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Methane emissions (CH4-em) from dairy cows are a major environmental concern, contributing to greenhouse gases and energy loss in dairy cows. This study implemented advanced data analysis techniques to understand how different diet ingredients and production traits in dairy production systems can affect methane emissions. We analyzed a comprehensive meta dataset compiled from 225 peer-reviewed studies including 303 observations across multiple traits, using Bayesian networks and various machine learning models to explore the relationships between MEs, diet chemical ingredients, and production traits in dairy cattle. Eight models were applied, including linear models (OLS, LASSO, ridge, elastic net) and non-linear models (PLSR, spline regression, support vector machine, Gaussian process), to assess predictive performance. CH4-em showed correlations ranged from −0.43 (with diet starch; STR) to 0.50 (with neutral detergent fiber; NDF) for diet-related factors, and 0.18 (with body weight; BW) to 0.29 (with milk yield; MY) for production traits. Also, Bayesian network analysis indicated that CH4-em was a downstream variable for diet-related factors and an upstream variable for production traits. Additionally, the likelihood ratio test identified NDF as significant variable among the diet-related factors, while MY and milk fat (FAT) were crucial for production traits. non-linear models, particularly spline regression (SPL) and Gaussian process (GP), outperformed linear models in predicting CH4-em. For production traits, support vector machine (SVM) and GP models showed superior predictive capabilities. Model performance was evaluated using R2 and mean squared error (MSE) metrics. We found that while larger cows emitted more methane overall, they were generally more efficient, as methane intensity decreased with increasing MY regardless of body size. These findings offer valuable insights for developing sustainable methane mitigation strategies in dairy cattle production.

17 September 2025

Correlation heatmap of factors affecting methane production in dairy cattle. (A) Diet chemical ingredients; (B) production traits. acid detergent fiber (ADF, n = 147), neutral detergent fiber (NDF, n = 209), dry matter (DM, n = 134), organic matter (OM, n = 190), crude protein (CP, n = 217), ether extract (EE, n = 133), starch (STR, n = 141), methane emissions (Ch4-em, n = 301), milk yield (MY, n = 273), milk fat (FAT, n = 226), milk protein (PRO, n = 216), lactose (LAC, n = 184), and body weight (BW, n = 270).

Methane emissions are responsible for approximately 0.5°C, or about 30%, of total greenhouse-gas-induced warming. For many countries, methane represents an even larger share of their overall warming footprint. Assessing the warming contributions of individual methane-emitting countries to global warming is not straightforward due to methane’s short atmospheric lifetime and the non-linear (convex) relationship between radiative forcing and the atmospheric concentration of this gas. This study addresses this challenge using a simple climate model in combination with a warming allocation approach derived from cooperative game theory. Applying this method, the warming contributions of several high-methane-emitting countries and regional groupings are quantified relative to the early industrial period. The analysis reveals that the commonly used marginal attribution method underestimates methane-induced warming by approximately 20%. This discrepancy is due to the substantial rise in the atmospheric concentration of methane since early industrial times.

27 August 2025

This study assessed the effects of NiFe-based metal catalysts on CO2 conversion to methane (CH4) and carboxylic acids in microbial electrosynthesis (MES) cells. A NiFeBi alloy, when electrodeposited on a conductive bioring cathode, significantly decreased CH4 production from 0.55 to 0.12 L (Lc d)−1 while enhancing acetate production to 1.0 g (Lc d)−1, indicating suppressed methanogenic activity and improved acetogenic activity. On the other hand, NiFeMn and NiFeSn catalysts showed varied effects, with NiFeSn increasing both CH4 and acetate production and suggesting potential in promoting both chain elongation and CO2 uptake. When these alloys were electrodeposited on a 3D-printed conductive polylactide (cPLA) lattice, the production of longer-chain carboxylic acids like butyrate and caproate increased significantly, indicating enhanced biocompatibility and nutrient delivery. The NiFeSn-coated cPLA lattice increased caproate production, which was further enhanced using an acetogenic enrichment. However, the overall throughput remained low at 0.1 g (Lc d)−1. Cyclic voltammetric analysis demonstrated improved electrochemical responses with catalyst coatings, indicating better electron transfer. These findings underscore the importance of catalyst selection and cathode design in optimizing MES systems for efficient CO2 conversion to value-added products, contributing to environmental sustainability and industrial applications.

13 August 2025

Accurate methane emission estimates are essential for climate policy, yet current field methods often struggle with spatial constraints and source complexity. Ground-based mobile approaches frequently miss key plume features, introducing bias and uncertainty in emission rate estimates. This study addresses these limitations by using small unmanned aerial systems equipped with precision gas sensors to measure methane alongside co-released tracers. We tested whether arc-shaped flight paths and alternative ratio estimation methods could improve the accuracy of tracer-based emission quantification under real-world constraints. Controlled releases using ethane and nitrous oxide tracers showed that (1) arc flights provided stronger plume capture and higher correlation between methane and tracer concentrations than traditional flight paths; (2) the cumulative sum method yielded the lowest relative error (as low as 3.3%) under ideal mixing conditions; and (3) the arc flight pattern yielded the lowest relative error and uncertainty across all experimental configurations, demonstrating its robustness for quantifying methane emissions from downwind plume measurements. These findings demonstrate a practical and scalable approach to reducing uncertainty in methane quantification. The method is well-suited for challenging environments and lays the groundwork for future applications at the facility scale.

29 July 2025

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Methane - ISSN 2674-0389Creative Common CC BY license