Predicting Explicit and Valuing Tacit Synergies of High-Tech Based Transactions: Amazon.com’s Acquisition of Dubai-Based Souq.com
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Measuring Explicit Collaborative Synergy of Corporate Integrative Strategies
3. Valuing Tacit Collaborative Synergies
4. Method
5. Case Study Amazon.com Acquisition of Souq.com. Data Analysis and Interpretation of Results
5.1. Rationales behind Entering the Acquisition of Souq.com by Amazon.com and the Impact of Core Competencies on Explicit Collaborative Synergies
5.2. Predicting an Explicit Collaborative Synergy in Amazon.com’s Acquisition of Souq.com
“… With this deal, Amazon expected to extend its resources and infrastructure to Souq’s operation and Souq was to benefit in terms of both delivery capabilities and customer selection. At the time, Amazon would have access to the largest online customer base of the region thus enabling potential cross-selling synergies, it would also be able to leverage Souq.com infrastructure to store and deliver products”.
“… By becoming part of the Amazon family, we’ll be able to vastly expand our delivery capabilities and customer selection much faster, as well as continue Amazon’s great track record of empowering sellers”.
“… We are working to quickly integrate Souq.com and Amazon capabilities, in terms of both customer experience and fulfillment, to provide an ever-improving shopping experience for customers in the Middle East”.
“… It is an exhilarating time for the e-commerce industry in the region. Integration of Amazon’s technology and global resources with our local expertise will help us to offer a great service to our loyal customers”.
“… Amazon is a great fit for us. We have a lot of common values, and it is all about innovation, technology, and the type of customer experience and thinking that Amazon has”.
5.3. Valuing a Tacit Collaborative Synergy of Amazon.com’s Acquisition of Souq.com with Binominal Option Pricing Model
“Today marks a proud day for Souq and Amazon, a day that we have been working towards since the two companies came together in 2017. Amazon. ae brings together Souq’s local know-how and Amazon’s global expertise, something we believe will be of significant benefit to UAE customers”.
6. Findings and Discussion
7. Conclusions, Limitations, and Future Work
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Financial Options Variables | Real Option Variables | Sources of Data |
---|---|---|
Share price | The cumulated market value of collaborative business partners before the announced deal terms, excluding the week of an announcement (four-week average) | https://ycharts.com/ (accessed on 12 February 2023). https://www.reuters.com/ (accessed on 12 February 2023). https://www.google.com/finance (accessed on 12 February 2023). |
Strike price | The hypothetical future market value of the separated entities forecast by the DCF or EV-based multiples | www.helgilibrary.com (accessed on 12 February 2023). www.marcotrends.net (accessed on 12 February 2023). Own calculation |
Standard deviation | The annualized standard deviation of stock within one week after the announcement | https://vlab.stern.nyu.edu/docs/volatility/GARCH (accessed on 12 February 2023). Own calculation |
Risk-free rate | Domestic three-month rate to the leading collaborated partner | https://ycharts.com (accessed on 12 February 2023). https://www.statista.com/ (accessed on 12 February 2023). |
Time to maturity | One year or by the expectation of management on getting collaborative synergy | The synergy life cycle. |
The Core Competencies of Souq.com and Amazon.com | (A?) | (R?) | (C?) | (T?) | (I?) | (C?) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
“Souq.com has the largest online retailer and marketplace platform in the Arab world, offering more than 400.000 products across 31 categories” (BSIC 2017) | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
“Souq.com presents in several markets of the region including Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar, and Oman”. (BSIC 2017) | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
“Souq.com develops a logistic infrastructure by creating its delivery system (partnering with local logistic companies)” (BSIC 2017) | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
“Souq creates a prepaid card purchasable in brick-and-mortar stores, as well as developing its payment gateway, Payfort” (BSIC 2017) | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
“Amazon is the world’s largest online shopping retailer, operating in 189 countries and employing more than 341.000 people across 5 continents” (BSIC 2017) | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
“Amazon.com delivers innovation across its multiple businesses, ranging from drone delivery systems to the manufacturing of electronic devices” (BSIC 2017) | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
“Amazon.com has a continuous focus on external growth, running more than 50 acquisitions in the last ten years” (BSIC 2017) | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Financial Call Options | Option Variables | Real Options Data |
---|---|---|
Stock price (in USD billion) | S | 409.57 |
The strike price (in USD billion) | K | 446.71 |
Time to expiration (in number of years) | T | 2.0 |
The standard deviation of stock returns within one week before the acquisition announcement | σ | 23.0% |
Risk-free rate | rf | 2.42% |
0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
847.62 | |||||
732.87 | |||||
633.65 | 633.65 | ||||
547.87 | 547.87 | ||||
473.70 | 473.70 | 473.70 | |||
409.57 | 409.57 | 409.57 | |||
354.12 | 354.12 | 354.12 | |||
306.18 | 306.18 | ||||
264.73 | 264.73 | ||||
228.89 | |||||
197.90 |
Parameters of the binominal tree | Equations | Numbers |
Time increment (years) | 0.40 | |
Up factor (u) | 1.157 | |
Down factor (d) | 0.865 | |
Risk-neutral probability (p) | 0.497 |
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
400.91 | |||||
290.46 | |||||
195.50 | 186.94 | ||||
125.39 | 105.46 | ||||
77.69 | 58.53 | 26.99 | |||
46.90 | 32.07 | 13.28 | |||
17.39 € | 6.54 | 0.00 | |||
3.22 | 0.00 | ||||
0.00 | 0.00 | ||||
0.00 | |||||
0.00 |
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Čirjevskis, A. Predicting Explicit and Valuing Tacit Synergies of High-Tech Based Transactions: Amazon.com’s Acquisition of Dubai-Based Souq.com. J. Risk Financial Manag. 2023, 16, 123. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm16020123
Čirjevskis A. Predicting Explicit and Valuing Tacit Synergies of High-Tech Based Transactions: Amazon.com’s Acquisition of Dubai-Based Souq.com. Journal of Risk and Financial Management. 2023; 16(2):123. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm16020123
Chicago/Turabian StyleČirjevskis, Andrejs. 2023. "Predicting Explicit and Valuing Tacit Synergies of High-Tech Based Transactions: Amazon.com’s Acquisition of Dubai-Based Souq.com" Journal of Risk and Financial Management 16, no. 2: 123. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm16020123
APA StyleČirjevskis, A. (2023). Predicting Explicit and Valuing Tacit Synergies of High-Tech Based Transactions: Amazon.com’s Acquisition of Dubai-Based Souq.com. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 16(2), 123. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm16020123