Key Factors Influencing Purchase or Rent Decisions in Smart Real Estate Investments: A System Dynamics Approach Using Online Forum Thread Data
Abstract
:1. Introduction and Background
1.1. Not Enough Information (NEI)
1.2. Complicated Buy/Sell Process (BS)
1.3. House Size (HS)
1.4. Housing Costs (HC)
1.5. Mortgage (MT)
1.6. Emotion (EM)
1.7. Agents (AG)
1.8. Inspection (IP)
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Information Retrieval
2.2. System Dynamics Models
2.3. Online Discussion Threads
3. Results and Discussions
3.1. Information Retrieval Results
3.2. Systems Dynamics Analyses
3.3. Online Discussion Threads Analyses
4. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Time | Strings Used | Articles Retrieved | Duplicates |
---|---|---|---|
Unrestricted | Real estate regrets OR Homebuyers regrets OR Renters regrets | 18,400,000 | |
P1 (2010-14) | AND Tools>AnyTime>CustomRange>1Jan2010- | ||
31Dec2014>SortByRelevance | 287 | ||
Remove Duplicates | 240 | 47 | |
ENGLSIH Language only limit | 212 | ||
AND NO Videos, Images, Descriptions | 162 | ||
AND NO non-statistical articles | 57 | ||
P2 (2015-19) | AND Tools>AnyTime>CustomRange>1Jan2015- | ||
31Dec2019>SortByRelevance | 337 | ||
Remove Duplicates | 275 | 62 | |
ENGLSIH Language only limit | 237 | ||
AND NO Videos, Images, Descriptions | 193 | ||
AND NO non-statistical articles | 61 | ||
Total Articles Retrieved | 118 |
Criteria | Values | Individual Factor Values (Given and Normalised) | Total Count | Contribution | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NEI | GP2 | 22 | 14 | 15 | 25 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 14 | 21 | 217 | 13.53 |
NP2 | 0.10 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.03 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 0.06 | 0.10 | |||
GP1 | 30 | 46 | 5.9 | 77 | 13.9 | 45 | 217.8 | 19.20 | ||||||||
NP1 | 0.14 | 0.21 | 0.03 | 0.35 | 0.06 | 0.21 | ||||||||||
BS | GP2 | 80 | 21 | 32 | 42 | 19 | 55 | 49 | 38 | 44 | 61 | 16 | 457 | 28.49 | ||
NP2 | 0.18 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.04 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.08 | 0.1 | 0.13 | 0.04 | |||||
GP1 | 56 | 50 | 52 | 42 | 20 | 220 | 19.40 | |||||||||
NP1 | 0.25 | 0.23 | 0.24 | 0.19 | 0.09 | |||||||||||
HS | GP2 | 62 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 12 | 33 | 20 | 20 | 214 | 13.34 | |||||
NP2 | 0.29 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 0.2 | 0.06 | 0.15 | 0.09 | 0.09 | ||||||||
GP1 | 54 | 39 | 34 | 127 | 11.20 | |||||||||||
NP1 | 0.43 | 0.31 | 0.27 | |||||||||||||
HC | GP2 | 15 | 62 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 28 | 18 | 40 | 38 | 20 | 20 | 14 | 310 | 19.33 | |
NP2 | 0.05 | 0.2 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.06 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.05 | ||||
GP1 | 57 | 90 | 27 | 29 | 50 | 12.5 | 80 | 265.5 | 23.41 | |||||||
NP1 | 0.21 | 0.34 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.19 | 0.05 | 0.30 | |||||||||
MT | GP2 | 41 | 27 | 18 | 86 | 5.36 | ||||||||||
NP2 | 0.48 | 0.31 | 0.21 | |||||||||||||
GP1 | 25 | 60 | 20 | 105 | 9.26 | |||||||||||
NP1 | 0.24 | 0.57 | 0.19 | |||||||||||||
EM | GP2 | 90 | 20 | 110 | 6.86 | |||||||||||
NP2 | 0.82 | 0.18 | ||||||||||||||
GP1 | NA | NA | ||||||||||||||
NP1 | ||||||||||||||||
AG | GP2 | 32 | 23 | 29 | 84 | 5.24 | ||||||||||
NP2 | 0.38 | 0.27 | 0.35 | |||||||||||||
GP1 | 83 | 96 | 179 | 15.68 | ||||||||||||
NP1 | 0.46 | 0.54 | ||||||||||||||
IP | GP2 | 15 | 41 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 20 | 126 | 7.86 | ||||||
NP2 | 0.12 | 0.33 | 0.09 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.16 | |||||||||
GP1 | 20 | 20 | 1.76 | |||||||||||||
NP1 | 1 |
Respondent | Code | Profession | Experience | Country |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | M1 | Real Estate Managers | 41 Years | USA |
2 | M2 | 22 Years | Australia | |
3 | M3 | 20 Years | USA | |
4 | M4 | 30 Years | Australia | |
5 | M5 | 38 Years | UK | |
6 | M6 | 20 Years | USA | |
7 | M7 | 20 Years | Australia | |
8 | A1 | Real Estate Agents | 22 Years | USA |
9 | A2 | 27 Years | Australia | |
10 | A3 | 42 Years | UK | |
11 | A4 | 25 Years | USA | |
12 | A5 | 30 Years | Australia | |
13 | P1 | Photographer | 12 Years | USA |
14 | C1 | Real Estate Consumers | 3 Purchases | USA |
15 | C2 | 5 Rentals | Australia | |
16 | C3 | 3 Purchases | Australia | |
17 | C4 | 8 Rentals | UK | |
18 | C5 | 4 Purchases | USA | |
19 | C6 | 6 Rentals | UK | |
20 | C7 | 3 Rentals | Australia | |
21 | C8 | 3 Purchases | Australia | |
22 | C9 | 4 Rentals | UK | |
23 | C10 | 12 Rentals | Australia |
Thread | Question Title | Running Period | Responses | Sub Classification |
---|---|---|---|---|
T1 | Have you regretted buying a house? | P1 | 50 | All responses in P1 |
T2 | Have you ever had house purchase regret and how did you cope? | P2 | 14 | All responses in P2 |
T3 | Anyone else regret buying your house? | P1, P2 | 44 | 16 in P1, 28 in P2 |
T4 | Anyone regretted buying a house? | P1 | 27 | All responses in P1 |
Article Topic | Regrets | NEI | BS | HS | HC | MT | EM | AG | IP | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Homebuyers’ Regrets | 780 | 509 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 61 | 0 | 1450 |
House Affordability | 14 | 11 | 277 | 26 | 30 | 109 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 496 |
Regrets and Post-purchase experience | 256 | 73 | 572 | 10 | 61 | 11 | 70 | 13 | 0 | 1066 |
Real Estate Statistics | 0 | 107 | 351 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 0 | 525 |
Avoiding Home buyers Regrets | 72 | 28 | 229 | 13 | 100 | 83 | 0 | 70 | 22 | 617 |
Home buying Mistakes | 88 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 11 | 87 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 215 |
Real Estate Regrets to avoid | 565 | 31 | 253 | 84 | 72 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1034 |
Real Estate regrets: do-over | 135 | 121 | 167 | 48 | 38 | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 582 |
First Time Buyers regrets | 210 | 109 | 191 | 41 | 40 | 12 | 31 | 57 | 0 | 691 |
Home buyers regrets | 73 | 33 | 130 | 0 | 10 | 28 | 17 | 17 | 41 | 349 |
Top 10 real estate regrets | 107 | 29 | 170 | 18 | 29 | 56 | 0 | 28 | 27 | 464 |
Home Buyers Regrets | 102 | 99 | 211 | 11 | 37 | 12 | 0 | 38 | 9 | 519 |
Biggest mistakes in house buying | 47 | 23 | 99 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 213 |
House Purchase regrets | 88 | 27 | 100 | 20 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 246 |
Home buyers’ reality report | 106 | 69 | 432 | 1 | 29 | 1037 | 18 | 50 | 0 | 1742 |
Regrets after buying a house | 77 | 41 | 178 | 0 | 72 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 440 |
Real Estate Regrets | 462 | 103 | 69 | 51 | 48 | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 795 |
Australian House buying | 19 | 21 | 96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 63 | 216 |
Total | 3201 | 1434 | 3585 | 332 | 598 | 1660 | 237 | 440 | 173 | 11,660 |
Regret Group | Factors | P1 | P2 | TR | TH | TGR | TGH | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
R | H | R | H | ||||||
NEI | Neighbourhood Information | 12 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 19 | 3 | 45 | 7 |
Less or little Information | 6 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 14 | 1 | |||
Travel time to amenities | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | |||
Natural Sunlight | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | |||
Social Life | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||
Security Issues | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |||
HS | House Size | 9 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 20 | 2 | 36 | 5 |
House Design | 5 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 2 | |||
Garden and Greenery | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
BS | Transaction Costs | 16 | 18 | 16 | 0 | 32 | 18 | 41 | 30 |
Sale Losses | 6 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12 | |||
HC | Renovation Required | 14 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 31 | 5 | 31 | 5 |
MT | Mortgage Payments | 8 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 6 |
IP | Inspections | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
EM | Impatient Decisions | 4 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
AG | Bad Agents | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Yearly Total | 87 | 46 | 96 | 8 | 183 | 54 | 183 | 54 | |
Sample Size | 80 | 55 | 135 |
Groups | Keywords | M1 | M2 | M3 | M4 | M5 | M6 | M7 | P1 | A1 | A2 | A3 | A4 | A5 | C1 | C2 | C3 | C4 | C5 | C6 | C7 | C8 | C9 | C10 | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
IP | Inspection | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | 14 | |||||||||
NEI | Less or little Information | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | 9 | ||||||||||||||
Property Records | * | * | * | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Neighbourhood Information | * | * | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Financial History | * | * | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Video Walk throughs | * | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
WI | Info Accuracy | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | 8 | |||||||||||||||
Website Reliability | * | * | * | * | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Speed & Results | * | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
BS | Prefer Renting | * | * | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Hidden Costs | * | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Wrong Valuation | * | * | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
AG | Reliable Agents | * | * | * | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||
EM | Patience | * | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Count | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 53 |
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Ullah, F.; Sepasgozar, S.M.E. Key Factors Influencing Purchase or Rent Decisions in Smart Real Estate Investments: A System Dynamics Approach Using Online Forum Thread Data. Sustainability 2020, 12, 4382. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12114382
Ullah F, Sepasgozar SME. Key Factors Influencing Purchase or Rent Decisions in Smart Real Estate Investments: A System Dynamics Approach Using Online Forum Thread Data. Sustainability. 2020; 12(11):4382. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12114382
Chicago/Turabian StyleUllah, Fahim, and Samad M. E. Sepasgozar. 2020. "Key Factors Influencing Purchase or Rent Decisions in Smart Real Estate Investments: A System Dynamics Approach Using Online Forum Thread Data" Sustainability 12, no. 11: 4382. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12114382
APA StyleUllah, F., & Sepasgozar, S. M. E. (2020). Key Factors Influencing Purchase or Rent Decisions in Smart Real Estate Investments: A System Dynamics Approach Using Online Forum Thread Data. Sustainability, 12(11), 4382. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12114382