1. Introduction
Rocking response refers to a distinctive oscillation observed in free-standing structures that can uplift and rock under intense ground motion excitations [
1]. Once uplift occurs, the free-standing structure behaves like an inverted pendulum, rotating about its alternative pivot points at the base. Remarkably, rocking systems can undergo significant displacements without damage [
2]. The response of rocking systems was initially investigated by Housner [
3], who noticed that water towers allowed to rock freely on their foundations survived the 1960 earthquakes in Chile with minimum damage. In contrast, seemingly more stable monolithic water towers experienced severe damage. Housner’s pioneering work emphasized and revealed the highly nonlinear nature of rocking behavior, bringing to light its fundamental aspects. Recognizing the favorable properties of rocking behavior, the scientific community has explored various ways to incorporate rocking into civil engineering structural systems. These include implementing flexible rocking cantilevers [
4,
5,
6], designing multi-story frame structures with rocking foundations [
7,
8], constructing rocking bridge piers [
9,
10,
11], connecting conventional structures with rocking walls in parallel [
12,
13], and employing seismic isolation through a rocking floor configuration at the base [
14,
15,
16,
17,
18,
19]. Although rocking response-based structural systems have been studied and developed over the last 60 years, the exploitation of the rocking response can also be observed in ancient temples consisting of free-standing columns connected with an epistyle at their top [
20]. Except for structural members, the rocking response can also emerge in anchored free-standing equipment [
21].
Due to the high nonlinearity of the rocking response, it is evident that the phenomenon should be probabilistically addressed [
22,
23,
24,
25,
26,
27,
28,
29,
30]. To this end, probabilistic seismic demand models based on a linear regression between seismic intensity measures (IMs) and the maximum rocking behavior have been employed to predict the response in the absence of a rocking overturn. On the other hand, rocking overturning consists of a classification problem commonly treated using binomial or logistic regression.
As the determination of the seismic response of a structural system is computationally demanding, many researchers focused on predicting their behavior by adopting soft computing techniques [
31,
32,
33]. Machine learning methods have been employed to assess the seismic response of RC, steel, and timber structures [
34,
35,
36]. In addition, the structural damage has been estimated using an artificial neural network (ANN), a Mamdani-type fuzzy inference system (FIS), and a Sugeno-type fuzzy inference system (FIS) [
37]. It has been reported that all methods lead to reliable results with an accurate classification process, and thus, they could be used effectively in evaluating the damage of a structure through an earthquake occurrence. Furthermore, comparative studies on the efficiency of different ML algorithms in predicting the total damage of a building under successive ground motions have been conducted [
38,
39]. While there have been numerous studies on the seismic response evaluation of fixed base structures using soft computing methods, only a few examine the response of rigid rocking blocks [
40].
Among the soft computing techniques, it is evident that fuzzy logic offers distinct benefits over other ML algorithms by providing a more flexible and interpretable framework that can handle uncertainty and imprecise data more effectively. In particular, Gkountakou et al. [
41] compared the effectiveness of multiple linear regression (MLR) and fuzzy linear regression (FLR) methods in predicting the structural damage indices of a steel building. It was demonstrated that the FLR method resulted in the lowest average percentage error level across all sets of accelerograms that the structure was subjected, making it an effective modeling method in the field of structural engineering. A fuzzy logic procedure was also applied to classify seismic damage potential in a concrete structure using the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) [
42]. More specifically, the overall damage indices and the maximum interstory drift ratio were used as outputs, and 20 seismic parameters were applied as independent variables for evaluating the earthquake’s impact. The results revealed that the ANFIS algorithm provided an effective modeling tool for predicting and classifying the damage status of a building.
Evaluating the similarity ratio between two or more fuzzy models is also an important process for indicating how close the results obtained from the two models are. For example, Papadopoulos et al. [
43] used four different fuzzy linear regression models for calculating the connection between the nominal GNP and money. By evaluating the results, it was concluded that this method aids in assessing how closely the predictions of the two fuzzy models match, offering understanding into the coherence and concurrence among their individual outcomes.
Due to the high nonlinearity of the rocking response, its evaluation is a challenging task. To this end, in the present study, two different approaches, a fuzzy linear regression with triangular fuzzy numbers and a hybrid model of logistic regression and fuzzy logic, were used for evaluating the finite rocking rotations and rocking overturn of three typical rocking systems, respectively. From the obtained results, the similarity ratios of the prediction models were calculated, while the efficiency of the models was evaluated by adopting the root mean square error (RMSE) coefficient, and the log loss function. It was concluded that both methods demonstrate enhanced performance in predicting the dynamic response of the examined structural systems, while they can be used to assess the similarity between the models. Thus, the novelty of this work is to apply two different fuzzy rule-based approaches for evaluating their accuracy and calculating their similarity ratios. The process of computing the similarity ratio between the three typical rocking systems indicates the effectiveness of the methods in providing insights into the consistency and agreement between their respective outcomes.
3. Results
This research aimed to evaluate the similarity ratio of three different rocking systems by predicting their finite rocking rotations and rocking overturning under natural ground motions. This goal was accomplished by employing two regression techniques: fuzzy linear regression and a hybrid method with combined logistic regression and fuzzy logic.
Three typical rocking structural systems were subjected to 5000 ground motion records [
81]. The ground motion records database encompasses a comprehensive collection of seismic data, capturing a diverse range of scenarios. With V
s,30 values spanning from 100 m/s to 2000 m/s, corresponding to soil classes ranging from A to D, the database accounts for various soil conditions. Moreover, R
rup ranges from 0.07 km to 185 km, while the magnitude M
w ranges from 3.2 to 7.9. The database includes records for all faulting types, providing a holistic view of seismic activity. A comprehensive collection of 18 seismic parameters was carefully chosen to characterize the seismic intensity of an earthquake event. These parameters were extracted from the recorded seismic accelerograms. Among the examined IMs, the acceleration-based ones determine the uplift of the rocking blocks, while the velocity and frequency-based IMs are highly correlated with rocking overturn [
23,
24,
25]. It should be mentioned that elastic-response-spectrum-based IMs are not included since rocking motion cannot be described by equivalent elastic oscillators [
45]. As long as rocking overturning implies an infinite rocking rotation, the response data has to be treated separately. In the absence of a rocking overturn, the finite damage index was predicted using fuzzy linear regression models. However, the rocking overturn prediction has to be treated as a classification problem due to the discontinuity of the damage index. To this end, logistic regression combined with fuzzy logic was employed. It has to be mentioned that both the IMs and response values are given on a logarithmic scale.
3.1. Fuzzy Linear Regression Results
Fuzzy linear regression analysis was applied to predict the rotation of every rocking structure using 18 seismic parameters as inputs. Particularly, the fuzzy linear regression equation with triangular fuzzy numbers was derived as follows:
in which
were the seismic parameters, and Y was the rotation of the structure. The results of triangular fuzzy coefficients obtained through the method for every specific case were represented in
Table A1 in the
Appendix A.
In order to evaluate the similarity ratio of the three fuzzy linear regression models containing the same input variables, we used the following equation [
67]:
in which
and
were different sets of data and κ was a ratio expressed as
The results of the similarity ratio λ
i,j of the three models mentioned above are summarized in
Table 2. The subscript notation represents the parameter calculated with respect to structure i and j.
By evaluating the results, it was concluded that the models of the first and third structures had the highest similarity ratio value, and thus, the regression models were closer in contrast to the other sets.
For determining the accuracy of the predicted outputs that emerged from the fuzzy linear regression method, the root mean square error (RMSE) parameter was evaluated with the following equation:
in which
and
represented the observed and predicted values, respectively, and n corresponded to the number of data sets. The results of the RMSE parameter for the finite rocking response of every structure are depicted in
Table 3.
In order to assess the impact of individual input variables on the similarity ratio of our model, we conducted a comprehensive analysis by constructing a total of 18 fuzzy linear regression models. Each model was formulated to include a distinct input variable, while the resulting output corresponded to the rotation of the structure. This approach allowed us to thoroughly evaluate each input variable’s impact on our models’ similarity ratio. The results of the triangular fuzzy coefficients are demonstrated in
Table A2 in the
Appendix A section, and the values of the similarity ratio λ and the RMSE parameter for every model are represented in
Table 4 and
Table 5, respectively. The subscript notation of RMSE indicates the structures under examination for which the parameter is calculated.
It has to be highlighted that due to the normalization of IMs, a self-similar response between seemingly different rocking systems is achieved. That fact justifies the observed high similarity ratios between the models. Furthermore, the significant similarity indicates the effectiveness of dimensionless IMs in accurately predicting the response of rocking systems with different dynamic properties.
3.2. Hybrid Method Results
Logistic regression analysis was used to model the relationship between the 18 seismic parameters and the binary output, representing whether the structure collapsed. More specifically, the response results obtained by time history analyses are divided into two categories, i.e., the nonoverturning and overturning classes. The equation of logistic regression was deduced in the following manner:
The results of the model parameters are demonstrated in
Table A3 in the
Appendix A. For assessing the accuracy of the logistic regression model and quantifying the extent of errors, the log loss function was determined according to the following equation:
in which y
i were the observed binary outputs and p
i were the probabilities of every case. The results of the log loss function are illustrated in
Table 6.
Then, based on the aforementioned logistic regression parameters, the probability π of every case was computed according to Equation (19). The results that emerged were subjected to three models of fuzzy linear regression analysis, in which the inputs were the 18 seismic parameters, and the output was the probability for every structure. This hybrid approach assessed the degree of similarity among the three structures. By employing this method, it became possible to integrate the principles of fuzzy logic with logistic regression, thereby facilitating their combined utilization. The results of the similarity ratio λ are presented in
Table 7.
Through the examination of the outcomes, it was determined that the second and third structural models exhibited the highest degree of similarity ratio value.
The same procedure was followed to evaluate the influence of individual input variables on the similarity ratio of our model. For that purpose, 18 logistic regression models comprised of one input, were analyzed. The results of the log loss function are summarized in
Table 8. The subscript notation in Log Loss signifies the structure for which the log loss function is applied.
Then, the probability π of every case was subjected to fuzzy linear regression. The outcomes pertaining to the triangular fuzzy coefficients are presented in
Appendix A Table A4, and the values indicating the similarity ratio λ are displayed in
Table 9.
4. Conclusions
The assessment of rocking response presents a formidable challenge due to its significant nonlinearity. In this paper, two distinct methodologies to evaluate the finite rocking rotations and rocking overturn of three typical rocking systems were studied. Specifically, we employed fuzzy linear regression with triangular fuzzy numbers and a hybrid model that combined logistic regression and fuzzy logic. These approaches were chosen to achieve our research objectives effectively.
The fuzzy linear regression method was applied to determine the finite rocking rotations and the similarity ratio of the three structures. The model consisted of 18 seismic parameters, which were extracted from the recorded seismic accelerograms and considered as inputs. Extensive analysis was carried out to evaluate each input variable’s influence on the model’s similarity ratio. This procedure involved creating a set of 18 fuzzy linear regression models. This comprehensive approach highlighted the significance of each parameter in shaping the model’s outcomes. According to the results, high similarity ratios were observed among the various structures in every case. More specifically, in the case where the fuzzy model included all input variables, the similarity ratio of the structures had a value of 0.99 between structures 1 and 3, which indicated that these regression models were closer, in contrast to the other sets.
Similarly, a hybrid model that combined logistic regression and fuzzy logic was applied to evaluate the rocking binary overturn of three typical rocking systems and, thus, their similarity ratio. The application of this model necessitated the computation of probability π of structure failures with logistic regression. Then, the computed probability was subjected to the FLR method to determine the similarity ratio of every system. In this analysis, the similarity ratios in every case were lower, contrary to the first method, mainly when the fuzzy model included all input variables. The highest similarity ratio was observed between the 2 and 3 structures (λ2,3 = 0.533). The model that exhibited the highest similarity ratio among the structures was the model that included only the variable p PGD/PGV as an input, with a similarity ratio value of λ1,3 = 0.97. This result demonstrated that these regression models were closer for structures 1 and 3.
In order to assess the outputs that emerged from the fuzzy linear regression and the logistic regression, the root mean square error (RMSE) parameter and the log loss function were determined, respectively. As indicated, both methods demonstrated satisfactory outcomes, showing minimal deviations from the observed values. However, the results revealed that in both methods, in cases where the models were composed of all input variables, the coefficients expressing the error of the methods provided better results compared to the cases where the models consisted of only one input. For example, in the fuzzy linear regression method, the smallest RMSE parameter (RMSE = 3.54) was observed where the model was composed of all input parameters of the third structure. Similarly, in the logistic regression method, the smallest log loss function (long loss = 0.008) was evaluated in the model consisting of all seismic input parameters of the first structure. This result indicated a small deviation between the predicted and observed values, highlighting the method’s accuracy and precision.
In conclusion, the fuzzy linear regression method and the hybrid model that combined logistic regression and fuzzy logic are effective modeling tools that can be used accurately for regression and classification problems, respectively. Also, the parameters of triangular fuzzy numbers can be utilized to determine the applied model’s similarity ratio. Thus, these models result in accurate seismic assessment of rocking structures and serve as valuable modeling tools in the realm of engineering. The high similarity ratios, stemming from the dimensionless IMs, indicate that the proposed methodology may result in a universal assessment tool that can be applied to evaluate the response of different rocking structures. However, a thorough investigation, including systems with various geometries and boundary conditions, should be conducted in order to extend the potential application of the adopted methodology.