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Risks, Volume 3, Issue 4

2015 December - 10 articles

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Articles (10)

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
5,792 Views
23 Pages

Modified Munich Chain-Ladder Method

  • Michael Merz and
  • Mario V. Wüthrich

21 December 2015

The Munich chain-ladder method for claims reserving was introduced by Quarg and Mack on an axiomatic basis. We analyze these axioms, and we define a modified Munich chain-ladder method which is based on an explicit stochastic model. This stochastic m...

  • Article
  • Open Access
9 Citations
5,038 Views
25 Pages

10 December 2015

We study upper and lower bounds on the expectile risk measure of risky portfolios when the joint distribution of the risky components is not fully specified. First, we summarize methods for obtaining bounds when only the marginal distributions of the...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
4,283 Views
10 Pages

Production Flexibility and Hedging

  • Georges Dionne and
  • Marc Santugini

4 December 2015

We extend the analysis on hedging with price and output uncertainty by endogenizing the output decision. Specifically, we consider the joint determination of output and hedging in the case of flexibility in production. We show that the risk-averse fi...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4,868 Views
20 Pages

Stochastic Optimal Control for Online Seller under Reputational Mechanisms

  • Milan Bradonjić,
  • Matthew Causley and
  • Albert Cohen

4 December 2015

In this work we propose and analyze a model which addresses the pulsing behavior of sellers in an online auction (store). This pulsing behavior is observed when sellers switch between advertising and processing states. We assert that a seller switche...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
5,760 Views
28 Pages

20 November 2015

Guarantees are often seen as the key characteristics of pension saving products, but securing them can become costly and is of central relevance especially in the course of the current low interest rate environment. In this article, we deal with the...

  • Article
  • Open Access
12 Citations
6,016 Views
24 Pages

10 November 2015

In the compound Poisson insurance risk model under a dividend barrier strategy, this paper aims to analyze jointly the aggregate discounted claim amounts until ruin and the total discounted dividends until ruin, which represent the insurer’s payments...

  • Article
  • Open Access
32 Citations
14,708 Views
19 Pages

Hidden Markov Model for Stock Selection

  • Nguyet Nguyen and
  • Dung Nguyen

29 October 2015

The hidden Markov model (HMM) is typically used to predict the hidden regimes of observation data. Therefore, this model finds applications in many different areas, such as speech recognition systems, computational molecular biology and financial mar...

  • Article
  • Open Access
16 Citations
8,000 Views
10 Pages

25 September 2015

Given that the insurance market is characterized by asymmetric information, its efficiency has traditionally been based to a large extent on risk classification. In certain regulations, however, we can find restrictions on these differentiations, pri...

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Risks - ISSN 2227-9091