, it is capable of reducing , and LTO emissions by 2–10%, 55–64% and 39%, respectively. Finally, both fuels are capable of carrying out an average European mission, representing a major area of application for the examined engine while also mitigating the overall emission footprint of the aircraft, in accordance with aforementioned numerical results. Yet no conclusions should be drawn regarding the current profitability of the evaluated alternative fuels in aviation.
Future research on alternative fuel integration in aviation should focus on expanding this work by integrating the proposed models within multidisciplinary preliminary engine design methods, enabling optimization with respect to performance, engine life and emissions. The focus should be on optimizing aero-engines by addressing the unique challenges associated with each fuel type while leveraging their respective advantages. This approach requires the integration of state-of-the-art 0-D engine models which incorporate detailed chemistry for combustor modeling, such as the one proposed. This would allow for more tailored solutions, enhancing the performance and efficiency of engines powered by alternative fuels.
Last but not least, to fully evaluate the viability of LNG and MeOH integration in the aviation industry, future research should include a more in-depth critical analysis of logistical and economic issues, such as fuel supply infrastructure, required aircraft and engine modifications and cost and risk assessment of these non-drop-in fuels. For example, the impact of LNG or methanol on mission range limits should be addressed in future work concerning this topic. Nevertheless, the computational tools developed in this work should serve as a valuable asset in undertaking such analyses. Demonstrating the advantages of these alternative fuels over the baseline performance of current engines is essential to justify the industry’s investment in their costly integration.