Search Results (20)

With the acceleration of urbanization and the increased frequency of extreme rainfall events, flooding has emerged as one of the most serious natural disaster problems, particularly affecting riparian cities. This study conducted a flooding risk assessment and an analysis of the driving factors behind flood disasters in the Songhua River Basin utilizing an improved Soil Conservation Service Curve Number (SCS-CN) model. First, the model was improved by slope adjustments and effective precipitation coefficient correction, with its performance evaluated using the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (NSE) and the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). Second, flood risk mapping was performed based on the improved model, and the distribution characteristics of the flooding risk were analyzed. Additionally, the Geographical Detector (GD), a spatial statistical method for detecting factor interactions, was employed to explore the influence of natural, economic, and social factors on flooding risk using factor detection and interaction detection methods. The results demonstrated that the improvements to the SCS-CN model encompassed two key aspects: (1) the optimization of the CN value through slope correction, resulting in an optimized CN value of 50.13, and (2) the introduction of a new parameter, the effective precipitation coefficient, calculated based on rainfall intensity and the static infiltration rate, with a value of 0.67. Compared to the original model (NSE = 0.71, rRMSE = 19.96), the improved model exhibited a higher prediction accuracy (NSE = 0.82, rRMSE = 15.88). The flood risk was categorized into five levels based on submersion depth: waterlogged areas, low-risk areas, medium-risk areas, high-risk areas, and extreme-risk areas. In terms of land use, the proportions of high-risk and extreme-risk areas were ranked as follows: water > wetland > cropland > grassland > shrub > forests, with man-made surfaces exacerbating flood risks. Yilan (39.41%) and Fangzheng (31.12%) faced higher flood risks, whereas the A-cheng district (6.4%) and Shuangcheng city (9.4%) had lower flood risks. Factor detection results from the GD revealed that river networks (0.404) were the most significant driver of flooding, followed by the Digital Elevation Model (DEM) (0.35) and the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) (0.327). The explanatory power of natural factors was found to be greater than that of economic and social factors. Interaction detection indicated that interactions between factors had a more significant impact on flooding than individual factors alone, with the highest explanatory power for flood risk observed in the interaction between annual precipitation and DEM (q = 0.762). These findings provide critical insights for understanding the spatial drivers of flood disasters and offer valuable references for disaster prevention and mitigation strategies. Full article

To effectively mitigate service slope disaster risks in mountainous areas and enhance the overall safety of highway operations, based on the geological and structural characteristics of slopes, considering slope technical conditions, overall stability, and potential disaster consequences, 25 important influencing factors are systematically identified. The identification process integrates insights from the relevant literature, expert opinions, and historical disaster maintenance records of such slopes. An integrated approach combining Interpretive Structural Modeling (ISM) and Bayesian Networks (BNs) is utilized to conduct a quantitative analysis of the interrelationships and impact strength of factors influencing the disaster risk of mountainous service highway slopes. The aim is to reveal the causal mechanism of slope disaster risk and provide a scientific basis for risk assessment and prevention strategies. Firstly, the relationship matrix is constructed based on the relevant prior knowledge. Then, the reachability matrix is computed and partitioned into different levels to form a directed graph from which the Bayesian network structure is constructed. Subsequently, the expert’s subjective judgment is further transformed into a set of prior and conditional probabilities embedded in the BN to perform causal inference to predict the probability of risk occurrence. Real-time diagnosis of disaster risk triggers operating slopes using backward reasoning, sensitivity analysis, and strength of influence analysis capabilities. As an example, the earth excavation slope in the mountainous area of Anhui Province is analyzed using the established model. The results showed that the constructed slope failure risk model for mountainous operating highways has good applicability, and the possibility of medium slope failure risk is high with a probability of 34%, where engineering geological conditions, micro-topographic landforms, and the lowest monthly average temperature are the main influencing factors of slope hazard risk for them. The study not only helps deepen the understanding of the evolutionary mechanisms of slope disaster risk but also provides theoretical support and practical guidance for the safe operation and disaster prevention of mountainous highways. The model offers clear risk information, serving as a scientific basis for managing service slope disaster risks. Consequently, it effectively reduces the likelihood of slope disasters and enhances the safety of highway operation. Full article

The presented article discusses the possibilities and methods of carrying out evacuation works in the event of an emergency associated with slope deformation in the built-up area of Šalgovík, Slovak Republic. From the point of view of extraordinary events, slope deformations are a negative phenomenon for every country. Besides the most serious natural disasters such as floods, landslides and earthquakes, slope deformations are in third place in terms of the extent of direct or indirect damage. Moreover, for the above reasons, the presented article discusses the possibilities of area evacuation in the event of an emergency in a given built-up area, where, as described in the article, it is a location that is susceptible to slope deformation. Given that it is a built-up area that is not stabilized for slope deformations and is also active, the article explains the activities of the Integrated Rescue System components in the event of an emergency in the said area. The aim was also to carry out a widespread evacuation, which has different characteristics than normal evacuations in the case of other emergencies since a large part of the territory with a certain number of inhabitants is affected. It should be noted that the evacuation of the said territory must be carried out in a rapid time frame so that the consequences for health and human life are minimal, which is explained in the present article. The activities the individual rescue services perform to carry out the evacuation will have to be conducted in a different way than normal, and for this reason, the cooperation and activities required are different from the activities normally carried out. Full article

Extreme rainfalls could greatly affect operations of urban rail transit systems of mountainous cities, which are prone to have landslides and floods under rainfalls. Therefore, it is essential to assess and enhance the resilience of mountainous urban rail transit networks under heavy rainfalls. Taking the metro network of Chongqing, the largest mountainous city in China, as an example, this study establishes a network topology model to identify the high-risk nodes under rainfalls and find the effective recovery strategies. By introducing the metro ridership and topological shortest distances, a network service efficiency function is developed, and the importance of nodes is quantified using service efficiency index and topological importance index. The resilience assessment model based on service efficiency is constructed using the resilience triangle theory. Additionally, risk levels for landslide and flood-prone areas are classified using the K-means algorithm, based on rainfall, elevation, and slope data, identifying high-risk stations. Finally, the node recovery sequence and strategies for high-risk nodes affected by landslides and floods are examined. The results indicate that in extreme rainfall scenarios, two transfer stations (Daping and Fuhua Road) are among the high-risk landslide stations, while most other nodes have a service efficiency index of less than 0.2. High-risk flood stations are located on non-transfer lines and mostly on metro lines with high traffic flow, with service efficiency index generally high, with some stations, like Bijin Station, exceeding 0.3. When all affected nodes fail, network service efficiency decreases by 84.0% and 75.2% under landslide and flood disasters, respectively. Compared with the random recovery strategy, recovery strategies based on topological importance and service efficiency index, the optimal recovery strategy based on genetic algorithm performs much better. Full article

The rapid detection of landslide phenomena that may be triggered by extreme rainfall events is a critical point concerning timely response and the implementation of mitigation measures. The main goal of the present study is to identify susceptible areas by estimating changes in the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Normalized Difference Moisture Index (NDMI), Bare Soil Index (BSI), and Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) amplitude ratio before and after extreme rainfall events. The developed methodology was utilized in a case study of Storm Daniel, which struck central Greece in September 2023, with a focus on the Mount Pelion region on the Pelion Peninsula. Using Google Earth Engine, we processed satellite imagery to calculate these indices, enabling the assessment of vegetation health, soil moisture, and exposed soil areas, which are key indicators of landslide activity. The methodology integrates these indices with a Weight of Evidence (WofE) model, previously developed to identify regions of high and very high landslide susceptibility based on morphological parameters like slope, aspect, plan and profile curvature, and stream power index. Pre- and post-event imagery was analyzed to detect changes in the indices, and the results were then masked to focus only on high and very high susceptibility areas characterized by the WofE model. The outcomes of the study indicate significant changes in NDVI, NDMI, BSI values, and SAR amplitude ratio within the masked areas, suggesting locations where landslides were likely to have occurred due to the extreme rainfall event. This rapid detection technique provides essential data for emergency services and disaster management teams, enabling them to prioritize areas for immediate response and recovery efforts. Full article

The effective refuge area is a key indicator in the study of emergency shelters. Accurately extracting the effective refuge area and analyzing the effectiveness of emergency shelters are of great significance for site selection, spatial distribution, and the evaluation of suitability. Beijing is one of only three capitals in the world located in a high-seismic-intensity zone of magnitude 8. The fast and accurate monitoring of effective refuge areas and an analysis of the effectiveness of emergency shelters are conducive to evacuation planning and disaster prevention and mitigation, and they promote the construction of a resilient city. However, the extraction of effective refuge areas in existing studies is not only a time-consuming and labor-intensive task but also has accuracy and efficiency problems, resulting in less precise validity analyses. In this paper, a remote sensing monitoring technology system for the effective refuge areas of emergency shelters is proposed based on multi-source data. Different methods were used to extract various land features, such as buildings and collapsed areas, water, dense areas of understory vegetation, and steep slope areas that cannot be evacuated, to obtain the effective refuge area at a detailed scale, in combination with the service radius of emergency shelters, the population distribution, and the actual road network, the criteria for effectiveness analysis were established for the effective open space ratio, capacity, per capita accessible effective refuge area, and population allocation gap. Taking the area within the Fifth Ring Road of Beijing as an example, the effectiveness of emergency shelters was analyzed at both the whole scale and a local scale. The results show that the effective refuge areas of different emergency shelters in Beijing vary significantly, with the smallest effective refuge area being located in Rings 2–3 and the largest one being located in Rings 4–5; between different regions, there are differences in the effectiveness. This study provides a feasible method for the fast, accurate, and detailed extraction of the effective refuge areas of emergency shelters and also provides a reference for emergency planning for disaster prevention and mitigation. Full article

Flood is one of the most frequently occurring and devastating disasters in Nepal. Several locations in Nepal are at high risk of flood, which requires proper guidance on early warning and safe evacuation of people to emergency locations through optimal routes to minimize fatalities. However, the information is limited to flood hazard mapping only. This study provides a comprehensive flood susceptibility and evacuation route mapping in the Siraha Municipality of Nepal where a lot of flood events have occurred in the past and are liable to happen in the future. The flood susceptibility map was created using a Geographic Information System (GIS)-based Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) over nine flood conditioning factors. It showed that 47% of the total area was highly susceptible to flood, and the remaining was in the safe zone. The assembly points where people would gather for evacuation were selected within the susceptible zone through manual digitization while the emergency shelters were selected within a safe zone such that they can host the maximum number of people. The network analysis approach is used for evacuation route mapping in which the closest facility analysis proposed the optimum evacuation route based on the walking speed of evacuees to reach the emergency shelter place considering the effect of slope and flood on the speed of the pedestrian. A total of 12 out of 22 suggested emergency shelters were within 30 min, 7 within 60 min, and 2 within 100 min walk from the assembly point. Moreover, this study suggests the possible areas for further shelter place allocations based on service area analysis. This study can support the authorities’ decision-making for the flood risk assessment and early warning system planning, and helps in providing an efficient evacuation plan for risk mitigation. Full article

Geological disaster could pose a great threat to human development and ecosystem health. An ecological risk assessment of geological disasters is critical for ecosystem management and prevention of risks. Herein, based on the “probability-loss” theory, a framework integrating the hazard, vulnerability, and potential damage for assessing the ecological risk of geological disasters was proposed and applied to Fujian Province. In the process, a random forest (RF) model was implemented for hazard assessment by integrating multiple factors, and landscape indices were adopted to analyze vulnerability. Meanwhile, ecosystem services and spatial population data were used to characterize the potential damage. Furthermore, the factors and mechanisms that impact the hazard and influence risk were analyzed. The results demonstrate that (1) the regions exhibiting high and very high levels of geological hazard cover an area of 10.72% and 4.59%, respectively, and are predominantly concentrated in the northeast and inland regions, often distributed along river valleys. Normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), precipitation, elevation, and slope are the most important factors for the hazard. (2) The high ecological risk of the study area shows local clustering and global dispersion. Additionally, human activities have a significant influence on ecological risk. (3) The assessment results based on the RF model have high reliability with a better performance compared with the information quantity model, especially when identifying high-level hazard areas. Our study will improve research on the ecological risk posed by geological disasters and provide effective information for ecological planning and disaster mitigation. Full article

Submarine landslides have attracted widespread attention, with the continuous development of ocean engineering. Due to the recent developments of in-situ investigation and modelling techniques of submarine landslides, significant improvements were achieved in the evolution studies on submarine landslides. The general characteristics of typical submarine landslides in the world are analyzed. Based on this, three stages of submarine landslide disaster evolution are proposed, namely, the submarine slope instability evolution stage, the large deformation landslide movement stage, and the stage of submarine landslide deposition. Given these three stages, the evolution process of submarine landslide disaster is revealed from the perspectives of in-situ investigation techniques, physical simulation, and numerical simulation methods, respectively. For long-term investigation of submarine landslides, an in-situ monitoring system with long-term service and multi-parameter collaborative observation deserves to be developed. The mechanism of submarine landslide evolution and the early warning factors need to be further studied by physical modelling experiments. The whole process of the numerical simulation of submarine landslides, from seabed instability to large deformation sliding to the impact on marine structures, and economizing the computational costs of models by advanced techniques such as parallel processing and GPU-accelerators, are the key development directions in numerical simulation. The current research deficiencies and future development directions in the subject of submarine landslides are proposed to provide a useful reference for the prediction and early warning of submarine landslide disasters. Full article

Nature-Based Solutions for Integrated Water Resources Management (NbS-IWRM) involve natural, or nature-mimicking, processes used to improve water availability in quantity and quality sustainably, reduce the risks of water-related disasters, enhance adaptation to climate change and increase both biodiversity and the social-ecological system’s resilience. United Nations and the European Commission promote their research as a cornerstone in the changeover to the Ecological Transition. In the Sierra Nevada range (Spain) and the Andean Cordillera, there is a paradigmatic and ancestral example of NbS-IWRM known as “careo channels” and “amunas”, respectively. They recharge slope aquifers in mountain areas and consist of an extensive network of channels that infiltrate the runoff water generated during the snow-thawing and rainy season into the upper parts of the slopes. The passage of water through the aquifers in the slope is used to regulate the water resources of the mountain areas and thus ensure the duration of water availability for the downstream local population and generate multiple ecosystem services. This form of water management is known as Water Sowing and Harvesting (WS&H). As shown in this work, it is a living example of a resilience and climate change adaptation tool that can be qualified as a nature-based solution. Full article

Flash floods are the most dangerous kinds of floods because they combine the destructive power of a flood with incredible speed. They occur when heavy rainfall exceeds the ability of the ground to absorb it. The main aim of this study is to generate flash flood maps using Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Frequency Ratio (FR) models in the river’s floodplain between the Jhelum River and Chenab rivers. A total of eight flash flood-causative physical parameters are considered for this study. Six parameters are based on remote sensing images of the Advanced Land Observation Satellite (ALOS), Digital Elevation Model (DEM), and Sentinel-2 Satellite, which include slope, elevation, distance from the stream, drainage density, flow accumulation, and land use/land cover (LULC), respectively. The other two parameters are soil and geology, which consist of different rock and soil formations, respectively. In the case of AHP, each of the criteria is allotted an estimated weight according to its significant importance in the occurrence of flash floods. In the end, all the parameters were integrated using weighted overlay analysis in which the influence value of drainage density was given the highest weight. The analysis shows that a distance of 2500 m from the river has values of FR ranging from 0.54, 0.56, 1.21, 1.26, and 0.48, respectively. The output zones were categorized into very low, low, moderate, high, and very high risk, covering 7354, 5147, 3665, 2592, and 1343 km², respectively. Finally, the results show that the very high flood areas cover 1343 km², or 6.68% of the total area. The Mangla, Marala, and Trimmu valleys were identified as high-risk zones of the study area, which have been damaged drastically many times by flash floods. It provides policy guidelines for risk managers, emergency and disaster response services, urban and infrastructure planners, hydrologists, and climate scientists. Full article

The ecological environment is important for the natural disaster prevention of human society. The monitoring of ecological environment quality has far-reaching practical significance for the functional construction of ecosystem services and policy coordination. Based on Landsat 8 operational land image (OLI)/thermal infrared sensor (TIRS) remote sensing image data, this study selected the normalized vegetation (NDVI), tasseled cap transformation humidity (WI), bare soil (SI), construction index (NDSI), and land surface temperature (LST) indexes from the aspects of greenness, humidity, dryness, and heat. Using spatial principal component analysis (SPCA) and the remote sensing ecological index (RSEI) analyzed the spatial differentiation characteristics and influencing factors of the original remote sensing ecological index (RSEI₀). The results showed that: (1) the overall RSEI average value of the Qinling-Daba Mountains in 2017 was 0.61, and the ecological environment quality was at a “Good” level. Greenness contributed the most to the comprehensive index of the area, and vegetation distribution had a significant impact on the ecological environment quality of the study area. Heat is a secondary impact, and it has an inhibitory effect on habitat quality; (2) the overall distribution of regional ecological environment quality was quite different, with the ecological environment quality level showing a decreasing trend from low to high altitude; RSEI₀ spatial heterogeneity at the optimal scale of 2 km was the largest, and the nugget effect was 88% which indicated a high degree of spatial variability, mainly affected by structural factors; (3) Slope, relief amplitude, elevation, the proportion of high-vegetation area, proportion of construction land area, and average population density significantly impact the spatial differentiation of RSEI₀. The explanatory powers of slope and relief amplitude were 56.1% and 65.3%, respectively, which were the main factors affecting the spatial differentiation of the ecological environment quality in high undulation. The results can provide important scientific support for ecological environment construction and ecological restoration in the study area. Full article

The accelerating speed of urbanization has a negative impact on environmental degradation, leading to the imbalance in land-use structure and scarcity of its resources. The imbalance of the existing land-use structure and function distribution, along with the scarcity of land resources, were improved in this article to provide people with more a rational use of land service space. This article specifically contributes to the establishment of an evaluation index system for the evaluation of the suitability of urban land using Geographic Information System (GIS) technology. The topographic aspect of the planning area was determined by the filling and excavation of depth factors and terrain elevation of the planning area. This article also contributes to determining the topographic slope of the planning area and evaluation index weight for the analysis of superposition factors. GIS data processing methods, document analysis methods, and mathematical models are used to evaluate the suitability of construction land. The results of geological engineering, geological foundation, environment, and geological disasters of the northern New Area of Yan’an are combined, and the appropriate evaluation indicators are selected. The results show that the prohibited planning construction area accounts for about 4% of the total planning area. Appropriate construction and more suitable construction in the entire region account for about 96%. The mountain system is connected in form and meaning, and a rainwater collection and management system is established. The proposed method of intercepting flood ditch at the foot of the mountain was designed and adopted, followed by eventual realization of rainwater recycling and safe flood control, making urban land use more reasonable. Therefore, urban land planning is provided with a reasonable reference basis. Full article

Pakistan is a flood-prone country and almost every year, it is hit by floods of varying magnitudes. This study was conducted to generate a flash flood map using analytical hierarchy process (AHP) and frequency ratio (FR) models in the ArcGIS 10.6 environment. Eight flash-flood-causing physical parameters were considered for this study. Five parameters were based on the digital elevation model (DEM), Advanced Land Observation Satellite (ALOS), and Sentinel-2 satellite, including distance from the river and drainage density slope, elevation, and land cover, respectively. Two other parameters were geology and soil, consisting of different rock and soil formations, respectively, where both layers were classified based on their resistance against water percolation. One parameter was rainfall. Rainfall observation data obtained from five meteorological stations exist close to the Chitral District, Pakistan. According to its significant importance in the occurrence of a flash flood, each criterion was allotted an estimated weight with the help of AHP and FR. In the end, all the parameters were integrated using weighted overlay analysis in which the influence value of the drainage density was given the highest value. This gave the output in terms of five flood risk zones: very high risk, high risk, moderate risk, low risk, and very low risk. According to the results, 1168 km², that is, 8% of the total area, showed a very high risk of flood occurrence. Reshun, Mastuj, Booni, Colony, and some other villages were identified as high-risk zones of the study area, which have been drastically damaged many times by flash floods. This study is pioneering in its field and provides policy guidelines for risk managers, emergency and disaster response services, urban and infrastructure planners, hydrologists, and climate scientists. Full article

Biped robots are similar to human beings and have broad application prospects in the fields of family service, disaster rescue and military affairs. However, simplified models and fixed center of mass (COM) used in previous research ignore the large-scale stability control ability implied by whole-body motion. The present paper proposed a two-level controller based on a simplified model and whole-body dynamics. In high level, a model predictive control (MPC) controller is implemented to improve zero moment point (ZMP) control performance. In low level, a quadratic programming optimization method is adopted to realize trajectory tracking and stabilization with friction and joint constraints. The simulation shows that a 12-degree-of-freedom force-controlled biped robot model, adopting the method proposed in this paper, can recover from a 40 Nm disturbance when walking at 1.44 km/h without adjusting the foot placement, and can walk on an unknown 4 cm high stairs and a rotating slope with a maximum inclination of 10°. The method is also adopted to realize fast walking up to 6 km/h. Full article