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Keywords = hydrofracturing

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14 pages, 4881 KiB  
Article
Investigation of the Upper Safety Operating Pressure Limit for Underground Gas Storage Using the Fault Activation Pressure Evaluation Method
by Xianxue Chen, Tianguang Zhang, Haibo Wen, Yejun Jin and Lingdong Meng
Processes 2024, 12(9), 1910; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr12091910 - 6 Sep 2024
Viewed by 788
Abstract
As a crucial reserve for natural gas, the safe operation of underground gas storage facilities is paramount for seasonal peak shaving and emergency supply security. Focusing on the Lei X gas storage facility in the Liaohe Basin of China, this study delves into [...] Read more.
As a crucial reserve for natural gas, the safe operation of underground gas storage facilities is paramount for seasonal peak shaving and emergency supply security. Focusing on the Lei X gas storage facility in the Liaohe Basin of China, this study delves into the mechanical integrity of gas storage facilities and assesses the upper limit pressure for safe operation. Leveraging seismic logging data, we conducted an analysis and statistical evaluation of boundary faults and top cover characteristics, integrating regional stress fields and rock mechanics to evaluate fault activation pressure and cover failure risk using a fault activation pressure assessment method. This research elucidates the maximum safe operating pressure for underground gas storage facilities. The research findings suggest that the sealing layer of the Lei X gas storage reservoir exhibits a predominant hydro-fracturing pattern. Under the existing stress field conditions, the sealing layer demonstrates favorable sealing properties, and the boundary faults remain relatively stable. Moreover, through data extraction and quantitative analysis, this study clearly determined the critical pressure at which each fault is activated and the pressure at which the sealing layer undergoes hydro-fracturing during cyclic injection and the production of gas storage. Considering the activation pressure and fracturing pressure data for the sealing layer, a secure operating pressure of 15.0 MPa was calculated for gas storage operations. This study offers crucial theoretical support for enhancing injection and production efficiency, as well as ensuring the safe operation of Lei X gas storage and providing technical guidance for future adjustments to injection and production schemes. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Energy Systems)
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14 pages, 3080 KiB  
Article
Analytical Solution for Lined Circular Water Conveyance Tunnels under the Action of Internal and External Hydraulic Pressure
by Yunqian Xu, Tengfei Bao, Mingdao Yuan, Yijie Liu and Shu Zhang
Appl. Sci. 2024, 14(17), 7443; https://doi.org/10.3390/app14177443 - 23 Aug 2024
Viewed by 688
Abstract
The interaction between the surrounding rock and the support structure in a circular water conveyance tunnel with lining comprises two main aspects: internal and external hydraulic pressures, and the contact load between the post-excavation lining and the surrounding rock. There is currently no [...] Read more.
The interaction between the surrounding rock and the support structure in a circular water conveyance tunnel with lining comprises two main aspects: internal and external hydraulic pressures, and the contact load between the post-excavation lining and the surrounding rock. There is currently no reasonable calculation method to consider both factors simultaneously. Therefore, by utilizing the assumption of smooth contact between the surrounding rock and the lining, an analytical model for a circular water conveyance tunnel with lining is developed through the complex function method. Smooth contact indicates continuity of radial contact stress, coordination of radial displacement, and the absence of shear stress transmission. Considering the inner and outer boundary stress conditions of the lining, two sets of undetermined analytical functions are established, corresponding to internal and external water pressure, as well as the contact stress between the surrounding rock and the lining. Ultimately, the stress and displacement components at any point within the surrounding rock and lining can be derived under the conditions outlined in this study. The analytical model elucidates the mechanism of load transfer within the circular water conveyance tunnel with lining, considering the combined effects of internal and external water pressure and excavation loads. Of particular note, it quantifies the restrictive impact of external water pressure on lining hydrofracturing when subjected to high internal water pressure. Additionally, the model offers a theoretical foundation for designing and assessing support structures for use in long-distance water conveyance projects. Full article
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20 pages, 5994 KiB  
Article
Numerical Analysis of the Stress Shadow Effects in Multistage Hydrofracturing Considering Natural Fracture and Leak-Off Effect
by Jinxin Song, Qing Qiao, Chao Chen, Jiangtao Zheng and Yongliang Wang
Water 2024, 16(9), 1308; https://doi.org/10.3390/w16091308 - 4 May 2024
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1995
Abstract
As a critical technological approach, multistage fracturing is frequently used to boost gas recovery in compact hydrocarbon reservoirs. Determining an ideal cluster distance that effectively integrates pre-existing natural fractures in the deposit creates a fracture network conducive to gas movement. Fracturing fluid leak-off [...] Read more.
As a critical technological approach, multistage fracturing is frequently used to boost gas recovery in compact hydrocarbon reservoirs. Determining an ideal cluster distance that effectively integrates pre-existing natural fractures in the deposit creates a fracture network conducive to gas movement. Fracturing fluid leak-off also impacts water resources. In our study, we use a versatile finite element–discrete element method that improves the auto-refinement of the grid and the detection of multiple fracture movements to model staged fracturing in naturally fractured reservoirs. This computational model illustrates the interaction between hydraulic fractures and pre-existing fractures and employs the nonlinear Carter leak-off criterion to portray fluid leakage and the impacts of hydromechanical coupling during multistage fracturing. Numerical results show that sequential fracturing exhibits the maximum length in unfractured and naturally fractured models, and the leak-off volume of parallel fracturing is the smallest. Our study proposes an innovative technique for identifying and optimizing the spacing of fracturing clusters in unconventional reservoirs. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Thermo-Hydro-Mechanical Coupling in Fractured Porous Media)
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25 pages, 45016 KiB  
Article
Optimization of Financial Indicators in Shale-Gas Wells Combining Numerical Decline Curve Analysis and Economic Data Analysis
by Andres Soage, Ruben Juanes, Ignasi Colominas and Luis Cueto-Felgueroso
Energies 2024, 17(4), 864; https://doi.org/10.3390/en17040864 - 12 Feb 2024
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1608
Abstract
We present a methodology to determine optimal financial parameters in shale-gas production, combining numerical simulation of decline curves and stochastic modeling of the gas price. The mathematical model of gas production considers free gas in the pore and the gas adsorbed in kerogen. [...] Read more.
We present a methodology to determine optimal financial parameters in shale-gas production, combining numerical simulation of decline curves and stochastic modeling of the gas price. The mathematical model of gas production considers free gas in the pore and the gas adsorbed in kerogen. The dependence of gas production on petrophysical parameters and stimulated permeability is quantified by solving the model equations in a 3D geometry representing a typical fractured shale well. We use Monte Carlo simulation to characterize the statistical properties of various common financial indicators of the investment in shale-gas. The analysis combines many realizations of the physical model, which explores the variability of porosity, induced permeability, and fracture geometry, with thousands of realizations of gas price trajectories. The evolution of gas prices is modeled using the bootstrapping statistical resampling technique to obtain a probability density function of the initial price, the drift, and the volatility of a geometric Brownian motion for the time evolution of gas price. We analyze the Net Present Value (NPV), Internal Rate of Return (IRR), and Discounted Payback Period (DPP) indicators. By computing the probability density function of each indicator, we characterize the statistical percentile of each value of the indicator. Alternatively, we can infer the value of the indicator for a given statistical percentile. By mapping these parametric combinations for different indicators, we can determine the parameters that maximize or minimize each of them. We show that, to achieve a profitable investment in shale-gas with high certainty, it is necessary to place the wells in extremely good locations in terms of geological parameters (porosity) and to have exceptional fracturing technology (geometry) and fracture permeability. These high demands in terms of petrophysical properties and hydrofracture engineering may explain the industry observation of “sweet spots”, that is, specific areas within shale-gas plays that tend to yield more profitable wells and where many operators concentrate their production. We shed light on the rational origin of this phenomenon: while shale formations are abundant, areas prone to having a multi-parameter combination that renders the well profitable are less common. Full article
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17 pages, 5815 KiB  
Article
Study of the Interaction of a Hydraulic Fracture with a Natural Fracture in a Laboratory Experiment Based on Ultrasonic Transmission Monitoring
by Evgeny V. Zenchenko, Sergey B. Turuntaev, Victor A. Nachev, Tikhon K. Chumakov and Petr E. Zenchenko
Energies 2024, 17(2), 277; https://doi.org/10.3390/en17020277 - 5 Jan 2024
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 1262
Abstract
This paper presents the results of experiments on the study of a hydraulic fracture’s interaction with a preexisting fracture. A distinctive feature of the conducted experiments is the ability to use ultrasonic transmitting monitoring to measure the fracture propagation and opening simultaneously with [...] Read more.
This paper presents the results of experiments on the study of a hydraulic fracture’s interaction with a preexisting fracture. A distinctive feature of the conducted experiments is the ability to use ultrasonic transmitting monitoring to measure the fracture propagation and opening simultaneously with the pore pressure measurements at several points of the porous saturated sample. It allows us to obtain the pressure distributions at various experiment stages and to establish a relation between the pore pressure distribution and hydraulic fracture propagation and its interaction with macroscopic natural fractures. The possibilities of active ultrasonic monitoring have been expanded due to preliminary calibration experiments, which make it possible to estimate the fracture opening via attenuation of ultrasonic pulses. The experiment demonstrated the most complex scenario of fracture interactions when a hydraulic fracture intersected with a natural fracture and the natural fracture in the vicinity of the intersection was also opened. The additional complications arise from fracture arrangement: the hydrofracture was normal with respect to the base plane, while the natural fracture was slanted. This led to gradual growth of the intersection zone as the hydrofracture propagated. The experiments show that the natural fracture limited the fracture’s propagation. This was caused by the hydraulic fracturing fluid leaking into the natural fracture; thus, both the hydraulic fracture and natural fracture compose a united hydraulic system. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section H1: Petroleum Engineering)
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20 pages, 5772 KiB  
Article
Study on the Energy Release Law of Overburden Rock Breaking and Anti-Rockburst Technology in the Knife Handle Working Face of a Gently Inclined Coal Seam
by Feng Cui, Jingxuan Sun, Xingping Lai, Chong Jia and Suilin Zhang
Appl. Sci. 2023, 13(21), 11809; https://doi.org/10.3390/app132111809 - 28 Oct 2023
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1405
Abstract
This study aims at the problems of the difficulty in controlling the stability of the surrounding rock and the high-impact danger of knife handle-type working face mining. We take the I010206 working face of Kuangou Coal Mine in Xinjiang as the engineering background, [...] Read more.
This study aims at the problems of the difficulty in controlling the stability of the surrounding rock and the high-impact danger of knife handle-type working face mining. We take the I010206 working face of Kuangou Coal Mine in Xinjiang as the engineering background, establish the mechanical model of roof periodic fracture and the FLAC3D numerical model of a working face, and analyze the evolution characteristics of the surrounding rock stress and energy when the working face is widened, revealing the mechanism of induced impact caused by overburden fracture in the working face, putting forward the technology of hydraulic fracturing to relieve the danger in the roof area, and comparing the pressure relief effect. The research results show the following: (1) After the working face is widened, the overlying strata load is transferred to the coal seam in front of the working face and the upper and lower sides of the working face. after mining; the abutment pressure of the I010408 working face in the B4-1 coal seam is superimposed with the abutment pressure of the I010206 working face in the B2 coal seam, the stress concentration is higher, and the lateral support pressure of the goaf forms a high static load. The large-area roof caving forms a high dynamic load. All of them are more likely to induce rockburst. (2) In knife handle-type working face mining, the peak value of the advanced abutment pressure in working faces first decreases and then increases, and the advanced abutment pressure increases from 10.31 MPa to 14.62 MPa; the peak value and concentration degree of strain energy density increase with the increase in working face width. (3) Measures were proposed to weaken the hydraulic fracturing roof in advance. After using hydraulic fracturing technology, the pressure step distance of the working surface roof was reduced, and the microseismic energy frequency was significantly reduced. These measures reduced the impact risk of the working face and ensured the safe mining of the working face. Full article
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18 pages, 9188 KiB  
Article
Characteristics of Deep Coal Reservoir and Key Control Factors of Coalbed Methane Accumulation in Linxing Area
by Chuanqi Tao, Yong Li, Yanbin Wang, Xiaoming Ni, Xiang Wu and Shihu Zhao
Energies 2023, 16(16), 6085; https://doi.org/10.3390/en16166085 - 21 Aug 2023
Cited by 6 | Viewed by 1714
Abstract
Deep coalbed methane (CBM, commonly accepted as >1500 m) has enormous exploration and development potential, whereas the commercial development of deep CBM exploration areas wordwide has been quite limited. The Linxing area, with coals buried approximately 2000 m deep, shows great development potential. [...] Read more.
Deep coalbed methane (CBM, commonly accepted as >1500 m) has enormous exploration and development potential, whereas the commercial development of deep CBM exploration areas wordwide has been quite limited. The Linxing area, with coals buried approximately 2000 m deep, shows great development potential. Based on a basic geological analysis of structural and hydrodynamic conditions, combining field tests of reservoir temperature and pressure and indoor measurements of maceral composition, proximate analysis, thermal maturity, porosity and permeability, the factors controlling deep CBM accumulations were discussed. The results show that the present burial depth of the No. 8 + 9 coal seam, mainly between 1698 and 2158 m, exhibits a high reservoir temperature (45.0–64.0 °C) and pressure (15.6–18.8 MPa), except for the uplift area caused by the Zijinshan magma event (with coal depth approximately 1000 m). The maximum vitrinite reflectance (Ro,max) of the coal varies from 1.06% to 1.47%, while the magma-influenced areas reach 3.58% with a relatively high ash content of 31.3% (air-dry basis). The gas content calculated by field desorption tests shows a wide range from 7.18 to 21.64 m3/t. The key factors controlling methane accumulation are concluded from regional geological condition variations. The north area is mainly controlled by structural conditions and the high gas content area located in the syncline zones. The center area is dominated by the Zijinshan magma, with relatively high thermal maturity and a high gas content of as much as 14.5 m3/t. The south area is developed with gentle structural variations, and the gas content is mainly influenced by the regional faults. Furthermore, the groundwater activity in the eastern section is stronger than that in the west, and the hydrodynamic stagnant areas in the western are more beneficial for gas accumulation. The coals vary from 3.35% to 6.50% in porosity and 0.08 to 5.70 mD in permeability; thus, hydrofracturing considering high temperature and pressure should be applied carefully in future reservoir engineering, and the co-production of gas from adjacent tight sandstones also should be evaluated. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section H: Geo-Energy)
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13 pages, 4603 KiB  
Article
Investigation on Hydraulic Fracturing and Flexible Anti-Hydrofracturing Solution for Xiaowan Arch Dam
by Yangfeng Wu, Jinsheng Jia, Yang Wang, Cuiying Zheng, Lei Zhao and Baozhen Jia
Appl. Sci. 2023, 13(16), 9302; https://doi.org/10.3390/app13169302 - 16 Aug 2023
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1440
Abstract
Understanding hydraulic fracturing in concrete super-high arch dams is vital for the implementation of safety measures on the bearing surface. In this study, we conducted tests on hydraulic fracturing for the Xiaowan arch dam (294.5 m) to analyze concrete behavior at cracks under [...] Read more.
Understanding hydraulic fracturing in concrete super-high arch dams is vital for the implementation of safety measures on the bearing surface. In this study, we conducted tests on hydraulic fracturing for the Xiaowan arch dam (294.5 m) to analyze concrete behavior at cracks under various stress conditions. The risk of hydraulic fracturing near the dam heel was identified without compressive stress. Addressing this, we propose a flexible anti-hydrofracturing system using GB sealing material and a spray polyurea coating. Simulation tests on three schemes: ‘3 mm GB plate + 4 mm polyurea’, ‘1 mm GB glue + 5 mm polyurea’, and ‘7 mm polyurea’ showed effective prevention of hydrofracturing at concrete crack openings of 5 mm, 8 mm, or 10 mm under 300 m water pressure. Field tests supported ‘3 mm GB plate + 4 mm polyurea’ and ‘7 mm polyurea’ as optimal solutions for dam sections. Implementation involves a protective block layout with ‘3 mm GB plate + 4 mm polyurea’ on blocks and ‘7 mm polyurea’ in interval zones and corners. Since 2008, maximum leakage, including rock foundation, has remained minimal at 2.78 L/s under regular water levels. These insights aid similar concrete dams in optimizing safety systems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Intelligence and Automation in Construction)
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14 pages, 6170 KiB  
Article
Fast and Slow Earthquakes in Alaska: Implications from a Three-Dimensional Thermal Regime and Slab Metamorphism
by Rui Qu, Yingfeng Ji, Weiling Zhu, Youjia Zhao and Ye Zhu
Appl. Sci. 2022, 12(21), 11139; https://doi.org/10.3390/app122111139 - 3 Nov 2022
Cited by 4 | Viewed by 2268
Abstract
Fast and slow earthquakes are predominantly generated along faults constituting active plate boundaries. Characterized by repeated devastating earthquakes and frequent slow slip events and tremors, the Alaska megathrust presents a chance to understand the complicated dynamics of a subduction system changing from steep [...] Read more.
Fast and slow earthquakes are predominantly generated along faults constituting active plate boundaries. Characterized by repeated devastating earthquakes and frequent slow slip events and tremors, the Alaska megathrust presents a chance to understand the complicated dynamics of a subduction system changing from steep to shallow dips associated with enigmatically abundant fast and slow seismic events. Based on three-dimensional thermal modeling, we find that the downgoing metamorphosed oceanic crust containing bound water releases a large amount of fluid and causes the recurrence of fast and slow earthquakes by elevated pore fluid pressure and hydrofracturing. The seismogenic interface and the slow slip events (SSEs) identified beneath the Upper Cook Inlet coincide well with the slab metamorphic dehydration regions. The observed slow earthquakes with quasi-stable fault slips preferentially occur, accompanied by high dehydration and temperature downdip along the transition zone. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Earth Sciences)
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20 pages, 6961 KiB  
Article
Impact of Shale Gas Exploration and Exploitation Activities on the Quality of Ambient Air—The Case Study of Wysin, Poland
by Janusz Jarosławski, Izabela Pawlak, Jakub Guzikowski and Aleksander Pietruczuk
Atmosphere 2022, 13(8), 1228; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13081228 - 2 Aug 2022
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 2758
Abstract
The continuous two-year monitoring of a set of air pollutants, as well as gases directly related to shale gas exploration processes (methane, non-methane hydrocarbons, carbon dioxide), was carried out at Stary Wiec village in the vicinity (1100 m) of the shale gas wells [...] Read more.
The continuous two-year monitoring of a set of air pollutants, as well as gases directly related to shale gas exploration processes (methane, non-methane hydrocarbons, carbon dioxide), was carried out at Stary Wiec village in the vicinity (1100 m) of the shale gas wells area in Wysin (Pomeranian voivodeship, north of Poland), covering the stages of preparation, drilling, hydrofracturing and closing of wells. The results of analysis of air pollution data from Stary Wiec and nearby urban and rural stations, over the period 2012–2017 (starting three years before preparations for hydraulic fracturing) indicated that Stary Wiec represents a clean rural environment with an average concentration of nitrogen oxides, carbon monoxide and particulate matter that is one of the lowest in the Pomeranian region. The aim of this study was to explore the range of potential impact of shale gas exploration on local ambient air quality. Analysis of dependence of the concentration level of pollutants on the wind direction indicated that during the drilling period, when the air was coming directly from the area of the wells, nitrogen oxide concentration increased by 13%. Increases of concentration during the hydro-fracturing period, recorded at the Stary Wiec station, were equal to 108%, 21%, 18%, 12%, 7%, 4%, 1% for nitrogen oxide, non-methane hydrocarbons, carbon monoxide, nitrogen dioxide, particulate matter, carbon dioxide and methane. The results of one-minute concentration values for the period 1–4 September 2016 showed a series of short peaks up to 7.45 ppm for methane and up to 3.03 ppm for non-methane hydrocarbons, being probably the result of operations carried out at the area of the wells. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Air Quality in Poland)
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15 pages, 7349 KiB  
Article
Deflection of Hydraulic Fractures and Shear Stress Disturbance Considering Thermal Effects: A Numerical Case Study
by Nana Liu and Yongliang Wang
Energies 2022, 15(13), 4888; https://doi.org/10.3390/en15134888 - 4 Jul 2022
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 2124
Abstract
Quantitative characterization of propagation behaviors and morphology of hydraulic fractures is crucial for controlling and optimizing hydrofracturing effects. To study the disturbance deflection behaviors of multiple hydraulic fractures, a three-dimensional field-scale numerical model for multistage fracturing is established to study the shear stress [...] Read more.
Quantitative characterization of propagation behaviors and morphology of hydraulic fractures is crucial for controlling and optimizing hydrofracturing effects. To study the disturbance deflection behaviors of multiple hydraulic fractures, a three-dimensional field-scale numerical model for multistage fracturing is established to study the shear stress disturbance and unstable propagation behavior of hydraulic fractures under different perforation cluster spacing. In the model, the thermal diffusion, fluid flow and deformation in reservoirs are considered to describe the thermal-hydro-mechanical coupling. In the numerical case study, the derived results show that the thermal effect between fracturing fluid and rock matrix is an important factor affecting fracture propagation, and thermal effects may increase the extent of fracture propagation. The size of stress shadow areas and the deflection of hydraulic fractures will increase with a decrease in multiple perforation cluster spacing in horizontal wells. The shear stress disturbance caused by fracture propagation is superimposed in multiple fractures, resulting in the stress shadow effect and deflection of fractures. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Failure and Multiphysical Fields in Geo-Energy)
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17 pages, 6179 KiB  
Article
Dynamic Propagation and Shear Stress Disturbance of Multiple Hydraulic Fractures: Numerical Cases Study via Multi-Well Hydrofracturing Model with Varying Adjacent Spacings
by Yongliang Wang and Nana Liu
Energies 2022, 15(13), 4621; https://doi.org/10.3390/en15134621 - 24 Jun 2022
Cited by 5 | Viewed by 1873
Abstract
Multi-well hydrofracturing is an important technology for forming complex fracture networks and increasing reservoir permeability. The distribution and design of horizontal wells affect fracture propagation; however, it is still unclear how the spacing between adjacent wells leads to fracture propagation, deflection and connection. [...] Read more.
Multi-well hydrofracturing is an important technology for forming complex fracture networks and increasing reservoir permeability. The distribution and design of horizontal wells affect fracture propagation; however, it is still unclear how the spacing between adjacent wells leads to fracture propagation, deflection and connection. In this study, the thermal-hydro-mechanical coupling effect in the hydrofracturing process is comprehensively considered and a multi-well hydrofracturing model based on the finite element–discrete element method is established. Using typical cases, the unstable propagation of hydraulic fractures in multiple horizontal wells under varying adjacent well spacings is studied. Combined with the shear stress shadow caused by in situ stress disturbed by fracture tip propagation, quantitative indexes (such as length, volume, deflection and unstable propagation behaviors of hydrofracturing fracture networks) are analyzed. The results show that the shear stress disturbance caused by multiple hydraulic fractures is a significant factor for multi-well hydrofracturing. Reducing well spacing will increase the stress shadow area and aggravate the mutual disturbance and deflection between fractures. The results of quantitative analysis show that the total length of hydraulic fractures decreases with the decrease of well spacing, and the total volume of hydraulic fractures increases with the decrease of well spacing. The results of unstable propagation and stress evolution of hydraulic fracture networks considering thermal-hydro-mechanical coupling obtained in this study can provide useful guidance for the valuation and design of hydrofracturing fracture networks in deep unconventional oil and gas reservoirs. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section H1: Petroleum Engineering)
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15 pages, 5418 KiB  
Article
A Novel Polarity Correction Method Developed on Cross Correlation Analysis for Downhole Migration-Based Location of Microseismic Events
by Qinghui Mao, Tahir Azeem, Zhixian Gui, Peng Wang and Yu Zhong
Energies 2022, 15(8), 2772; https://doi.org/10.3390/en15082772 - 9 Apr 2022
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1786
Abstract
Migration-based approaches depending on waveform stacking are generally used to locate the microseismic events in hydro-fracturing monitoring. A simple waveform stacking with polarity correction normally provides better results than any of the absolute value-based methods. However, the existing polarity estimation method based on [...] Read more.
Migration-based approaches depending on waveform stacking are generally used to locate the microseismic events in hydro-fracturing monitoring. A simple waveform stacking with polarity correction normally provides better results than any of the absolute value-based methods. However, the existing polarity estimation method based on cross correlation analysis selects only individual waveform as a reference waveform, which may affect the precision of migration-based methods. Therefore, a novel polarity correction method based on cross correlation analysis is introduced for a migration-based location in order to accurately locate the microseismic events in a borehole system. The proposed method selects all waveforms from one event having high signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) as corresponding reference waveforms, instead of only selecting a single high SNR waveform from one target event as the corresponding reference waveform. Compared with the above-mentioned conventional method, this proposed method provides a more accurate migration-based location of microseismic events with minimum error. The presented method was successfully tested on synthetic and field data acquired from a single monitoring well during a hydraulic fracturing process. Our study distinctly demonstrates that the proposed method provides more robust and reliable results, even in low SNR circumstances. Full article
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9 pages, 4649 KiB  
Article
A Hydrofracturing-Triggered Earthquake Occurred Three Years after the Stimulation
by Stanisław Lasocki, Łukasz Rudziński, Antek K. Tokarski and Beata Orlecka-Sikora
Energies 2022, 15(1), 336; https://doi.org/10.3390/en15010336 - 4 Jan 2022
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 2242
Abstract
Hydrofracturing, used for shale gas exploitation, may induce felt, even damaging earthquakes. On 15 June 2019, an Mw2.8 earthquake occurred, spatially correlated with the location of earlier exploratory hydrofracturing operations for shale gas in Wysin in Poland. However, this earthquake was [...] Read more.
Hydrofracturing, used for shale gas exploitation, may induce felt, even damaging earthquakes. On 15 June 2019, an Mw2.8 earthquake occurred, spatially correlated with the location of earlier exploratory hydrofracturing operations for shale gas in Wysin in Poland. However, this earthquake was atypical. Hydrofracturing-triggered seismicity mainly occurs during stimulation; occasionally, it continues a few months after completion of the stimulation. In Wysin, there were only two weaker events during two-month hydrofracturing and then 35 months of seismic silence until the mentioned earthquake occurred. The Wysin site is in Gdańsk Pomerania broader region, located on the very weakly seismically active Precambrian Platform. The historical documents, covering 1000 years, report no natural earthquakes in Gdańsk Pomerania. We conclude, therefore, that despite the never observed before that long lag time after stimulation, the Mw2.8 earthquake was triggered by hydrofracturing. It is possible that its unusually late occurrence in relation to the time of its triggering technological activity was caused by changes in stresses due to time-dependent deformation of reservoir shales. The Wysin earthquake determines a new time horizon for the effect of HF on the stress state, which can lead to triggering earthquakes. Time-dependent deformation and its induced stress changes should be considered in shall gas reservoir exploitation plans. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue No Risk, No Energy)
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22 pages, 15714 KiB  
Article
Forecast of Economic Tight Oil and Gas Production in Permian Basin
by Wardana Saputra, Wissem Kirati and Tadeusz Patzek
Energies 2022, 15(1), 43; https://doi.org/10.3390/en15010043 - 22 Dec 2021
Cited by 11 | Viewed by 5640
Abstract
We adopt a physics-guided, data-driven method to predict the most likely future production from the largest tight oil and gas deposits in North America, the Permian Basin. We first divide the existing 53,708 horizontal hydrofractured wells into 36 spatiotemporal well cohorts based on [...] Read more.
We adopt a physics-guided, data-driven method to predict the most likely future production from the largest tight oil and gas deposits in North America, the Permian Basin. We first divide the existing 53,708 horizontal hydrofractured wells into 36 spatiotemporal well cohorts based on different reservoir qualities and completion date intervals. For each cohort, we fit the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) statistics to the annual production and calculate the means to construct historical well prototypes. Using the physical scaling method, we extrapolate these well prototypes for several more decades. Our hybrid, physico-statistical prototypes are robust enough to history-match the entire production of the Permian mudstone formations. Next, we calculate the infill potential of each sub-region of the Permian and schedule the likely future drilling programs. To evaluate the profitability of each infill scenario, we conduct a robust economic analysis. We estimate that the Permian tight reservoirs contain 54–62 billion bbl of oil and 246–285 trillion scf of natural gas. With time, Permian is poised to be not only the most important tight oil producer in the U.S., but also the most important tight gas producer, surpassing the giant Marcellus shale play. Full article
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