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Keywords = urban runoff modeling

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26 pages, 12189 KB  
Article
ESA-MDN: An Ensemble Self-Attention Enhanced Mixture Density Framework for UAV Multispectral Water Quality Parameter Retrieval
by Xiaonan Yang, Jiansheng Wang, Yi Jing, Songjia Zhang, Dexin Sun and Qingli Li
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(18), 3202; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17183202 - 17 Sep 2025
Viewed by 313
Abstract
Urban rivers, as crucial components of ecosystems, serve multiple functions, including flood control, drainage, and landscape services. However, with the acceleration of urbanization, factors such as industrial wastewater discharge, domestic sewage leakage, and surface runoff pollution have led to increasingly severe degradation of [...] Read more.
Urban rivers, as crucial components of ecosystems, serve multiple functions, including flood control, drainage, and landscape services. However, with the acceleration of urbanization, factors such as industrial wastewater discharge, domestic sewage leakage, and surface runoff pollution have led to increasingly severe degradation of water quality in urban rivers. Unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) remote sensing technology, with its sub-meter spatial resolution and operational flexibility, demonstrates significant advantages in the detailed monitoring of complex urban water systems. This study proposes an Ensemble Self-Attention Enhanced Mixture Density Network (ESA-MDN), which integrate an ensemble learning framework with a mixture density network and incorporates a self-attention mechanism for feature enhancement. This approach better captures the nonlinear relationships between water quality parameters and remote sensing features, achieving high-precision modeling of water quality parameter distributions. The resulting spatiotemporal distribution maps provide valuable support for pollution source identification and management decision making. The model successfully retrieved five water quality parameters, Chl-a, TSS, COD, TP, and DO, and validation metrics such as R2, RMSE, MAE, MSE, MAPE, bias, and slope were utilized. Key metrics for the ESA-MDN test set were as follows: Chl-a (R2 = 0.98, RMSE = 0.31), TSS (R2 = 0.93, RMSE = 0.27), COD (R2 = 0.93, RMSE = 0.39), TP (R2 = 0.99, RMSE = 0.02), and DO (R2 = 0.88, RMSE = 0.1). The results indicated that ESA-MDN can effectively extract water quality parameters from multispectral remote sensing data, with the generated spatiotemporal water quality distribution maps providing crucial support for pollution source identification and emergency response decision making. Full article
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20 pages, 3598 KB  
Article
Ecosystem Service Assessment of Campus Street Trees for Urban Resilience: A Case Study from Guangxi Arts University
by Mingxing Xu and Lu Ding
Forests 2025, 16(9), 1465; https://doi.org/10.3390/f16091465 - 15 Sep 2025
Viewed by 276
Abstract
Ecosystem-based adaptation (EbA) provides a practical framework for enhancing urban resilience. This study had three objectives: (i) to quantify the structural attributes and ecosystem services (ESs) of campus street trees, (ii) to integrate LiDAR-derived metrics with the i-Tree Eco model to improve assessment [...] Read more.
Ecosystem-based adaptation (EbA) provides a practical framework for enhancing urban resilience. This study had three objectives: (i) to quantify the structural attributes and ecosystem services (ESs) of campus street trees, (ii) to integrate LiDAR-derived metrics with the i-Tree Eco model to improve assessment accuracy, and (iii) to evaluate how quantified ESs contribute to climate resilience and inform localized EbA strategies. Field surveys were complemented with LiDAR data to enhance estimation of leaf area index (LAI), canopy dimensions, and tree height. Results show that 2643 street trees representing 29 species provide substantial ESs, including carbon storage of 508,230 kg, annual carbon sequestration of 48,580.5 kg, removal of major air pollutants totaling 2132 kg/year, and stormwater runoff reduction of 2351.8 m3/year, with a combined annual economic value of USD 202,822.10. A small number of species dominated ES delivery, with C. camphora and M. indica contributing disproportionately to canopy structure and ecological benefits. These findings highlight the critical role of urban vegetation in carbon mitigation, air-quality regulation, and flood adaptation at the parcel scale. The study provides a replicable framework for integrating LiDAR-enhanced i-Tree assessments into urban greening policies. It also emphasizes the need for species diversification and the inclusion of omitted services (e.g., biodiversity support, microclimate regulation) in future work to deliver more comprehensive EbA planning. Full article
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20 pages, 6246 KB  
Article
GIS-Based Automated Waterlogging Depth Calculation and Building Loss Assessment in Urban Communities
by Chun-Pin Tseng, Xiaoxian Chen, Yiyou Fan, Yaohui Liu, Min Qiao and Lin Teng
Water 2025, 17(18), 2725; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17182725 - 15 Sep 2025
Viewed by 371
Abstract
Urban pluvial waterlogging has become a major challenge for densely populated cities due to increasingly extreme rainfall events and the rapid expansion of impervious surfaces. In response to the growing demand for localized waterlogging risk assessments, an automated evaluation framework is proposed that [...] Read more.
Urban pluvial waterlogging has become a major challenge for densely populated cities due to increasingly extreme rainfall events and the rapid expansion of impervious surfaces. In response to the growing demand for localized waterlogging risk assessments, an automated evaluation framework is proposed that integrates high-resolution digital elevation models (DEMs), rainfall scenarios, and classified building data within a GIS-based modeling system. The methodology consists of four modules: (i) design of rainfall scenarios and runoff estimation, (ii) waterlogging depth simulation based on volume-matching algorithms, (iii) construction of depth–damage curves for residential and commercial buildings, and (iv) building-level economic loss estimation though differentiated depth–damage functions for residential/commercial assets—a core innovation enabling sector-specific risk precision. A case study was conducted in the Lixia District, Jinan City, China, involving 15,317 buildings under a 50-year return period rainfall event. The total economic losses were shown to reach approximately USD 327.88 million, with residential buildings accounting for 88.6% of the total. The model achieved a mean absolute percentage error within 5% for both residential and commercial cases. The proposed framework supports high-precision, building-level urban waterlogging damage assessment and demonstrates scalability for use in other high-density urban areas. Note: all monetary values were converted from Chinese Yuan (CNY) to U.S. Dollars (USD) using an average exchange rate of 1 USD = 7.28 CNY. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Urban Water Management)
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31 pages, 16858 KB  
Article
Modeling the Hydrological Regime of Litani River Basin in Lebanon for the Period 2009–2019 and Assessment of Climate Change Impacts Under RCP Scenarios
by Georgio Kallas, Salim Kattar and Guillermo Palacios-Rodríguez
Forests 2025, 16(9), 1461; https://doi.org/10.3390/f16091461 - 13 Sep 2025
Viewed by 418
Abstract
This study investigates the combined impact of climate change and land use changes on water resources and soil conditions in the Litani River Basin (LRB) in Lebanon. The Mediterranean region, including the LRB, is highly vulnerable to climate change. This study utilizes the [...] Read more.
This study investigates the combined impact of climate change and land use changes on water resources and soil conditions in the Litani River Basin (LRB) in Lebanon. The Mediterranean region, including the LRB, is highly vulnerable to climate change. This study utilizes the WiMMed (Water Integrated Management for Mediterranean Watersheds) model to assess hydrological variables such as infiltration, runoff, and soil moisture for the years 2009, 2014, and 2019. It considers 2019 climate conditions to project the 2040 scenarios for Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) 2.6 and 8.5, incorporating the unique characteristics of the Mediterranean watershed. Results indicate a concerning trend of declining infiltration, runoff, and soil moisture, particularly under the more severe RCP 8.5 scenario, with the most significant reductions occurring during summer. Land use changes, such as deforestation and urban expansion, are identified as key contributors to reduced infiltration and increased runoff. This study highlights the critical role of soil moisture in crop productivity and ecosystem health, showing how land cover changes and climate change intensify these effects. Soil moisture is highly sensitive to precipitation variations, with a 20% reduction in precipitation and a 5 °C temperature increase leading to substantial decreases in soil moisture. These findings highlight the urgent need for sustainable land management practices and climate mitigation strategies in the Litani River Basin (LRB) and similar Mediterranean watersheds. Protecting forests, implementing soil conservation measures, and promoting responsible urban development are crucial steps to maintain water resources and soil quality. Furthermore, this research offers valuable insights for policymakers, farmers, and environmentalists to prepare for potential droughts or flooding events, contributing to the preservation of this vital ecosystem. The data from this study, along with the recommended actions, can play a crucial role in fostering resilience at the national level, addressing the challenges posed by climate change. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Forest Hydrology)
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28 pages, 6020 KB  
Article
Drought Propagation and Risk Assessment in the Naoli River Basin Based on the SWAT-PLUS Model and Copula Functions
by Tao Liu, Zhenjiang Si, Yusu Zhao, Jing Wang, Yan Liu and Longfei Wang
Sustainability 2025, 17(18), 8219; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17188219 - 12 Sep 2025
Viewed by 387
Abstract
With the intensification of global climate change, extreme weather events increasingly threaten water resources and agricultural systems. This study focuses on the Naoli River Basin, employing the Standardized Precipitation Actual Evapotranspiration Index (SPAEI), the Standardized Runoff Index (SRI), and the Standardized Surface Moisture [...] Read more.
With the intensification of global climate change, extreme weather events increasingly threaten water resources and agricultural systems. This study focuses on the Naoli River Basin, employing the Standardized Precipitation Actual Evapotranspiration Index (SPAEI), the Standardized Runoff Index (SRI), and the Standardized Surface Moisture Index (SSMI) to assess the spatiotemporal variability of meteorological, hydrological, and agricultural droughts. Drought events are identified based on travel time theory, and joint distributions of drought characteristics are modeled using optimized two- and three-dimensional copula functions. Lagged correlation and Bayesian conditional probability analyses are used to explore drought propagation processes. Key findings include (1) the SWAT model showed strong runoff simulation performance (R2 > 0.75, NSE > 0.97), while the PLUS model achieved high land use simulation accuracy (overall accuracy > 0.93, Kappa > 0.85); (2) future projections suggest continued forest expansion and farmland decline, with water areas increasing under SSP245 and urban areas expanding under SSP585; (3) five CMIP6 models with high skill (r = 0.80, RMSE = 26.15) were selected via a Taylor diagram for scenario simulation; (4) copula-based joint drought probabilities vary temporally, with meteorological drought risks increasing under long-term moderate-emission scenarios, while hydrological and agricultural droughts show contrasting trends; (5) and under extreme meteorological drought, the conditional probability of extreme agricultural drought doubles from 0.12 (SSP245) to 0.24 (SSP585), indicating heightened vulnerability under high-emission pathways. These results offer critical insights for regional drought risk assessment and adaptive management under future climate scenarios. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainable Future of Ecohydrology: Climate Change and Land Use)
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23 pages, 8675 KB  
Article
A Framework for 3D Flood Analysis Using an Open-Source Game Engine and Geospatial Data: A Case Study of the Bozkurt District of Kastamonu, Türkiye
by Abdulkadir Ozturk, Muhammed Enes Atik, Mehmet Melih Koşucu and Saziye Ozge Atik
Geomatics 2025, 5(3), 46; https://doi.org/10.3390/geomatics5030046 - 11 Sep 2025
Viewed by 404
Abstract
Floods are among the most destructive natural disasters and can devastate human life, infrastructure, and mobility in urban areas. It is necessary to develop a simulation model suitable for disaster management to prepare for flooding and facilitate rapid response interventions. The advantage of [...] Read more.
Floods are among the most destructive natural disasters and can devastate human life, infrastructure, and mobility in urban areas. It is necessary to develop a simulation model suitable for disaster management to prepare for flooding and facilitate rapid response interventions. The advantage of a three-dimensional (3D) geographic information system (GIS) is that it allows researchers to perform more successful spatial analyses than traditional two-dimensional (2D) systems. In this study, real-time 3D flood simulations were created for the Bozkurt district of Kastamonu, Türkiye, integrating GIS and game engine technologies. Land use land cover (LU/LC) map, digital elevation model (DEM), soil properties and climate data of the study region constitute the input data for the hydrological model. DEM and building footprints are also used to create 3D models of the buildings in the region. Through the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) analysis, a hydrological model that included environmental factors such as precipitation, runoff, and soil erosion was created. The average flow rate for the same period, obtained from flow monitoring stations in the Bozkurt district, was 4.64 m3/s, while the flow rate obtained with the SWAT+ model was 4.12 m3/s. Using the flow parameters obtained with SWAT, 3D flood models were developed on Unreal Engine (UE). The flood simulation created with UE and the flood disaster experienced in 2021 in the region were compared on an area basis. The obtained simulation accuracy was 88%. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Open-Source Geoinformation Software Tools in Environmental Modelling)
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17 pages, 2697 KB  
Article
Incorporating Pipe Age and Sizes into Pipe Roughness Coefficient Estimation for Urban Flood Modeling: A Scenario-Based Roughness Approach
by Soon Ho Kwon, Woo Jin Lee, Jong Hwan Kang and Hwandon Jun
Sustainability 2025, 17(17), 7989; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17177989 - 4 Sep 2025
Viewed by 734
Abstract
With climate change, the frequency and severity of localized heavy rainfalls are increasing. Thus, for urban drainage networks (UDNs), particularly those in aging cities such as Seoul, Republic of Korea, flood risk management challenges are mounting. Conventional design standards typically apply uniform roughness [...] Read more.
With climate change, the frequency and severity of localized heavy rainfalls are increasing. Thus, for urban drainage networks (UDNs), particularly those in aging cities such as Seoul, Republic of Korea, flood risk management challenges are mounting. Conventional design standards typically apply uniform roughness coefficients based on new pipe conditions, neglecting the ongoing performance degradation from physical influences. This study introduces a methodology that systematically incorporates pipe age and size into roughness coefficient scenarios for higher-accuracy 1D–2D rainfall–runoff hydrologic–hydraulic simulations. Eleven roughness scenarios (a baseline and ten aging-based scenarios) are applied across seven UDNs using historical rainfall data. The most representative scenario (S3) is identified using a Euclidean distance metric combining the peak water-level error and root mean square error. For two rainfall events, S3 yields substantial increases in the simulated mean flood volumes (75.02% and 76.45%) compared with the baseline, while spatial analysis reveals significantly expanded inundation areas and increased flood depths. These findings underscore the critical impact of pipe deterioration on hydraulic capacity and demonstrate the importance of incorporating aging infrastructure into flood modeling and UDN design. This approach offers empirical support for updating UDN design standards for more resilient flood management. Full article
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21 pages, 6534 KB  
Article
Urban-Scale Quantification of Rainfall Interception Drivers in Tree Communities: Implications for Sponge City Planning
by Chaonan Xu, Xiya Zhu, Xiaoyang Tan, Runxin Zhang, Baoguo Liu, Kun Wang, Enkai Xu, Ang Li, Ho Yi Wan, Peihao Song and Shidong Ge
Sustainability 2025, 17(17), 7793; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17177793 - 29 Aug 2025
Viewed by 448
Abstract
Urban trees play a crucial role in regulating hydrological processes within urban ecosystems by intercepting rainfall to effectively reduce surface runoff and mitigate urban flooding. Current research lacks a systematic quantification of rainfall interception capacity and its community-level impacts at the urban scale. [...] Read more.
Urban trees play a crucial role in regulating hydrological processes within urban ecosystems by intercepting rainfall to effectively reduce surface runoff and mitigate urban flooding. Current research lacks a systematic quantification of rainfall interception capacity and its community-level impacts at the urban scale. This study adopts a city-scale perspective, integrating field survey data with the i-Tree Eco model to systematically explore the contributions of 20 factors to the average annual rainfall interception of tree species and the average annual rainfall interception efficiency of communities. The study revealed that Deciduous broadleaf trees (1.28 m3 year−1) and Pure coniferous forests (90.7 mm year−1) exhibited substantial rainfall interception capacity. Relative Height, Average Tree Height, Average Crown Width, and Planting Density of trees significantly influence interception capacity. Urban planning can optimize the selection of tree species (e.g., Paulownia, Populus tomentosa, etc.) and community structure (e.g., mixed planting of conifers and deciduous broadleaf trees) to improve rainfall interception capacity, thereby effectively reducing stormwater runoff, mitigating the risk of urban flooding. These findings provide a scientific basis for designing urban vegetation to mitigate flooding, support water management, and advance sponge city development. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sustainable Water Management)
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24 pages, 958 KB  
Article
Evaluation of Economic and Ecological Benefits of Reservoir Ecological Releases Based on Reservoir Optimization Operation
by Zhen Cao, Guanjun Lei, Lin Qiu, Wenchuan Wang, Junxian Yin and Hao Wang
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(17), 9441; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15179441 - 28 Aug 2025
Viewed by 346
Abstract
To maximize the benefits of power generation and water supply of the reservoir under the premise of ensuring ecological flow as much as possible, it is necessary to formulate a highly operational release scheme in the actual production scheduling process. To mitigate the [...] Read more.
To maximize the benefits of power generation and water supply of the reservoir under the premise of ensuring ecological flow as much as possible, it is necessary to formulate a highly operational release scheme in the actual production scheduling process. To mitigate the ecological impacts of reservoir operations, enhanced environmental flow releases are required; however, this results in diminished reservoir economic outputs. Therefore, in order to determine the government subsidy standards for ecological regulation of reservoirs and improve the enthusiasm of water conservancy departments for ecological regulation, it is necessary to conduct comprehensive analysis and research on the benefits of ecological regulation. According to the ecological releases of the reservoir, the reservoir operation scheme is formulated, and the comprehensive benefits of the reservoir operation are analyzed and studied to determine the optimal operation scheme. Based on the monthly inflow runoff of the Baishi Reservoir to the Daling River from 1956 to 2011, constrained by the ecological base flow specified by the government, and combined with the water supply and power generation functions of the reservoir, an optimal operation model of the Baishi Reservoir based on ecological release is constructed. The water supply, power generation, and ecological benefits of the reservoir discharge are comprehensively analyzed and calculated to analyze and study the loss of economic benefits caused by the reservoir discharge and the ecological benefits that can be obtained from the ecological discharge. Based on the comprehensive evaluation of multiple indicators, the Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is used to select the optimal scheduling scheme. The optimal scheduling plan for a reservoir is closely related to its characteristic water level. In order to improve the efficiency of reservoir scheduling, monthly control of reservoir discharge can be implemented. The guarantee rate of urban domestic water supply and ecological water use can be increased as much as possible, while the guarantee rate of agricultural water use can be appropriately reduced to obtain the optimal comprehensive benefits. The outflow considering ecological release is 6.5–7 m3/s from June to April and 1 m3/s in May. The outflow without considering ecological release is 4 m3/s from June to April and 1 m3/s in May. This study has certain guiding significance and value for the formulation of an ecological operation scheme for reservoirs and the analysis of benefits. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Ecology Science and Engineering)
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21 pages, 8166 KB  
Article
Transforming Vulnerable Urban Areas: An IMM-Driven Resilience Strategy for Heat and Flood Challenges in Rio de Janeiro’s Cidade Nova
by Massimo Tadi, Hadi Mohammad Zadeh and Hoda Esmaeilian Toussi
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(9), 339; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9090339 - 28 Aug 2025
Viewed by 1485
Abstract
This study applies the Integrated Modification Methodology (IMM) to assess how morphology-driven, nature-based solutions reduce urban heat island (UHI) effects and flooding in Rio de Janeiro’s Cidade Nova. Multi-scale GIS diagnostics identify green continuity and vertical permeability as critical weaknesses. Simulations (Ladybug/Dragonfly) and [...] Read more.
This study applies the Integrated Modification Methodology (IMM) to assess how morphology-driven, nature-based solutions reduce urban heat island (UHI) effects and flooding in Rio de Janeiro’s Cidade Nova. Multi-scale GIS diagnostics identify green continuity and vertical permeability as critical weaknesses. Simulations (Ladybug/Dragonfly) and hydrological modelling (rational method) quantify the intervention’s impact, including greening, material retrofits, and drainage upgrades. Results show a 38% increase in albedo, a 13% reduction in volumetric heat capacity, and a 30% drop in thermal conductivity. These changes reduce the peak UHI by 0.2 °C hourly, narrowing the urban–rural temperature gap to 3.5 °C (summer) and 4.3 °C (winter). Hydrologically, impervious cover decreases from 22% to 15%, permeable surfaces rise from 9% to 29%, and peak runoff volume drops by 27% (16,062 to 11,753 m3/h), mitigating flood risks. Green space expands from 7.8% to 21%, improving connectivity by 50% and improving park access. These findings demonstrate that IMM-guided interventions effectively enhance thermal and hydrological resilience in dense tropical cities, aligning with climate adaptation and the Sustainable Development Goals. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainable Urbanization, Regional Planning and Development)
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25 pages, 7884 KB  
Article
Watershed-BIM Integration for Urban Flood Resilience: A Framework for Simulation, Assessment, and Planning
by Panagiotis Tsikas, Athanasios Chassiakos and Vasileios Papadimitropoulos
Sustainability 2025, 17(17), 7687; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17177687 - 26 Aug 2025
Viewed by 862
Abstract
Urban flooding represents a growing global concern, especially in areas with rapid urbanization, unregulated urban sprawl and climate change conditions. Conventional flood modeling approaches do not effectively capture the complex dynamics between natural watershed behavior and urban infrastructure; they typically simulate these domains [...] Read more.
Urban flooding represents a growing global concern, especially in areas with rapid urbanization, unregulated urban sprawl and climate change conditions. Conventional flood modeling approaches do not effectively capture the complex dynamics between natural watershed behavior and urban infrastructure; they typically simulate these domains in isolation. This study introduces the Watershed-BIM methodology, a three-dimensional simulation framework that integrates Building and City Information Modeling (BIM/CIM), Geographic Information Systems (GIS), Flood Risk Assessment (FRA), and Flood Risk Management (FRM) into a single framework. Autodesk InfraWorks 2024, Civil 3D 2024, and RiverFlow2D v8.14 software are incorporated in the development. The methodology enhances interoperability and prediction accuracy by bridging hydrological processes with detailed urban-scale data. The framework was tested on a real-world flash flood event in Mandra, Greece, an area frequently exposed to extreme rainfall and runoff events. A specific comparison with observed flood characteristics indicates improved accuracy in comparison to other hydrological analyses (e.g., by HEC-RAS simulation). Beyond flood depth, the model offers additional insights into flow direction, duration, and localized water accumulation around buildings and infrastructure. In this context, integrated tools such as Watershed-BIM stand out as essential instruments for translating complex flood dynamics into actionable, city-scale resilience planning. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainable Project, Production and Service Operations Management)
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22 pages, 18187 KB  
Article
Optimization of CMIP6 Precipitation Projection Based on Bayesian Model Averaging Approach and Future Urban Precipitation Risk Assessment: A Case Study of Shanghai
by Yifeng Qin, Caihua Yang, Hao Wu, Changkun Xie, Afshin Afshari, Veselin Krustev, Shengbing He and Shengquan Che
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(9), 331; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9090331 - 25 Aug 2025
Viewed by 502
Abstract
Urban flooding, intensified by climate change, poses significant threats to sustainable development, necessitating accurate precipitation projections for effective risk management. This study utilized Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) to optimize CMIP6 multi-model ensemble precipitation projections for Shanghai, integrating Delta statistical downscaling with observational data [...] Read more.
Urban flooding, intensified by climate change, poses significant threats to sustainable development, necessitating accurate precipitation projections for effective risk management. This study utilized Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) to optimize CMIP6 multi-model ensemble precipitation projections for Shanghai, integrating Delta statistical downscaling with observational data to enhance spatial accuracy and reduce uncertainty. After downscaling, RMSE values of daily precipitation for individual models range from 10.158 to 12.512, with correlation coefficients between −0.009 and 0.0047. The BMA exhibits an RMSE of 8.105 and a correlation coefficient of 0.056, demonstrating better accuracy compared to individual models. The BMA-weighted projections, coupled with Soil Conservation Service Curve Number (SCS-CN) hydrological model and drainage capacity constraints, reveal spatiotemporal flood risk patterns under Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) 245 and SSP585 scenarios. Key findings indicate that while SSP245 shows stable extreme precipitation intensity, SSP585 drives substantial increases—particularly for 50-year and 100-year return periods, with late 21st century maximums rising by 24.9% and 32.6%, respectively, compared to mid-century. Spatially, flood risk concentrates in peripheral districts due to higher precipitation exposure and average drainage capacity, contrasting with the lower-risk central urban core. This study establishes a watershed-based risk assessment framework linking climate projections directly to urban drainage planning, proposing differentiated strategies: green infrastructure for runoff reduction in high-risk areas, drainage system integration for vulnerable suburbs, and ecological restoration for coastal zones. This integrated methodology provides a replicable approach for climate-resilient urban flood management, demonstrating that effective adaptation requires scenario-specific spatial targeting. Full article
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16 pages, 1481 KB  
Article
Assessing Urban Lake Performance for Stormwater Harvesting: Insights from Two Lake Systems in Western Sydney, Australia
by Sai Kiran Natarajan, Dharmappa Hagare and Basant Maheshwari
Water 2025, 17(17), 2504; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17172504 - 22 Aug 2025
Viewed by 698
Abstract
This study examines the impact of catchment characteristics and design on the performance of urban lakes in terms of water quality and stormwater harvesting potential. Two urban lake systems in Western Sydney, Australia, were selected for comparison: Wattle Grove Lake, a standalone constructed [...] Read more.
This study examines the impact of catchment characteristics and design on the performance of urban lakes in terms of water quality and stormwater harvesting potential. Two urban lake systems in Western Sydney, Australia, were selected for comparison: Wattle Grove Lake, a standalone constructed lake, and Woodcroft Lake, part of an integrated wetland–lake system. Both systems receive runoff from surrounding residential catchments of differing sizes and land uses. Over a one-year period, continuous monitoring was conducted to evaluate water quality parameters, including turbidity, total suspended solids (TSS), nutrients (total nitrogen and total phosphorus), pH, dissolved oxygen, and biochemical oxygen demand. The results reveal that the lake with an integrated wetland significantly outperformed the standalone lake in terms of water quality, particularly in terms of turbidity and total suspended solids (TSS), achieving up to 70% reduction in TSS at the outlet compared to the inlet. The wetland served as an effective pre-treatment system, reducing pollutant loads before water entered the lake. Despite this, nutrient concentrations in both systems remained above the thresholds set by the Australian and New Zealand Environment and Conservation Council (ANZECC) Guidelines (2000), indicating persistent challenges in nutrient retention. Notably, the larger catchment area and shallow depth of Wattle Grove Lake likely contributed to higher turbidity and nutrient levels, resulting from sediment resuspension and algal growth. Hydrological modelling using the Model for Urban Stormwater Improvement Conceptualisation (MUSIC) software (version 6) complemented the field data and highlighted the influence of catchment size, hydraulic retention time, and lake depth on pollutant removal efficiency. While both systems serve important environmental and recreational functions, the integrated wetland–lake system at Woodcroft demonstrated greater potential for safe stormwater harvesting and reuse within urban settings. The findings from the study offer practical insights for urban stormwater management and inform future designs that enhance resilience and water reuse potential in growing cities. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Urban Stormwater Harvesting, and Wastewater Treatment and Reuse)
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22 pages, 4204 KB  
Article
Integrative Runoff Infiltration Modeling of Mountainous Urban Karstic Terrain
by Yaakov Anker, Nitzan Ne’eman, Alexander Gimburg and Itzhak Benenson
Hydrology 2025, 12(9), 222; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology12090222 - 22 Aug 2025
Viewed by 545
Abstract
Global climate change, combined with the construction of impermeable urban elements, tends to increase runoff, which might cause flooding and reduce groundwater recharge. Moreover, the first flash of these areas might accumulate pollutants that might deteriorate groundwater quality. A digital elevation model (DEM) [...] Read more.
Global climate change, combined with the construction of impermeable urban elements, tends to increase runoff, which might cause flooding and reduce groundwater recharge. Moreover, the first flash of these areas might accumulate pollutants that might deteriorate groundwater quality. A digital elevation model (DEM) describes urban landscapes by representing the watershed relief at any given location. While, in concept, finer DEMs and land use classification (LUC) are yielding better hydrological models, it is suggested that over-accuracy overestimates minor tributaries that might be redundant. Optimal DEM resolution with integrated spectral and feature-based LUC was found to reflect the hydrological network’s significant tributaries. To cope with the karstic urban watershed complexity, ModClark Transform and SCS Curve Number methods were integrated over a GIS-HEC-HMS platform to a nominal urban watershed sub-basin analysis procedure, allowing for detailed urban runoff modeling. This precise urban karstic terrain modeling procedure can predict runoff volume and discharge in urban, mountainous karstic watersheds, and may be used for water-sensitive design or in such cities to control runoff and prevent its negative impacts. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue The Influence of Landscape Disturbance on Catchment Processes)
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30 pages, 7914 KB  
Article
Impact of Climate Change on Water-Sensitive Urban Design Performances in the Wet Tropical Sub-Catchment
by Sher Bahadur Gurung, Robert J. Wasson, Michael Bird and Ben Jarihani
Earth 2025, 6(3), 99; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth6030099 - 19 Aug 2025
Viewed by 531
Abstract
Existing drainage systems have limited capacity to mitigate future climate change-induced flooding problems effectively. However, some studies have evaluated the effectiveness of integrating Water-Sensitive Urban Design (WSUD) with existing drainage systems in mitigating flooding in tropical regions. This study examined the performance of [...] Read more.
Existing drainage systems have limited capacity to mitigate future climate change-induced flooding problems effectively. However, some studies have evaluated the effectiveness of integrating Water-Sensitive Urban Design (WSUD) with existing drainage systems in mitigating flooding in tropical regions. This study examined the performance of drainage systems and integrated WSUD options under current and future climate scenarios in a sub-catchment of Saltwater Creek, a tropical catchment located in Cairns, Australia. A combination of one-dimensional (1D) and two-dimensional (1D2D) runoff generation and routing models (RORB, storm injector, and MIKE+) is used for simulating runoff and inundation. Several types of WSUDs are tested alongside different climate change scenarios to assess the impact of WSUD in flood mitigation. The results indicate that the existing grey infrastructure is insufficient to address the anticipated increase in precipitation intensity and the resulting flooding caused by climate change in the Engineers Park sub-catchment. Under future climate change scenarios, moderate rainfall events contribute to a 25% increase in peak flow (95% confidence interval = [1.5%, 0.8%]) and total runoff volume (95% confidence interval = [1.05%, 6.5%]), as per the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 in the 2090 scenario. Integrating WSUD with existing grey infrastructure positively contributed to reducing the flooded area by 18–54% under RCP 8.5 in 2090. However, the efficiency of these combined systems is governed by several factors such as rainfall characteristics, the climate change scenario, rain barrel and porous pavement systems, and the size and physical characteristics of the study area. In the tropics, the flooding problem is estimated to increase under future climatic conditions, and the integration of WSUD with grey infrastructure can play a positive role in reducing floods and their impacts. However, careful interpretation of results is required with an additional assessment clarifying how these systems perform in large catchments and their economic viability for extensive applications. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Water Management in the Age of Climate Change)
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