Search Results (803)

Digital currencies, led by Bitcoin and USDT, are characterized by decentralization and anonymity, which obscure the identities of traders and create a conducive environment for illicit activities such as drug trafficking, money laundering, cyber fraud, and terrorism financing. Focusing on the USDT-TRC20 token on the Tron blockchain, we propose a two-layer transaction network-based approach for virtual currency address identity recognition for digging out hidden relationships and encrypted assets. Specifically, a two-layer transaction network is constructed: Layer A describes the flow of USDT-TRC20 between on-chain addresses over time, while Layer B represents the flow of TRX between on-chain addresses over time. Subsequently, an identity metric is proposed to determine whether a pair of addresses belongs to the same user or group. Furthermore, transaction records are systematically acquired through blockchain explorers, and the efficacy of the proposed recognition method is empirically validated using dataset from the Key Laboratory of Digital Forensics. Finally, the transaction topology is visualized using Neo4j, providing a comprehensive and intuitive representation of the traced transaction pathways. Full article

As the global economy undergoes rapid digital transformation, cryptocurrencies have emerged as a prominent alternative class of financial assets. Their decentralized nature, pseudonymity, and lack of centralized oversight have attracted considerable interest among investors while simultaneously raising significant concerns among regulators and compliance professionals. While cryptocurrencies offer benefits such as enhanced accessibility and transactional privacy, they also pose notable risks, particularly their potential misuse in financial crimes, including money laundering. This study explores the perceived risks associated with cryptocurrencies in the context of money laundering, drawing on insights from a survey conducted among 50 financial sector professionals. A quantitative research design was employed, using a structured online questionnaire to assess participants’ awareness, investment behavior, and perceptions of the role of cryptocurrencies in illicit finance and financial system security. The results reveal a complex perspective: while 70% of respondents acknowledged the potential for cryptocurrencies to facilitate money laundering, 60% expressed support for their wider adoption. Notably, statistically significant correlations emerged between active investment in cryptocurrencies and the belief that they could enhance financial market security and reduce laundering risks. However, self-reported knowledge levels and general awareness did not show a significant relationship with perceived risk. The findings underscore the importance of a balanced approach to regulation, one that fosters innovation while mitigating illicit finance risks. The study recommends increased investment in user education, the development of blockchain analytics, the adoption of global regulatory standards and enhanced international cooperation to ensure the responsible evolution of the cryptocurrency ecosystem. Full article

Smallholder farmers in developing countries often face barriers to market participation due to information asymmetry and limited access to marketing channels. This study investigates the impact of internet technology on farmers’ agricultural sales and its heterogeneity, using data from the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS) covering 14,577 agricultural households. Propensity score matching and unconditional quantile regression are employed for empirical analysis. The results show that (1) internet adoption significantly improves agricultural sales performance, increasing average sales output by 4680 CNY (Chinese Yuan, the official currency of China); (2) the effects of internet adoption are heterogeneous across industry types, education level, income level, social ties, and internet access devices; (3) the marginal impact of internet use grows with higher sales levels, with the strongest effect observed at the 95% quantile. This study highlights the impact of rural internet technology on increasing market transaction efficiency. Full article

In this study, we aim to provide a comprehensive analysis of the risk management potential of sectoral Credit Default Swaps (CDSs) within financial portfolios. Our objectives are threefold: (i) to investigate the safe haven properties of sectoral CDSs; (ii) to assess their hedging effectiveness and evaluate the diversification benefits of incorporating sectoral CDSs into both conventional and Islamic stock market portfolios; and (iii) to compare these findings with those obtained from alternative assets such as the VSTOXX, gold, and Bitcoin indices. To achieve this, we estimate time-varying hedge ratios using a range of multivariate GARCH (MGARCH) models and subsequently compute hedging effectiveness metrics. Conditional correlations derived from the Asymmetric Dynamic Conditional Correlation (ADCC) model are employed in linear regression analyses to assess safe haven characteristics. This methodology is applied across different subperiods to capture the impact of the crypto currency bubble and the COVID-19 pandemic on hedging performance. Full article

Background: This study presents a real-time mobile system for identifying mixed and partly covered foreign coins and banknotes using the You Only Look Once version 11 (YOLOv11) deep learning framework. The proposed system addresses practical challenges faced by travelers and visually impaired individuals when handling multiple currencies. Methods: The system introduces three novel aspects: (i) simultaneous recognition of both coins and banknotes from multiple currencies within a single image, even when items are overlapping or occluded; (ii) a hybrid inference strategy that integrates an embedded TensorFlow Lite (TFLite) model for on-device detection with an optional server-assisted mode for higher accuracy; and (iii) an integrated currency conversion module that provides real-time value translation based on current exchange rates. A purpose-build dataset containing 46 denominations classes across four major currencies: US Dollar (USD), Euro (EUR), Chinese Yuan (CNY), and Korean Won (KRW), was used for training, including challenging cases of overlap, folding, and partial coverage. Results: Experimental evaluation demonstrated robust performance under diverse real-world conditions. The system achieved high detection accuracy and low latency, confirming its suitability for practical deployment on consumer-grade smartphones. Conclusions: These findings confirm that the proposed approach achieves an effective balance between portability, robustness, and detection accuracy, making it a viable solution for real-time mixed currency recognition in everyday scenarios. Full article

We discuss three applications of blockchain data technology that illustrate its considerable problem-solving potential in: (i) Centralized Bank Digital Currencies (CBDC); (ii) Healthcare (HC); and (iii) Non-Profit Organizations (NPOs). Key solution features include security and immutability, along with authentication in a decentralized network that can yield the same consensus solution as a single centralized computer would. But notwithstanding the strength of blockchain’s security, vulnerabilities in the wider infrastructure of the applications we considered. We discuss real-world vulnerabilities in error correction and smart contract code, and the integration of blockchain data and infrastructure that is essential in day-to-day operation. Further, the decentralization in this (Web 2.0) network infrastructure is, if not the proverbial “bug”, a weakness and decidedly not a feature. Full article

Natural disasters often strike unexpectedly, leaving thousands of victims and affected individuals each year. Effective disaster preparedness is critical to reducing these consequences and accelerating recovery. This paper presents Eghatha, a blockchain-based decentralized system designed to optimize humanitarian aid delivery during crises. By enabling secure and transparent transfers of donations and relief from donors to beneficiaries, the system enhances trust and operational efficiency. All transactions are immutably recorded and verified on a blockchain network, reducing fraud and misuse while adapting to local contexts. The platform is volunteer-driven, coordinated by civil society organizations with humanitarian expertise, and supported by government agencies involved in disaster response. Eghatha’s design accounts for disaster-related constraints—including limited mobility, varying levels of technological literacy, and resource accessibility—by offering a user-friendly interface, support for local currencies, and integration with locally available technologies. These elements ensure inclusivity for diverse populations. Aligned with Morocco’s “Digital Morocco 2030” strategy, the system contributes to both immediate crisis response and long-term digital transformation. Its scalable architecture and contextual sensitivity position the platform for broader adoption in similarly affected regions worldwide, offering a practical model for ethical, decentralized, and resilient humanitarian logistics. Full article

The COVID-19 pandemic and the implementation of strict lockdown measures have significantly impacted various dimensions of the global economy. This study examines the impact of COVID-19 and lockdown stringency on exchange rate volatility in India using three core variables, i.e., COVID-19 cases, the lockdown stringency index, and exchange rate volatility. To achieve the above objectives, we have employed advanced econometric techniques, such as wavelet coherence and a hybrid non-parametric quantile causality framework, on the dataset spanning from 30 December 2020 to 24 January 2022. Robustness is assessed using Troster–Granger causality in quantiles and Breitung–Candelon Spectral Causality tests. The wavelet coherence analysis indicates that the initial outbreak of COVID-19 increased the exchange rate volatility, while the enforcement of stringent lockdowns in the later phases helped reduce this volatility. Similarly, the hybrid quantile causality results indicate that both COVID-19 cases and lockdown measures possess predictive power over exchange rate fluctuations. The robustness checks confirm these findings and establish a causal relationship between the pandemic, policy responses, and currency market behaviour. This study helps clarify the complex, nonlinear dynamics between pandemic-related variables and exchange rate volatility in emerging markets. Based on the aforementioned result, it is recommended that policymakers implement targeted lockdown strategies coupled with timely monetary interventions (such as foreign exchange reserve management or interest rate adjustments) to mitigate volatility and maintain currency stability during future pandemic-induced shocks. Full article

This study explores the new insights into the integration and dynamic asymmetric volatility risk spillovers between Bitcoin, currency pairs (USD/ZAR, GBP/ZAR and EUR/ZAR), and traditional financial assets (ALSI, Bond, and Gold) in South Africa using daily data spanning the period from 2010 to 2024 and employing Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregression (TVP-VAR) and wavelet coherence. The findings revealed strengthened integration between traditional financial assets and currency pairs, as well as weak integration with BTC/ZAR. Furthermore, BTC/ZAR and traditional financial assets were receivers of shocks, while the currency pairs were transmitters of spillovers. Gold emerged as an attractive investment during periods of inflation or currency devaluation. However, the assets have a total connectedness index of 28.37%, offering a reduced systemic risk. Distinct patterns were observed in the short, medium, and long term in time scales and frequency. There is a diversification benefit and potential hedging strategies due to gold’s negative influence on BTC/ZAR. Bitcoin’s high volatility and lack of regulatory oversight continue to be deterrents for institutional investors. This study lays a solid foundation for understanding the financial dynamics in South Africa, offering valuable insights for investors and policymakers interested in the intricate linkages between BTC/ZAR, currency pairs, and traditional financial assets, allowing for more targeted policy measures. Full article

This study investigates whether firm-specific narratives extracted from the news add predictive content to monthly stock return models. Using bidirectional encoder representations from transformer-based topic modeling (BERTopic), we processed Microsoft (MSFT) news and constructed monthly narrative activations (binary presence and decay weighting). These narrative activations are used in autoregressive moving-average models with exogenous regressors (ARIMA-X) to analyze MSFT monthly log returns alongside the U.S. Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) index from February 2021 to March 2025. Decay models using a similarity-distilled BERT embedding yielded three significant narratives: Media and Public Perception (MPP) (β = 0.0128, p = 0.002), Currency and Macro Environment (CME) (β = −0.0143, p < 0.001), and Tech and Semiconductor Ecosystem (TSE) (β = −0.0606, p = 0.014). Binary activation identifies reputational shocks: the Media and Public Perception (MPP) indicator predicts lower returns at one- and two-month lags (β = −0.0758, p = 0.043; β = −0.1048, p = 0.007). A likelihood-ratio test comparing ARIMA-X models with narrative regressors to a baseline ARIMA (no narratives) rejects the null hypothesis that narratives add no improvement in fit (p < 0.01). Firm-level narratives enhance monthly forecasts beyond conventional predictors; decay activation and similarity-distilled embeddings perform best. Demonstrated on Microsoft as a proof of concept, the ticker-agnostic design scales to multiple firms and sectors, contingent on sufficient firm-tagged news coverage for external validity. Full article

This Special Issue (Trends and New Developments in FinTech) discusses fintech trends such as the aspects of the regulation of digital activities, the implementation of technologies on reducing carbon emissions, ESG investments by FinTech, the trend towards asset tokenization and related banking activities in relation to FinTech, and the development of central bank digital currencies assisted by FinTech [...] Full article

Rewards play a key role in gamifying education, especially when learners perceive them as valuable. However, in many educational games, rewards often lack a meaningful impact or long-term appeal, which limits their ability to motivate user performance effectively. This study introduces a novel integrated reward system designed to increase the perceived value of educational rewards by allowing them to be used in a separate recreational game. The system was implemented using two Android-based applications: EduGym, a microlearning quiz-based educational game, and EduShooter, a top-down action shooter recreational game. Coins earned in EduGym quizzes can be used to upgrade characters and unlock content in EduShooter, forming a cross-game incentive. A user study involving 48 participants demonstrated that those with access to the integrated system responded more positively to EduGym’s reward mechanism and rated their overall game experience favorably. The reward system also enhanced learners’ perception of their educational achievements by linking them to meaningful in-game benefits. These findings suggest that integrating educational and entertainment games through a cross-game currency system can significantly strengthen the motivational appeal and perceived value of rewards in these games. Full article

This study examined the factor structure of Green, Grey, and Red EU securities using extended asset pricing models built on the Fama–French and Carhart frameworks. The findings show improved return predictability and consistently negative risk-adjusted alpha across categories post-Global Financial Crisis (GFC), suggesting systematic overestimation of expected returns. All environmental asset types are positively linked to the MKTRF, SMB, HML, and HML^Devil factors, indicating exposure to core risk premia. Green securities exhibit elevated currency risk and persistent negative momentum, while Red assets transition from positive to negative momentum. Green and Red securities show stronger gold associations post-GFC, signaling a hedging role. Grey assets shift away from safe-haven behavior, becoming more sensitive to volatility. FEAR factor exposure and QML results suggest evolving sensitivity and declining quality, particularly in Grey assets. These findings underscore the need for enriched asset pricing models to capture dynamic risk characteristics in environmental assets within the EU financial markets. Full article

This paper examines the relationship between currency misalignment and income inequality across 70 countries from 1998 to 2021. Currency misalignment occurs when the actual exchange rate diverges significantly from the equilibrium exchange rate. Using fixed-effects and random-effects regressions, we find that currency overvaluation is associated with higher income inequality, while undervaluation is linked to lower income inequality. These findings are strongest in emerging markets and upper-middle-income countries, where undervalued currencies may be associated with stronger tradable-sector activity and narrower income gaps. In contrast, lower-income countries experience increasing levels of inequality during the early stages of development, even with growth, which is consistent with the Kuznets hypothesis. For advanced markets and higher-income nations, currency misalignment is not statistically related to income inequality, which is likely due to the presence of stronger financial systems and more stable institutions that reduce the effects of currency misalignment. The results are robust across the two grouping methods—development level (IMF) and income level (World Bank). Overall, the study highlights that while undervaluation may be associated with equitable growth in emerging markets, its benefits likely depend on a country’s development stage and are more likely when accompanied by appropriate social and economic policies to mitigate potential risks. Full article

Banking has evolved from ancient times of using grain banks and temple lending to modern banking practices. The transformation of the banking sector has ensured that banks play the crucial role of facilitating faster and efficient service delivery. This paper traced the evolution of banking and examined associated disruptions, opportunities, and challenges. With the specific objective of influencing policy-oriented discussions on the future of banking, this study adopted a literature review methodology of integrating various sources, such as scholarly journals, policy reports, and institutional publications. Public interest theory and disruptive innovation theory underpinned this study. Findings revealed that banking has evolved from Banking 1.0 to Banking 5.0 due to disruptive factors which have been pivotal to the significant structural sector changes: Banking 1.0 (pre-1960s); Banking 2.0 (1960s to 1980s); Banking 3.0 (1980s–2000s); Banking 4.0 (2000s–2020s); and Banking 5.0 (2020s to the future). Despite the existence of opportunities in the transformation, challenges include regulations, skills shortages, legacy systems, and cybersecurity that must be addressed. This calls for a coordinated response from stakeholders, with banking’s future requiring collaborations as cashless economies, digital economies, and digital currencies take centre stage. Full article