Studies on Modeling and Forecasting Macroeconomic Indicators in the European Union

A special issue of Economies (ISSN 2227-7099).

Deadline for manuscript submissions: 30 September 2025 | Viewed by 957

Special Issue Editor


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Department of Accounting and Finance, University of Western Macedonia, Kozani Campus, Kila, 50100 Kozani, Greece
Interests: econometrics; applied economics; macroeconomics; time series
Special Issues, Collections and Topics in MDPI journals

Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

This Special Issue on “Studies on Modeling and Forecasting Macroeconomic Indicators in the European Union” aims to test, compare, and quantify different macroeconomic theories as well as generate economic forecasts. The empirical evidence suggests that macroeconomic modeling is essential to economic policy in the EU as it provides a quantitative framework for macroeconomic forecasts, describes a framework for the analysis of past and future macroeconomic policy issues, and provides a relevant comparison between macroeconomic theory and empirical results.

Prof. Dr. Chaido Dritsaki
Guest Editor

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Keywords

  • macroeconomic forecasts in the EU
  • macroeconomic modeling in accession countries
  • forecasting
  • macroeconomic indicators
  • machine learning
  • linear and nonlinear models
  • economic policy in the EU
  • eurozone and non-eurozone countries

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Published Papers (1 paper)

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Research

22 pages, 2132 KiB  
Article
A Comparative Analysis of the Calibrated DSGE Model and SSA Method Results on the Latvian Economy
by Sergejs Hilkevics and Valentina Semakina
Economies 2025, 13(4), 94; https://doi.org/10.3390/economies13040094 - 29 Mar 2025
Viewed by 254
Abstract
This article examines the theoretical foundations of economic forecasting based on DSGE models. DSGE models are the main direction of contemporary macroeconomics theory—the inclusion of the stochastic processes and expectations of economic agents in the analysis of economic processes made them one of [...] Read more.
This article examines the theoretical foundations of economic forecasting based on DSGE models. DSGE models are the main direction of contemporary macroeconomics theory—the inclusion of the stochastic processes and expectations of economic agents in the analysis of economic processes made them one of the best economic forecasting tools. The methodological basis of this paper is two approaches of economic forecasting theory: technical analysis and fundamental analysis. In this article, we have performed the calibration of the DSGE model with investment adjustment costs for the Latvian economy and compared these results with the statistical data filtered with the SSA method. Key results have shown the ability of both approaches to capture the dynamics of the main Latvian macroeconomic indicators. Full article
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