MaxEnt Modeling to Predict the Current and Future Distribution of Pomatosace filicula under Climate Change Scenarios on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Results
2.1. Model Selection and Evaluation
2.2. Critical Environmental Factors
2.3. Current Potential Distribution of P. filicula
2.4. Prediction and Fluctuation Analysis of Future Suitable Habitat Distribution
3. Discussion
3.1. Analysis of Key Environmental Variables
3.2. Potential Environmental Change Trends in the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau
3.3. Response Measures and Problems
4. Materials and Methods
4.1. Data and Variable Sources
4.2. Environmental Variable Processing
4.3. Species Distribution Model Evaluation
4.3.1. MaxEnt Parameter Optimization
4.3.2. Classification of Suitable Area
4.3.3. Parameter Optimization
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Bioclimatic Variables | Description | Units | Contribution Percentages | Rankings |
---|---|---|---|---|
alt | Elevation | m | 52.4 | 1 |
bio12 | Annual precipitation | mm | 15.3 | 2 |
bio7 | Temperature annual range (BIO5–BIO6) | °C | 15.1 | 3 |
bio3 | Isothermality (BIO2/BIO7 × 100) | % | 6.6 | 4 |
an | Available nitrogen | mg/kg | 3.9 | 5 |
bio4 | Temperature seasonality (standard deviation × 100) | % | 2.8 | 6 |
bio15 | Precipitation seasonality (coefficient of variation) | 1 | 2.2 | 7 |
bio1 | Annual mean temperature | °C | 0.8 | 8 |
tk | Total potassium | mg/L | 0.5 | 9 |
ap | Available phosphorus | mg/kg | 0.4 | 10 |
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Chen, K.; Wang, B.; Chen, C.; Zhou, G. MaxEnt Modeling to Predict the Current and Future Distribution of Pomatosace filicula under Climate Change Scenarios on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau. Plants 2022, 11, 670. https://doi.org/10.3390/plants11050670
Chen K, Wang B, Chen C, Zhou G. MaxEnt Modeling to Predict the Current and Future Distribution of Pomatosace filicula under Climate Change Scenarios on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau. Plants. 2022; 11(5):670. https://doi.org/10.3390/plants11050670
Chicago/Turabian StyleChen, Kaiyang, Bo Wang, Chen Chen, and Guoying Zhou. 2022. "MaxEnt Modeling to Predict the Current and Future Distribution of Pomatosace filicula under Climate Change Scenarios on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau" Plants 11, no. 5: 670. https://doi.org/10.3390/plants11050670