Search Results (41)

Solar greenhouses are an important component of modern facility agriculture, and the dynamic changes in their internal environment directly affect crop growth and yield. Among these factors, crop transpiration releases water vapor through transpiration, directly altering the indoor humidity balance and forming a dynamic coupling with factors such as temperature and light. The environment of solar greenhouses exhibits highly nonlinear and multivariate coupling characteristics, leading to insufficient prediction accuracy in existing models. However, accurate predictions are crucial for regulating crop growth and yield. However, current mainstream greenhouse environmental prediction models still have obvious limitations when dealing with such complexity: traditional machine learning models and single-variable-driven models have issues such as insufficient accuracy (average MAE is 15–20% higher than in this study) and weak adaptability to nonlinear environmental changes in multi-environmental factor coupling predictions, making it difficult to meet the needs of precision farming. A review of relevant research over the past five years shows that while LSTM-based models perform well in time series prediction, they ignore the spatial correlations between environmental factors. Models incorporating attention mechanisms can capture key variables but suffer from high computational costs. To address these issues, this study proposes a prediction model based on multi-strategy optimization and gradient-boosting (GBDT) algorithms. By introducing a multi-scale feature fusion module, it addresses the accuracy issues in multi-factor coupling prediction. Additionally, it employs a lightweight network design to balance prediction performance and computational efficiency, filling the gap in existing research applications under complex greenhouse environments. The model optimizes data preprocessing and model parameters through Sobol sequence initialization, adaptive t-distribution perturbation strategies, and Gaussian–Cauchy mixture mutation strategies and combines CatBoost for modeling to enhance prediction accuracy. Experimental results show that the MSCSO–CatBoost model performs excellently in temperature prediction, with the mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE) reduced by 22.5% (2.34 °C) and 24.4% (3.12 °C), respectively, and the coefficient of determination (R²) improved to 0.91, significantly outperforming traditional regression methods and combinations of other optimization algorithms. Additionally, the model demonstrates good generalization capability in predicting multiple environmental variables such as temperature, humidity, and light intensity, adapting to environmental fluctuations under different climatic conditions. This study confirms that combining multi-strategy optimization with gradient-boosting algorithms can significantly improve the prediction accuracy of solar greenhouse environments, providing reliable support for precision agricultural management. Future research could further explore the model’s adaptive optimization in complex climatic regions. Full article

Maize (Zea mays L.) is a key global cereal crop with significant relevance to food security. Maize yield prediction is challenged by cultivar diversity and varying management practices. This preliminary study was conducted at Youyi Farm, Heilongjiang Province, China. Three maize cultivars (Songyu 438, Dika 1220, Dika 2188), two fertilization rates (700 and 800 kg·ha⁻¹), and three planting densities (70,000, 75,000, and 80,000 plants·ha⁻¹) were evaluated across 18 distinct cropping treatments. During the V6 (Vegetative 6-leaf stage), VT (Tasseling stage), R3 (Milk stage), and R6 (Physiological maturity) growth stages of maize, multi-temporal canopy spectral images were acquired using an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) equipped with a multispectral sensor. In situ measurements of key agronomic traits, including plant height (PH), stem diameter (SD), leaf area index (LAI), and relative chlorophyll content (SPAD), were conducted. The optimal vegetation indices (VIs) and agronomic traits were selected for developing a maize yield prediction model using the random forest (RF) algorithm. Results showed the following: (1) Vegetation indices derived from the red-edge band, particularly the normalized difference red-edge index (NDRE), exhibited a strong correlation with maize yield (R = 0.664), especially during the tasseling to milk ripening stage; (2) The integration of LAI and SPAD with NDRE improved model performance, achieving an R² of 0.69—an increase of 23.2% compared to models based solely on VIs; (3) Incorporating SPAD values from middle-canopy leaves during the milk ripening stage further enhanced prediction accuracy (R² = 0.74, RMSE = 0.88 t·ha⁻¹), highlighting the value of vertical-scale physiological parameters in yield modeling. This study not only furnishes critical technical support for the application of UAV-based remote sensing in precision agriculture at the field-plot scale, but also charts a clear direction for the synergistic optimization of multi-dimensional agronomic traits and spectral features. Full article

Yield maps and in-season forecasts help optimize agricultural practices. The traditional approaches to predicting yield during the growing season often rely on ground-based observations, which are time-consuming and labor-intensive. Remote sensing offers a promising alternative by providing frequent and spatially extensive information on crop development. In this study, we evaluated the feasibility of high-resolution satellite imagery for the early yield prediction of an under-investigated crop, Japanese squash (Cucurbita maxima), in a small farm in Hollister, California, over the growing seasons of 2022 and 2023 using vegetation indices, including the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and the Soil-Adjusted Vegetation Index (SAVI). We identified the optimal time for yield prediction and compared the performances across satellite platforms (Sentinel-2: 10 m; PlanetScope: 3 m; SkySat: 0.5 m). Pearson’s correlation coefficient (r) was employed to determine the dependencies between the yield and vegetation indices measured at various stages throughout the squash growing season. The results showed that SkySat-derived vegetation indices outperformed those of Sentinel-2 and PlanetScope in explaining the squash yields (R² = 0.75–0.76; RMSE = 0.8–1.9 tons/ha). Remote sensing showed very strong correlations with yield as early as 29 days after planting in 2022 and 37 and 76 days in 2023 for the NDVI and the SAVI, respectively. These early dates corresponded with the vegetative stages when the crop canopy became denser before fruit development. These findings highlight the utility of high-resolution imagery for in-season yield estimation and within-field variability detection. Detecting yield variability early enables timely management interventions to optimize crop productivity and resource efficiency, a critical advantage for small-scale farms, where marginal yield changes impact economic outcomes. Full article

Efficient and reliable corn (Zea mays L.) yield prediction is important for varietal selection by plant breeders and management decision-making by growers. Unlike prior studies that focus mainly on county-level or controlled laboratory-scale areas, this study targets a production-scale area, better representing real-world agricultural conditions and offering more practical relevance for farmers. Therefore, the objective of our study was to determine the best combination of vegetation indices and abiotic factors for predicting corn yield in a rain-fed, production-scale area, identify the most suitable corn growth stage for yield estimation using machine learning, and identify the most effective machine learning model for corn yield estimation. Our study used high-resolution (6 cm) aerial multispectral imagery. Sixty-two different predictors, including soil properties (sand, silt, and clay percentages), slope, spectral bands (red, green, blue, red-edge, NIR), vegetation indices (GNDRE, NDRE, TGI), color-space indices, and wavelengths were derived from the multispectral data collected at the seven (V4, V5, V6, V7, V9, V12, and V14/VT) growth stages of corn. Four regression and machine learning algorithms were evaluated for yield prediction: linear regression, random forest, extreme gradient boosting, and gradient boosting regressor. A total of 6865 yield values were used for model training and 1716 for validation. Results show that, using random forest method, the V14/VT stage had the best yield predictions (RMSE of 0.52 Mg/ha for a mean yield of 10.19 Mg/ha), and yield estimation at V6 stage was still feasible. We concluded that integrating abiotic factors, such as slope and soil properties, significantly improved model accuracy. Among vegetation indices, TGI, HUE, and GNDRE performed better. Results from this study can help farmers or crop consultants plan ahead for future logistics through enhanced early-season yield predictions and support farm profitability and sustainability. Full article

This review explores the applications of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) in smart agriculture, highlighting recent advancements across various applications including weed detection, disease detection, crop classification, water management, and yield prediction. Based on a comprehensive analysis of more than 115 recent studies, coupled with a bibliometric study of the broader literature, this paper contextualizes the use of CNNs within Agriculture 5.0, where technological integration optimizes agricultural efficiency. Key approaches analyzed involve image classification, image segmentation, regression, and object detection methods that use diverse data types ranging from RGB and multispectral images to radar and thermal data. By processing UAV and satellite data with CNNs, real-time and large-scale crop monitoring can be achieved, supporting advanced farm management. A comparative analysis shows how CNNs perform with respect to other techniques that involve traditional machine learning and recent deep learning models in image processing, particularly when applied to high-dimensional or temporal data. Future directions point toward integrating IoT and cloud platforms for real-time data processing and leveraging large language models for regulatory insights. Potential research advancements emphasize improving increased data accessibility and hybrid modeling to meet the agricultural demands of climate variability and food security, positioning CNNs as pivotal tools in sustainable agricultural practices. A related repository that contains the reviewed articles along with their publication links is made available. Full article

Food sustainability has become a major global concern in recent years. Multiple complimentary strategies to deal with this issue have been developed; one of these approaches is regenerative farming. The identification and analysis of crop type phenology are required to achieve sustainable regenerative faming. Earth Observation (EO) data have been widely applied to crop type identification using supervised Machine Learning (ML) and Deep Learning (DL) classifications, but these methods commonly rely on large amounts of ground truth data, which usually prevent historical analysis and may be impractical in very remote, very extensive or politically unstable regions. Thus, the development of a robust but intelligent unsupervised classification model is attractive for the long-term and sustainable prediction of agricultural yields. Here, we propose FastDTW-HC, a combination of Fast Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) and Hierarchical Clustering (HC), as a significantly improved method that requires no ground truth input for the classification of winter food crop varieties of barley, wheat and rapeseed, in Norfolk, UK. A series of variables is first derived from the EO products, and these include spectral indices from Sentinel-2 multispectral data and backscattered amplitude values at dual polarisations from Sentinel-1 Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) data. Then, the phenological patterns of winter barley, winter wheat and winter rapeseed are analysed using the FastDTW-HC applied to the time-series created for each variable, between Nov 2019 and June 2020. Future research will extend this winter food crop mapping analysis using FastDTW-HC modelling to a regional scale. Full article

The Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) is an important remote sensing index that is widely used to assess vegetation coverage, monitor crop growth, and predict yields. Traditional NDVI calculation methods often rely on multispectral or hyperspectral imagery, which are costly and complex to operate, thus limiting their applicability in small-scale farms and developing countries. To address these limitations, this study proposes an NDVI estimation method based on low-cost RGB (red, green, and blue) UAV (unmanned aerial vehicle) imagery combined with deep learning techniques. This study utilizes field data from five major crops (cotton, rice, maize, rape, and wheat) throughout their whole growth periods. RGB images were used to extract conventional features, including color indices (CIs), texture features (TFs), and vegetation coverage, while convolutional features (CFs) were extracted using the deep learning network ResNet50 to optimize the model. The results indicate that the model, optimized with CFs, significantly enhanced NDVI estimation accuracy. Specifically, the R² values for maize, rape, and wheat during their whole growth periods reached 0.99, while those for rice and cotton were 0.96 and 0.93, respectively. Notably, the accuracy improvement in later growth periods was most pronounced for cotton and maize, with average R² increases of 0.15 and 0.14, respectively, whereas wheat exhibited a more modest improvement of only 0.04. This method leverages deep learning to capture structural changes in crop populations, optimizing conventional image features and improving NDVI estimation accuracy. This study presents an NDVI estimation approach applicable to the whole growth period of common crops, particularly those with significant population variations, and provides a valuable reference for estimating other vegetation indices using low-cost UAV-acquired RGB images. Full article

Understanding the causes of spatiotemporal variation in crop yields across large areas is important in closing yield gaps and producing more food for the growing global population. While there has been much focus on using data-driven models to predict crop yield, there is also an opportunity to use these empirical models to understand which factors are driving variations in yield and to quantify their contributions. This study uses a large database of 625 rainfed wheat yield maps from 14 different seasons (2007–2020) across the eastern grain belt of Australia. XGBoost models were used, with predictors including maps of soil attributes (e.g., pH and sodicity), along with weather indices (rainfall, frost, heat, growing degree days). The model and predictors could accurately predict field-scale yield, with a Lin’s concordance correlation coefficient (LCCC) of 0.78 with 10-fold cross-validation. SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP), a form of interpretive machine learning (IML), values were then used to assess the impact of the variables on yield. The SHAP values for each predictor were also mapped onto a grid of the study area for the 2020 season, which showed the impact of each predictor on wheat yield (t ha⁻¹) and revenue (AUD ($) ha⁻¹) in interpretable units. Weather variables, such as rainfall and heat events, had the largest impact on yield. Although generally less significant, soil constraints such as soil sodicity were still important in driving yield. The results also showed that despite their largely temporally stable nature, soil constraints impact yield differently, depending on seasonal conditions. Overall, data-driven models and IML proved valuable in understanding the impact of important weather and soil variables on wheat yield and revenue across the eastern Australian grain belt. This could be used to determine the magnitude and economic impact of soil constraints and extreme weather on crops across regions and to inform policies and farm management decisions. Full article

Soybean seed composition, particularly protein and oil content, plays a critical role in agricultural practices, influencing crop value, nutritional quality, and marketability. Accurate and efficient methods for predicting seed composition are essential for optimizing crop management and breeding strategies. This study assesses the effectiveness of combining handheld spectroradiometers with the Mexican Hat wavelet transformation to predict soybean seed composition at both seed and canopy levels. Initial analyses using raw spectral data from these devices showed limited predictive accuracy. However, by using the Mexican Hat wavelet transformation, meaningful features were extracted from the spectral data, significantly enhancing prediction performance. Results showed improvements: for seed-level data, Partial Least Squares Regression (PLSR), a method used to reduce spectral data complexity while retaining critical information, showed R² values increasing from 0.57 to 0.61 for protein content and from 0.58 to 0.74 for oil content post-transformation. Canopy-level data analyzed with Random Forest Regression (RFR), an ensemble method designed to capture non-linear relationships, also demonstrated substantial improvements, with R² increasing from 0.07 to 0.44 for protein and from 0.02 to 0.39 for oil content post-transformation. These findings demonstrate that integrating handheld spectroradiometer data with wavelet transformation bridges the gap between high-end spectral imaging and practical, accessible solutions for field applications. This approach not only improves the accuracy of seed composition prediction at both seed and canopy levels but also supports more informed decision-making in crop management. This work represents a significant step towards making advanced crop assessment tools more accessible, potentially improving crop management strategies and yield optimization across various farming scales. Full article

The growing global population demands an increase in agricultural production and the promotion of sustainable practices. Smart agriculture, driven by advanced technologies, is crucial to achieving these goals. These technologies provide real-time information for crop monitoring, yield prediction, and essential farming functions. However, adopting intelligent farming systems poses challenges, including learning new systems and dealing with installation costs. Robust support is crucial for integrating smart farming into practices. Understanding the current state of agriculture, technology trends, and the challenges in technology acceptance is essential for a smooth transition to Agriculture 4.0. This work reports on the pivotal synergy of IoT technology with other research trends, such as weather forecasting and robotics. It also presents the applications of smart agriculture worldwide, with an emphasis on government initiatives to support farmers and promote global adoption. The aim of this work is to provide a comprehensive review of smart technologies for precision agriculture and especially of their adoption level and results on the global scale; to this end, this review examines three important areas of smart agriculture, namely field, greenhouse, and livestock monitoring. Full article

The application of remote sensing, which is non-destructive and cost-efficient, has been widely used in crop monitoring and management. This study used a built-in multispectral imager on a small unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) to capture multispectral images in five different spectral bands (blue, green, red, red edge, and near-infrared), instead of satellite-captured data, to monitor soybean growth in a field. The field experiment was conducted in a soybean field at the Mississippi State University Experiment Station near Pontotoc, MS, USA. The experiment consisted of five cover crops (Cereal Rye, Vetch, Wheat, Mustard plus Cereal Rye, and native vegetation) planted in the winter and three fertilizer treatments (Fertilizer, Poultry Liter, and None) applied before planting the soybean. During the soybean growing season in 2022, eight UAV imaging flyovers were conducted, spread across the growth season. UAV image-derived vegetation indices (VIs) coupled with machine learning (ML) models were computed for characterizing soybean growth at different stages across the season. The aim of this study focuses on monitoring soybean growth to predict yield, using 14 VIs including CC (Canopy Cover), NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index), GNDVI (Green Normalized Difference Vegetation Index), EVI2 (Enhanced Vegetation Index 2), and others. Different machine learning algorithms including Linear Regression (LR), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Random Forest (RF) are used for this purpose. The stage of the initial pod development was shown as having the best predictability for earliest soybean yield prediction. CC, NDVI, and NAVI (Normalized area vegetation index) were shown as the best VIs for yield prediction. The RMSE was found to be about 134.5 to 511.11 kg ha⁻¹ in the different yield models, whereas it was 605.26 to 685.96 kg ha⁻¹ in the cross-validated models. Due to the limited number of training and testing samples in the K-fold cross-validation, the models’ results changed to some extent. Nevertheless, the results of this study will be useful for the application of UAV remote sensing to provide information for soybean production and management. This study demonstrates that VIs coupled with ML models can be used in multistage soybean yield prediction at a farm scale, even with a limited number of training samples. Full article

Many pests damage pea crops, which potentially leads to reduced quality and yield losses. Since pests occur at different phenological growth stages of pea crops, the prediction of growth stages, for example as BBCH stages, is beneficial. In this study, three models have been developed to simulate growth stages of grain and green pea crops, for the latter with early and late sowing dates. All data, such as BBCH stages and air temperature, were collected in Germany in a three-year study under practical farming conditions at 415 sample sites. For the development of each model, a Gompertz regression model based on the observed data was performed. The model validation suggests that each model precisely and reliably predicts pea crop growth stages for spring-sown peas. Amongst others, the RMSE_Index for grain peas was 3.4; for green peas, early and late sowing dates, respectively, they were 3.4 and 4.5. SIMONTO-Pea (SIMulation of ONTOgenesis) is the first model that predicts detailed pea crop growth stages based on the BBCH scale. This innovation is especially beneficial for users such as advisors and farmers dealing with spring-sown pea crops as a decision support system in monitoring and pest management according to pea crop growth stages. Full article

The agricultural sector is currently confronting multifaceted challenges such as an increased food demand, slow adoption of sustainable farming, a need for climate-resilient food systems, resource inequity, and the protection of small-scale farmers’ practices. These issues are integral to food security and environmental health. Remote sensing technologies can assist precision agriculture in effectively addressing these complex problems by providing farmers with high-resolution lenses. The use of vegetation indices (VIs) is an essential component of remote sensing, which combines the variability of spectral reflectance value (derived from remote sensing data) with the growth stage of crops. A wide array of VIs can be used to classify the crops and evaluate their state and health. However, precisely this high number leads to difficulty in selecting the best VI and their combination for specific objectives. Without thorough documentation and analysis of appropriate VIs, users might find it difficult to use remote sensing data or obtain results with very low accuracy. Thus, the objective of this review is to conduct a critical analysis of the existing state of the art on the effective use of VIs for the discrimination and monitoring of several important agricultural crops (wheat, corn, sunflower, soybean, rape, potatoes, and forage crops), grasslands and meadows. This data could be highly useful for all the stakeholders involved in agricultural activities. The current review has shown that VIs appear to be suitable for mapping and monitoring agricultural crops, forage crops, meadows and pastures. Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 data were the most utilized sources, while some of the frequently used VIs were EVI, LAI, NDVI, GNDVI, PSRI, and SAVI. In most of the studies, an array of VIs needed to be employed to achieve a good discrimination of crops or prediction of yields. The main challenges in using VIs are related to the variation of the spectral characteristics during the vegetation period and to the similarities of the spectral signatures of various crops and semi-natural meadows. Thus, further studies are needed to establish appropriate models for the use of satellite data that would prove to have greater accuracy and provide more relevant information for the efficient monitoring of agricultural crops. Full article

Timely and cost-effective crop yield prediction is vital in crop management decision-making. This study evaluates the efficacy of Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV)-based Vegetation Indices (VIs) coupled with Machine Learning (ML) models for corn (Zea mays) yield prediction at vegetative (V6) and reproductive (R5) growth stages using a limited number of training samples at the farm scale. Four agronomic treatments, namely Austrian Winter Peas (AWP) (Pisum sativum L.) cover crop, biochar, gypsum, and fallow with sixteen replications were applied during the non-growing corn season to assess their impact on the following corn yield. Thirty different variables (i.e., four spectral bands: green, red, red edge, and near-infrared and twenty-six VIs) were derived from UAV multispectral data collected at the V6 and R5 stages to assess their utility in yield prediction. Five different ML algorithms including Linear Regression (LR), k-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Regression (SVR), and Deep Neural Network (DNN) were evaluated in yield prediction. One-year experimental results of different treatments indicated a negligible impact on overall corn yield. Red edge, canopy chlorophyll content index, red edge chlorophyll index, chlorophyll absorption ratio index, green normalized difference vegetation index, green spectral band, and chlorophyll vegetation index were among the most suitable variables in predicting corn yield. The SVR predicted yield for the fallow with a Coefficient of Determination (R²) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.84 and 0.69 Mg/ha at V6 and 0.83 and 1.05 Mg/ha at the R5 stage, respectively. The KNN achieved a higher prediction accuracy for AWP (R² = 0.69 and RMSE = 1.05 Mg/ha at V6 and 0.64 and 1.13 Mg/ha at R5) and gypsum treatment (R² = 0.61 and RMSE = 1.49 Mg/ha at V6 and 0.80 and 1.35 Mg/ha at R5). The DNN achieved a higher prediction accuracy for biochar treatment (R² = 0.71 and RMSE = 1.08 Mg/ha at V6 and 0.74 and 1.27 Mg/ha at R5). For the combined (AWP, biochar, gypsum, and fallow) treatment, the SVR produced the most accurate yield prediction with an R² and RMSE of 0.36 and 1.48 Mg/ha at V6 and 0.41 and 1.43 Mg/ha at the R5. Overall, the treatment-specific yield prediction was more accurate than the combined treatment. Yield was most accurately predicted for fallow than other treatments regardless of the ML model used. SVR and KNN outperformed other ML models in yield prediction. Yields were predicted with similar accuracy at both growth stages. Thus, this study demonstrated that VIs coupled with ML models can be used in multi-stage corn yield prediction at the farm scale, even with a limited number of training data. Full article

The widespread development of Earth Observation (EO) systems and advances in numerical atmospheric modeling have made it possible to use the newest data sources as input for crop–water balance models, thereby improving the crop water requirements (CWR) and yield estimates from the field to the regional scale. Satellite imagery and numerical weather prediction outputs offer high resolution (in time and space) gridded data that can compensate for the paucity of crop parameter field measurements and ground weather observations, as required for assessments of CWR and yield. In this study, the AquaCrop model was used to assess CWR and yield of tomato on a farm in Southern Italy by assimilating Sentinel-2 (S2) canopy cover imagery and using CM-SAF satellite-based radiation data and ERA5-Land reanalysis as forcing weather data. The prediction accuracy was evaluated with field data collected during the irrigation season (April–July) of 2021. Satellite estimates of canopy cover differed from ground observations, with a RMSE of about 11%. CWR and yield predictions were compared with actual data regarding irrigation volumes and harvested yield. The results showed that S2 estimates of crop parameters represent added value, since their assimilation into crop growth models improved CWR and yield estimates. Reliable CWR and yield estimates can be achieved by combining the ERA5-Land and CM-SAF weather databases with S2 imagery for assimilation into the AquaCrop model. Full article