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Energies
Special Issues
Energy Market Analysis, Perspectives and Policy Simulation
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Energy Market Analysis, Perspectives and Policy Simulation

A special issue of Energies (ISSN 1996-1073). This special issue belongs to the section "C: Energy Economics and Policy".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: closed (5 September 2023) | Viewed by 2368

Special Issue Editors

Dr. Beata Szetela

E-Mail Website
Guest Editor
Department of Quantitative Methods, The Faculty of Management, Rzeszow University of Technology, 35-959 Rzeszow, Poland
Interests: cryptocurrencies; green finance; multivariate analysis; risk theory
Prof. Dr. Grzegorz Mentel

E-Mail Website
Guest Editor
Department of Quantitative Methods, The Faculty of Management, Rzeszow University of Technology, 35-959 Rzeszow, Poland
Interests: finance; modeling and simulation; risk analysis; econometric analysis; time series analysis; risk management and insurance; forecasting
Special Issues, Collections and Topics in MDPI journals
Dr. Jacek Brożyna

E-Mail Website
Guest Editor
Department of Quantitative Methods, The Faculty of Management, Rzeszow University of Technology, 35-959 Rzeszow, Poland
Interests: energy, society and environment; energy market; renewable energy; energy policy; energy security; energy demand consumption; energy efficiency and energy intensity; energy efficiency; sustainable development; economy
Special Issues, Collections and Topics in MDPI journals

Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

The global energy system is undergoing a paradigm change as it evolves from the historic structure of centralised energy generation based on fossil sources towards a network of distributed prosumers based on renewable sources. European legislation emphasizes the role, importance and the need to significantly increase the involvement of prosumers in the field of energy consumption and generation supported by a smart energy system. The main challenges facing the energy market are the flexibility, consolidation, and stability of the energy market, especially in the context of the turmoil in the European energy market.

This Special Issue invites the publication of high-quality research papers that cover a wide range of topics, which are used to answer following questions:

  1. What are the possible scenarios for the developing European energy market?
  2. What are the impacts, costs, and financial risks of the various scenarios for energy market consolidation?
  3. What are the impacts, costs, and financial risks of energy market developments?
  4. Which technologies are most likely to contribute to the energy market development?
  1. What are the perspectives, forecasts, market size, and shares of the smart energy market?
  2. Is it possible to achieve the green energy deal 2030 in the context of the recent energy market developments?
  3. What should be the directions of legislative adjustments to support the processes of integration of the European energy market?
  4. What should be the directions of legislative adjustments in order to ensure the competitiveness of energy markets on an international level?
  5. How to support and strengthen the position of end users in the energy market?
  6. How to adjust energy supply patterns to support network stability?

Dr. Beata Szetela
Prof. Dr. Grzegorz Mentel
Dr. Jacek Brożyna
Guest Editors

Manuscript Submission Information

Manuscripts should be submitted online at www.mdpi.com by registering and logging in to this website. Once you are registered, click here to go to the submission form. Manuscripts can be submitted until the deadline. All submissions that pass pre-check are peer-reviewed. Accepted papers will be published continuously in the journal (as soon as accepted) and will be listed together on the special issue website. Research articles, review articles as well as short communications are invited. For planned papers, a title and short abstract (about 100 words) can be sent to the Editorial Office for announcement on this website.

Submitted manuscripts should not have been published previously, nor be under consideration for publication elsewhere (except conference proceedings papers). All manuscripts are thoroughly refereed through a single-blind peer-review process. A guide for authors and other relevant information for submission of manuscripts is available on the Instructions for Authors page. Energies is an international peer-reviewed open access semimonthly journal published by MDPI.

Please visit the Instructions for Authors page before submitting a manuscript. The Article Processing Charge (APC) for publication in this open access journal is 2600 CHF (Swiss Francs). Submitted papers should be well formatted and use good English. Authors may use MDPI's English editing service prior to publication or during author revisions.

Keywords

  • energy market
  • green deal
  • energy smart contracts
  • energy policy
  • energy consumer rights
  • energy market consolidation
  • energy security
  • energy market stability
  • energy demand and consumption
  • financial risk in the energy market
  • innovations in the energy sector and energy technology
  • the influence of weather on renewable energy production and demand

Published Papers (1 paper)

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Research

20 pages, 4533 KiB  
Article
Long-Term Forecasting Framework for Renewable Energy Technologies’ Installed Capacity and Costs for 2050
by Francois Rozon, Craig McGregor and Michael Owen
Energies 2023, 16(19), 6874; https://doi.org/10.3390/en16196874 - 29 Sep 2023
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 2020
Abstract
Published forecasts underestimate renewable energy capacity growth and potential cost reductions, creating uncertainty around investment decisions and slowing progress. Scenario-based projections diverge widely, driven by variations in modelling techniques and underlying assumptions, with policy-based models typically being overly conservative. With historical generation capacity [...] Read more.
Published forecasts underestimate renewable energy capacity growth and potential cost reductions, creating uncertainty around investment decisions and slowing progress. Scenario-based projections diverge widely, driven by variations in modelling techniques and underlying assumptions, with policy-based models typically being overly conservative. With historical generation capacity and cost data readily available, this research demonstrates that data-driven approaches can be leveraged to improve long-term capacity and cost forecasts of solar, wind, and battery storage technologies. Unlike exponential growth models prevailing over shorter time scales, logistic curves requiring asymptotic limits, or machine learning algorithms dependent on extensive datasets, this analysis demonstrates that temporal quadratic regressions are a better starting point to represent capacity growth trends over two to three decades. When coupled with published learning rates, trend-based capacity forecasts provided tighter and lower capital and levelized cost of energy outlooks than most reviewed scenarios, with photovoltaics global average levelized cost of energy reducing from 0.057/kWh to below USD 0.03/kWh by 2030 and below USD 0.02/kWh by 2040. Greater transparency on manufacturing ecosystems is proposed so that more advanced analytical techniques can be utilized. This analysis indicates that without direct interventions to accelerate the growth in wind power generation, global renewable energy technology deployment will fall short of the generation capacities required to meet climate change objectives. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Energy Market Analysis, Perspectives and Policy Simulation)
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