Search Results (62)

Urbanization has emerged as one of the most significant global challenges and opportunities of the 21st century, driven by a complex interplay of dynamic processes. In Ethiopia, cities have undergone rapid expansion in recent decades, largely due to state-led economic reforms and infrastructure development. This study aims to investigate the spatiotemporal dynamics, driving forces, and future projections of urban expansion along the Ethio–Djibouti trade corridor, with a focus on Dire Dawa City in eastern Ethiopia. Landsat imagery from 1993, 2003, 2013, and 2023 was utilized to detect land use and land cover (LULC) changes and analyze urban growth patterns. Additionally, maps illustrating the city’s demographic, economic, and topographic characteristics were developed to identify the key driving factors behind land conversion and urban expansion. The spatial matrix and landscape expansion index were employed to examine the spatial patterns of urban growth. Furthermore, the study applied the Multi-Layer Perceptron–Markov Chain (MLP–MC) model to simulate future LULC changes and urban expansion. The results indicate that the built-up area in Dire Dawa has increased significantly over the past three decades, growing from 6.21 km² in 1993 to 21.54 km² in 2023. This urban growth is predominantly characterized by edge expansion, reflecting a pattern of unidirectional, unsustainable development that has consumed large areas of agricultural land. The analysis shows that socioeconomic development and population growth have had a greater influence on LULC conversion and urban expansion than physical factors. Based on these identified drivers, the study projected land conversion and simulated urban expansion for the years 2043 and 2064. The findings underscore the urgent need for context-sensitive urban growth strategies that harmonize local realities with national development policies and the Sustainable Development Goals. Full article

The intensifying global climate warming caused by human activities poses severe challenges to ecosystem stability. Constructing an ecological security pattern can identify ecological land supply and an effective spatial distribution baseline and provide a scientific basis for safeguarding regional ecological security. This study analyzes land-use data from 2000 to 2020 for Golog Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture. The PLUS model was utilized to project land-use potential for the year 2030. The InVEST model was employed to conduct a comprehensive assessment of habitat quality in the study area for both 2020 and 2030, thereby pinpointing ecological sources. Critical ecological restoration zones were delineated by identifying ecological corridors, pinch points, and barrier points through the application of the Minimum Cumulative Resistance model and circuit theory. By comparing ecological security patterns (ESPs) in 2020 and 2030, we proposed a dynamic restoration framework and optimization recommendations based on habitat quality changes and ESPs. The results indicate significant land-use changes in the eastern part of Golog Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture from 2020 to 2030, with large-scale conversion of grasslands into bare land, farmland, and artificial surfaces. The ecological security pattern is threatened by risks like the deterioration of habitat quality, diminished ecological sources as well as pinch points, and growing barrier points. Optimizing the layout of ecological resources, strengthening barrier zone restoration and pinch point protection, and improving habitat connectivity are urgent priorities to ensure regional ecological security. This study offers a scientific foundation for the harmonization of ecological protection and economic development and the policy development and execution of relevant departments. Full article

As critical zones for ecological conservation, national parks necessitate integrated management of transportation corridors (TCs) and ecosystem service value (ESV) to advance ecological civilisation. This study investigates the TC-ESV mutual construction mechanism in the Giant Panda National Park (GPNP). This research employs the TOPSIS method to measure the development level of TCs, applies the equivalent factor method to calculate the ESV, and uses a coupling coordination model and local spatial autocorrelation analysis to evaluate their interaction patterns. The results show that TC development in the GPNP has been increasing, accompanied by a significant rise in ESV. A coupling coordination relationship exists between TCs and ESV, with notable spatial differentiation. TCs not only increase the market ESV by reducing distribution costs and facilitating the outward flow of ESV, they also improve the accessibility of national parks, promote ecotourism and cultural services, facilitate the movement of people and the exchange of knowledge, and enhance the ability of local populations and migrants to realise the ESV in the long term. However, challenges persist, including ESV conversion difficulties and TC construction’s potential impacts on ESV realisation. Therefore, we propose optimised green transport corridors and differentiated ecological compensation mechanisms, and by analysing the interaction between them, the innovation of this paper is to provide an innovative framework for sustainable spatial governance of ESV conversion and TC development in national parks, enriching the interdisciplinary approach. Full article

This study assesses habitat suitability and identifies conservation priority areas for the endangered Marco Polo sheep throughout Khunjerab National Park (Pakistan) and Tashkurgan Natural Reserve (China). We analyzed species occurrence records against environmental variables (elevation, slope, climate, land cover) using MaxEnt modeling. Model performance was validated through AUC-ROC analysis and response curves, generating spatial predictions of suitable habitats to inform conservation strategies. Spatial predictions were generated to map potential distribution zones, aiding conservation planning for this endangered species. The model’s predictive performance was evaluated using the Area Under the Curve (AUC) of the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve, yielding an AUC of 0.919, indicating strong discriminatory capability. Elevation (43.9%), slope (25.9%), and September precipitation (15.9%) emerged as the most influential environmental predictors, collectively contributing 85.7% to the model. The total percentage contribution and permutation significance values were 98.6% and 77.8%, respectively. Jackknife analysis identified elevation (bio-1), slope (bio-7), hillshade (bio-2), and the maximum July temperature (bio-9) as the most significant factors influencing the distribution of Marco Polo sheep, Conversely, variables such as viewshade (bio-14), land cover (bio-3), and precipitation in August (bio-4) contributed a minimal gain, suggesting that they had little impact on accurately predicting species distribution. The habitat suitability map reveals varying conditions across the study area, with the highest suitability (yellow zones) found in the northern and western regions, particularly along the Wakhan Corridor ridgelines. The southern regions, including Khunjerab Pass, show predominantly low suitability, marked by purple zones, suggesting poor habitat conditions. The eastern region displays moderate to low suitability, with fragmented patches of green and yellow, indicating seasonal habitats. The survival of transboundary Marco Polo sheep remains at risk due to poaching activities and habitat destruction and border fence barriers. This study recommends scientific approaches to habitat restoration together with improved China–Pakistan cooperation in order to establish sustainable migratory patterns for this iconic species. Full article

The Yellow River Basin (YRB) is a critical ecological zone in China now confronting growing tensions between land conservation and development. This study combines land use, climate, and socio-economic data with spatial–statistical models (GeoDetector [GD]–Patch-generating Land Use Simulation [PLUS]–Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-Offs [InVEST]) to analyze land use changes (2000–2020), evaluate habitat quality, and simulate scenarios to 2040. Key results include the following: (1) Farmland was decreased by the conversion to forests (+3475 km²) and grasslands (+4522 km²), while construction land expanded rapidly (+11,166 km²); (2) the population and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) pressures drove the farmland loss (q = 0.148 for population, q = 0.129 for GDP), while synergies between evapotranspiration (ET) and the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) promoted forest/grassland recovery (q = 0.155); and (3) ecological protection scenarios increased the grassland area by 12.94% but restricted the construction land growth (−13.84%), with persistent unused land (>3.61% in Inner Mongolia) indicating arid-zone risks. The Habitat Quality-Autocorrelated Coupling Index (HQACI) declined from 0.373 (2020) to 0.345–0.349 (2040), which was linked to drought, groundwater loss, and urban expansion. Proposed strategies including riparian corridor protection, adaptive urban zoning, and gradient-based restoration aim to balance ecological and developmental needs, supporting spatial planning and enhancing the basin-wide habitat quality. Full article

International industrial transfer has driven rapid construction land expansion in emerging metropolitan areas, posing challenges for sustainable land management. However, existing research has largely overlooked the spatiotemporal patterns and driving mechanisms of this expansion, particularly in Southeast Asian metropolitan regions. To address this gap, we focused on the Ho Chi Minh City metropolitan area, utilizing construction land data from GLC_FCS30D to analyze the dynamics of construction land expansion during this period. Findings indicated that: (1) Continuous expansion of construction land, with the expansion rate during 2010–2020 being five times that of 2000–2010; (2) The spatial pattern evolved from initial infilling development in urban cores to subsequent leapfrogging and edge expansion toward peripheral counties and transportation corridors; (3) The expansion of construction land occurred alongside substantial losses of wetland and cultivated land. Between 2000 and 2020, the conversion of cultivated land to construction land increased significantly, particularly during 2010–2020 when cultivated land conversion accounted for 93.76% of newly developed construction land. Wetland conversion also showed notable growth during this period, comprising 3.86% of total newly added construction land; (4) Foreign direct investment (FDI) served as the primary catalyst, while industrial park development and transport infrastructure projects functioned as secondary accelerants. This study constructed a framework to systematically analyze the global and local driving mechanisms of metropolitan land expansion. The findings deepen the understanding of land-use transitions in emerging countries and provide both theoretical support and policy references for sustainable land management. Full article

How can the shape of biodiversity inform us about cities’ ecoclimatic fitness and guide their development? Can we use species as the harbingers of climatic extremes? Eco-climatically sensitive species carry information about hydroclimatic change in their distribution, fitness, and preferential gradients of habitat suitability. Conversely, environmental features outside of the species’ fitness convey information on potential ecological anomalies in response to extremes to adapt or mitigate, such as through urban parks. Here, to quantify ecosystems’ fitness, we propose a novel computational model to extract multivariate functional ecological networks and their basins, which carry the distributed signature of the compounding hydroclimatic pressures on sentinel species. Specifically, we consider butterflies and their habitat suitability (HS) to infer maximum suitability gradients that are meaningful of potential species networks and flows, with the smallest hydroclimatic resistance across urban landscapes. These flows are compared to the distribution of urban parks to identify parks’ ecological attractiveness, actual and potential connectivity, and park potential to reduce hydroclimatic impacts. The ecosystem fitness index (EFI) is novelly introduced by combining HS and the divergence of the relative species abundance (RSA) from the optimal log-normal Preston plot. In Shenzhen, as a case study, eco-flow networks are found to be spatially very extended, scale-free, and clustering for low HS gradient and EFI areas, where large water bodies act as sources of ecological corridors draining into urban parks. Conversely, parks with higher HS, HS gradients, and EFIs have small-world connectivity non-overlapping with hydrological networks. Diverging patterns of abundance and richness are inferred as increasing and decreasing with HS. HS is largely determined by temperature and precipitation of the coldest quarter and seasonality, which are critical hydrologic variables. Interestingly, a U-shape pattern is found between abundance and diversity, similar to the one in natural ecosystems. Additionally, both abundance and richness are mildly associated with park area according to a power function, unrelated to longitude but linked to the degree of urbanization or park centrality, counterintuitively. The Preston plot’s richness–abundance and abundance-rank patterns were verified to reflect the stationarity or ecological meta-equilibrium with the environment, where both are a reflection of community connectivity. Ecological fitness is grounded on the ecohydrological structure and flows where maximum HS gradients are indicative of the largest eco-changes like climate-driven species flows. These flows, as distributed stress-response functions, inform about the collective eco-fitness of communities, like parks in cities. Flow-based networks can serve as blueprints for designing ecotones that regulate key ecosystem functions, such as temperature and evapotranspiration, while generating cascading ecological benefits across scales. The proposed model, novelly infers HS eco-networks and calculates the EFI, is adaptable to diverse sensitive species and environmental layers, offering a robust tool for precise ecosystem assessment and design. Full article

As ecologically sensitive zones within natural ecosystems, national parks demand more precise evaluation models for ecological sensitivity assessment. This study takes Shennongjia Forestry District, a pioneer among China’s first-batch national parks, as an study object to optimize the ecological sensitivity evaluation framework. In this study, we developed an integrated methodology incorporating high-precision ASTER GDEM elevation data, Landsat8 TM vegetation density inversion, SWAT-based flash flood simulation, and SVM-LSM landslide prediction while introducing dynamic protection elements including species migration corridors and human activity risks. The results demonstrate that the refined data structure enhances terrain coupling accuracy by transitioning from “Vegetation Type—Runoff Coefficient” to “Vegetation Density—Runoff Coefficient” conversions, with the optimized model exhibiting superior sensitivity in spatial element identification. This approach provides scientifically grounded technical support for balancing ecological conservation and visitor management in protected areas. Full article

Land use changes pose major threats to ecosystems, particularly affecting vulnerable habitats, such as riparian forests. These transitional habitats play a crucial role in supporting biodiversity, particularly avian communities. Despite their recognised importance, studies on the land use effects on bird communities in the riparian corridors of southern Europe remain scarce. Here, we aimed to investigate the seasonal variation of the effects of land use on avian communities in an Atlantic riparian area in northern Portugal and whether bird assemblages can be used as bioindicators of riparian ecosystems’ quality. To achieve this, we conducted bird surveys during three periods of the birds’ life cycle: post-nuptial migration, wintering and breeding. Bird species were grouped into assemblages reflecting diet, foraging stratum, phenology and preferred habitat affinities. To analyse the effect of land use, we modelled the abundance of the respective bird assemblages with the land use gradients obtained through principal component analysis. A total of 62 bird species were identified (73% observed during post-breeding migration, 77% in winter and 68% during breeding). Among these, 45 species (73%) were residents, while 17 species (27%) were short- or long-distance migrants. All bird assemblages showed seasonal differences in species richness, with the exception of granivores, forest species, resident, ground- and understorey foragers, and in abundance, with the exception of invertivores, farmland birds and tree foragers. The predicted abundances of farmland birds, ground-feeding birds and granivores often showed positive associations with gradients reflecting anthropogenic land uses (e.g., farmlands and acacia stands) and negative relationships with natural land uses (e.g., deciduous riparian forests, pine and oakwood). Conversely, invertivores’ and tree foragers’ abundances were positively related to natural land uses and negatively related to anthropogenic ones. Furthermore, we highlight the negative effects of exotic tree species on the bird community and the effects caused by adjacent land uses on riparian habitats. Our results are consistent with studies showing that the grouping of birds by functional characteristics can serve as an indicator of disturbance in riparian corridors. Full article

This research investigates linguistic hybridization in a commercial corridor of Armenia, Colombia, focusing on the usage of Spanish and English in public signage, particularly business names. Utilizing a quantitative methodology, we conducted a statistical analysis employing Chi-square tests to explore the relationship between symbolic language choice and variables such as location and type of establishment. The results demonstrated a significant association between location and language choice (Χ² = 39.353, p < .001), revealing that commercial zones with high tourist traffic exhibited a pronounced preference for English (46.55%), reflecting branding strategies aimed at attracting a younger, cosmopolitan audience. Conversely, traditional sectors such as health services (74.24% in Spanish) and religious institutions (80% in Spanish) predominantly utilized Spanish, emphasizing the community’s need for accessible communication. Additionally, establishments in the most commercial area highlighted the presence of hybrid names, indicating a blending of languages. Our findings suggest that the hybridization of English and Spanish serves as both a reflection and reinforcement of cultural identity and social hierarchies, emphasizing the role of linguistic capital in shaping social dynamics within the urban landscape of Armenia, Colombia. Full article

This study investigates the effects of humanoid robot appearance, emotional expression, and interaction skills on the uncanny valley phenomenon among university students using the social humanoid robot (SHR) Ameca. Two fundamental studies were conducted within a university setting: Study 1 assessed student expectations of SHRs in a hallway environment, emphasizing the need for robots to integrate seamlessly and engage effectively in social interactions; Study 2 compared the humanlikeness of three humanoid robots, ROMAN, ROBIN, and EMAH (employing the EMAH robotic system implemented on Ameca). The initial findings from corridor interactions highlighted a diverse range of human responses, from engagement and curiosity to indifference and unease. Additionally, the online survey revealed significant insights into expected non-verbal communication skills, continuous learning, and comfort levels during hallway conversations with robots. Notably, certain humanoid robots evoked stronger emotional reactions, hinting at varying degrees of humanlikeness and the influence of interaction quality. The EMAH system was frequently ranked as most humanlike before the study, while post-study perceptions indicated a shift, with EMAH and ROMAN showing significant changes in perceived humanlikeness, suggesting a re-evaluation by participants influenced by their interactive experiences. This research advances our understanding of the uncanny valley phenomenon and the role of humanoid design in enhancing human–robot interaction, marking the first direct comparison between the most advanced, humanlike research robots. Full article

To compare preadolescents’ smile outcomes after two different orthodontic treatments: RME/Schwarz plate (RS) and clear aligners (CAs). A sample of 31 patients (13 M, 18 F, mean age 8.3 ± 1.2 y.m) treated with RS and a sample of 28 patients (12 M, 16 F, mean age 7.9 ± 1.1 y.m) treated with CAS were included. Pre-treatment and post-treatment records were taken before the treatment (T1) and at the end of treatment (T2). Seventeen variables were evaluated. Both therapies were effective in smile width increase (RS = p < 0.02; CAs = p < 0.04) and buccal corridor reduction (RS = p < 0.02; CAs = p < 0.04). The intragroup analysis showed in the RS group an increase of incisor gingival display (p < 0.02), overbite (OVB) (p < 0.04) alongside a reduction of overjet (OVJ) (p < 0.01). Conversely, the CAs group evidenced a reduction in incisor gingival display (p < 0.04) and OVB (p < 0.01) with an increase in C angulation (p < 0.02) and maxillary incisor inclination (p < 0.04). An intergroup comparison evidenced a greater improvement in smile width, smile index and buccal corridor in the RS group with respect to the CAs group (p < 0.02; p < 0.02; p < 0.03). CAs were more effective in the management of gingival display, incisor position, midline correction (incisor gingival display p < 0.01; maxillary incisor position p < 0.04; maxillary dental midline p < 0.02), with a better control of OVJ (p < 0.01) and OVB (p < 0.02). The RS approach resulted in a greater smile width and a reduction in buccal corridor with respect to the CAs. The CAs provided a better management of both gingival display and smile aesthetics. Full article

The China–Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), as an important part of the Belt and Road Initiative, is of great significance for the promotion of sustainable development in the region through the study of land use change and the simulation of future multi-scenarios. Based on the multi-period land use data of the CPEC, this study firstly analyzed the spatial and temporal land use changes in the CPEC from 2000 to 2020 by using GIS technology, and, secondly, simulated the land use patterns of the CPEC under four scenarios, namely, natural development, investment priority, ecological protection, and harmonious development, in 2040 by using the Markov-FLUS model with comprehensive consideration of natural, socio-economic, and other driving factors. The results show the following: (1) The urban land, forest land, and grassland in the CPEC from 2000 to 2020 show an increasing trend, while the farmland, unutilized land, and water area categories show a decreasing trend. In terms of land use transfer changes, the most frequently transferred out is the conversion of unutilized land to grassland. (2) The FLUS model has high accuracy in simulating the land use pattern of the CPEC, and its applicability in the CPEC area is strong and can be used to simulate the future land use pattern of the CPEC. (3) Among the four different land use scenarios, the harmonious development scenario strikes a better balance between infrastructure construction, economic development, and ecological protection, and can provide a scientific basis for future land management in the CPEC, in order to highlight the importance of promoting economic growth and ecological protection and ultimately realize sustainable development. Full article

Jointly building the Economic Corridor of the Eurasia Continent (ECEC), which is one of the most important parts of the Silk Road Economic Belt, is a pivotal initiative for fostering regional development. Forests, which serve as a green foundation of economic resilience, underpin this effort. However, there is an imbalance in ecological status due to differences in natural resources and the social economy along the economic corridor. This imbalance has led to alterations in landscapes, yet the specific changes and their underlying relationships are still much less understood. Here, we quantitatively detected changes in the forest landscape and its ecological efforts over the ECEC via widespread, satellite-based and long-term land cover maps released by the European Space Agency (ESA) Climate Change Initiative (CCI). Specifically, the coupling between changes in forest coverage and landscape patterns, e.g., diversity, was further examined. The results revealed that forest coverage fluctuated and declined over the ECEC from 1992 to 2018, with an overall reduction of approximately 9784.8 km² (i.e., 0.25%). Conversions between forests and other land cover types were widely observed. The main displacements occurred between forests and grasslands/croplands (approximately 48%/21%). Moreover, the landscape diversity in the study area increased, as measured by the effective diversity index (EDI), during the study period, despite obvious spatial heterogeneity. Notably, this pattern of landscape diversity was strongly associated with forest displacement and local urban development through coupling analysis, consequently indicating increasing fragmentation rather than biological diversity. This study highlights the coupled relationship between quantitative and qualitative changes in landscapes, facilitating our understanding of environmental protection and policy management. Full article

Microplastics, plastic particles smaller than 5 mm, pose a significant environmental threat due to their persistence and distribution in aquatic ecosystems. Research on the dynamics of microplastics within freshwater systems, particularly concerning their transport and deposition along river corridors, remains insufficient. This study investigated the occurrence and deposition of microplastics at the water–sediment interface of the White River near Muncie, Indiana. Sediment samples were collected from three sites: White River Woods (upstream), Westside Park (midstream), and Morrow’s Meadow (downstream). The microplastic concentrations varied significantly, with the highest concentration recorded upstream, indicating a strong influence from agricultural runoff. The types of microplastics identified were predominantly fragments (43.1%), fibers (29.6%), and films (27.3%), with fragments being consistently the most abundant at all sampling sites. A polymer analysis with selected particles using Fourier-transform infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy revealed that the most common polymers were polyethylene (PE), polypropylene (PP), and polyethylene terephthalate (PET). The hydrodynamic conditions played a crucial role in the deposition and transport of microplastics. The statistical analysis demonstrated a strong positive correlation between the microplastic concentration and flow velocity at the downstream site, suggesting that lower flow velocities contribute to the accumulation of finer sediments and microplastics. Conversely, the upstream and midstream sites exhibited weaker correlations, indicating that other environmental and anthropogenic factors, such as land use and the sediment texture, may influence microplastic retention and transport. This study provides valuable insights into the complex interactions between river dynamics, sediment characteristics, and microplastic deposition in freshwater systems. These findings contribute to the growing body of knowledge on freshwater microplastic pollution and can help guide mitigation strategies aimed at reducing microplastic contamination in riverine ecosystems. Full article