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Keywords = Bayesian optimization (BO)

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26 pages, 9181 KB  
Article
A Multialgorithm-Optimized CNN Framework for Remote Sensing Retrieval of Coastal Water Quality Parameters in Coastal Waters
by Qingchun Guan, Xiaoxue Tang, Chengyang Guan, Yongxiang Chi, Longkun Zhang, Peijia Ji and Kehao Guo
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(3), 457; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18030457 - 1 Feb 2026
Viewed by 271
Abstract
Coastal waters worldwide are increasingly threatened by excessive nutrient inputs, a key driver of eutrophication. Dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN) serves as a vital indicator for assessing the eutrophic status of nearshore marine environments, underscoring the necessity for precise monitoring to ensure effective protection [...] Read more.
Coastal waters worldwide are increasingly threatened by excessive nutrient inputs, a key driver of eutrophication. Dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN) serves as a vital indicator for assessing the eutrophic status of nearshore marine environments, underscoring the necessity for precise monitoring to ensure effective protection and restoration of marine ecosystems. To address the current limitations in DIN retrieval methods, this study builds on MODIS satellite imagery data and introduces a novel one-dimensional convolutional neural network (1D-CNN) model synergistically co-optimized by the Bald Eagle Search (BES) and Bayesian Optimization (BO) algorithms. The proposed BES-BO-CNN framework was applied to the retrieval of DIN concentrations in the coastal waters of Shandong Province from 2015 to 2024. Based on the retrieval results, we further investigated the spatiotemporal evolution patterns and dominant environmental drivers. The findings demonstrated that (1) the BES-BO-CNN model substantially outperforms conventional approaches, with the coefficient of determination (R2) reaching 0.81; (2) the ten-year reconstruction reveals distinct land–sea gradient patterns and seasonal variations in DIN concentrations, with the Yellow River Estuary persistently exhibiting elevated levels due to terrestrial inputs; (3) correlation analysis indicated that DIN is significantly negatively correlated with sea surface temperature but positively correlated with sea level pressure. In summary, the proposed BES-BO-CNN framework, via the synergistic optimization of multiple algorithms, enables high-precision DIN monitoring, thus providing scientific support for integrated land–sea management and targeted control of nitrogen pollution in coastal waters. Full article
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20 pages, 1476 KB  
Article
AI-Assisted Bayesian Optimization of a Permanent Magnet Synchronous Motor for E-Bike Applications
by Mohammed Abdeldjabar Guesmia, Chuan Pham, Ya-Jun Pan, Kim Khoa Nguyen, Kamal Al-Haddad and Qingsong Wang
Machines 2026, 14(2), 160; https://doi.org/10.3390/machines14020160 - 1 Feb 2026
Viewed by 182
Abstract
This paper presents an artificial intelligence (AI)-assisted multi-objective topology optimization of a 48 V interior permanent magnet synchronous motor (PMSM) intended for mid-drive e-bike applications. The machine features a 48-slot, 8-pole stator–rotor combination with Δ-shaped three buried magnets per pole, and is [...] Read more.
This paper presents an artificial intelligence (AI)-assisted multi-objective topology optimization of a 48 V interior permanent magnet synchronous motor (PMSM) intended for mid-drive e-bike applications. The machine features a 48-slot, 8-pole stator–rotor combination with Δ-shaped three buried magnets per pole, and is coupled to a multi-stage gearbox that adapts its high-speed, low-torque output to a human-scale crank speed. The design problem simultaneously maximizes average torque and efficiency while minimizing torque ripple by varying key stator slot dimensions and magnet geometries. A modular MATLAB–ANSYS Maxwell framework is developed in which finite element simulations are driven by a Bayesian optimization (BO) loop augmented by a large language model (LLM) with retrieval-augmented generation (RAG). The LLM acts as a memory-based agent that proposes candidates, shapes Gaussian Process priors, and incorporates natural language rules expressing qualitative design knowledge. Two AI-assisted trials are compared against a multi-objective Artificial Hummingbird Algorithm benchmark, RAG + BO with and without natural language input. All three methods converge to a similar Pareto region with average torque around 5.4–5.7 Nm, torque ripple of approximately 12.8–14.2%, and efficiency near 93.3–93.6%, suitable for geared e-bike drives. The LLM-guided trial achieves this performance with a 20.1% reduction in simulation expenses relative to the BO baseline and by about 48% compared to the Artificial Hummingbird Algorithm. The results demonstrate that integrating LLM guidance into Bayesian optimization improves sample efficiency while providing interpretable design trends for PMSM topologies tailored for light electric vehicles. Full article
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18 pages, 775 KB  
Article
Tuning Deep Learning for Predicting Aluminum Prices Under Different Sampling: Bayesian Optimization Versus Random Search
by Alicia Estefania Antonio Figueroa and Salim Lahmiri
Entropy 2026, 28(2), 145; https://doi.org/10.3390/e28020145 - 28 Jan 2026
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 206
Abstract
This work implements deep learning models to capture non-linear and complex data behavior in aluminum price data. Deep learning models include the long short-term memory (LSTM) and deep feedforward neural networks (FFNN). The support vector regression (SVR) is employed as a base model [...] Read more.
This work implements deep learning models to capture non-linear and complex data behavior in aluminum price data. Deep learning models include the long short-term memory (LSTM) and deep feedforward neural networks (FFNN). The support vector regression (SVR) is employed as a base model for comparison. Each predictive model is tuned by using two different optimization methods: Bayesian optimization (BO) and random search (RS). All models are tested on daily, weekly, and monthly data. Three performance metrics are used to evaluate each forecasting model: the root mean squared error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and the coefficient of determination (R2). The experimental results show that the LSTM-BO is the best-performing model across the time horizons (daily, weekly, and monthly). By consistently achieving the lowest RMSE, MAE, and highest R2, the LSTM-BO outperformed all the other models, including SVR-BO, FFNN-BO, LSTM-RS, SVR-RS, and FFNN-RS. In addition, predictive models utilizing BO regularly outperformed those using RS. In summary, LSTM-BO is highly beneficial for aluminum spot price forecasting. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Multidisciplinary Applications)
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20 pages, 3651 KB  
Article
Sensitivity Analysis of Process Parameters on Deposition Quality and Multi-Objective Prediction in Ion-Assisted Electron Beam Evaporation of Ta2O5 Films
by Yaowei Wei, Jianchong Li, Wenze Ma, Hongqin Lei, Fei Zhang, Zhenfei Luo, Henan Liu, Xianghui Huang, Linjie Zhao and Mingjun Chen
Micromachines 2026, 17(2), 166; https://doi.org/10.3390/mi17020166 - 27 Jan 2026
Viewed by 152
Abstract
Tantalum pentoxide (Ta2O5) films deposited on fused silica substrates are critical components of high-power laser systems. Ion-assisted electron beam evaporation (IAD-EBE) is the mainstream technique for fabricating Ta2O5 films. However, it commonly requires extensive experimental efforts [...] Read more.
Tantalum pentoxide (Ta2O5) films deposited on fused silica substrates are critical components of high-power laser systems. Ion-assisted electron beam evaporation (IAD-EBE) is the mainstream technique for fabricating Ta2O5 films. However, it commonly requires extensive experimental efforts for deposition quality optimization, while each coating cycle is extremely time-consuming. To solve this issue, this work establishes a dataset targeting the surface roughness (Rq) and refractive index (n) of Ta2O5 films using atomic force microscopy, as well as ellipsometer and deposition experiments. Influence of assisting ion source beam voltage (V)/current (I) and Ar (Q1)/O2 (Q2) flow rate on the n and Rq of Ta2O5 films are analyzed. Combining energy-field mechanism analysis with a Bayesian optimization approach (PI-BO), both deposition quality prediction and feature analysis of process parameters are achieved. The determination coefficient/mean absolute error for the prediction models of n and Rq reach 0.927/0.013 nm and 0.821/0.049 nm, respectively. Based on sensitivity analysis, the weight factors of V, I, Q1, and Q2 affecting n/Rq of Ta2O5 films are determined to be 0.616/0.274, 0.199/0.144, 0.113/0.582, and 0.072/0.000. V and Q2 are identified as the core factors for regulating deposition quality. The optimal ranges for V and Q2 are 600~700 V and 70~80 sccm, respectively. This study proposes a PI-BO method for predicting Rq and n of Ta2O5 films under small-data conditions, while determining the preferred parameter ranges and their sensitivity weight factors. These findings provide effective theoretical support and technical guidance for IAD-EBE strategy design and optimization of optical films in high-power laser systems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Digital Manufacturing and Nano Fabrication)
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15 pages, 2093 KB  
Article
Coupling Bayesian Optimization with Generalized Linear Mixed Models for Managing Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Sediment PFAS
by Fatih Evrendilek, Macy Hannan and Gulsun Akdemir Evrendilek
Processes 2026, 14(3), 413; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr14030413 - 24 Jan 2026
Viewed by 176
Abstract
Conventional descriptive statistical approaches in per- and polyfluoroalkyl substance (PFAS) environmental forensics often fail under small-sample, ecosystem-level complexity, challenging the optimization of sampling, monitoring, and remediation strategies. This study presents an advance from passive description to adaptive decision-support for complex PFAS contamination. By [...] Read more.
Conventional descriptive statistical approaches in per- and polyfluoroalkyl substance (PFAS) environmental forensics often fail under small-sample, ecosystem-level complexity, challenging the optimization of sampling, monitoring, and remediation strategies. This study presents an advance from passive description to adaptive decision-support for complex PFAS contamination. By integrating Bayesian optimization (BO) via Gaussian Processes (GP) with a Generalized Linear Mixed Model (GLMM), we developed a signal-extraction framework for both understanding and action from limited data (n = 18). The BO/GP model achieved strong predictive performance (GP leave-one-out R2 = 0.807), while the GLMM confirmed significant overdispersion (1.62), indicating a patchy contamination distribution. The integrated analysis suggested a dominant spatiotemporal interaction: a transient, high-intensity perfluorooctane sulfonate (PFOS) plume that peaked at a precise location during early November (the autumn recharge period). Concurrently, the GLMM identified significant intra-sample variance (p = 0.0186), suggesting likely particulate-bound (colloid/sediment) transport, and detected n-ethyl perfluorooctane sulfonamidoacetic acid (NEtFOSAA) as a critical precursor (p < 0.0001), thus providing evidence consistent with the source as historic 3M aqueous film-forming foam. This coupled approach creates a dynamic, iterative decision-support system where signal-based diagnosis informs adaptive optimization, enabling mission-specific actions from targeted remediation to monitoring design. Full article
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22 pages, 3180 KB  
Article
Integrating Blockchain Traceability and Deep Learning for Risk Prediction in Grain and Oil Food Safety
by Hongyi Ge, Kairui Fan, Yuan Zhang, Yuying Jiang, Shun Wang and Zhikun Chen
Foods 2026, 15(2), 407; https://doi.org/10.3390/foods15020407 - 22 Jan 2026
Viewed by 130
Abstract
The quality and safety of grain and oil food are paramount to sustainable societal development and public health. Implementing early warning analysis and risk control is critical for the comprehensive identification and management of grain and oil food safety risks. However, traditional risk [...] Read more.
The quality and safety of grain and oil food are paramount to sustainable societal development and public health. Implementing early warning analysis and risk control is critical for the comprehensive identification and management of grain and oil food safety risks. However, traditional risk prediction models are limited by their inability to accurately analyze complex nonlinear data, while their reliance on centralized storage further undermines prediction credibility and traceability. This study proposes a deep learning risk prediction model integrated with a blockchain-based traceability mechanism. Firstly, a risk prediction model combining Grey Relational Analysis (GRA) and Bayesian-optimized Tabular Neural Network (TabNet-BO) is proposed, enabling precise and rapid fine-grained risk prediction of the data; Secondly, a risk prediction method combining blockchain and deep learning is proposed. This method first completes the prediction interaction with the deep learning model through a smart contract and then records the exceeding data and prediction results on the blockchain to ensure the authenticity and traceability of the data. At the same time, a storage optimization method is employed, where only the exceeding data is uploaded to the blockchain, while the non-exceeding data is encrypted and stored in the local database. Compared with existing models, the proposed model not only effectively enhances the prediction capability for grain and oil food quality and safety but also improves the transparency and credibility of data management. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Food Quality and Safety)
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18 pages, 2601 KB  
Article
Drilling Rate Prediction Based on Bayesian Optimization LSTM Algorithm with Fusion Feature Selection
by Qingchun Meng, Hongchen Song, Di Meng, Xin Liu, Dongjie Li, Xinyong Chen, Yuhao Wei, Chao Zhang, Jiongyu Wei, Yongchao Wu, Mei Kuang, Kai Yang and Meng Li
Processes 2026, 14(2), 274; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr14020274 - 13 Jan 2026
Viewed by 235
Abstract
The Rate of Penetration (ROP), as a core indicator for evaluating drilling efficiency, holds significant importance for optimizing drilling parameter configurations, enhancing drilling efficiency, and reducing operational costs. To address the limitations of existing ROP prediction models—such as difficulties in modeling, solution complexity, [...] Read more.
The Rate of Penetration (ROP), as a core indicator for evaluating drilling efficiency, holds significant importance for optimizing drilling parameter configurations, enhancing drilling efficiency, and reducing operational costs. To address the limitations of existing ROP prediction models—such as difficulties in modeling, solution complexity, and inefficient utilization of field big data—this paper proposes a Bayesian-Optimized LSTM-based ROP prediction model with fused feature selection (BO-LSTM-FS). The model innovatively introduces a sequential-cross-validation fused feature selection framework, which organically integrates Pearson correlation analysis, variance filtering, and mutual information, and incorporates a forward search strategy for final validation. Building on this, the Bayesian optimization algorithm is employed for systematic global optimization of the key hyperparameters of the LSTM neural network. Experimental results demonstrate that the BO-LSTM-FS model achieves significant performance improvements compared to traditional Backpropagation (BP) neural networks, standard LSTM neural networks, and CNN-LSTM models: Mean Absolute Error (MAE) is reduced by 48.0%, 29.3%, and 23.5%, respectively; Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) by 45.5%, 38.5%, and 32.2%, respectively; Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) by 47.8%, 29.4%, and 22.6%, respectively; and the Coefficient of Determination (R2) is increased by 8.6%, 4.4%, and 3.0%, respectively. The model exhibits high prediction accuracy, fast convergence speed, and strong generalization capability, providing a scientific reference for improving the Rate of Penetration in practical drilling operations. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Development of Advanced Drilling Engineering)
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15 pages, 2147 KB  
Article
Machine Learning Prediction and Interpretability Analysis of Coal and Gas Outbursts
by Long Xu, Xiaofeng Ren and Hao Sun
Sustainability 2026, 18(2), 740; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18020740 - 11 Jan 2026
Viewed by 243
Abstract
Coal and gas outbursts constitute a major hazard for mining safety, which is critical for the sustainable development of China’s energy industry. Rapid, accurate, and reliable pre-diction is pivotal for preventing and controlling outburst incidents. Nevertheless, the mechanisms driving coal and gas outbursts [...] Read more.
Coal and gas outbursts constitute a major hazard for mining safety, which is critical for the sustainable development of China’s energy industry. Rapid, accurate, and reliable pre-diction is pivotal for preventing and controlling outburst incidents. Nevertheless, the mechanisms driving coal and gas outbursts involve highly complex influencing factors. Four main geological indicators were identified by examining the attributes of these factors and their association to outburst intensity. This study developed a machine learning-based prediction model for outburst risk. Five algorithms were evaluated: K Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Back Propagation (BP), Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost). Model optimization was performed via Bayesian hyperparameter (BO) tuning. Model performance was assessed by the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve; the optimized XGBoost model demonstrated strong predictive performance. To enhance model transparency and interpretability, the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method was implemented. The SHAP analysis identified geological structure was the most important predictive feature, providing a practical decision support tool for mine executives to prevent and control outburst incidents. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Hazards and Sustainability)
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25 pages, 4490 KB  
Article
A Bi-Level Intelligent Control Framework Integrating Deep Reinforcement Learning and Bayesian Optimization for Multi-Objective Adaptive Scheduling in Opto-Mechanical Automated Manufacturing
by Lingyu Yin, Zhenhua Fang, Kaicen Li, Jing Chen, Naiji Fan and Mengyang Li
Appl. Sci. 2026, 16(2), 732; https://doi.org/10.3390/app16020732 - 10 Jan 2026
Viewed by 262
Abstract
The opto-mechanical automated manufacturing process, characterized by stringent process constraints, dynamic disturbances, and conflicting optimization objectives, presents significant control challenges for traditional scheduling and control approaches. We formulate the scheduling problem within a closed-loop control paradigm and propose a novel bi-level intelligent control [...] Read more.
The opto-mechanical automated manufacturing process, characterized by stringent process constraints, dynamic disturbances, and conflicting optimization objectives, presents significant control challenges for traditional scheduling and control approaches. We formulate the scheduling problem within a closed-loop control paradigm and propose a novel bi-level intelligent control framework integrating Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) and Bayesian Optimization (BO). The core of our approach is a bi-level intelligent control framework. An inner DRL agent acts as an adaptive controller, generating control actions (scheduling decisions) by perceiving the system state and learning a near-optimal policy through a carefully designed reward function, while an outer BO loop automatically tunes the DRL’s hyperparameters and reward weights for superior performance. This synergistic BO-DRL mechanism facilitates intelligent and adaptive decision-making. The proposed method is extensively evaluated against standard meta-heuristics, including Genetic Algorithm (GA) and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), on a complex 20-jobs × 20-machines flexible job shop scheduling benchmark specific to opto-mechanical automated manufacturing. The experimental results demonstrate that our BO-DRL algorithm significantly outperforms these benchmarks, achieving reductions in makespan of 13.37% and 25.51% compared to GA and PSO, respectively, alongside higher machine utilization and better on-time delivery. Furthermore, the algorithm exhibits enhanced convergence speed, superior robustness under dynamic disruptions (e.g., machine failures, urgent orders), and excellent scalability to larger problem instances. This study confirms that integrating DRL’s perceptual decision-making capability with BO’s efficient parameter optimization yields a powerful and effective solution for intelligent scheduling in high-precision manufacturing environments. Full article
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23 pages, 2112 KB  
Article
An Adaptive Compression Method for Lightweight AI Models of Edge Nodes in Customized Production
by Chun Jiang, Mingxin Hou and Hongxuan Wang
Sensors 2026, 26(2), 383; https://doi.org/10.3390/s26020383 - 7 Jan 2026
Viewed by 536
Abstract
In customized production environments featuring multi-task parallelism, the efficient adaptability of edge intelligent models is essential for ensuring the stable operation of production lines. However, rapidly generating deployable lightweight models under conditions of frequent task changes and constrained hardware resources remains a major [...] Read more.
In customized production environments featuring multi-task parallelism, the efficient adaptability of edge intelligent models is essential for ensuring the stable operation of production lines. However, rapidly generating deployable lightweight models under conditions of frequent task changes and constrained hardware resources remains a major challenge for current edge intelligence applications. This paper proposes an adaptive lightweight artificial intelligence (AI) model compression method for edge nodes in customized production lines to overcome the limited transferability and insufficient flexibility of traditional static compression approaches. First, a task requirement analysis model is constructed based on accuracy, latency, and power-consumption demands associated with different production tasks. Then, the hardware information of edge nodes is structurally characterized. Subsequently, a compression-strategy candidate pool is established, and an adaptive decision engine integrating ensemble reinforcement learning (RL) and Bayesian optimization (BO) is introduced. Finally, through an iterative optimization mechanism, compression ratios are dynamically adjusted using real-time feedback of inference latency, memory usage, and recognition accuracy, thereby continuously enhancing model performance in edge environments. Experimental results demonstrate that, in typical object-recognition tasks, the lightweight models generated by the proposed method significantly improve inference efficiency while maintaining high accuracy, outperforming conventional fixed compression strategies and validating the effectiveness of the proposed approach in adaptive capability and edge-deployment performance. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Artificial Intelligence and Edge Computing in IoT-Based Applications)
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21 pages, 2522 KB  
Article
Integrating SVR Optimization and Machine Learning-Based Feature Importance for TBM Penetration Rate Prediction
by Halil Karahan and Devrim Alkaya
Appl. Sci. 2026, 16(1), 355; https://doi.org/10.3390/app16010355 - 29 Dec 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 582
Abstract
In this study, a Support Vector Regression (SVR) model was developed to predict the rate of penetration (ROP) during tunnel excavation, and its hyperparameters were optimized using Grid Search (GS), Random Search (RS), and Bayesian Optimization (BO). The results indicate that BO reached [...] Read more.
In this study, a Support Vector Regression (SVR) model was developed to predict the rate of penetration (ROP) during tunnel excavation, and its hyperparameters were optimized using Grid Search (GS), Random Search (RS), and Bayesian Optimization (BO). The results indicate that BO reached the optimal parameter set with only 30–50 evaluations, whereas GS and RS required approximately 1000 evaluations. In addition, BO achieved the highest predictive accuracy (R2 = 0.9625) while reducing the computational time from 25.83 s (GS) to 17.31 s. Compared with the baseline SVM model, the optimized SVR demonstrated high accuracy (R2 = 0.9610–0.9625), strong stability (NSE = 0.9194–0.9231), and low error levels (MAE = 0.0927–0.1099), clearly highlighting the critical role of hyperparameter optimization in improving model performance. To enhance interpretability, a feature importance analysis was conducted using four machine learning methods: Random Forest (RF), Bagged Trees (BT), Support Vector Machines (SVM), and the Generalized Additive Model (GAM). The relative contributions of BI, UCS, ALPHA, and DPW to ROP were evaluated, providing clearer insight into the model’s decision-making process and enabling more reliable engineering interpretation. Overall, integrating hyperparameter optimization with feature importance analysis significantly improves both predictive performance and model explainability. The proposed approach offers a robust, generalizable, and scientifically sound framework for TBM operations and geotechnical modeling applications. Full article
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19 pages, 3897 KB  
Article
Research on Cutter Anomaly Identification in Slightly Weathered Metamorphic Rock Formations Based on BO-Light GBM Model
by Qixing Wu and Junfeng Zhang
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(24), 13167; https://doi.org/10.3390/app152413167 - 15 Dec 2025
Viewed by 273
Abstract
Accurate and timely identification of cutter anomalies is crucial for ensuring the safety and efficiency of shield tunneling. To address the issues of poor timeliness and high costs associated with traditional periodic manual inspection methods, this study establishes a cutter anomaly identification model [...] Read more.
Accurate and timely identification of cutter anomalies is crucial for ensuring the safety and efficiency of shield tunneling. To address the issues of poor timeliness and high costs associated with traditional periodic manual inspection methods, this study establishes a cutter anomaly identification model based on the BO-Light GBM algorithm, focusing on slightly weathered metamorphic rock formations. Six parameters closely related to the tunneling state were selected to construct the feature set, and one-class support vector machines (SVMs) were employed to remove anomalous samples. On this basis, a baseline Light GBM model with preset hyperparameters was developed, achieving a preliminary accuracy of 96.04%. Further hyperparameter tuning using Bayesian optimization boosted the overall accuracy of the final BO-Light GBM model to 99.40% while improving training efficiency by approximately 50% compared to exhaustive grid search. Interpretability analysis conducted via SHAP values revealed that chamber pressure, cutterhead rotation speed, total thrust, and cutterhead torque were the primary contributing features, with patterns consistent with actual tunneling conditions, confirming the accuracy of the model’s predictions. The research outcomes provide valuable theoretical guidance and technical support for similar engineering applications. Full article
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28 pages, 16312 KB  
Article
PS-InSAR Monitoring Integrated with a Bayesian-Optimized CNN–LSTM for Predicting Surface Subsidence in Complex Mining Goafs Under a Symmetry Perspective
by Tianlong Su, Linxin Zhang, Xuzhao Yuan, Xiaoquan Li, Xuefeng Li, Xuxing Huang, Zheng Huang and Danhua Zhu
Symmetry 2025, 17(12), 2152; https://doi.org/10.3390/sym17122152 - 14 Dec 2025
Viewed by 556
Abstract
Mine-induced surface subsidence threatens infrastructure and can trigger cascading geohazards, so accurate and computationally efficient monitoring and forecasting are essential for early warning. We integrate Persistent Scatterer InSAR (PS-InSAR) time series with a Bayesian-optimized CNN–LSTM designed for spatiotemporal prediction. The CNN extracts spatial [...] Read more.
Mine-induced surface subsidence threatens infrastructure and can trigger cascading geohazards, so accurate and computationally efficient monitoring and forecasting are essential for early warning. We integrate Persistent Scatterer InSAR (PS-InSAR) time series with a Bayesian-optimized CNN–LSTM designed for spatiotemporal prediction. The CNN extracts spatial deformation patterns, the LSTM models temporal dependence, and Bayesian optimization selects the architecture, training hyperparameters, and the most informative exogenous drivers. Groundwater level and backfilling intensity are encoded as multichannel inputs. Endpoint anchoring with affine calibration aligns the historical series and the forward projections. PS-InSAR indicates a maximum subsidence rate of 85.6 mm yr−1, and the estimates are corroborated against nearby leveling benchmarks and FLAC3D simulations. Cross-site comparisons show acceleration followed by deceleration after backfilling and groundwater recovery, which is consistent with geological engineering conditions. A symmetry-aware preprocessing step exploits axial regularities of the deformation field through mirroring augmentation and documents symmetry-breaking hotspots linked to geological heterogeneity. These choices improve generalization to shifted and oscillatory patterns in both the spatial CNN and the temporal LSTM branches. Short-term forecasts from the BO–CNN–LSTM indicate subsequent stabilization with localized rebound, highlighting its practical value for operational planning and risk mitigation. The framework combines automated hyperparameter search with physically consistent objectives, reduces manual tuning, enhances reproducibility and generalizability, and provides a transferable quantitative workflow for forecasting mine-induced deformation in complex goaf systems. Full article
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19 pages, 1172 KB  
Article
Research on Bo-BiLSTM-Based Synchronous Load Transfer Control Technology for Distribution Networks
by Cheng Long, Hua Zhang, Xueneng Su, Yiwen Gao and Wei Luo
Processes 2025, 13(12), 3999; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13123999 - 11 Dec 2025
Viewed by 315
Abstract
The operational modes and fault characteristics of distribution networks incorporating distributed generation are becoming increasingly complex. This complexity increases the difficulty of predicting switch control action times and leads to scattered samples with data scarcity. Consequently, it imposes higher demands on rapid fault [...] Read more.
The operational modes and fault characteristics of distribution networks incorporating distributed generation are becoming increasingly complex. This complexity increases the difficulty of predicting switch control action times and leads to scattered samples with data scarcity. Consequently, it imposes higher demands on rapid fault isolation and load transfer control following system failures. To address this issue, this paper proposes a switch action time prediction and synchronous load transfer control method based on Bayesian optimization of bidirectional long short-term memory (Bo-BiLSTM) networks. A distribution network simulation model incorporating distributed generation was constructed using MATLAB/Simulink (R2023a). Three-phase voltage and current at the Point of Common Coupling (PCC) were extracted as feature parameters to establish a switch operation timing database. Bayesian optimization was employed to tune the BiLSTM hyperparameters, constructing the Bo-BiLSTM prediction model to achieve high-precision forecasting of switch operation times under fault conditions. Subsequently, a load-synchronized transfer control strategy was proposed based on the prediction results. A dynamic delay mechanism was designed to achieve “open first and then close” sequential coordinated control. Physical experiments verified that the time difference between opening and closing was controlled within 2–12 milliseconds (ms), meeting the engineering requirement of less than 20 ms. The results demonstrate that the proposed control method enhances switch operation time prediction accuracy while effectively supporting rapid fault isolation and seamless load transfer in distribution networks, thereby improving system reliability and control precision. Full article
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12 pages, 706 KB  
Article
Improving Deep Learning Models by Bayesian Optimization to Predict Crude Oil Prices
by Shagun Kachwaha and Salim Lahmiri
Algorithms 2025, 18(12), 762; https://doi.org/10.3390/a18120762 - 2 Dec 2025
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 578
Abstract
We implement, optimize, and compare the performance of deep learning models in forecasting prices of crude oil markets, namely West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and Brent. We focus on deep learning models as these are state-of-the-art forecasting systems for complex and nonlinear time series. [...] Read more.
We implement, optimize, and compare the performance of deep learning models in forecasting prices of crude oil markets, namely West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and Brent. We focus on deep learning models as these are state-of-the-art forecasting systems for complex and nonlinear time series. In this regard, we implement convolutional neural networks (CNNs), long short-term memory (LSTM), and gated recurrent units (GRUs). Classical recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are chosen as the baseline artificial neural networks. We contribute to the literature by examining the effect of fine-tuning of the parameters of the predictive systems by means of Bayesian optimization (BO) on their performance. Also, to check the robustness of the optimized models, they are trained and tested on daily, weekly, and monthly data. The assessment of forecasting performance is based on three different metrics including the root mean of squared errors (RMSE), mean absolute deviation (MAD), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). The simulation results show that the GRU-BO and RNN-BO are respectively the best systems to predict prices of BRENT and WTI. In addition, the simulation results show that BO enhances the accuracy of the predictive models. The results obtained would help oil producers, suppliers, traders, and investors to implement the appropriate prediction system for each market to improve accuracy and generate profits for each time horizon. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Algorithms for Multidisciplinary Applications)
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