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13 January 2023

Public Acceptance towards Emerging Autonomous Vehicle Technology: A Bibliometric Research

,
,
and
1
Faculty of Management, Multimedia University, Persiaran Multimedia, Cyberjaya 63100, Malaysia
2
Faculty of Business and Law, School of Marketing and Management, Taylor’s University, 1, Jalan Taylors, Subang Jaya 47500, Malaysia
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.

Abstract

In the current challenging and competitive dynamic business world today, automotive companies have been rapidly developing and promoting autonomous vehicles (AVs), which aim to reduce crashes, energy consumption, pollution, and congestion and increase transport accessibility. To ensure the successful adoption of AVs, an increasing number of studies have been conducted to understand public acceptance. This paper used the bibliometric technique to understand the distribution, emerging trend, and the research cluster in the context of AV technology acceptance through knowledge mapping. The Web of Science database was used to retrieve 401 scientific articles from 2000 to June 2022. The findings reported that the previous studies mainly focused on the research clusters related to the domains of attitude, trust, technology, impact, and models. Finally, this study added to the existing body of literature by providing the current knowledge landscape to guide the future research.

1. Introduction

According to WHO [1], road traffic crash is the eighth leading cause of death of people of all ages around the world. Every year, about 1.35 million people are killed, while as many as 50 million people suffer different levels of injury due to road traffic accidents. Pieces of evidence have shown that more than half of these traffic crashes are associated with a certain level of human errors [2,3], such as distracted driving, speeding, risky driving behavior, driving under the influence, and fatigue driving.
Subsequently, many automotive and startupscompanies such as Waymo/Google, Uber, BMW, Ford, Nissan, General Motors, and Volvo, are spearheading the development of autonomous vehicles [4,5]. The emergence of autonomous vehicle (AV) technology is advocated as one of the solutions to reduce traffic crashes by eliminating human-error-induced accidents [6]. With this, the development of AVs has achieved several milestones over the years. For instance, Audi allocated USD 16 billion for electric and autonomous vehicles [7], while Ford and Toyota invested USD 4 billion and USD 2.8 billion, respectively, in AV technology. Generally, the deployment of AVs, which could be classified from level 1 (driver assistance) to level 5 (fully automated), is entering the market in stages. In more than 130 cities, policy makers in the United States, Asia, and Europe started pilot projects related to AV technology in buses or robotaxi [6]. Some researchers forecasted that by 2040, AVs will constitute about 25% of the global new car market [8], and by 2050, it is estimated that fully automated vehicles would achieve 50% market share [9].
At the forefront of a full automation mobility environment, extensive research has been carried out to explore the potential implications brought by AVs from a broad range of perspectives [10,11]. The results reported are mixed. While some studies promoted the use of AV technology in terms of reducing traffic fatalities and air pollution and improving the life quality of disabled groups, other studies argued that the benefits will only be realized when AVs are accepted and used on a broader scale [12]. Despite extensive work carried out in the past, there is incongruent consensus on the public acceptance of AV technology. One of the plausible reasons could be the different theoretical models developed to answer various objectives [13]. The current state of knowledge and literature is mainly centered on the perception of consumers based on the theories of technology acceptance or intention to use or adopt, in which the actual acceptance might be influenced by many other uncertainties due to the evolution of the environment in the coming years. The uncertainties include global government policies, legal implications between countries, socioeconomic pressures, culture, and sustainability [14]. As such, the subject of public acceptance of AV is still drawing serious attention from various parties and has seen an upsurge trend in related research.
In view of the increasing literature, the bibliometric method is used as another systematic and statistical approach to understand the trend and research pattern. The term bibliometrics, which was derived from Latin and Greek words, was first published by Pritchard in 1969 [15]. It is defined as a statistical method of analyzing a book and other literature. Bibliometrics is often used synonymous with scientometrics [16].
There are very few studies applying a quantitative approach to understand the research area related to AV [17,18,19,20]. Several studies conducted in the past attempted to analyze the trend of AV research over the past two decades [17,18,19,20], and included a study related to the application of innovation in self-driving cars [17]. These findings are very informative as they summarize the research areas on AV technologies at a glance. Although past studies provided a comprehensive review based on the findings from previous studies in the transportation field that involved AVs based on the systematic review method [11,21], the literature search using the bibliometrics method to holistically review the strand of public acceptance of AVs is still limited. Therefore, the following three research objectives were developed in order to present a comprehensive report based on bibliometric analysis in this study:
  • To compare the nature of distributions in terms of the authorship and geographical areas spanning across countries in the context of AVs;
  • To identify the global emerging trends and core research clusters related to people’s acceptance of AV technology;
  • To propose the research directions that can open new avenues for future research based on the review performed in this study.
The outcome of the review is expected to contribute to the existing literature by illustrating the latest development and state-of-the-art research in AV, and give insights for future research direction. In addition, this study compliments previous systematic review papers by using a bibliometric technique in which the findings are displayed in a visualized knowledge map in terms of citation analysis, coauthorship, cocitation map, and keyword analysis. For the purpose of this study, the VOSviewer software developed by Van Eck and Waltman [22] was selected to generate the knowledge maps.
The current paper is organized as follows: Section 2 describes the materials and methods used in this study. Section 3 answers research objective (1), while Section 4 addresses research objective (2). Lastly, Section 5 echoes research objective (3) by identifying the gaps in the existing literature and providing recommendations for future research.

2. Materials and Methods

To achieve the three research objectives, a search for all the reference articles indexed in the Web of Science (WOS), which covers most of the primary journal publications in the world, was conducted. The article period was set to years dating back to the past decades (2000) until the present, June 2022 (until the point of this study). Autonomous vehicles (AVs) refer to vehicles with a certain level of a safety-critical control function (such as steering, throttle, or braking) that takes place without direct driver input [12]. According to the Society of Automotive Engineers [23], AV can be classified into six levels, ranging from Level 0 (no automation or manual) to Level 5 (full automation). Najm et al. [24] defined acceptance is “the precondition that will permit new automotive technologies to achieve their forecasted benefit levels” (p. 5–1). As mentioned by Cserdi and Kenesei [25], Rezaei and Caulfield [26], and Weigl et al. [27], acceptance and adoption are interchangeably used in the literature. Other words related to the potential adoption or use of AVs were also included. Therefore, the search terms/keywords identified were: “Adoption” OR “Adopt” OR “Acceptance” OR “Intention to Use” AND “Driverless” OR “Autonomous” OR “Automated” OR “Self-Driving”. The initial search resulted in 10,051 articles. The pool of publications was further screened manually by title and abstract with reference to a set of criteria as listed in Table 1. Based on the criteria, a total of 401 articles were downloaded in the format of “plain text” on 1 July 2022 for subsequent analysis. The information of the articles includes authors, titles, keywords, institutions, years of publication, and citation numbers. In addition, Figure 1 summarizes the search procedure applied in locating the appropriate articles to realize the aims of this study.
Table 1. Inclusion and exclusion criteria.
Figure 1. Search term and process.
This study used the WOS database, which is the world’s most comprehensive, reliable, and trusted database. It contains more than 171 million records and includes other databases, such as Scopus, ProQuest, and Wiley [21]. All the articles are indexed in a way that promises the quality of the works. The timeframe selected from 2000 up to June 2022 was consistent with the booming of AV since the Second Digital Revolution [28]. In addition, it is to highlight that the screening process is not straightforward, given that the query has resulted in 10,051 articles. The subsequent step involves manually screening in detail based on a set of inclusion and exclusion criteria. As autonomous technology is developing, various new terms, such as self-driving, driverless, robocar, and robotaxi, might be used to represent AVs. Therefore, manually screening can avoid data loss.

5. Future Research Direction

This study complements the very few existing bibliometrics and systematic review papers by converging into the public acceptance of AV research in the past decade. Hence, several recommendations from the aspects of research approaches and regions, antecedents and models of AV adoption, and consequences’ effect after adopting the technology for future research opportunities are provided in the next section.

5.1. Research Approaches and Region

Based on the review, quantitative approaches and cross-sectional studies predominate the AV technology adoption literature. On the other hand, the qualitative studies adopting a holistic perspective, such as in-depth analysis, are still rarely available in technology adoption studies. Therefore, a mixed method research approach whereby researchers collect and analyze both quantitative and qualitative data within the same study is recommended in future studies. Mixed methods research allows researchers to explore diverse perspectives and uncover relationships that exist between the intricate layers of multifaceted research questions related to the perspectives of AV and discovered from a particular market segment, who is the potential user of AV in the future.
Next, AV technology adoption in different regions should be explored in future studies. A search in the WOS database indicates that interests in the topic of AV are escalating in the last few years. The most productive year was in 2021 with a total of 110 publications. Of the 401 articles, about 29% were produced by US scholars in collaboration with their peers from 11 countries, such as China, Japan, Canada, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, Austria, Australia, Germany, Netherlands, England, and France. These are countries where AV technologies are actively developed and tested. Inversely, no leading studies were conducted in developing countries or in third world countries. This may be because of the limited demand in the implementation of AV technologies in those countries. Public behavior towards AV adoption in other countries, particularly in Southeast Asian countries, is unknown and requires further investigation.
In addition, the findings reported today might not be true tomorrow when fully automated vehicles (Level 4 and Level 5) eventually hit the roads. The uncertainties of the world evolution might also change human perception especially when they have experience with AVs. Policy makers and car developers play important roles in propagating the benefits of AVs and making AVs easily accessible in order to build trust. Therefore, test and retest studies should be carried out along with initiatives to validate these findings from time to time. Compared with trust, studies associated with the term of impacts were less discussed as the current focus is allotted to the diffusion of AVs. Perhaps more attention could be given to look into the implications of policies and regulations, ethical issues, liability, cybersecurity related to AV operation in the traffic streams, and the environment to humans. The advocated benefits associated with AVs should also be evaluated to avoid overglorification of their merits.

5.2. Antecedents and Models

Along with the findings from keyword analysis, it is shown that the literature within this study circled on the influence of personal traits and social demographic attributes in sculpting attitudes towards AVs. The five major trunks of studies are: attitude, trust, technology, models, and impacts. Trust is regarded as a critical determinant for AV acceptance. It is argued that the more people trust the technology, the higher the acceptance of AV technology will be. Zhang et al. [94] concluded that an increase in the trust level is one of the persuasive approaches to promote AVs. Nevertheless, the literature also revealed that trust is differed across continents, backgrounds, and other subgroups. To be more specific, future researchers are recommended to examine the impact of the trust dimensions, such as competence, integrity, and benevolence, on AV adoption intention.
In terms of the model used, although the analysis of public acceptance is highly dependent on the psychological theory, such as the technology acceptance model, theory of reasoned action, theory of planned behavior, UTAUT, and other models, to predict the adoption of AVs, results reported from the past are still far from being conclusive. Since the majority of the studies applied or extended from a single model to study the technology acceptance or adoption, this may result in the possibilities of neglecting the blend or integration of multiple models for a better decision-making process of practitioners in the AV industry. Future researchers are recommended to evaluate and compare the predictive power of the single and blended model, and identify the best fitted model to better explain public adoption of AV.

5.3. Consequences Effects

Most of the studies conducted in the past investigated consumer intention to use or actual adoption behavior towards AV technology. However, studies that discussed the consequent effects, such as benefits or drawbacks after adopting these technologies, are limited. It is important to understand the consequences obtained by users after the actual adoption of AV technology. A more realistic experience and feedback regarding the benefits, drawbacks, or effectiveness of AV technology can be provided to researchers and practitioners to implement or invent a technology that fulfills customers’ actual needs rather than based on perception-based studies, which may lead to bias.

6. Conclusions

This study contributes to the existing body of literature by applying the bibliometric technique to analyze the topic of AV technology adoption with three research objectives: (1) analysis of the nature of distribution from various studies, (2) the global emerging research trends and core research cluster of AVs, and (3) the future research direction recommendation. The bibliometrics review in this paper was novel in the context of AV adoption as it was conducted based on 401 related articles indexed in the Web of Science (WOS) reported from 2000 to June 2022. Among these 401 related articles across 53 countries, the US is the main contributor to the body of literature, followed by Germany and China. More collaborations between researchers in developed and developing countries should be encouraged in order to understand the localized challenges and increase knowledge sharing, thereby strengthening the technical, social, ethical, and governance aspects of the development of AVs.
AV is an emerging technology that is expected to change the human lifestyle with promises to bring benefits in terms of safety, mobility, and sustainable environment. Nonetheless, the public acceptance of AVs is still low, probably due to the unavailability of AVs in the market yet. Alongside these findings, the five domain research clusters in previous AV studies, such as attitude, trust, technology, models, and impacts, were identified, in which these areas of studies are expected to remain valid and important in the near future until the AV market becomes mature. In addition, the agenda for future research includes research approaches and regions, antecedents and model testing, and consequence effects of AV adoption. Hence, for the theoretical contribution, the overview of bibliometric maps is particularly important to researchers in developing countries where AVs are soon to be introduced in their countries. Researchers can borrow the experience of the developed countries as their dominant focus in their research direction. The trends and gaps of the previous main research serve as a basis for their startup research. Moreover, the collaboration map shares an impression of the prominent researchers or institutions in the AV adoption research studies. For instance, the five domain research clusters identified from this paper can be applied or integrated in studies related to AVs to better understand user acceptance towards new technology across different countries.
In terms of practical implications, the illustration of the focus of research topics related to the acceptance of AVs in the world is essential to policy makers and industry players. For instance, prolific research topics such as trust in technology and its impacts (as shown in the bibliometric map) imply that these factors are the major concerns of potential AV users, which, on the contrary, are seen as challenges to car makers. Therefore, the findings can shed some light on car makers to fine-tune and deepen the relevant aspects of technology development. The trends and issues identified in this study can also assist car makers to strategize the deployment of AVs in the market. At the government level, policy makers should ensure that AVs are to be deployed in a safe environment with a reliable transport infrastructure and safeguard the interest of each type of road users in order to maintain social stability.
Nevertheless, this study inherits two limitations. First, the literature is limited to published articles from the WOS database and a limit timeline between 2000 and June 2022. There are other valuable databases, such as Scopus, EBSCO, ProQuest, ScienceDirect, Sage, and Emerald, that are excluded. Apart from these, besides English, articles in other languages are not included, where it is assumed that there are many critical papers written in German or Chinese judging from the development of AV technologies in the respective countries. Thus, these two shortcomings could be considered in future research for better insight and information.

Author Contributions

The authors worked together for this paper. Conceptualization, J.S.H., B.C.T., T.C.L. and N.K.; formal analysis, J.S.H.; methodology, J.S.H.; project administration, B.C.T., N.K. and T.C.L.; resources, B.C.T. and N.K.; software, J.S.H.; supervision, B.C.T. and N.K.; validation, B.C.T.; writing—original draft, J.S.H., B.C.T. and T.C.L.; writing—review and editing, J.S.H., B.C.T. and T.C.L. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This research received no external funding.

Institutional Review Board Statement

Not applicable.

Data Availability Statement

Not applicable.

Acknowledgments

The authors would like to thank Multimedia University for supporting the publication of this paper.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

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