Advances in Information Theory, Data Assimilation and Stochastics for Dynamical Systems

A special issue of Mathematics (ISSN 2227-7390). This special issue belongs to the section "Mathematics and Computer Science".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: 31 May 2025 | Viewed by 63

Special Issue Editor


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Guest Editor
1. Department of Mathematics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
2. The Alan Turing Institute for Data Science, London, UK
Interests: information theory and stochastics for uncertainty quantification in prediction of partially observed dynamical systems; stochastic filtering and data assimilation in high-dimensional dynamical systems; information geometry and mathemamtical foundations of machine learning
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Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

Accurate and robust dynamical predictions of nonlinear, multi-scale and/or high-dimensional dynamical systems are invariably crucial in many theoretical and operational settings. Despite the widespread use and many successes of physics-informed neural networks, the fundamental problem of sensitivity to the initial condition in the dynamical prediction of complex dynamics cannot be overcome using any dynamical model alone. The need for data assimilation in dynamic predictions has been recognised long ago. However, it has proven difficult to derive DA techniques for nonlinear dynamics that would be capable of providing reliable estimates of the state and error statistics/uncertainty quantification beyond idealised bounds regarding the asymptotic accuracy of point estimates. For example, currently available methods that can operate in high dimension (e.g. the Ensemble Kalman filter or 3DVar/4DVar) are based on ad-hoc approximations and provide only point estimates for the state and no meaningful error statistics. State estimation based on the dynamical model and partial noisy stream of observations is always associated with loss of information about the true state. Importantly, stochastic filtering/data assimilation can be viewed as a problem that is ‘dual’ to the coding problem in information theory, where one can modify the properties of a DA algorithm (noisy channel) given the input signal, as opposed to devising an encoder of the signal for a given noisy channel.  It turns out that this duality provides fascinating systematic links between stochastic filtering/data assimilation and information theory/information geometry, where rate-distortion theory and reduced-order stochastic modelling contribute to the improved theoretical understanding and development of novel DA techniques.   

This Special Issue on "Advances in Information Theory, Data Assimilation and Stochastics for Dynamical Systems" will serve as a locus for gathering recent theoretical developments and applications on the interface between these three topical themes. We invite both theory- and application-focused research articles, as well as a small number of review style works, to make this Special Issue a relatively self-contained and timely contribution to this rapidly evolving subject.  

Dr. Michal Branicki
Guest Editor

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Keywords

  • stochastic filtering
  • stochastic control
  • data assimilation
  • information theory and information geometry
  • reduced-order modelling
  • stochastic parameterisations
  • rate-distortion theory

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