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Keywords = settlement prediction model

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32 pages, 11005 KB  
Article
Bias Correction of Satellite-Derived Climatic Datasets for Water Balance Estimation
by Gudihalli M. Rajesh, Sudarshan Prasad, Sudhir Kumar Singh, Nadhir Al-Ansari, Ali Salem and Mohamed A. Mattar
Water 2025, 17(17), 2626; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17172626 - 5 Sep 2025
Abstract
The satellite-derived climatic variables offer extensive spatial and temporal coverage for research; however, their inherent biases can subsequently reduce their accuracy for water balance estimate. This study evaluates the effectiveness of bias correction in improving the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) rainfall and [...] Read more.
The satellite-derived climatic variables offer extensive spatial and temporal coverage for research; however, their inherent biases can subsequently reduce their accuracy for water balance estimate. This study evaluates the effectiveness of bias correction in improving the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) rainfall and the Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) land surface temperature (LST) data and illustrates their long-term (2000–2019) hydrological assessment. The novelty lies in coupling the bias-corrected climate variables with the Thornthwaite–Mather water balance model as well as land use land cover (LULC) for improved predictive hydrological modeling. Bias correction significantly improved the agreement with ground observations, enhancing the R2 value from 0.89 to 0.96 for temperature and from 0.73 to 0.80 for rainfall, making targeted inputs ready to predict hydrological dynamics. LULC mapping showed a predominance of agricultural land (64.5%) in the area followed by settlements (20.0%), forest (7.3%), barren land (6.5%), and water bodies (1.7%), with soils being silt loam, clay loam, and clay. With these improved datasets, the model found seasonal rise in potential evapotranspiration (PET), peaking at 120.7 mm in June, with actual evapotranspiration (AET) following a similar trend. The annual water balance showed a surplus of 523.8 mm and deficit of 121.2 mm, which proves that bias correction not only enhances the reliability of satellite data but also reinforces the credibility of hydrological indicators, with a direct, positive impact on evidence-based irrigation planning and flood mitigation and drought management, especially in data-scarce regions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Water and Climate Change)
24 pages, 21340 KB  
Article
Surface Deformation Monitoring and Prediction of InSAR-Hybrid Deep Learning Model for Subsidence Funnels
by Fuqiang Wang, Quanming Liu, Ruiping Li, Sinan Wang, Huiqiang Wang, Junzhi Wang, Xiaoming Ma, Liying Zhou and Yanxin Wang
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(17), 2972; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17172972 - 27 Aug 2025
Viewed by 534
Abstract
Mining subsidence is a pervasive geohazard in coal basins, and precise and reliable deformation monitoring is essential to effective risk mitigation. Conventional time-series Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) suffers from vegetation-induced decorrelation and atmospheric delays. Most predictive models leverage only temporal information. We [...] Read more.
Mining subsidence is a pervasive geohazard in coal basins, and precise and reliable deformation monitoring is essential to effective risk mitigation. Conventional time-series Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) suffers from vegetation-induced decorrelation and atmospheric delays. Most predictive models leverage only temporal information. We introduced an integrated DS InSAR + CNN LSTM framework for subsidence monitoring and forecasting. Forty-three Sentinel-1A scenes (2017–2018), corrected with Generic Atmospheric Correction Online Service for InSAR (GACOS) data, were processed to derive cumulative deformation, cross-validated against multi-view SBAS InSAR, and used to train a CNN LSTM network that predicts trends one year in advance. The findings indicate that (1) DS InSAR provides 2.83 times the monitoring density of SBAS InSAR, with deformation rate R2 = 0.83, RMSE = 0.0028 m/a, and MAE = 0.0019 m/a at common pixels. The RMS average decrease in GACOS atmospheric delay phase correction is 2.52 mm. (2) High- and low-settlement zones comprise 0.11% and 92.32% of the area, respectively; maximum velocity reaches 190.61 mm/a, with a cumulative subsidence of −338.33 mm. (3) Across the five zones with the most severe subsidence, the CNN–LSTM model attains R2 values of 0.97–0.99 and RMSE below 1 mm, markedly outperforming the standalone LSTM network. (4) Deformation correlated strongly with geological structures, groundwater decline (R2 = 0.66–0.78), and precipitation (slope > 0.33), highlighting coupled natural and anthropogenic control. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Surface Deformation Monitoring Using SAR Interferometry)
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21 pages, 3523 KB  
Article
A Study on the Negative Friction Mechanisms in Piles Within Recycled Dredged Waste Fills
by Xiangyang Hou, Wei Sun, Yongle Chen, Xiaoli Yi, Yaohui Liu and Lulu Liu
Materials 2025, 18(16), 3904; https://doi.org/10.3390/ma18163904 - 21 Aug 2025
Viewed by 573
Abstract
Green and low-carbon filling materials, primarily composed of dredged waste fills, are commonly used in the foundation of coastal highways. These materials possess high water content and under-consolidation characteristics, which can lead to differential settlement between piles and the surrounding environment. However, mechanical [...] Read more.
Green and low-carbon filling materials, primarily composed of dredged waste fills, are commonly used in the foundation of coastal highways. These materials possess high water content and under-consolidation characteristics, which can lead to differential settlement between piles and the surrounding environment. However, mechanical models of negative friction in piles within recycled dredged waste fills are insufficiently developed and presented. A mechanical model for the negative friction of a single pile in a composite foundation, consisting of dredged waste fills and other materials, is established based on the load transfer method. Through centrifugal model testing and numerical simulations, the development of negative friction and the migration pattern of the neutral point are analyzed and clarified. The results show that the theoretical model based on improved transfer function can effectively predict the neutral point position and negative friction value (average relative error < 6.5%). The theoretical analysis and experimental results indicate that the downward load due to negative friction increases nonlinearly. The loading strength exhibits a clear relationship with the consolidation process. Additionally, the dynamic evolution of the neutral point position is strongly correlated with consolidation of dredged fills. The size of pile foundation significantly influences the distribution of negative friction. Results show that the increment in negative friction for a pile with a 1.05 m diameter is 7.3% higher than that for a pile with a 1.5 m diameter. Smaller-diameter piles are more susceptible to negative friction due to the higher friction strength per unit area. The negative frictional resistance will enter a stable period after 50 months of settlement. The investigation can provide significant references for the design of pile foundations in areas with reclaimed materials, improving the stability and safety of pile foundations in practical engineering. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Construction and Building Materials)
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18 pages, 10610 KB  
Article
Development of an Intelligent Monitoring System for Settlement Prediction of High-Fill Subgrade
by Manhong Liao, Kai Wang, Xin Zhou, Liang Tian, Junxin Wang, Haopeng Zhang, Yunchuan Du and Enhui Yang
Infrastructures 2025, 10(8), 220; https://doi.org/10.3390/infrastructures10080220 - 20 Aug 2025
Viewed by 317
Abstract
There is currently no mature calculation theory to accurately predict the settlement of high-fill subgrade. This paper developed an intelligent monitoring system to accurately predict the settlement of high-fill subgrade based on on-site experiments, and the back-propagation (BP) neural network model was used [...] Read more.
There is currently no mature calculation theory to accurately predict the settlement of high-fill subgrade. This paper developed an intelligent monitoring system to accurately predict the settlement of high-fill subgrade based on on-site experiments, and the back-propagation (BP) neural network model was used to predict the settlement of high-fill subgrade. The results show that multiple data preprocessing methods built into intelligent systems can automatically generate multi-point and correlation curves, and the system can identify and distinguish various influencing factors to improve the accuracy and reliability of monitoring data. There will be a certain initial settlement of subgrade in the initial stage after filling construction is completed, and the settlement rate at this stage is relatively fast. Afterwards, the soil enters a rapid consolidation stage, and the settlement rate of subgrade gradually slows down. Finally, the filling soil consolidation becomes stable, and the rate of subgrade settlement enters a relatively stable stage. In addition, the BP neural network model is a good method for predicting the settlement of high-fill subgrade. The research findings can provide inspiration for developing an intelligent monitoring system to accurately predict the settlement of high-fill subgrade. Full article
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16 pages, 3542 KB  
Article
Design and Numerical Analysis of a Combined Pile–Raft Foundation for a High-Rise in a Sensitive Urban Environment
by Steffen Leppla, Arnoldas Norkus, Martynas Karbočius and Viktor Gribniak
Buildings 2025, 15(16), 2933; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15162933 - 19 Aug 2025
Viewed by 543
Abstract
Designing deep foundations in densely urbanized areas presents significant challenges due to complex soil conditions, high groundwater levels, and the proximity of sensitive infrastructure. This study addresses these challenges through the development and numerical analysis of a combined pile–raft foundation (CPRF) system for [...] Read more.
Designing deep foundations in densely urbanized areas presents significant challenges due to complex soil conditions, high groundwater levels, and the proximity of sensitive infrastructure. This study addresses these challenges through the development and numerical analysis of a combined pile–raft foundation (CPRF) system for a 75 m tall hotel tower in Frankfurt am Main, Germany. The construction site is characterized by heterogeneous soil layers and is located adjacent to a historic quay wall and bridge abutments, necessitating strict deformation control and robust structural performance. A comprehensive three-dimensional finite element model was developed using PLAXIS 3D to simulate staged construction and soil–structure interaction (SSI). The CPRF system comprises a 2 m thick triangular raft and 34 large-diameter bored piles (1.5 m in diameter, 40–45 m in length), designed to achieve a load-sharing ratio of 0.89. The raft contributes significantly to the overall bearing capacity, reducing bending moments and settlement. The predicted settlement of the high-rise structure remains within 45 mm, while displacement of adjacent heritage structures does not exceed critical thresholds (≤30 mm), ensuring compliance with serviceability criteria. The study provides validated stiffness parameters for superstructure design and demonstrates the effectiveness of CPRF systems in mitigating geotechnical risks in historically sensitive urban environments. By integrating advanced numerical modeling with staged construction simulation and heritage preservation criteria, the research contributes to the evolving practice of performance-based foundation design. The findings support the broader applicability of CPRFs in infrastructure-dense settings and offer a methodological framework for future projects involving complex SSI and cultural heritage constraints. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Construction Management, and Computers & Digitization)
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35 pages, 10269 KB  
Article
Effect of Environmental Variability on Lobster Stocks (Panulirus) in Waters off Brazil and Cuba
by Raul Cruz, Antônio G. Ferreira, João V. M. Santana, Marina T. Torres, Juliana C. Gaeta, Jessica L. S. Da Silva, Carlos G. Barreto, Carlos A. Borda, Jade O. Abreu, Rafael D. Viana, Francisco R. de Lima and Israel H. A. Cintra
Diversity 2025, 17(8), 572; https://doi.org/10.3390/d17080572 - 15 Aug 2025
Viewed by 496
Abstract
We evaluated the impact of environmental variability on lobster Panulirus argus and Panulirus laevicauda resources in the waters off Brazil and southern Cuba. This study also covered aspects of larval recruitment associated with the availability of fishing resources in the Southern and Northern [...] Read more.
We evaluated the impact of environmental variability on lobster Panulirus argus and Panulirus laevicauda resources in the waters off Brazil and southern Cuba. This study also covered aspects of larval recruitment associated with the availability of fishing resources in the Southern and Northern Hemispheres. Satellite-generated environmental data were sampled from 18 stations, 6 of which were in the sea off southern Cuba, 6 of which were in the coastal region of Brazil, and 6 of which were offshore near Brazil, covering important lobster fishing grounds and phyllosoma-rich areas of ocean surface circulation along the offshore boundary. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) was used to quantify the global ocean–atmosphere variability. Other environmental parameters included in the analysis were the monthly coastal sea levels, surface temperature (SST), salinity, wind/current speed, chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) concentrations, rainfall (RF), and Amazon River discharge (ARD). Variations in the level of puerulus settlement, juveniles, and population harvest in the coastal region of Brazil and Cuba were used to better understand the impact of environmental variability on organisms in their larval stages and their subsequent recruitment to fisheries. The surface temperature, chlorophyll-a concentration, and wind/current patterns were significantly associated with the variability in puerulus settlement. Larger-scale processes (as proxied by the SOI) affected RF, ARD, and sea levels, which reached a maximum during La Niña. As for Brazil, the full-year landings prediction model included Chl-a concentration, SST, RF, and ARD and their association with lobster landings (LLs). The landing predictions for Cuba were based on fluctuations in the Chl-a concentration and SST. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Ecology and Biogeography of Marine Benthos—2nd Edition)
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20 pages, 1045 KB  
Article
Linking Life Satisfaction to Settlement Intention: The Moderating Role of Urban Regeneration Budget Execution in South Korea
by Min-Woo Lee and Kuk-Kyoung Moon
Systems 2025, 13(8), 699; https://doi.org/10.3390/systems13080699 - 15 Aug 2025
Viewed by 519
Abstract
This study investigates urban life satisfaction and residents’ settlement intention as emergent outcomes of interconnected urban systems and examines the moderating role of urban regeneration budget execution as a systemic policy input. Drawing on the bottom-up spillover perspective and policy feedback theory, this [...] Read more.
This study investigates urban life satisfaction and residents’ settlement intention as emergent outcomes of interconnected urban systems and examines the moderating role of urban regeneration budget execution as a systemic policy input. Drawing on the bottom-up spillover perspective and policy feedback theory, this study posits that satisfaction with core aspects of urban living—such as housing, transportation, and public safety—reflects the functioning of multiple interrelated urban subsystems, which accumulate into a global sense of well-being that influences settlement intention. Furthermore, when urban regeneration budgets are visibly and fully executed, they operate as institutional feedback mechanisms, leading residents to attribute their life satisfaction to effective system performance and reinforcing their desire to stay. Using survey data from Incheon Metropolitan City and Gyeonggi Province in South Korea, the study employs stereotype logistic regression to test the proposed model. The findings reveal that urban life satisfaction significantly predicts stronger settlement intention, and this effect is amplified in municipalities with higher levels of budget execution. These results contribute to theoretical understanding by linking subjective well-being with institutional performance and offer practical guidance for South Korean local governments seeking to strengthen community resilience through transparent and outcome-driven urban policy delivery. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Systems Practice in Social Science)
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29 pages, 6701 KB  
Article
Semi-Analytical Method for the Response of Existing Tunnels to Tunneling Considering the Tunnel–Soil Interaction Based on the Modified Gaussian Function
by Hualin Zhang, Ahmed Altaib Hussain Suliman Hussain, Lv Liu, Chaoqun Huang, Dong Huang, Rongzhu Liang and Wenbing Wu
Buildings 2025, 15(16), 2849; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15162849 - 12 Aug 2025
Viewed by 463
Abstract
The behavior response of an existing shield tunnel to under-cross tunneling is fundamentally governed by the tunnel–soil interaction. In this study, the existing tunnel is simplified as a single-variable Timoshenko beam to address the shear locking issue of the conventional Timoshenko beam. An [...] Read more.
The behavior response of an existing shield tunnel to under-cross tunneling is fundamentally governed by the tunnel–soil interaction. In this study, the existing tunnel is simplified as a single-variable Timoshenko beam to address the shear locking issue of the conventional Timoshenko beam. An elastic continuum solution, which can be degenerated into the Winkler–Timoshenko model, is established by considering the tunnel–soil interaction to evaluate the existing tunnel’s response to underlying tunneling. Meanwhile, greenfield settlement is described using a modified Gaussian function to fit practical engineering cases. The joint opening and segmental dislocation are also quantified. The applicability of the proposed method is validated by two reported engineering cases, where measured greenfield settlements are used to verify the modified Peck formula. Key parameters, including the ground loss rate, intersection angle, tunnel–soil stiffness factor, and vertical clearance, are discussed. The results show that the proposed method can provide references for predicting the potential diseases of existing tunnels affected by new tunnel excavation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Soil–Structure Interactions for Civil Infrastructure)
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24 pages, 14222 KB  
Article
Integrated Assessment of Groundwater Quality Using Water Quality Indices, Geospatial Analysis, and Neural Networks in a Rural Hungarian Settlement
by Dániel Balla, Levente Tari, András Hajdu, Emőke Kiss, Marianna Zichar and Tamás Mester
Water 2025, 17(16), 2371; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17162371 - 10 Aug 2025
Viewed by 628
Abstract
In the present study, the changes in the groundwater quality in a Hungarian settlement, Báránd, were examined, nine years after the construction of a sewerage network. The sewerage network in the study area was completed in 2014, with a household connection rate exceeding [...] Read more.
In the present study, the changes in the groundwater quality in a Hungarian settlement, Báránd, were examined, nine years after the construction of a sewerage network. The sewerage network in the study area was completed in 2014, with a household connection rate exceeding 97% in 2023. In the summer of 2023, water samples were taken from 37 dug groundwater wells. Changes in the water quality were assessed using three water quality indicators (the Water Quality Index (WQI), Contamination degree (Cd), and Canadian Council of Ministers of the Environment Water Quality Index (CCME WQI)) and geographic information (GIS), data visualization systems, and artificial intelligence (AI). During the evaluation of the quality of the groundwater, eight water chemical parameters were used (pH, EC, NH4+, NO2, NO3, PO43−, COD, Na+). Based on interpolated maps and water quality indices, it was established that while an increasing portion of the area exhibits adequate or good water quality compared to the pre-sewerage period, a deterioration has occurred relative to recent years. Even nine years after the sewerage network construction, elevated concentrations of inorganic nitrogen forms and organic matter persist, indicating the continued presence of accumulated pollutants, as confirmed by all three water quality indicators to varying degrees and spatial patterns. The interactive data visualization and cloud-based sharing of the data of the water quality geodatabase were made freely available with the help of Tableau Public. A Feed-Forward Neural Network (FFNN) was developed to predict the groundwater quality, estimating the water quality statuses of three water quality indicators based on water chemistry parameters. The results showed that the applied training algorithms and activation functions proved to be the most effective in the case of different network structures. The most accurate prediction of the WQI and CCME WQI indicators was provided by the Bayesian control algorithm (trainbr), which achieved the lowest mean-squared error (RMSEWQI = 0.1205, RMSECCME WQI = 0.1305) and the highest determination coefficient (R2WQI = 0.9916, R2CCME WQI = 0.9838). For the Cd index, the accuracy of the model was lower (RMSE = 0.1621, R2 = 0.9714), suggesting that this indicator is more difficult to predict. With regard to our study, it should be emphasized that data visualization is a particularly practical tool for the post-processing of spatial monitoring data, as it is suitable for displaying information in an intuitive, visual form, for discovering spatial patterns and relationships, and for performing real-time analyses. AI is expected to further increase visualization efficiency in the future, enabling the rapid processing of large amounts of data and spatial databases, as well as the identification of complex patterns. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Urban Water Pollution Control: Theory and Technology)
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30 pages, 3996 KB  
Article
Incentive-Compatible Mechanism Design for Medium- and Long-Term/Spot Market Coordination in High-Penetration Renewable Energy Systems
by Sicong Wang, Weiqing Wang, Sizhe Yan and Qiuying Li
Processes 2025, 13(8), 2478; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13082478 - 6 Aug 2025
Viewed by 495
Abstract
In line with the goals of “peak carbon emissions and carbon neutrality”, this study aims to develop a market-coordinated operation mechanism to promote renewable energy adoption and consumption, addressing the challenges of integrating medium- and long-term trading with spot markets in power systems [...] Read more.
In line with the goals of “peak carbon emissions and carbon neutrality”, this study aims to develop a market-coordinated operation mechanism to promote renewable energy adoption and consumption, addressing the challenges of integrating medium- and long-term trading with spot markets in power systems with high renewable energy penetration. A three-stage joint operation framework is proposed. First, a medium- and long-term trading game model is established, considering multiple energy types to optimize the benefits of market participants. Second, machine learning algorithms are employed to predict renewable energy output, and a contract decomposition mechanism is developed to ensure a smooth transition from medium- and long-term contracts to real-time market operations. Finally, a day-ahead market-clearing strategy and an incentive-compatible settlement mechanism, incorporating the constraints from contract decomposition, are proposed to link the two markets effectively. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed mechanism effectively enhances resource allocation and stabilizes market operations, leading to significant revenue improvements across various generation units and increased renewable energy utilization. Specifically, thermal power units achieve a 19.12% increase in revenue, while wind and photovoltaic units show more substantial gains of 38.76% and 47.52%, respectively. Concurrently, the mechanism drives a 10.61% increase in renewable energy absorption capacity and yields a 13.47% improvement in Tradable Green Certificate (TGC) utilization efficiency, confirming its overall effectiveness. This research shows that coordinated optimization between medium- and long-term/spot markets, combined with a well-designed settlement mechanism, significantly strengthens the market competitiveness of renewable energy, providing theoretical support for the market-based operation of the new power system. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Energy Systems)
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25 pages, 5704 KB  
Article
A Robust Framework for Bamboo Forest AGB Estimation by Integrating Geostatistical Prediction and Ensemble Learning
by Lianjin Fu, Qingtai Shu, Cuifen Xia, Zeyu Li, Hailing He, Zhengying Li, Shaoyang Ma, Chaoguan Qin, Rong Wei, Qin Xiang, Xiao Zhang, Yiran Zhang and Huashi Cai
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(15), 2682; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17152682 - 3 Aug 2025
Viewed by 423
Abstract
Accurate above-ground biomass (AGB) quantification is confounded by signal saturation and data fusion challenges, particularly in structurally complex ecosystems like bamboo forests. To address these gaps, this study developed a two-stage framework to map the AGB of Dendrocalamus giganteus in a subtropical mountain [...] Read more.
Accurate above-ground biomass (AGB) quantification is confounded by signal saturation and data fusion challenges, particularly in structurally complex ecosystems like bamboo forests. To address these gaps, this study developed a two-stage framework to map the AGB of Dendrocalamus giganteus in a subtropical mountain environment. This study first employed Empirical Bayesian Kriging Regression Prediction (EBKRP) to spatialize sparse GEDI and ICESat-2 LiDAR metrics using Sentinel-2 and topographic covariates. Subsequently, a stacked ensemble model, integrating four machine learning algorithms, predicted AGB from the full suite of continuous variables. The stacking model achieved high predictive accuracy (R2 = 0.84, RMSE = 11.07 Mg ha−1) and substantially mitigated the common bias of underestimating high AGB, improving the predicted observed regression slope from a base model average of 0.63 to 0.81. Furthermore, SHAP analysis provided mechanistic insights, identifying the canopy photon rate as the dominant predictor and quantifying the ecological thresholds governing AGB distribution. The mean AGB density was 71.8 ± 21.9 Mg ha−1, with its spatial pattern influenced by elevation and human settlements. This research provides a robust framework for synergizing multi-source remote sensing data to improve AGB estimation, offering a refined methodological pathway for large-scale carbon stock assessments. Full article
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17 pages, 3061 KB  
Article
Model-Agnostic Meta-Learning in Predicting Tunneling-Induced Surface Ground Deformation
by Wei He, Guan-Bin Chen, Wenlian Qian, Wen-Li Chen, Liang Tang and Xiangxun Kong
Symmetry 2025, 17(8), 1220; https://doi.org/10.3390/sym17081220 - 2 Aug 2025
Viewed by 396
Abstract
The present investigation presents the field measurement and prediction of tunneling-induced surface ground settlement in Tianjin Metro Line 7, China. The cross-section of a metro tunnel exhibits circular symmetry, thereby making it suitable for tunneling with a circular shield machine. The ground surface [...] Read more.
The present investigation presents the field measurement and prediction of tunneling-induced surface ground settlement in Tianjin Metro Line 7, China. The cross-section of a metro tunnel exhibits circular symmetry, thereby making it suitable for tunneling with a circular shield machine. The ground surface may deform during the tunneling stage. In the early stage of tunneling, few measurement data can be collected. To obtain a better usable prediction model, two kinds of neural networks according to the model-agnostic meta-learning (MAML) scheme are presented. One kind of deep learning strategy is a combination of the Back-Propagation Neural Network (BPNN) and the MAML model, named MAML-BPNN. The other prediction model is a mixture of the MAML model and the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model, named MAML-LSTM. Founded on several measurement datasets, the prediction models of the MAML-BPNN and MAML-LSTM are successfully trained. The results show the present models possess good prediction ability for tunneling-induced surface ground settlement. Based on the coefficient of determination, the prediction result using MAML-LSTM is superior to that of MAML-BPNN by 0.1. Full article
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21 pages, 2355 KB  
Article
Analysis of Residents’ Understanding of Encroachment Risk to Water Infrastructure in Makause Informal Settlement in the City of Ekurhuleni
by Mpondomise Nkosinathi Ndawo, Dennis Dzansi and Stephen Loh Tangwe
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(8), 294; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9080294 - 29 Jul 2025
Viewed by 795
Abstract
This study investigates the encroachment risk in the Makause informal settlement by analysing resident survey data to identify key contributing factors and build predictive models. Encroachment threatens the water infrastructure through damage, contamination, and service disruptions, highlighting the need for informed, community-based planning. [...] Read more.
This study investigates the encroachment risk in the Makause informal settlement by analysing resident survey data to identify key contributing factors and build predictive models. Encroachment threatens the water infrastructure through damage, contamination, and service disruptions, highlighting the need for informed, community-based planning. The data was collected from 105 residents, with responses (“Yes,” “No,” “Unsure”) analysed using descriptive statistics and a one-way ANOVA to identify significant differences across categories. The ReliefF algorithm was used to rank the importance of features predicting the encroachment risk. These inputs were then used to train, validate, and test an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model. The Artificial Neural Network demonstrated a high predictive accuracy, achieving correlation coefficients above 95% and low mean squared errors. The ANOVA identified statistically significant mean differences for selected variables, while ReliefF helped determine the most influential predictors. A high agreement level (p > 0.900) between predicted and actual responses confirmed the model’s validity. This research introduces an innovative, data-driven framework that integrates machine learning and a statistical analysis to support municipalities and utility providers in engaging informal communities to protect infrastructure. While this study is limited to Makause and may be affected by a self-reported bias, it demonstrates the potential of Artificial Neural Networks and ReliefF in enhancing the risk analysis and infrastructure management in informal settlements. Full article
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17 pages, 3519 KB  
Article
Modeling One-Dimensional Nonlinear Consolidation Problems by Physics-Informed Neural Network with Layer-Wise Locally Adaptive Activation Functions
by Jie Zhou, De’an Sun and Yang Chen
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(15), 8341; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15158341 - 26 Jul 2025
Viewed by 454
Abstract
The study on soil consolidation and settlement is of great importance in geotechnical engineering practice. Nowadays, physics-informed neural networks (PINN) are becoming more and more popular in solving geotechnical engineering problems thanks to their meshless, physically constrained, and data-driven nature. Although there have [...] Read more.
The study on soil consolidation and settlement is of great importance in geotechnical engineering practice. Nowadays, physics-informed neural networks (PINN) are becoming more and more popular in solving geotechnical engineering problems thanks to their meshless, physically constrained, and data-driven nature. Although there have been some successful applications in one-dimensional (1D) consolidation problems in saturated soils, the ability and stability to deal with more complex boundary conditions remain to be tested. In this paper, the effects of activation function and random state on the PINN are investigated for solving two 1D consolidation problems in saturated soils, and the proposed method for inverse modeling of the two 1D consolidation problems. The results show that PINN with layer-wise locally adaptive activation functions improves the convergence speed and prediction accuracy of the PINN for solving the 1D nonlinear soil consolidation problems, and at the same time the robustness of the model to random states. Moreover, the proposed method still converges faster in the inverse modeling of 1D consolidation problems. Full article
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23 pages, 11962 KB  
Article
Model Test on Excavation Face Stability of Shallow-Buried Rectangular Pipe Jacking in Sand Layer
by Yunlong Zhang, Peng Zhang, Yong Xu and Jiahao Mei
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(14), 7847; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15147847 - 14 Jul 2025
Viewed by 259
Abstract
This study addresses the critical challenge of excavation face instability in rectangular pipe jacking through systematic physical model tests. Utilizing a half-section symmetry apparatus with non-contact photogrammetry and pressure monitoring, the study investigates failure mechanisms under varying overburden ratios and sand densities. Key [...] Read more.
This study addresses the critical challenge of excavation face instability in rectangular pipe jacking through systematic physical model tests. Utilizing a half-section symmetry apparatus with non-contact photogrammetry and pressure monitoring, the study investigates failure mechanisms under varying overburden ratios and sand densities. Key findings reveal that support pressure evolution follows a four-stage trajectory: rapid decline (elastic deformation), slow decline (soil arching development), slow rise (arch degradation), and stabilization (global shear failure). The minimum support pressure ratio Pmin decreases by 39–58% in loose sand but only 10–37% in dense sand due to enhanced arching effects. Distinctive failure mechanisms include the following: (1) failure angles exceeding 70°, substantially larger than theoretical predictions; (2) bimodal ground settlement characterized by without settlement followed by abrupt collapse, contrasting with gradual transitions in circular excavations; (3) trapezoidal settlement surfaces with equilibrium arch angles ranging 41°–48°. These new discoveries demonstrate that real-time support pressure monitoring is essential for risk mitigation, as ground deformation exhibits severe hysteresis preceding catastrophic rapid collapse. The experimental framework provides fundamental insights into optimizing excavation face support design in shallow-buried rectangular tunneling. Full article
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