Long-Term Outcomes and Prognostic Factors of Medial Open Wedge High Tibial Osteotomy for Medial Compartment Knee Osteoarthritis or Osteonecrosis

Background/Objectives: Medial open wedge high tibial osteotomy (MOWHTO) has led to favorable clinical results since the introduction of locking plates. Surgical indications, techniques, and postoperative alignment are crucial for achieving favorable clinical outcomes. This study analyzed the clinical outcomes of patients after >5 years of post-MOWHTO follow-up to identify the influential factors. Methods: Thirty-nine patients (48 knees) underwent MOWHTO for medial compartment knee osteoarthritis or -necrosis and were followed up for >5 years. The targeted postoperative % mechanical axis (%MA) was 62.5% (Fujisawa point). The Japanese Orthopaedic Association (JOA) Knee Disease Outcome Criteria score; Kellgren–Lawrence classification; hip-knee-ankle, medial proximal tibial, mechanical lateral distal femoral, and joint line convergence angles (JLCA); and %MA were evaluated preoperatively, at implant removal, and at the final follow-up. Total knee arthroplasty (TKA) was the survival endpoint. Uni- and multivariate analyses were performed to identify the factors influencing survival rates. Results: The mean JOA score improved from preoperative to implant removal and was sustained at 102 months. Four of the 48 knees required TKA, resulting in a 10-year survival rate of 82%. Body mass index, preoperative JLCA, and Δ%MA influenced the post-MOWHTO survival rate. The Δ%MA was significantly greater in the group with a %MA < 62.5% at implant removal. Conclusions: MOWHTO with a target %MA of 62.5% yielded favorable long-term outcomes. Additionally, preoperative obesity and high joint instability negatively influenced post-MOWHTO survival. Furthermore, a postoperative %MA of < 62.5% is associated with difficulty maintaining stable alignment and an increased risk of conversion to TKA.