Comprehensive Overview of Power System Flexibility during the Scenario of High Penetration of Renewable Energy in Utility Grid
Abstract
:1. Introduction
- To understand the basics of the PSF and different philosophies used to define the PSF.
- Provide an overview of drivers of PSF, resources of PSF, and requirements of PSF with high share of VRE in utility grids.
- Discuss flexibility metrics and measurement techniques used for assessment of PSF in detail.
- Identify and discuss the provisions of PSF for utilities.
- Understand the planning practices to improve PSF.
- Identify knowledge gaps and open topics for future research work.
2. Review Methodology
- (1)
- Basic concepts of power system flexibility (RC1).
- (2)
- Definitions of power system flexibility (RC2).
- (3)
- Drivers of power system flexibility (RC3).
- (4)
- Resources of power system flexibility (RC4).
- (5)
- Requirements of power system flexibility (RC5).
- (6)
- Flexibility metrics (RC6).
- (7)
- Methods used for measurement of PSF (RC7).
- (8)
- Power system flexibility provisions (RC8).
- (9)
- PSF flexibility planning (RC9).
3. Power System Flexibility
4. Drivers of Power System Flexibility
4.1. Increase in Penetration of Variable RE in Power Grid
4.2. Uncertainty in Fuel Price
4.3. Uncertainty in Load Demand
5. Resources of PSF
5.1. Flexibility of Generation Source
5.2. Flexibility of Utility Grid
5.3. Flexibility of Load
5.4. Flexibility of Storage
5.5. Flexibility of Aggregators and Multi-Energy Systems
6. PSF Requirements
Related Research
7. Flexibility Metrics
Related Research
8. Measurement of PSF
8.1. Technical Viewpoint to Measure PSF
8.1.1. Minimum Power
8.1.2. Ramp Rate
8.1.3. Startup Time
8.1.4. Controllability
8.2. Analytic Framework to Measure PSF
8.2.1. Getting Started: Quick Estimates
8.2.2. Getting Serious: First-Cut Analysis
8.2.3. Getting Very Serious: Flexibility Assessment and Power System Planning
8.3. Related Research
9. Flexibility Provisions
10. Power System Flexibility Planning
11. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
AC | Alternating current |
BES | Battery energy storage |
BESS | Battery energy storage system |
BGPP | Biogas power plant |
CAES | Compressed air energy storage |
CCGT | Combined cycle gas turbines |
CES | Capacitor Energy Storage |
CHP | Combined heat and power |
CSP | Concentrated solar power storage |
DC | Direct current |
DG | Distributed generation |
DR | Demand response |
DSF | Demand side flexibility |
DSM | Demand side management |
DSO | Distribution system operator |
DSR | Demand side response |
EIA | Energy Information Administration |
ESS | Energy storage systems |
EPS | Expected flexibility shortfall |
ES | Energy storage |
EUR | Expected unreserved ramping |
EV | Electrical vehicle |
FAST | Flexibility assessment tool |
FCEV | Fuel cell electric vehicle |
FES | Flywheel energy storage |
GEP | Generation expansion planning |
GOF | Operational grid flexibility |
GT | Gas turbine |
HPP | Hydropower plant |
HVAC | High voltage alternating current |
HVDC | High voltage direct current |
IEA | International Energy Agency |
Li-ion | Lithium-ion batteries |
MES | Multi-energy system |
NERC | North American Reliability Corporation |
NaNiCl | Sodium–nickel chloride batteries |
NaS | Sodium–sulfur batteries |
Ni-Cd | Nickel–cadmium batteries |
NL | Net load |
NPP | Nuclear power plant |
OCGT | Open-cycle gas turbine power plant |
PbSO4 | Lead–acid batteries |
PE | Power export |
PFD | Periods of flexibility deficit |
PHES | Pumped hydroelectric energy storage |
PI | Power import |
PPR | Power payback ratio |
PSF | Power system flexibility |
PSO | Power system operator |
PST | Phase shifting transformer |
RE | Renewable energy |
RSE | Ramping capability shortage expectation |
SES | Supercapacitor energy storage |
SL | System load |
SMES | Superconducting magnetic energy storage |
SPP | Solar power plant |
SPRP | Solar power ramping product |
TES | Thermal energy storage |
TRES | Transmission RE sources |
TSO | Transmission system operator |
TPP | Thermal power plant |
T-USFI | Technical uncertainty scenario flexibility index |
UC | Unit commitment |
V2G | Vehicle-to-grid |
VRB | Vanadium redox flow batteries |
VRE | Variable renewable energy |
WPP | Wind power plant |
ZnBr | Zinc–bromine batteries |
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Reference | Definition of PSF |
---|---|
[16] | “The ability of a system to deploy its resources to respond to changes in net load, where net load is defined as the remaining system load not served by variable generation”. |
[17] | “Flexibility expresses the extent to which a power system can modify its electricity production and consumption in response to variability, expected or otherwise”. |
[18] | “The potential for capacity to be deployed within a certain time-frame”. |
[19] | “The ability of a power system to cope with variability and uncertainty in both generation and demand, while maintaining a satisfactory level of reliability at a reasonable cost, over different time horizons”. |
[20] | “The system’s capability to respond to a set of deviations that are identified by risk management criteria through deploying available control actions within predefined time-frame and cost thresholds”. |
[21,22] | “Operational flexibility is defined in terms of power capacity (MW), ramp rate (MW/min), i.e., the ability to increase energy production with a certain rate, and ramp duration (min), i.e., the ability to sustain ramping for a given duration”. |
[23] | “The general characteristic of the ability of an aggregate set of generators to respond to variations and uncertainty in net load”. |
[24] | “The ability of a power system to reliably and cost-effectively manage the variability and uncertainty of demand and supply across all relevant time scales”. |
[25] | “Readiness of power system network for higher shares of variable RE”. |
S. No. | Indicator | Characteristics of Grid Flexibility |
---|---|---|
1 | Reliability of grid | How is the current grid reliable in terms of disruption? |
2 | Ramp of load profile | How steep is the ramp of daily load profile of a nation in the worst-case scenario? |
3 | Access to the electricity market | How much access to the trade of electricity does a country have to balance excess and deficit generation of electricity? |
4 | Forecasting system | Whether the forecasting techniques are employed to predict the expected generation from solar and wind energy or not. |
5 | Ratio of natural gas for generation of electricity | What is the share of natural gas in electricity generation? |
6 | Diversity of RE | How many RE sources of various nature are grid connected in the present scenario? |
S. No. | Flexibility Driver | Relative Strength |
---|---|---|
1 | Increased wind generation at transmission system operator (TSO) level | 95 |
2 | Increased wind generation at DSO level | 86 |
3 | Increased solar PV generation at TSO level | 87 |
4 | Increased solar PV generation at DSO level | 100 |
5 | Generation outages | 68 |
6 | Inflexibility of conventional power plants | 82 |
7 | Reduced contribution from conventional power plants | 81 |
8 | High volatile load | 78 |
9 | Load forecasting error | 52 |
10 | High volatile exchange of power between regional grids | 65 |
11 | Changes in energy market design | 77 |
12 | Changes in system operational policies | 76 |
13 | Increased transmission system congestion | 78 |
14 | Transmission/interconnector outages | 73 |
S. No. | Attribute | Baseline Scenario | Low Coal Scenario | Low Coal/High VRE Scenario |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Reduction in total operational cost of a system using reserves due to DSF | EUR 349 M (2%) | EUR 378 M (1.7%) | EUR 2814 M (11.3%) |
2 | Reduction in cost of reserve provision due to DSF | EUR 100 M | EUR 213 M | EUR 1658 M |
3 | Change in average price due to DSF (%) | −3.4 | −1.9 | −25.8 |
4 | Change in variability of prices (standard deviations from average) due to DR (%) | −58 | −59 | −27.3 |
5 | Change in variability of load (standard deviation of load changes between hours) due to DR (%) | +17 | +8.5 | +15.6 |
6 | Change in the maximum hourly demand (%) | +12% | +7% | +9% |
S. No. | Resource of Flexibility | Solutions/Technology |
---|---|---|
1. | Flexibility from storage | Pumped hydroelectric energy storage (PHES); flywheel energy storage (FES); compressed air energy storage (CAES); lithium-ion batteries (Li-ion); lead–acid batteries (PbSO4); sodium–nickel–chloride batteries (NaNiCl); nickel–cadmium batteries (Ni–Cd); zinc–bromine batteries (ZnBr); sodium–sulfur batteries (NaS); capacitor energy storage (CES); vanadium redox flow batteries (VRB); superconducting magnetic energy storage (SMES); supercapacitor energy storage (SES) |
2. | Flexibility from load (demand side flexibility) | Demand response from large industrial plants; demand response from commercial and domestic sectors |
3. | Flexibility from generation | Variable RE power plants; open-cycle gas turbine power plants (OCGT); combined heat and power plants (CHP); combined-cycle gas turbine power plants (CCGT); biogas power plants (BGPP) |
4. | Flexibility from utility grid | Inter-regional power grid interconnections; transmission capacity addition; power to hydrogen conversion and reuse; power to heat and gas conversion and reuse |
Type of PSF Source | Attribute | Flexibility | Economy | Quantity | Maturity |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Generation source | Traditional generation | Not bad | Good | Less | Fully matured |
Well-controlled RE source | Good | Very good | Large | Not matured | |
Utility Grid | Interconnections of power grid | Not bad | Not bad | Small | Matured |
Optimal dispatch | Good | Good | Small | Matured | |
Load | DSM/DR | Very good | Very good | Large | Matured |
Electric vehicle | Not bad | Good | Large | Matured | |
Storage | Pumped storage power station | Very good | Very good | Small | Fully matured |
Additional energy storage devices | Very good | Not bad | Small | Not matured |
Reference | PSF Metrics | Definition |
---|---|---|
[81] | Magnitude (MW) | “Generation capacity required to respond for a ramp event on supply side whereas on the demand side, incremental and decremental flexibility requirements is dependent on the size of net load ramp or outage”. |
Ramp response | “This indicates the rate of change of net load or plant output and their predictability”. | |
Frequency (# occurrence) | “Number of instances for events of different sizes and responsiveness occurs are measured. Available flexible resources incur an operating cost every time they are used to balance supply and demand resulting in cost implication”. | |
Available flexible resources | “This estimates the capability of changing resources in response to mismatch between net load and total available generation”. | |
[82] | Expected flexibility shortfall | “This effectively measures the conditional expectation of load loss due to right arrow insufficient flexibility”. |
[83] | Period of flexibility deficit (periods) | “It measures the number of instances when there is a deficit of power from available flexible resources”. |
IRRE | “A probabilistic method is used to determine the likelihood of flexibility deficit over a variety of time horizons”. | |
Expected unreserved ramping (MW/min) | “It indicates the total magnitude of deficit of net flexibility”. | |
Flexibility wellbeing assessment | “It combines the information from PFD and EUR metrics to classify system states such as safe, warning, or dangerous”. | |
[84] | Flexibility trinity | “It indicates the power ramping capability (MW/min), power capability for up/down regulation (MW) and energy storage capability (MWh)”. |
[85] | RSE (hours/day) | “Similar to IRRE, this metric is capable to assess the probability for which the net load variations are not covered by the system’s ramping capability”. |
Name of Stakeholder | Name of Metric | Specific Content |
---|---|---|
System and network operators | Power payback ratio (PPR) | Electrical Power |
Coincidence factor | Electrical Power | |
Constant to maximum ratio | Electricity | |
Retailer | Energy payback ratio | Electricity |
Total energy change ratio | Electricity | |
Net energy transfer ratio | Gas and electricity | |
Aggregator | Impacted dwelling percentage | Time |
Average distribution duration | Time | |
Average power contribution | Electrical Power | |
Consumer | Probability of comfort variations | Temperature |
Minimum Power | Ramp Rate | Startup Time | Controllability | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Minimum power | 1 | 0.18 | 4.55 | 1.89 |
Ramp Rate | 5.44 | 1 | 9 | 6.33 |
Start-up Time | 0.22 | 0.11 | 1 | 0.27 |
Controllability | 0.53 | 0.16 | 3.67 | 1 |
Attribute | Getting Started | Getting Serious | Getting Very Serious |
---|---|---|---|
Purpose | Simplified communication tool. Comparison across jurisdictions. | Screening tool for evaluating requirement for further flexibility analysis | Flexibility adopted resource planning |
Execution complexity | Simple analytical framework | Required data may not exist. Data curation and customization may be required. | Requires advanced analysis techniques and data requirements. |
Requirements of example data | Existing capacity of power system. Capacity mix and availability of interconnected systems. | Renewable resource assessment. Various time series data sets. Ramping capabilities of dispatchable sets. | Comprehensive suite of power system data. Operational rules and market and policy context. |
Execution limitations | Existing capacity and interconnection data is generally available in all jurisdictions. | May be infeasible if RE resources assessments are unavailable. | May be infeasible without significant data and modeling and analytical expertise. |
Limitations of results | Does not evaluate whether system is sufficiently flexible. May exclude aspects of flexibility that can not be reduced to capacity. Ramping capability of individual generators not considered. | Significant treatment of dispatchable generators. Presumes fully built-out transmission. | While analysis results are always qualified, this tier of tools and metrics provides the most robust of solutions. |
Effectiveness of tool for generation and load variability | Preliminary and comparative analyses. | Systems which are evaluating need for more robust flexibility assessment (e.g., generation levels of 5–15% wind or solar). | Systems which already utilized “no regrets” sources of flexibility. |
Metric | Flexibility charts. | FAST | IRRE and bulk system flexibility index. |
S. No. | Type of Power Plant | Minimum Stable Output (%) | Ramp Rate (%/min.) | Lead Time, Warm (h) |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Inflexible CCGT | 40–50 | 0.8–6 | 2–4 |
2 | Flexible CCGT | 15–30 | 6–15 | 1–2 |
3 | Steam turbine (gas/oil) | 10–50 | 0.6–7 | 1–4 |
4 | Inflexible coal | 40–60 | 0.6–4 | 5–7 |
5 | Flexible coal | 20–40 | 4–8 | 2–5 |
6 | Lignite | 40–60 | 0.6–6 | 2–8 |
7 | Inflexible nuclear | 100 | 0 | - |
8 | Flexible nuclear | 40–60 | 0.3–5 | - |
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Kaushik, E.; Prakash, V.; Mahela, O.P.; Khan, B.; El-Shahat, A.; Abdelaziz, A.Y. Comprehensive Overview of Power System Flexibility during the Scenario of High Penetration of Renewable Energy in Utility Grid. Energies 2022, 15, 516. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15020516
Kaushik E, Prakash V, Mahela OP, Khan B, El-Shahat A, Abdelaziz AY. Comprehensive Overview of Power System Flexibility during the Scenario of High Penetration of Renewable Energy in Utility Grid. Energies. 2022; 15(2):516. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15020516
Chicago/Turabian StyleKaushik, Ekata, Vivek Prakash, Om Prakash Mahela, Baseem Khan, Adel El-Shahat, and Almoataz Y. Abdelaziz. 2022. "Comprehensive Overview of Power System Flexibility during the Scenario of High Penetration of Renewable Energy in Utility Grid" Energies 15, no. 2: 516. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15020516
APA StyleKaushik, E., Prakash, V., Mahela, O. P., Khan, B., El-Shahat, A., & Abdelaziz, A. Y. (2022). Comprehensive Overview of Power System Flexibility during the Scenario of High Penetration of Renewable Energy in Utility Grid. Energies, 15(2), 516. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15020516