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Article

Comparative Analysis of Target Displacements in RC Buildings for 2023 Türkiye Earthquakes

1
Department of Civil Engineering, Bitlis Eren University, Bitlis 13100, Türkiye
2
Çan Vocational School, Çanakkale 18 Mart University, Çanakkale 17400, Türkiye
3
Department of Architecture, Bitlis Eren University, Bitlis 13100, Türkiye
*
Authors to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(7), 4014; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15074014
Submission received: 11 February 2025 / Revised: 31 March 2025 / Accepted: 3 April 2025 / Published: 5 April 2025
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Earthquake Engineering and Seismic Risk)

Abstract

:
The Kahramanmaraş (Türkiye) earthquake on 6 February 2023, one of the largest earthquakes of the century, caused the collapse or severe damage of thousands of structures. This catastrophic disaster resulted in over 53,000 fatalities and rendered many structures unusable. This study addresses the observed damage in reinforced concrete (RC) structures, which constituted the majority of the existing urban building stock. In this study, firstly, information about the destructive Kahramanmaraş earthquakes was given. The predicted PGAs in the last two earthquake hazard maps used in Türkiye were compared with the measured PGAs from actual earthquakes to determine whether the earthquake hazard is adequately represented for eleven affected provinces in the earthquake region. The damages in RC structures were evaluated within the scope of civil and earthquake engineering. Structural analyses for the model created to represent mid-rise RC buildings in the region were carried out separately for each province using predicted and measured PGAs. Additionally, target displacements that were used in performance-based earthquake engineering for damage prediction, were examined comparatively for all provinces. While the predicted earthquake hazard and targeted displacements were exceeded in some provinces, there was no exceedance in the other provinces. The realistic representation of earthquake hazards will allow the predicted displacements for various performance levels of structures to be determined in a much more realistic way. Consequently, the performance levels predicted for the structures will be assessed with greater accuracy. The study highlights the importance of accurately presenting earthquake hazards to predict building performance effectively.

1. Introduction

Studies to be conducted after destructive earthquakes provide critical information to both realistically present the situation in the affected region after the earthquake and to reduce the effects of similar disasters in the future. It provides suggestions for improvement and reconstruction processes by correctly assessing the condition of structures that have suffered different levels of damage or destruction. Studies to be conducted in earthquake-affected regions can reveal whether the earthquake hazard is adequately represented or not, and can also reveal the inadequacy of current construction and structural engineering techniques. These studies contribute to the development of earthquake-resistant building design rules. Within the scope of this study, it was tried to reveal whether the earthquake hazard was adequately represented for 11 provinces of Türkiye affected by the 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquakes and the effect of this hazard on structural analyses especially within the scope of performance-based earthquake engineering.
Two significant earthquakes occurred independently of one another, nine hours apart, on 6 February 2023, in the East Anatolian Fault Zone (EAFZ), the main tectonic zone in Türkiye, located in the Alpine-Himalayan earthquake belt. In addition to occurring on the same day, these earthquakes were large, shallow, and affected a vast area. The aftershocks caused even more loss of life and property. Examining and evaluating structural damage after each devastating earthquake provides valuable insight for presenting earthquake hazards more realistically and developing earthquake-resistant building design principles. Each of these studies can be appraised as a case study.
There are many studies examining theoretically and numerically the causes of damage to different structural systems following earthquakes in different settlements around the world. Goda et al. [1] evaluated the damages from the 2015-Gorkha (Nepal) earthquake through field investigations. Milani and Valente [2] investigated the collapse mechanisms using comparative static pushover and limit analyses for seven churches damaged in the 2012 Italy earthquake. Zhang and Jin [3] examined building damage after the Wenchuan earthquake in the context of cause and effect. Clifton et al. [4] investigated the damage to steel buildings following the Christchurch earthquake series. Lagomarsino [5] examined the structural damage in churches after the L’Aquila earthquake. Mimura et al. [6] evaluated the damage caused by the earthquake and tsunami in Japan. Mangalathu et al. [7] classified earthquake damage using artificial intelligence after the 2014 South Napa earthquake. Valente and Milani [8] examined earthquake damage and collapse mechanisms for a castle in Italy after the earthquake. Stepinac et al. [9] classified the damage in settlements after the Zagreb earthquake in their study. Ademović et al. [10] conducted a damage assessment and subsequent strengthening recommendations for a historical masonry structure after the 2020 Zagreb earthquake. Pantò et al. [11] used a macro-modeling approach to assess masonry arch bridges under earthquake loading. Naik et al. [12] evaluated the environmental effects of the Hualien earthquake. Naik et al. [13] examined the damage in Medieval monuments around New Delhi in detail and proposed a new approach. Sugimori [14] examined structural damage specifically for the 1855 Edo earthquake. Qu et al. [15] investigated the seismic failures in buildings after the Luding earthquake. Tena-Colunga [16] explored the relationship between earthquake failures and structural irregularities. Nemutlu et al. [17], Işık et al. [18], and Caglar et al. [19] investigated the failures in different types of structures after the Sivrice (Elazığ) earthquake.
There are many studies that have evaluated the earthquake damages in different structural systems following 6 February 2023, Kahramanmaraş earthquakes within the scope of structural and earthquake engineering. Each of these studies, conducted for these earthquakes considered the disaster of the century for Türkiye, will contribute to the development of both seismic design code and earthquake hazard map. Işık [20] examined the seismic damage in adobe structures following earthquakes while Avcil [21] focused on the damage to the prefabricated structures. İnce [22], Ivanov and Chow [23], and Işık et al. [24] studied the failures in RC buildings in Adıyaman province. Yuzbasi [25] studied the impact of the 6 February 2023, disasters in Türkiye. Bol et al. [26] and Cetin et al. [27] investigated soil liquefaction following the 2023 Kahramanmaraş disasters. Arslan [28] examined the impacts of earthquakes on existing prefabricated structures in the context of codes. Avğın et al. [29] studied the impacts of earthquakes on different structural systems in Kahramanmaraş province. Binici et al. [30] examined the earthquake performances of buildings after the earthquake and provided insights into the lessons to be learned. Demir et al. [31] investigated the causes of the significant destruction of structures in earthquakes. Ozturk [32] studied the impacts of earthquakes on RC buildings and made recommendations for the development of design guidelines. Nemutlu et al. [33] compared the actual economic losses and loss of life after earthquakes with the estimated results. Balun [34] compared seismic parameters specifically for the earthquake region. Sivrikaya et al. [35] examined in detail the effect of local soil conditions on seismic fragility for 400 different RC buildings that collapsed during these earthquakes. Altunışık et al. [36] comprehensively evaluated the damage to RC structures based on observations. Şen et al. [37] investigated the seismic behavior of a hospital building with base isolation located in an earthquake region. Erbaş et al. [38] studied the damage modes in RC structures and provided reinforcement recommendations for such structures. Akar et al. [39] and Flora et al. [40] examined the damages in Gölbaşı district of Adıyaman province from both geotechnical and structural perspectives. Tapia-Hernández et al. [41,42] evaluated the damage in steel structures and hospital-type structures in the earthquake area. Tan [43] investigated the effect of infill walls on a heavily damaged RC building model. Işık et al. [44] compared the target displacement values for twenty different settlements on the EAFZ where the earthquakes occurred. In addition to these studies, there are others in which damages in RC structures are examined based on observation, damage classifications using different structural assessment methods, and structural weaknesses/irregularities are examined through numerical models [45,46,47,48,49,50,51,52,53,54]. In most of these studies, the damage was evaluated based on observation, and recommendations were made. General structural failures in RC structures during these earthquakes are discussed within the scope of this paper. Target displacement values for an RC building model selected as an example for eleven provinces primarily affected by earthquakes were obtained separately for both earthquakes and the proposed earthquake hazard.
Large-scale structural damage caused by earthquakes and the resulting fatalities have made performance-based design and assessment of structures essential [55,56]. One of the aims of earthquake-resistant building design is to ensure that buildings can resist a potential earthquake without suffering excessive damage. The seismic performances of structures under the influence of an earthquake can be determined through structural analyses. Building performance analysis is one of the most crucial stages in earthquake-resistant building design and strengthening. In performance-based earthquake engineering, it is essential to determine target displacements for damage prediction when specific performance thresholds of building elements are achieved. Once the displacement demand in a building is met during a seismic event, it could be assessed if the anticipated performance target for the building has been reached [57,58]. Damage grades that could take place in structural system members under design ground motion can be quantitatively determined using the performance-based design and assessment technique. This method can verify whether the failure is still within allowable limits for each relevant member. Acceptable failure limits have been determined in a way that aligns with the performance targets intended for various earthquake stages [59,60,61]. The key objective of performance-based modeling is to identify the structural requirements of the building subject to soil motion. A precise characterization of ground motion properties and their correlation is required for the proper calculation of structural demands [62,63,64]. The maximum horizontal ground acceleration, or peak ground acceleration (PGA), is the single most often used determinant in earthquake hazard calculations. The fact that the design spectra suggested in earthquake specifications may be scaled using PGA or factors related to PGA is one of the most significant justifications for utilizing the PGA. Furthermore, numerous studies in the literature address target displacements in buildings for different topics. Işık [65] studied the displacements of earthquake epicenters during the instrumental period in Türkiye. Maidi and Shufrin [66] explored a different method for evaluating the earthquake resistance of existing buildings and determining the need for seismic retrofitting through external reinforcement. Bilgin et al. [67] obtained target displacements by considering the minimum structural cases for various countries. Ricci et al. [68] performed incremental dynamic studies on 48 infilled RC buildings with varying design peak ground accelerations (PGAs), story numbers, and infill typologies. Khan [69] investigated the impact of the entrance ground motion on the performance point by obtaining the seismic performance points of a 5-story RC frame structure located in Zone-IV, symmetrical in plan, exposed to three different PGA levels as the entrance ground motion.
In this study, firstly, the impacts of the 6 February, major Kahramanmaraş earthquakes on RC structures were evaluated based on site observation. For this purpose, information about the Kahramanmaraş earthquakes is provided. PGAs and PGVs were attained for different exceedance probabilities from the current earthquake hazard map for Hatay, Kahramanmaraş, Adıyaman, Malatya, Kilis, Gaziantep, Elazığ, Şanlıurfa, Osmaniye and Diyarbakır, which are the 11 provinces primarily affected by these earthquakes. The seismic parameters for these provinces were compared based on the most recent earthquake hazard maps and seismic design codes in Türkiye. An attempt was made to reveal the level at which the seismic hazard in these provinces has changed. In the next stage of the study, the damage in RC structures, which formed the dominant building stock in the earthquake region, was examined in detail based on observation within the scope of earthquake and civil engineering. Numerical analyses were performed on the structural model created to represent mid-rise RC structures in the earthquake region. In this structural model, which does not contain any irregularities, other structural characteristics remained unchanged. Target displacements were obtained for all provinces based on predicted PGAs in the last two earthquake hazard maps and for the highest measured PGAs during the earthquakes. Target displacements were obtained separately for eleven different provinces in the earthquake region. The main goal of this paper is to compare the measured and predicted PGA for the Kahramanmaraş earthquakes and to determine whether the earthquake hazard and structural demands are adequately represented. There is no comparative study currently in the literature for the provinces most affected by these earthquakes. In this manner, it will be clearly shown whether the earthquake hazard is properly represented for these provinces using the last two earthquake hazard maps in the country. At the same time, an attempt was made to accurately determine the magnitude of the earthquakes. Another key objective of the study is to examine the effect of predicted and measured PGAs on target displacement values.
Target displacements are a fundamental factor determining the earthquake reliability and resistance of structures in earthquake performance analyses used to determine the effects of seismic events on structures. Whether or not structures provide their predicted earthquake performance depends on the accurate calculation of displacement limits. Therefore, target displacement analyses in earthquake engineering are essential for assessing structural performance. Target displacements, which are used to determine the level of damage to structures, are essential in assessing the seismic performance of structures. Earthquake performance analysis usually requires a displacement-based assessment. Most earthquake codes require structures to keep target displacements within certain limits. In this approach, the displacements of structures are directly considered as safety and performance criteria. Exceeding these limits indicates that the expected performance levels of the structure will not be achieved. Therefore, it is necessary to accurately determine the displacement targets of structures to ensure the correct seismic performance. In this context, this study reveals whether the target displacements are sufficient for eleven different provinces in the earthquake region.
The key factor that sets this study apart from others is that it is the first detailed study conducted on eleven different provinces in the earthquake region. It is believed that this comprehensive study, which covers both earthquake hazards and target displacements, will serve as a valuable resource for the development of seismic design codes and earthquake hazard maps. By presenting the earthquake hazard in a realistic and sufficient manner, the target displacements used to assess the seismic performance of structures will be determined with much greater accuracy. As a result, this study will be one of the first studies to comparatively examine earthquake hazard and structural analyses for the entire region affected by the 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquakes. It will reveal the need to update seismic hazard analyses, especially for settlements where earthquake hazard is not adequately represented. At the same time, recommendations were made considering the causes of damage in RC structures.

2. Tectonic Structure of Türkiye and 2023 Kahramanmaraş Earthquakes

Türkiye’s geographic location, along with the interaction of the Eurasian-African and Eurasian-Arabian plates, makes it susceptible to frequent earthquakes. Examining the tectonic system in which Türkiye is situated, it is evident that Eastern Anatolia is compressed by the Arabian Plate as it moves northward toward the Eurasian Plate. The North Anatolian Fault Zone (NAFZ) and the East Anatolian Fault Zone (EAFZ), which developed due to the resistance of the Eurasian Plate in the north, exert pressure on the Anatolian Plate. This results in the Anatolian Plate moving westward (Figure 1). The EAFZ, which is approximately 580 km in length, is one of the seismically active regions in Türkiye and has experienced numerous significant earthquakes. The southeastern boundary of the Anatolian Plate is formed by the left-lateral strike-slip EAFZ, which intersects the North Anatolian Fault Zone (NAFZ) in Karlıova. Similarly, the DSFZ and EAFZ converge near Antakya. The simplified tectonic map of Türkiye is given in Figure 1.
On the contrary, it stretches southwestward in seven distinct sections from Karlıova to the Gulf of İskenderun [70,71]. These strike-slip faults are the site of large, catastrophic earthquakes [72]. This area has experienced catastrophic earthquakes for about 2000 years, according to historical and instrumental records [73,74,75,76]. Historical earthquakes originate at the northeastern edge of the EAFZ and move southwestward. The central and southwestern regions of the EAFZ have the highest concentration of historical earthquakes. Over the past 500 years, no earthquake strong enough to create a surface rupture has occurred in the Gölbaşı-Türkoğlu stretch, where the fault bends toward the southwest.
Figure 1. Simplified tectonic map of Türkiye and surroundings [77].
Figure 1. Simplified tectonic map of Türkiye and surroundings [77].
Applsci 15 04014 g001
The Mw = 7.7 and 7.6 magnitude earthquakes that struck Kahramanmaraş on Monday, 6 February 2023, just nine hours apart, marked the beginning of a series of major earthquakes in a short period, including additional quakes with magnitudes of 6.6, 5.7, 6.0, and 6.4. Over 53,000 people were killed and more than 100,000 were injured in eleven provinces as a result of these earthquakes, leaving over 500,000 homes uninhabitable. The likelihood of distinct primary shocks is increased when considering the fault systems involved in these disasters and the fact that nearly all of the earthquakes occurred along separate fault segments. As the EAFZ runs through this region, the earthquakes are also seen as stemming from a single tectonic movement. Because of the region’s intricate tectonic structure, earthquakes have evolved into interconnected phenomena. As a result, Türkiye, with its dense and complex tectonic members, has experienced many earthquakes to date and will likely continue to do so. The values measured for both earthquakes by various sources are shown in Table 1.
The highest measured PGAs for the 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquakes, which were the worst disaster of the century for Türkiye, are illustrated in Table 2. The earthquakes caused very high accelerations in some provinces of the region. In particular, provinces such as Kahramanmaraş, Hatay, Adıyaman, and Gaziantep experienced significantly high accelerations. These accelerations resulted in destructive effects on most structures. Soil properties have been one of the factors directly affecting the magnitude of acceleration values. Accelerations were especially pronounced on soft soils, leading to soil liquefaction and increased damage in settlements. It was observed that structures before 2000 in particular have suffered more damage.
The eleven provinces most affected by the Kahramanmaraş earthquakes are illustrated on the map in Figure 2.
The highest PGAs measured in eleven cities significantly affected by the earthquake are illustrated in Table 3.
As a result of the earthquakes it has experienced, Türkiye has made significant changes in both earthquake hazard maps and earthquake regulations over time.
The spectral accelerations recorded during the Pazarcık and Elbistan earthquakes at different ground motion stations in the E-W and N-S directions are shown in Figure 3 and Figure 4 respectively.
Earthquake Zones map, in use since 1996, was replaced by the Türkiye Earthquake Hazard Map, which was updated in 2019. The earthquake regulation, which has been in use since 2007, was replaced by the Turkish Building Earthquake Regulation in 2019. In this study, seismic parameters for eleven different provinces where the 6 February 2023 earthquakes were most strongly felt, were compared using the last two earthquake hazard maps. In the previous map, seismic parameters were obtained on a regional basis. With the current map, seismic parameters can be obtained separately for different exceedance probabilities for each geographical location and soil class, with the help of the Turkish Earthquake Hazard Map Interactive Web Earthquake Application (TEHMIWA). This application was developed within the scope of the Seismic Hazard Map Update project, which is required in the National Earthquake Strategy and Action Plan for the basic research to be done to reduce the earthquake hazard in the country. In the project, PGA, PGV, and other seismic parameters within the land borders of Türkiye were obtained for different annual exceedance probabilities using the probabilistic seismic hazard methods. The seismic source, earthquake, and ground motion databases formed in Türkiye in recent years were evaluated in the best way in the project, and the country’s earthquake hazard map was updated. In the project, seismic sources within the land borders of Türkiye were determined, instrumental and historical earthquake catalogs were compiled, and then seismic parameters were obtained for different exceedance probabilities and ground classes for each geographical location using probabilistic seismic hazard analyses using earthquake recurrence models and ground motion estimation equations. With the help of this application created as a result of the project, seismic parameters can be obtained for any location. In this study, current seismic parameters were obtained with the help of this application [79]. This work considers four different earthquake ground motion levels, including 2%, 10%, 50%, and 68%, which are included in the current earthquake regulation and have a probability of being exceeded in 50 years. The characteristics of these ground motion levels are shown in Table 4.
To make comparisons in this study, an earthquake with a 10% probability of exceedance, the standard earthquake ground motion level in 50 years, which is included in both regulations, was taken into consideration. ZC soil class, which represents moderate soil class, was taken into account. PGAs and PGVs attained for various exceedance of probabilities at random locations from the provincial centers of the eleven provinces most affected by both earthquakes are illustrated in Table 5.
The highest PGA value with a 2% probability of exceeding was obtained as 0.890 g for Hatay. The lowest PGA value for this probability of exceedance was 0.221 g for Şanlıurfa. For the eleven provinces considered, the PGA range for a 10% probability of exceedance ranges from 0.110 to 0.446 g. For the same earthquake ground motion level, PGV values ranged from 7.922 to 27.623 cm/s. Table 6 presents a comparison of the PGA values anticipated in the previous seismic zones map with those derived from the current earthquake hazard map. The design spectrum acceleration coefficient (SDS) forecasted in the previous two earthquake hazard maps that were used in Türkiye is also contrasted in this table.
The PGA value increased with the current earthquake hazard map for the geographical locations considered in the Hatay, Kilis, and Elazığ provinces. In other provinces, the values predicted on the current map have decreased compared to the previous earthquake zone map. While the largest increase was obtained for Kilis province, the largest decrease was obtained for Gaziantep province. Design spectral acceleration coefficients also varied for the geographical locations considered in all provinces except Gaziantep. While they increased in Hatay, Kahramanmaraş, Kilis, and Elazığ provinces, there was a decrease in other provinces. No change was observed in the location selected for Gaziantep province.
A comparative study was conducted to determine whether the earthquake hazard for the 11 provinces affected by the 6 February Kahramanmaraş earthquake was adequately represented on the earthquake hazard maps. For this purpose, the comparison of the PGAs measured in both earthquakes for these provinces, along with the predicted PGAs from the last two earthquake hazard maps used in Türkiye is given in Table 7.
While the previous earthquake hazard map used in Türkiye took into account four different earthquake zones, the current map takes each geographical location into account separately. For 2007, the values were determined according to the earthquake zones of the provinces. For the 1st-degree earthquake zone, it was taken as 0.400 g, for the 2nd-degree earthquake zone, it was taken as 0.300 g, for the 3rd-degree earthquake zone, it was taken as 0.200 g and for the 4th-degree earthquake zone, it was taken as 0.100 g in the previous earthquake zone map in Türkiye. The 2018-PGA values used in this table are obtained directly from TEHMIWA. While the predicted PGAs in the previous earthquake zone map were adequately represented for Kilis, Diyarbakır, Osmaniye, and Elazığ, the measured PGAs for other provinces exceeded the predicted values. In the current earthquake hazard map, the PGAs foreseen for standard design ground motion (DD-2) are sufficient for Kilis, Diyarbakır, and Elazığ, but there is an exceedance for other provinces. On the other hand, the measured PGAs for the largest earthquake ground motion level (DD-1) in Hatay, Kahramanmaraş, Adıyaman, Şanlıurfa, and Gaziantep provinces exceeded the predicted values. These results also clearly reveal the magnitude and destructive effects of these earthquakes in the region. This highlights the magnitude of the earthquakes and the need to update the earthquake hazard maps in the region in light of these two major earthquakes. Taking into account these two major earthquakes and their aftershocks in this region, updating the seismic hazard analyses, especially for these provinces, will enable the earthquake hazard to be presented in a realistic sense. Additionally, it is crucial to take the necessary precautions for the existing building stock and the buildings to be rebuilt in this region.

3. Damage Noted in RC Structures

In the eleven provincial centers most affected by the Kahramanmaraş earthquakes, significant and varied structural damage occurred in different structural systems. While the dominant building stock in rural areas is masonry structures, the dominant building stock in urban areas is RC structures. In this section, the damage examples commonly observed in RC structures of the urban dominant building stock are examined in terms of civil and earthquake engineering. In particular, the damage examples in RC structures from the three provinces affected by the earthquake, Hatay, Kahramanmaraş, and Adıyaman, are taken into consideration. The causes of the damages and their schematic representations are made for better understanding. In this way, the main causes of the damages can be better revealed. Irregularities and weaknesses in RC structures played an active role in the damages. The magnitude of the earthquakes that occurred on the same day and the local ground conditions also directly affected the level of damage. As a result of earthquakes, there was great destruction in RC structures. Examples of RC structures that reached a total collapse mechanism are shown in Figure 5.
Insufficient interlocking between load-bearing elements in RC structures, strong beam-weak column formations, and weak material properties prevented the RC frame from functioning as a whole. For these reasons, the floors in the building collapsed on top of each other. Such collapses are the ones that make after-earthquake search and rescue efforts most difficult.
In order to understand the destructive impact of earthquakes, a comparison of the building conditions of four sample RC buildings before and after the earthquake is illustrated in Figure 6. The difference in strength and stiffness between stories caused partial or total collapse of the intermediate or ground floors. In such demolitions, it is not possible to strengthen and reuse the structure.
Soil liquefaction is the temporary liquefaction of the soil due to the increase in water pressure between the soil particles as a result of strong vibrations such as earthquakes. This situation can cause damage at different levels by causing the bearing capacity of the soil structure to decrease significantly [81,82,83]. Examples of such damage are shown in Figure 7.
This study provides information on the damages commonly encountered in RC structures and their causes based on field observations. In particular, the lack of, or complete failure to apply, earthquake-resistant structural design principles has increased the extent of damage in RC structures. Examples of structural damage in RC buildings, their causes, and their schematic representations, which are commonly encountered in the earthquake region, are given in Figure 8.

4. Comparison of Target Displacements

The risk posed by earthquakes to human activities and the potential for significant loss of life due to structural damage provide compelling reasons to consider earthquakes in structural design. The earthquake-resistant design aims to create structures that can withstand a certain level of seismic activity without experiencing severe damage. In this context, target displacement limits are established for various performance levels of structures. Structural analyses were conducted to assess whether the Kahramanmaraş earthquakes appropriately reflected the target displacement limit values in the affected buildings.
The dominant building stock in the city centers in the earthquake region consists of RC structures, particularly mid-rise RC structures, which are widely used in the region. The majority of RC structures that suffered varying levels of damage or destruction were mid-rise RC structures. The majority of medium-rise reinforced concrete buildings in the earthquake zone consist of 4–8 stories. In order to represent these structures, a 5-story building without any irregularities was modeled. Material properties in accordance with current seismic design codes were used as design criteria. The structural model was chosen to be symmetrical in both directions. In selecting the model building features, structural characteristics commonly used in practice were taken into account. Structural analyses were carried out for an example RC structure, considering the highest PGA values measured in eleven different provinces in the earthquake region, both from earthquake pairs and the PGAs estimated for these provinces in the last two earthquake hazard maps used in Türkiye. The analyses were performed using Seismostruct-2024 software [84]. In structural analyses, pushover analyses were conducted separately for each province. The RC building model is a 5-story structure with equal floor heights of 3 m. The building has the same span length in the X and Y directions, is symmetrical and each span is chosen as 4.50 m. The 2D and 3D models created for the sample RC structure and the applied loads are shown in Figure 9. RC columns were taken into account as square cross-sections in order not to create weak and strong directions for the structural model. Therefore, structural analyses were performed only in the X direction for all structural models. The RC building model selected as an example was chosen to represent mid-rise RC buildings in the earthquake region.
The blueprint of the selected RC structural model is shown in Figure 10.
Pushover analysis, a numerical analysis method, examines how much structures or structural elements will deform under a certain load and how they will behave under the effect of these loads. In this type of analysis, elastic and plastic behaviors are generally taken into account. Pushover analysis is commonly used in earthquake engineering. This method is applied to predict how a structure will behave during an earthquake. Pushover analysis evaluates how much the structure will deform when pushed by static loads (usually with ground motion simulation) and at what point it may be damaged. It is simpler and can be completed more quickly than more complex dynamic analyses. This method allows for the assessment of displacement, rotation, and damage points of the structure [85,86,87,88,89]. The flow chart of the pushover analysis procedure is given in Figure 11.
A target displacement value of 1.0 m was selected for all structural models. In the numerical analysis, the local soil class ZC soil class, which can be evaluated as the average soil class in Eurocode-8, was taken into account. Force-based plastic hinge frame elements (infrmFBPH) were chosen for the columns and beams in all structural models. These elements limit plasticity to a finite length and simulate force-based flexibility in extension. To accurately represent the stress-strain distribution within the section, an adequate number of fiber elements must be used. For the selected sections, a total of one hundred fiber elements were defined. The chosen plastic-hinge length (Lp/L) was set at 16.67%. The column boundary conditions were defined to match those of a cantilever, resulting in a fully fixed footing and a free top end. The structural properties of the RC building model are illustrated in Table 8.
The concrete grade was selected as C25/30 and the reinforcement material grade was selected as S420. Material grades for concrete and reinforcement are taken from the seismic design code in Türkiye. Modeling was done by taking into account the reinforcement and dimensional properties commonly used in mid-rise RC buildings.
When the performance limits of particular structural components are reached, it is critical to determine the target displacement for damage estimation in performance-based earthquake engineering. An internationally accepted method for estimating damage, structural analysis, took into account the limit states specified in Eurocode 8-Part 3 [91,92]. These states are categorized as damage limitation (DL), significant damage (SD), and near collapse (NC). The values for these limit states were calculated for each structural model. Table 9 provides thorough justifications for the limit state values that were considered during this study.
The target displacements obtained using the measured and predicted PGA’s within the scope of this study are shown on the typical pushover curve in Figure 12.
In this study, target displacements (m) were first obtained separately for three different PGAs. Initially, target displacements were calculated using the highest measured PGAs from both earthquakes at the earthquake stations located in eleven provinces affected by the 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquakes. Subsequently, target displacements (m) for the predicted PGAs in the two earthquake codes and hazard maps used in Türkiye were obtained separately for the sample RC model. Structural analyses were carried out for the ground motion level, which had a 10% probability of being exceeded in 50 years (repetition period 475 years), a standard design earthquake ground motion level in the last two earthquake codes. Target displacements used to determine the performance of structures were obtained separately for the measured and predicted PGAs in the two most recent earthquake codes. The comparison of the target displacements for measured and predicted PGAs is illustrated in Table 10.
When Table 10 is examined, it is observed that the limit states are adequately represented for Kilis, Diyarbakır, and Elazığ provinces. However, the target displacement values predicted for the remaining provinces cannot adequately represent the target displacement values measured during earthquakes. For Hatay, Kahramanmaraş, Adıyaman, Şanlıurfa, Malatya, Osmaniye, Adana, and Gaziantep, where the target displacements were exceeded, the analyses were also performed for the recurrence period is 2475 years (ground motion level with a 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years). A comparison of the obtained limit state values is shown in Table 11.
The obtained results also coincide with the damage distribution findings made after the earthquake. It is especially evident that the larger-than-expected acceleration values largely ignored ground conditions. Its importance in terms of revealing its effect has been emphasized once again. While the largest earthquake ground motion level, DD-1, was not exceeded for Osmaniye and Adana, it was exceeded for other provinces. This clearly indicates that the earthquake hazards were larger than the predicted earthquake hazards for these provinces.

5. Results and Conclusions

With today’s technology, it does not seem feasible to predict the time, size, and location of earthquakes. Earthquake hazards for any region can be estimated using different methods, and with these estimates, seismic parameters can be obtained for any region or geographical location. In this study, the seismic parameters of eleven provinces affected by the 6 February 2023, Kahramanmaraş earthquake, which caused great destruction in Türkiye, were analyzed. When PGA values were compared in the provinces affected by the February 6 earthquake, two different situations were encountered. In provinces such as Diyarbakır, Osmaniye, Kilis, Adana, and Elazig, which are further away from the earthquake center, the expected PGA values were met. However, PGA values were recorded much higher than expected in the provinces of focus, especially in Kahramanmaraş, Adıyaman, and Hatay. As it is known, PGA values are a parameter that directly changes with ground conditions. It was studied with the assumption that the Vs30 values in the stations where the acceleration values measured while accelerating the earthquake hazard map of Türkiye were above 760 m/s. However, it is also seen in the published information of the stations that many stations are not qualified during the location selection of the registration stations. In this case, it was observed that the expected PGA values at nearby stations were exceeded by the effect of ground magnifications. This situation can also be evaluated positively for subsequent studies and may reveal how important ground enlargements are in the design phase and should be taken into account first. Specifically, the PGA and SDS values for the geographical location were compared according to the last two earthquake hazard maps. It seems that PGA values measured during earthquakes exceed the values predicted in earthquake hazard maps in most provinces. Target displacements for a sample RC structure were obtained separately for each province, taking into account the largest PGA values predicted in the earthquake hazard maps and the values measured during earthquakes. It should be taken into consideration that damage scenarios and performance levels will not be very realistic in structures where the target displacement value is not met. In the provinces where the target displacement limit states for the standard design ground motion level are not met, new structural analyses were performed by considering the largest earthquake ground motion level. Despite this, there are still many provinces where target displacement limit values are not met. This reveals the necessity of conducting geographical location-specific seismic hazard analyses. Accurately representing the earthquake hazard ensures that the earthquake performance of buildings is more meaningful.
Statistical studies are limited to the selection of sampling intervals. Earthquake hazard maps made at the macro level are naturally created with very wide sampling intervals. Although the previous hazard maps used in Türkiye and the PGA values obtained from them are informative, they are not sufficient during the implementation phase. The reason for this is that the ground conditions are mostly based on assumptions. For this reason, soil classifications based on microzonation should be made first of all and the expected PGA value for each different soil environment should be defined separately. Otherwise, it will be inevitable that the expected PGA values will be exceeded.
The current earthquake hazard map used in Türkiye is obtained specifically for each geographical location. However, in the previous earthquake zone map, seismic hazard was assessed on a regional basis. It should be acknowledged that this is a significant achievement. Seismic parameters obtained specifically for each location have influenced the target displacements obtained. In addition, considering the large earthquakes that have occurred, it reveals the necessity of re-performing seismic hazard analyses, especially for the provinces in the earthquake zone. The anticipated PGA, spectral acceleration coefficients, and the idealized curve for target displacements in TBEC-2018 should be revised based on the recent Kahramanmaraş earthquakes. Accurate representation of the PGA value allows the design spectra used in structural analyses to be more realistic and to obtain accurate damage estimates that may occur in earthquakes. The accelerations of the Kahramanmaraş earthquakes were high enough to cause large-scale destruction and shaking. This indicates that construction standards, ground analyses, and general earthquake preparations in the region need to be further improved.
In this paper, the damages commonly observed in the earthquake region were specifically examined for RC structures. Incomplete or non-existent use of earthquake-resistant building design principles in the planning and construction phase is one of the important causes of damage. It can be stated that the building inspection mechanisms implemented in Türkiye, especially in the last decade, have significantly reduced damage levels. In addition, poor workmanship and low material strength have also contributed to the damage rate. Factors such as soft or weak stories, inadequate lateral stiffness, short columns, strong beams-weak columns, plan irregularities, and errors in reinforcement detailing pertaining to the processing of reinforcement (insufficient stirrups, inadequate or missing rebar layouts, inadequate or incorrect interlocking), have negatively affected the performances of the buildings, thereby influencing the level of structural damage. At this point, applying the principles outlined in the regulation with adequate supervision during both the construction and project phases could be seen as the primary step in minimizing the troubles. Besides, irregularities like soft or weak stories and short columns that might negatively affect the behavior of buildings under the influence of earthquake loads, must be avoided as much as possible, or else, required protection must be taken.
It has been observed that a large portion of structures subject to partial or total collapse in earthquakes are made up of RC frames only. In structures where RC shear walls are used, damages have been quite limited, or life safety has been ensured. In this context, the use of RC shear walls, which are not mandatory in the ground and upper floors of RC structures in the earthquake regulations currently used in Türkiye, should be made mandatory. Thus, it is used to increase the rigidity of the structure in earthquake zones and to enable it to carry horizontal loads (such as earthquake effects) more efficiently.
In addition, RC structures constructed in adjacent arrangements should be avoided as much as possible, and if necessary, collision effects should be minimized by using expansion joints. In order to increase the building area, the use of heavy overhangs on upper floors should be restricted. In RC structures, the heights and purpose of use within the structure should not be changed. The building control mechanism used in Türkiye in recent years should continue to be applied more sensitively both in the project and construction phases. This process, which is applied to urban building stock, should also be used in rural areas. In addition to all these, with the help of structural health monitoring applications to be created for the structures, the traceability of the structures can be ensured, allowing the necessary interventions to be made before a possible earthquake.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization, E.I., A.B. and E.A.; methodology, E.I., F.A. and E.A.; validation, A.B. and E.I.; investigation, E.I., F.A. and A.B.; resources, F.A. and A.B.; data curation, A.B. and E.A.; writing—original draft preparation, E.I., A.B. and F.A.; writing—review and editing, E.A.; visualization, E.A.; supervision, E.I. and F.A.; funding acquisition, E.I., F.A., A.B. and E.A. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This research received no external funding.

Institutional Review Board Statement

Not applicable.

Informed Consent Statement

Not applicable.

Data Availability Statement

Data are contained within the article.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

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Figure 2. The epicenter of the 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquakes and earthquake region.
Figure 2. The epicenter of the 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquakes and earthquake region.
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Figure 3. Spectral accelerations measured during Pazarcık (Mw = 7.7) earthquake.
Figure 3. Spectral accelerations measured during Pazarcık (Mw = 7.7) earthquake.
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Figure 4. Spectral accelerations measured during the Elbistan (Mw = 7.6) earthquake.
Figure 4. Spectral accelerations measured during the Elbistan (Mw = 7.6) earthquake.
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Figure 5. Examples of totally collapsed RC structures.
Figure 5. Examples of totally collapsed RC structures.
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Figure 6. Comparison of some RC building examples before and after the earthquake.
Figure 6. Comparison of some RC building examples before and after the earthquake.
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Figure 7. Soil liquefaction samples in the earthquake region.
Figure 7. Soil liquefaction samples in the earthquake region.
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Figure 8. Examples of structural damage commonly observed in RC structures and their schematic representations.
Figure 8. Examples of structural damage commonly observed in RC structures and their schematic representations.
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Figure 9. 2D and 3D numerical models of the sample RC structure.
Figure 9. 2D and 3D numerical models of the sample RC structure.
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Figure 10. The blueprint of the selected RC structural model.
Figure 10. The blueprint of the selected RC structural model.
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Figure 11. Flowchart of typical pushover analysis [90].
Figure 11. Flowchart of typical pushover analysis [90].
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Figure 12. Typical pushover and idealized capacity curves.
Figure 12. Typical pushover and idealized capacity curves.
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Table 1. Details from two varied sources regarding the earthquakes that happened in Türkiye.
Table 1. Details from two varied sources regarding the earthquakes that happened in Türkiye.
Date/TimeCoordinates (N-E)LocationsMagnitudes
(Mw)
Depths (km)SourcesEqual
Intensities
6 February 2023
04:17:34 (TSI)
37.288° and 37.043°Pazarcık7.810.0USGSXI
(11.2)
37.225° and 37.021°7.78.60AFADXI
(11.28)
6 February 2023
13:24:47 (TSI)
38.089° and 37.239°Elbistan7.510USGSX-XI
(10.75)
38.024° and 37.203°7.67.0AFADXI
(11.44)
Table 2. The highest peak ground accelerations for the 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquakes [78].
Table 2. The highest peak ground accelerations for the 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquakes [78].
Station CodeLatitudeLongitudeProvinceDistrictPGA-NS (cm/s2)PGA-EW (cm/s2)PGA-UD (cm/s2)Repi (km)Distance to Fault Zone (km)
6 February 2023 04:17 Mw = 7.7 Pazarcık/Kahramanmaraş Depth = 8.6 km
461437.485137.2977KahramanmaraşPazarcık2016.992039.201582.6231.428.1
312936.191136.1343HatayDefne1351.501198.74716.94146.396.6
312636.220236.1375HatayAntakya1178.12999.38921.57143.544.8
314136.372636.2197HatayAntakya961.12868.82722.66125.420.8
312536.238036.1326HatayAntakya822.621121.951151.56142.153.1
6 February 2023 13:24 Mw = 7.6 Elbistan/Kahramanmaraş Depth = 7 km
461238.023936.4818KahramanmaraşGöksun635.45523.21494.9166.685.8
440638.343837.9737MalatyaAkçadağ467.20409.31318.7570.170.45
013137.856636.1153AdanaSaimbeyli402.32331.6985.29101.8328.8
463137.966337.4276KahramanmaraşNurhak337.38388.61610.0421.430.45
440938.560637.4907MalatyaDarende287.04218.04124.2856.8648.0
Table 3. The highest measured PGAs in eleven provinces [78].
Table 3. The highest measured PGAs in eleven provinces [78].
Pazarcık Mw = 7.7Elbistan Mw = 7.6
StationProvince/DistrictPGA (cm/s2)Repi (km)StationProvince/DistrictPGA (cm/s2)Repi (km)
4614K.Maraş/Pazarcık2039.2031.424612K.Maraş/Göksun635.4566.68
3135Hatay/Arsuz1372.07142.154406Malatya/Akçadağ467.2070.17
0201Adıyaman/Centre879.95120.120131Adana/Saimbeyli402.30101.83
2718Gaziantep/Islahiye654.4348.300213Adıyaman/Tut126.6268.73
8002Osmaniye/Bahçe336.5643.912703Gaziantep/Şahinbey93.68115.06
6304Şanlıurfa/Bozova238.23130.273138Hatay/Hassa78.11162.37
4414Malatya/Kale163.84195.072308Elazığ/Sivrice69.80185.23
0131Adana/Saimbeyli159.77103.358003Osmaniye/Centre66.60140.65
2104Diyarbakır/Ergani116.47262.227901Kilis/Centre50.91153.88
2310Elazığ/Baskil60.46211.702107Diyarbakır/Çermik47.61196.48
7901Kilis/Centre53.1164.706306Şanlıurfa/Akçakale36.00213.70
Table 4. Levels of the earthquake ground motion [80].
Table 4. Levels of the earthquake ground motion [80].
Earthquake Ground Motion LevelProbability of Exceedance (50 Years)Repetition Period (Year)Definition
DD-10.022475Largest earthquake ground motion
DD-20.1475Standard design earthquake ground motion
DD-30.572Frequent earthquake ground motion
DD-40.6843Service earthquake ground motion
Table 5. Predicted PGAs and PGVs of provinces in the earthquake zone for the current earthquake hazard map.
Table 5. Predicted PGAs and PGVs of provinces in the earthquake zone for the current earthquake hazard map.
No.ProvincePGA (g)PGV (cm/s)
2%10%50%68%2%10%50%68%
1Hatay0.8900.4460.1480.10055.84527.6238.3365.593
2Kahramanmaraş0.6990.3800.1420.09745.25823.6268.2665.598
3Adıyaman0.4190.2410.0980.06529.05316.1186.1844.036
4Kilis0.4210.2070.0790.05727.88813.6835.3383.903
5Diyarbakır0.2540.1420.0610.04417.95610.4934.5703.295
6Şanlıurfa0.2210.1100.0420.02914.3557.9223.2402.279
7Malatya0.6480.3440.1340.09040.78221.2287.9925.326
8Osmaniye0.6050.3110.1140.07837.27318.2486.4964.510
9Adana0.4500.2320.0840.05724.23011.9274.5783.298
10Elazığ0.7400.4000.1550.10448.13925.0749.2846.025
11Gaziantep0.3200.1640.0670.04922.51911.8964.8943.569
Table 6. The comparison of the predicted PGA and SDS on the last two maps and codes for the 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquake region.
Table 6. The comparison of the predicted PGA and SDS on the last two maps and codes for the 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquake region.
No.ProvinceEarthquake Zone1996
PGA (g)
2018
PGA (g)
2018/1996SDS 2007SDS 2018SDS 2018/SDS 2007
1Hatay10.4000.4461.1151.0001.2601.260
2Kahramanmaraş10.4000.3800.9501.0001.0911.091
3Adıyaman20.3000.2410.8030.7500.7280.971
4Kilis40.1000.2072.0700.2500.6312.524
5Diyarbakır20.3000.1420.4730.7500.4130.551
6Şanlıurfa30.2000.1100.5500.5000.3170.634
7Malatya10.4000.3440.8601.0000.9850.985
8Osmaniye10.4000.3110.7781.0000.8770.877
9Adana20.3000.2320.7730.7500.6830.911
10Elazığ20.3000.4001.3330.7501.1471.529
11Gaziantep30.2000.1640.8200.5000.5001.000
Table 7. Comparison of the measured and predicted PGAs.
Table 7. Comparison of the measured and predicted PGAs.
No.ProvinceMeasured
Maximum PGA (g)
TSDC-2007Provide or NotTBEC-2018Provide or NotTBEC-2018Provide or Not
PGA (g) DD-2PGA (g) DD-2PGA (g) DD-1
1Hatay1.3990.400X0.446X0.890X
2Kahramanmaraş2.0790.400X0.380X0.699X
3Adıyaman0.8970.300X0.241X0.419X
4Kilis0.0540.1000.2070.421
5Diyarbakır0.1190.3000.1420.254
6Şanlıurfa0.2430.200X0.110X0.221X
7Malatya0.4760.400X0.344X0.648
8Osmaniye0.3430.4000.311X0.605
9Adana0.4100.300X0.232X0.450
10Elazığ0.0710.3000.4000.740
11Gaziantep0.6670.200X0.164X0.320X
Table 8. Structural properties of the RC structural model.
Table 8. Structural properties of the RC structural model.
ParametersValue
Entire Structural Models
Concrete25 MPa (C25)
Reinforcement420 MPa (S420)
Beams (mm)250 × 600
Height of floor (mm)120
Story heights (mm)3000
Concrete cover (mm)25
Columns (mm)400 × 400
Columns longitudinal reinforcementCorners4Φ20
Top bottom4Φ16
Left Right4Φ16
Columns transverse reinforcementΦ8/150
Beam transverse reinforcementΦ8/150
Used steel materialPinto and Menegotto
Type of the constraintRigid diaphragm
Used concrete materialMander
Local soil classZC
Incremental loads5 kN
Permanent loads5 kN/m
The damping ratio5%
Importance classII
Maximum displacement (m) (for 5-story)1
Table 9. Limit states in Eurocode [91,92].
Table 9. Limit states in Eurocode [91,92].
Limit StateDescriptionReturn Period
(Year)
Probability of Exceedance
(in 50 Years)
Damage limitation (DL)Only lightly damaged; damage to non-structural components is economically repairable2250.20
Significant damage (SD)Significantly damaged; some residual strength and stiffness; non-structural components damaged; uneconomic to repair4750.10
Near-collapse (NC)Heavily damaged; very low residual strength and stiffness; large permanent drift but still standing24750.02
Table 10. Target displacements for the 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquake region.
Table 10. Target displacements for the 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquake region.
ProvinceCurrent EarthquakeTSDC-2007/DD-2TBEC-2018/DD-2
DL (m)SD (m)NC (m)DL (m)SD (m)NC (m)DL (m)SD (m)NC (m)
Hatay0.3570.4580.7940.1020.1310.2270.1140.1460.253
Kahramanmaraş0.5300.6811.1800.1020.1310.2110.0970.1240.216
Adıyaman0.2290.2940.5090.0770.0980.1700.0610.0790.137
Kilis0.0140.0180.0310.0260.0330.0570.0530.0680.117
Diyarbakır0.0300.0390.0670.0770.0980.2110.0360.0460.081
Şanlıurfa0.0620.0800.1380.0510.0650.1130.0280.0360.062
Malatya0.1210.1560.2700.1020.1310.2270.0880.1130.195
Osmaniye0.0870.1120.1950.1020.1310.2270.0790.1020.176
Adana0.1050.1340.2330.0770.0980.1700.0590.0760.132
Elazığ0.0180.0230.0400.0770.0980.1700.1020.1310.227
Gaziantep0.1700.2180.3790.0510.0650.1130.0420.0540.093
Table 11. The comparison of target displacements for DD-1 with larger limit states for DD-2.
Table 11. The comparison of target displacements for DD-1 with larger limit states for DD-2.
ProvinceCurrent EarthquakeTBEC-2018/DD-1
DL (m)SD (m)NC (m)DL (m)SD (m)NC (m)
Hatay0.3570.4580.7940.2280.2910.505
Kahramanmaraş0.5300.6811.1800.1780.2290.397
Adıyaman0.2290.2940.5090.1060.1370.238
Şanlıurfa0.0620.0800.1380.0560.0720.125
Malatya0.1210.1560.2700.1650.2120.368
Osmaniye0.0870.1120.1950.1540.1980.343
Adana0.1050.1340.2330.1150.1470.255
Gaziantep0.1700.2180.3790.0820.1050.182
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Işık, E.; Avcil, F.; Büyüksaraç, A.; Arkan, E. Comparative Analysis of Target Displacements in RC Buildings for 2023 Türkiye Earthquakes. Appl. Sci. 2025, 15, 4014. https://doi.org/10.3390/app15074014

AMA Style

Işık E, Avcil F, Büyüksaraç A, Arkan E. Comparative Analysis of Target Displacements in RC Buildings for 2023 Türkiye Earthquakes. Applied Sciences. 2025; 15(7):4014. https://doi.org/10.3390/app15074014

Chicago/Turabian Style

Işık, Ercan, Fatih Avcil, Aydın Büyüksaraç, and Enes Arkan. 2025. "Comparative Analysis of Target Displacements in RC Buildings for 2023 Türkiye Earthquakes" Applied Sciences 15, no. 7: 4014. https://doi.org/10.3390/app15074014

APA Style

Işık, E., Avcil, F., Büyüksaraç, A., & Arkan, E. (2025). Comparative Analysis of Target Displacements in RC Buildings for 2023 Türkiye Earthquakes. Applied Sciences, 15(7), 4014. https://doi.org/10.3390/app15074014

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