Search Results (286)

In order to address the challenge of achieving optimal prediction accuracy when a single prediction model faced with changes in meteorological conditions of different weather types, this paper proposes a photovoltaic (PV) power prediction method based on the combination of similar day clustering and convolutional neural network (CNN)-gated recurrent unit (GRU). The Pearson correlation coefficient and Spearman’s correlation coefficient are used to filter out the key features such as total solar radiation and module temperature to construct a new input dataset; the K-means algorithm is used to perform clustering analysis on the data, and the data are classified into sunny, cloudy, and rainy days; the spatial correlation features of the meteorological factors are extracted by using the convolutional neural network (CNN), and the CNN-GRU model is established by combining with the gated recurrent units (GRUs). The PV output power is predicted based on the PV power data and the corresponding meteorological data from a place in Ningxia, collected during June to August 2020, and the method proposed in the article is tested. Validation results show that, compared to other models, the model proposed in this paper reduces MAE and RMSE by 66.1% and 65.7% on average under three different weather type scenarios, and improves R² by 19.8% on average. This verifies that the model has high prediction accuracy and generalization ability, achieving better results in PV output power prediction. The CNN-GRU model demonstrates superior capability in modeling short- and long-term dependencies compared to other deep learning hybrid approaches, while also achieving higher computational efficiency and faster training convergence. Full article

This study presents an innovative unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV)-based intelligent detection method utilizing an improved Faster Region-based Convolutional Neural Network (Faster R-CNN) architecture to address the inefficiency and inaccuracy inherent in manual wheat spike counting. We systematically collected a high-resolution image dataset (2000 images, 4096 × 3072 pixels) covering key growth stages (heading, grain filling, and maturity) of winter wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) during 2022–2023 using a DJI M300 RTK equipped with multispectral sensors. The dataset encompasses diverse field scenarios under five fertilization treatments (organic-only, organic–inorganic 7:3 and 3:7 ratios, inorganic-only, and no fertilizer) and two irrigation regimes (full and deficit irrigation), ensuring representativeness and generalizability. For model development, we replaced conventional VGG16 with ResNet-50 as the backbone network, incorporating residual connections and channel attention mechanisms to achieve 92.1% mean average precision (mAP) while reducing parameters from 135 M to 77 M (43% decrease). The GFLOPS of the improved model has been reduced from 1.9 to 1.7, an decrease of 10.53%, and the computational efficiency of the model has been improved. Performance tests demonstrated a 15% reduction in missed detection rate compared to YOLOv8 in dense canopies, with spike count regression analysis yielding R² = 0.88 (p < 0.05) against manual measurements and yield prediction errors below 10% for optimal treatments. To validate robustness, we established a dedicated 500-image test set (25% of total data) spanning density gradients (30–80 spikes/m²) and varying illumination conditions, maintaining >85% accuracy even under cloudy weather. Furthermore, by integrating spike recognition with agronomic parameters (e.g., grain weight), we developed a comprehensive yield estimation model achieving 93.5% accuracy under optimal water–fertilizer management (70% ETc irrigation with 3:7 organic–inorganic ratio). This work systematically addresses key technical challenges in automated spike detection through standardized data acquisition, lightweight model design, and field validation, offering significant practical value for smart agriculture development. Full article

Longnan is the largest olive cultivation area in China. The unique microclimates in Longnan make it an ideal testing ground for climate-resilient cultivation strategies with broader applications across similar regions, yet predictive models linking weather to oil quality remain scarce. This study establishes a climate suitability evaluation model for olive cultivation in central Longnan based on meteorological data and olive quality data in the Fotanggou planting base. Four key climatic factors are identified: cumulative sunshine hours during the fruit coloring to ripening period, average temperature during the fruit coloring to harvesting period, number of cloudy and rainy days during the harvesting period, and relative humidity during the fruit setting to fruit enlargement period. Olive oil quality is graded into three levels (Excellent III, Good II, Fair I) based on acidity, linoleic acid, and peroxide value using K-means clustering. A climate suitability index is developed by integrating these factors, with weights determined via principal component analysis. The model is validated against an olive quality report from the Dabao planting base, showing an 80% match rate. From 1991 to 2023, 87.9% of years exhibit suitable or moderately suitable conditions, with 100% of years in the past decade (2014–2023) reaching “Good” or “Excellent” levels. This model provides a scientific basis for evaluating and predicting olive oil quality, supporting sustainable olive industry development in Longnan. This model provides policymakers and farmers with actionable insights to ensure the long-term sustainability of olive industry amid climate uncertainty. Full article

Since its first appearance as a human pathogen in 1976, Legionella pneumophila has been identified as a causative agent of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). It survives in rivers, bays, lakes, and water reservoirs, and it is categorized as the fourth most common causative agent of CAP leading to hospitalization. We aimed to investigate patterns in which environmental, seasonal and regional factors may affect the prevalence of Legionnaires’ disease in Crete during the last two decades (2000–2022).The data used originated from the national surveillance database and included any person reported with travel-associated Legionnaires’ disease (TALD) between January 2000 and December 2022. Meteorological data were collected from the National Weather Service. The meteorological variables included (max) temperature (in °C), cloudiness (in octas), wind speed (in knots), and relative humidity (RH) (%). The statistical analysis was based on a case-crossover design with 1:1 matching characteristic. We revealed both seasonal and regional effects on the incidence of Legionnaires’ disease. Cases are significantly more frequent in autumn, in comparison to the other three seasons, while Rethymnon is the prefecture with fewer cases in comparison to Chania or Heraklion. In addition, our research showed that the majority of cases occurred during the years 2017–2018. TALD in Crete is significantly associated with temperature in °C and wind speed in knots. Our research suggests that temporal and spatial factors significantly influence disease cases. These results are in line with studies from foreign countries. The study results aspire to expand our knowledge regarding the epidemiological characteristics of Legionnaires’ disease in relation to local, geographical and meteorological factors on the island of Crete. Full article

Previous studies reported the links between the COVID-19 incidence and weather factors, but few investigated their impact and timing on mortality, at a continental scale. We systematically investigated the temporal relationship of COVID-19 mortality in the European countries in the 1st year of pandemic (March–December 2020) with (i) solar insolation (W/${\mathrm{m}}^2$) at the ground level and (ii) objective sky cloudiness (as decimal cloud fraction), both derived from satellite measurements. We checked the correlations of these factors within a sliding window of two months for the whole period. Linear-mixed effect modeling revealed that overall, for the European countries (adjusted for latitude), COVID-19 mortality was substantially negatively correlated with solar insolation in the previous month (std. beta −0.69). Separately, mortality was significantly correlated with the cloudiness in both the previous month (std. beta +0.14) and the respective month (std. beta +0.32). This time gap of ∼1 month between the COVID-19 mortality and correlated weather factors was previously unreported. The long-term monitoring of these factors might be important for epidemiological policy decisions especially in the initial period of potential future pandemics when effective medical treatment might not yet be available. Full article

This study presents the design and techno-economic comparison of two standalone photovoltaic (PV) systems, each supplying a 1 kW critical load with 100% reliability under Cairo’s climatic conditions. These systems are modeled for both the constant and the night load scenarios, accounting for the worst-case weather conditions involving 3.5 consecutive cloudy days. The primary comparison focuses on traditional lead-acid battery storage versus green hydrogen storage via electrolysis, compression, and fuel cell reconversion. Both the configurations are simulated using a Python-based tool that calculates hourly energy balance, component sizing, and economic performance over a 21-year project lifetime. The results show that the PV/H₂ system significantly outperforms the PV/lead-acid battery system in both the cost and the reliability. For the constant load, the Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE) drops from 0.52 USD/kWh to 0.23 USD/kWh (a 56% reduction), and the payback period is shortened from 16 to 7 years. For the night load, the LCOE improves from 0.67 to 0.36 USD/kWh (a 46% reduction). A supplementary cost analysis using lithium-ion batteries was also conducted. While Li-ion improves the economics compared to lead-acid (LCOE of 0.41 USD/kWh for the constant load and 0.49 USD/kWh for the night load), this represents a 21% and a 27% reduction, respectively. However, the green hydrogen system remains the most cost-effective and scalable storage solution for achieving 100% reliability in critical off-grid applications. These findings highlight the potential of green hydrogen as a sustainable and economically viable energy storage pathway, capable of reducing energy costs while ensuring long-term resilience. Full article

Solar-powered pumping systems using series pumps are commonly applied in the delivery of water to remote agricultural regions, particularly in hilly tropical terrain. The synchronization of these pumps typically depends on reliable communication; however, dense vegetation, elevation changes, and weather conditions often disrupt signals. To address these limitations, a fully decentralized, communication-free control system is proposed. Each pumping station operates independently while maintaining synchronized operation through emulated neighbor sensing. The system applies a discrete-time control algorithm with virtual sensing that estimates neighboring pump statuses. Each station consists of a solar photovoltaic (PV) array, variable-speed drive, variable inlet valve, reserve tank, and local control unit. The controller adjusts the valve positions and pump power based on real-time water level measurements and virtual neighbor sensing. The simulation results across four scenarios, including clear sky, cloudy conditions, temporary outage, and varied irradiance, demonstrated steady-state operation with no water overflow or shortage and a steady-state error less than 4% for 3 m³ transfer. The error decreased as the average power increased. The proposed method maintained system functionality under simulated power outage and variable irradiance, confirming its suitability for remote agricultural areas where communication infrastructure is limited. Full article

Marine atmospheric boundary-layer height (MABLH) is crucial for ocean heat, momentum, and substance transfer, affecting ocean circulation, climate, and ecosystems. Due to the unique geographical location of the South China Sea (SCS), coupled with its complex atmospheric environment and sparse ground-based observation stations, accurately determining the MABLH remains challenging. Coherent Doppler wind lidar (CDWL), as a laser-based active remote sensing technology, provides high-resolution wind profiling by transmitting pulsed laser beams and analyzing backscattered signals from atmospheric aerosols. In this study, we developed a stacking optimal ensemble model (SOEM) to estimate MABLH in the vicinity of the site by integrating CDWL measurements from a representative SCS site with ERA5 (fifth-generation reanalysis dataset from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) data from December 2019 to May 2021. Based on the categorization of the total cloud cover data into weather conditions such as clear/slightly cloudy, cloudy/transitional, and overcast/rainy, the SOEM demonstrates enhanced performance with an average mean absolute percentage error of 3.7%, significantly lower than the planetary boundary-layer-height products of ERA5. The SOEM outperformed random forest, extreme gradient boosting, and histogram-based gradient boosting models, achieving a robustness coefficient ($R^2$) of 0.95 and the lowest mean absolute error of 32 m under the clear/slightly cloudy condition. The validation conducted in the coastal city of Qingdao further confirmed the superiority of the SOEM in resolving meteorological heterogeneity. The predictions of the SOEM aligned well with CDWL observations during Typhoon Sinlaku (2020), capturing dynamic disturbances in MABLH. Overall, the SOEM provides a precise approach for estimating convective boundary-layer height, supporting marine meteorology, onshore wind power, and coastal protection applications. Full article

Irrigation areas in arid regions are vital production areas for grain and cash crops worldwide. Grasping the temporal and spatial evolution of planting configurations across several years is crucial for effective regional agricultural and resource management. In view of problems such as insufficient optical images caused by cloudy weather in arid regions and the unclear spatiotemporal evolution patterns of the planting structures in irrigation areas over the years, in this study, we took the Santun River Irrigation Area, a typical arid region in Xinjiang, China, as an example. By leveraging long time-series remote sensing images from Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2, the spectral, index, texture, and polarization features of the ground objects in the study area were extracted. When analyzing the index characteristics, we considered several widely used global vegetation indices, including the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI), Soil Adjusted Vegetation Index (SAVI), and Global Environment Monitoring Index (GEMI). Additionally, we integrated the vertical–vertical and vertical–horizontal polarization data obtained from synthetic aperture radar (SAR) satellite systems. Machine learning algorithms, including the random forest algorithm (RF), Classification and Regression Trees (CART), and Support Vector Machines (SVM), were employed for planting structure classification. The optimal classification model selected was subjected to inter-annual transfer to obtain the planting structures over multiple years. The research findings are as follows: (1) The RF classification algorithm outperforms CART and SVM algorithms in terms of classification accuracy, achieving an overall accuracy (OA) of 0.84 and a kappa coefficient of 0.805. (2) The cropland area classified by the RF algorithm exhibited a high degree of consistency with statistical yearbook data (R² = 0.82–0.91). Significant differences are observed in the estimated planting areas of cotton, maize, tomatoes, and wheat, while differences in other crops are not statistically significant. (3) From 2019 to 2024, cotton remained the dominant crop, although its proportional area fluctuated considerably, while the areas of maize and wheat tended to remain stable, and those of tomato and melon showed relatively minor changes. Overall, the region demonstrates a cotton-dominated, stable cropping structure for other crops. The newly developed framework exhibits exceptional precision in categorization while maintaining impressive adaptability, offering crucial insights for optimizing agricultural operations and sustainable resource allocation in irrigation-dependent arid zones. Full article

Autonomous unmanned surface vehicles (USVs) offer transformative potential for collecting marine meteorological data under extreme weather conditions, yet their capability to provide reliable solar radiation measurements during typhoons remains underexplored. This study evaluates shortwave downward radiation (SWDR) data obtained by a solar-powered USV (developed by IAP/CAS, Beijing, China) that successfully traversed Typhoon Sinlaku (2020), compared with Himawari-8 satellite products. The SUSV acquired 1 min resolution SWDR measurements near the typhoon center, while satellite data were collocated spatially and temporally for validation. Results demonstrate that the USV maintained uninterrupted operation and power supply despite extreme sea states, enabling continuous radiation monitoring. After averaging, high-frequency SWDR data exhibited minimal bias relative to Himawari-8 to mitigate wave-induced attitude effects, with a mean bias error (MBE) of 13.64 W m⁻² under cloudy typhoon conditions. The consistency between platforms confirms the SUSV’s capacity to deliver accurate in situ radiation data where traditional observations are scarce. This work establishes that autonomous SUSVs can critically supplement satellite validation and improve radiative transfer models in typhoon-affected oceans, addressing a key gap in severe weather oceanography. Full article

This review provides a comprehensive and multidisciplinary overview of recent advancements in solar tracking systems (STSs) aimed at improving the efficiency and adaptability of photovoltaic (PV) technologies. The study systematically classifies solar trackers based on tracking axes (fixed, single-axis, and dual-axis), drive mechanisms (active, passive, semi-passive, manual, and chronological), and control strategies (open-loop, closed-loop, hybrid, and AI-based). Fixed-tilt PV systems serve as a baseline, with single-axis trackers achieving 20–35% higher energy yield, and dual-axis trackers offering energy gains ranging from 30% to 45% depending on geographic and climatic conditions. In particular, dual-axis systems outperform others in high-latitude and equatorial regions due to their ability to follow both azimuth and elevation angles throughout the year. Sensor technologies such as LDRs, UV sensors, and fiber-optic sensors are compared in terms of precision and environmental adaptability, while microcontroller platforms—including Arduino, ATmega, and PLC-based controllers—are evaluated for their scalability and application scope. Intelligent tracking systems, especially those leveraging machine learning and predictive analytics, demonstrate additional energy gains up to 7.83% under cloudy conditions compared to conventional algorithms. The review also emphasizes adaptive tracking strategies for backtracking, high-latitude conditions, and cloudy weather, alongside emerging applications in agrivoltaics, where solar tracking not only enhances energy capture but also improves shading control, crop productivity, and rainwater distribution. The findings underscore the importance of selecting appropriate tracking strategies based on site-specific factors, economic constraints, and climatic conditions, while highlighting the central role of solar tracking technologies in achieving greater solar penetration and supporting global sustainability goals, particularly SDG 7 (Affordable and Clean Energy) and SDG 13 (Climate Action). Full article

Flower closure is a widespread yet understudied trait that may serve multiple functions in the success of plant reproduction. In this study, we investigated the role of flower closure in protecting pollen from rain-induced loss in lesser celandine (Ficaria verna Huds., 1762), an early-flowering species vulnerable to spring rains. Through simulated and natural rain experiments, we found that the flowers that were prevented from closing retained significantly fewer pollen grains compared to the control flowers. This demonstrates that flower closure effectively protects pollen from rain-induced flushing, thus enhancing reproductive success. Furthermore, flowers that were prevented from closing had fewer viable pollen grains than control flowers. We propose that the evolution of petal movement in F. verna was primarily driven by pressures favoring petal movement that protected pollen, with secondary contributions from herbivore avoidance. Flowers are unable to discriminate between low luminosity caused by cloudy weather and night, thus responding to both. Future studies should explore the relative importance of primary and secondary evolutionary drivers of flower closure across species, particularly in early-flowering plants facing complex environmental challenges. Full article

Deep learning has become a widely used approach in photovoltaic (PV) power generation forecasting due to its strong self-learning and parameter optimization capabilities. In this study, we apply a deep learning algorithm, known as the time-series dense encoder (TiDE), which is an MLP-based encoder–decoder model, to forecast PV power generation. TiDE compresses historical time series and covariates into latent representations via residual connections and reconstructs future values through a temporal decoder, capturing both long- and short-term dependencies. We trained the model using data from 2020 to 2022 from Australia’s Desert Knowledge Australia Solar Centre (DKASC), with 2023 data used for testing. Forecast accuracy was evaluated using the $R^2$ coefficient of determination, mean absolute error (MAE), and root mean square error (RMSE). In the 5 min ahead forecasting test, TiDE demonstrated high short-term accuracy with an $R^2$ of 0.952, MAE of 0.150, and RMSE of 0.349, though performance declines for longer horizons, such as the 1 h ahead forecast, compared to other algorithms. For one-day-ahead forecasts, it achieved an $R^2$ of 0.712, an MAE of 0.507, and an RMSE of 0.856, effectively capturing medium-term weather trends but showing limited responsiveness to sudden weather changes. Further analysis indicated improved performance in cloudy and rainy weather, and seasonal analysis reveals higher accuracy in spring and autumn, with reduced accuracy in summer and winter due to extreme conditions. Additionally, we explore the TiDE model’s sensitivity to input environmental variables, algorithmic versatility, and the implications of forecasting errors on PV grid integration. These findings highlight TiDE’s superior forecasting accuracy and robust adaptability across weather conditions, while also revealing its limitations under abrupt changes. Full article

The sea surface temperature (SST) is an important parameter reflecting the energy exchange between the ocean and the atmosphere, which has a key impact on climate change, marine ecology and fisheries. However, most of the existing SST fusion methods suffer from poor portability and a lack of consideration of cloudy conditions, which can affect the data accuracy and reliability. To address these problems, this paper proposes an infrared and microwave SST fusion method based on cloudy conditions. The method categorizes the fusion process according to three scenarios—clear sky, completely cloudy, and partially cloudy—adjusting the fusion approach for each condition. In this paper, three representative global datasets from home and abroad are selected, while the South China Sea region, which suffers from extreme weather, is used as a typical study area for validation. By introducing the buoy observation data, the fusion results are evaluated using the metrics of bias, RMSE, URMSE, r and coverage. The experimental results show that the biases of the three fusion results of VIRR-RH, AVHRR-RH and MODIS-RH are −0.611 °C, 0.043 °C and 0.012 °C, respectively. In the South China Sea region under extreme weather conditions, the bias is −0.428 °C, the RMSE is 0.941 °C, the URMSE is 0.424 °C and the coverage rate reaches 25.55%. These results confirm that this method not only produces significant fusion effects but also exhibits strong generalization and adaptability, being unaffected by specific sensors or regions. Full article

When optical signals are transmitted in the atmosphere, they will be affected by atmospheric turbulence, causing phenomena such as light intensity flickering and light spot drift, resulting in signal intensity attenuation. In this paper, a 0.8 km and a 4 km corner reflector array experimental return link were built. Under different weather conditions, the experiment obtained light intensity data samples and echo spot video data. It analyzed the light intensity flicker and spot drift characteristics and laws of Gaussian beams under different weather conditions. The results show that the turbulence intensity increases with an increase in link distance. At the same time, the atmospheric refractive index structure constant gradually decreases in the order of sunny, light rain, moderate rain, heavy rain, and cloudy. The light intensity distribution of the 0.8 km link is weakly undulating, and the light intensity distribution of the 4 km link is moderately undulating. The distribution of the centroid range of the light spot also decreases in the order of sunny days, light rain days, moderate rain days, heavy rain days, and cloudy days, and as the link distance increases, the distribution range of the centroid of the light spot under the same weather conditions also increases. Studying the reflection characteristics of laser echoes is of great significance to wireless optical communication systems. It brings important technological breakthroughs to large-scale, high-speed wireless optical communication technology and plays an important role in the development of wireless optical communication technology. Full article