Search Results (92)

The acute shortage of agricultural labor necessitates the development of predictive models to optimize farm operations. This study investigates the effectiveness of artificial-intelligence-driven models to accurately forecast the timing and yield of persimmon harvests, using meteorological data alongside historical harvest records. An artificial neural network was designed to estimate peak harvest dates by analyzing key meteorological variables. The model was trained and validated using data from the JA Nara Prefecture Nishiyoshino Sorting Facility and Nara Prefecture Agriculture Research and Development Center. Its reliability was confirmed based on mean absolute error, demonstrating the ability to make predictions with an accuracy of approximately three days. Additionally, extreme gradient boosting models were developed to predict yields, incorporating elevation data to refine predictions at the field scale. The model was trained and validated using data from fields cultivated in the Gojo-Yoshino region. The effectiveness of these models was evaluated using root mean square error, demonstrating an improvement in prediction accuracy of up to 20% with the inclusion of elevation data, illustrating their capability to effectively capture yield variations across different orchards. These models can significantly improve labor management, harvest scheduling, and overall productivity within the realm of smart agriculture. Full article

Climate change poses a significant threat to agricultural productivity, particularly in regions vulnerable to extreme temperatures and water scarcity, such as Irbid, Jordan. This study assesses the future impacts of projected shifts in precipitation and temperature on wheat yields, using the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) model for calibrating and validating under local agro-environmental conditions. Two shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5), representing high-emission and fossil-fuel-intensive futures, were evaluated across mid- and late-century periods (2030–2060 and 2070–2100). The DSSAT model was calibrated using local field data to simulate crop phenology, biomass accumulation, and nitrogen dynamics, showing strong agreement with observed grain yield and harvest index, thereby confirming its reliability for climate impact assessments. Yield projections under each scenario were further analyzed using machine learning algorithms—random forest and gradient boosting regression—to quantify the influence of individual climate variables. The results showed that under SSP5-8.5 (2030–2060), precipitation was the dominant factor influencing yield variability, underscoring the critical role of water availability. In contrast, under SSP3-7.0 (2070–2100), rising maximum temperatures became the primary constraint, highlighting the growing risk of heat stress. Predictive accuracy was higher in precipitation-dominated scenarios (R² = 0.81) than in temperature-dominated cases (R² = 0.65–0.73), reflecting greater complexity under extreme warming. These findings emphasize the value of integrating well-calibrated crop models with climate projections and machine learning tools to support climate-resilient agricultural planning. Moreover, practical adaptation strategies, such as adjusting planting dates, using heat-tolerant varieties, and optimizing irrigation, are recommended to enhance resilience. Emerging techniques such as seed priming show promise and merit integration into future crop models. The findings support SDG 2 and SDG 13 by informing climate-resilient food production strategies. Full article

Soybeans are the most widely produced oilseed and the fifth most cultivated crop in the world. However, their growth and yield are significantly influenced by weather conditions. In Southern Brazil’s subtropical climate, farmers employ a double-cropping system, planting corn from late winter to early summer, followed by soybeans, which are sown after the corn harvest—typically in January—and harvested in autumn. This study argues that climate change has benefited late-sown soybeans in Rio Grande do Sul and will continue improving their growing conditions. The aim is to identify climate change’s past and future impacts on late-sowing soybean crop yields in this region. We evaluated the effects of climate on soybean yields using the HadGEM2-CC model (CMIP-5) for two scenarios (RCPs 4.5 and 8.5) and for two time periods (mid-and late-century). Additionally, the CSM-CERES-Maize model within DSSAT was also used to simulate corn yields under these climatic conditions. Our climatic analysis indicates an increase in rainfall and temperature, particularly in minimum temperatures, alongside significant rises in both minimum and maximum temperature extremes, and a reduction in frost days. Furthermore, higher atmospheric CO₂ levels are projected to enhance net photosynthesis, likely leading to increases in potential yield (Py) with rising CO₂ concentrations. Notably, the largest increases in achievable yield (Ay) are anticipated for early sowing dates under the mid- and late-century scenarios of RCP 4.5. Past climate changes have already improved the growth and yield potential of late-sown soybeans in Southern Brazil, a trend expected to continue as climate change further optimizes temperature and rainfall conditions. In conclusion, the late growing season for soybeans is predicted to be extended. Full article

Information on the harvest date of crops can help with logistics management in the agricultural industry, planning machinery operations and also with yield prediction modelling. In this study, the determination and prediction of harvest dates for different crops were performed by applying machine learning techniques on C-band synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data. Ground truth data were provided for the Vojvodina region (Serbia), an area with intensive agricultural production, considering winter wheat, maize and soybean fields with exact harvest dates, for the period 2017–2020, including 592 samples in total. Data from the Sentinel-1 satellite were used in the study. Time series of backscattering coefficients for vertical–horizontal (VH) and vertical–vertical (VV) polarisations, both from ascending and descending orbits, were collected from Google Earth Engine. Clustering of harvested and unharvested fields was performed with Principal Component Analysis, multidimensional scaling and t-distributed Stochastic Neighbour Embedding, for initial cluster visualization. It is shown that the separability of unharvested and harvested data in two-dimensional space does not depend on the selected method but more on the crop itself. Support Vector Machine and Multi-layer Perceptron were used as classification algorithms for harvest detection, with the former achieving higher accuracies of 79.65% for wheat, 83.41% for maize and 95.97% for soybean. Finally, regression models were developed for the prediction of the harvest date using Random Forest and the long short-term memory network, with the latter achieving better results: an R² score of 0.72, mean absolute error of 6.80 days and root mean squared error of 9.25 days, for all crops considered together. Full article

The scale of horticultural facilities in Japan is expanding, making the efficient management of labor costs essential, particularly in large-scale tomato production. This study developed a consistent and practical system for predicting harvest working time and estimating the quantity and weight of harvested fruit using panoramic images of cultivation rows. The system integrates a deep learning model, the Mask ResNet-50 convolutional neural network, to count harvestable fruits from images and a predictive algorithm to estimate working time based on the fruit count. The results indicated that the average for all workers could be predicted with an error margin of 30.1% when predicted three days before the harvest date and 15.6% when predicted on the harvest date. The trial also revealed that the accuracy of the predictions varied based on workers’ experience and cultivation methods. This study highlights the system’s potential to optimize harvesting plans and labor allocation, providing a novel tool for reducing labor costs while maintaining efficiency in large-scale tomato greenhouse production. Full article

The monitoring of grape quality parameters within viticulture using airborne remote sensing is an increasingly important aspect of precision viticulture. Airborne remote sensing allows high volumes of spatial consistent data to be collected with improved efficiency over ground-based surveys. Spectral data can be used to understand the characteristics of vineyards, including the characteristics and health of the vines. Within viticultural remote sensing, the use of cover-crop spectra for monitoring is often overlooked due to the perceived noise it generates within imagery. However, within viticulture, the cover crop is a widely used and important management tool. This study uses multispectral data acquired by a high-resolution uncrewed aerial vehicle (UAV) and Sentinel-2 MSI to explore the benefit that cover-crop pixels could have for grape yield and quality monitoring. This study was undertaken across three growing seasons in the southeast of England, at a large commercial wine producer. The site was split into a number of vineyards, with sub-blocks for different vine varieties and rootstocks. Pre-harvest multispectral UAV imagery was collected across three vineyard parcels. UAV imagery was radiometrically corrected and stitched to create orthomosaics (red, green, and near-infrared) for each vineyard and survey date. Orthomosaics were segmented into pure cover-crop_uav and pure vine_uav pixels, removing the impact that mixed pixels could have upon analysis, with three vegetation indices (VIs) constructed from the segmented imagery. Sentinel-2 Level 2a bottom of atmosphere scenes were also acquired as close to UAV surveys as possible. In parallel, the yield and quality surveys were undertaken one to two weeks prior to harvest. Laboratory refractometry was performed to determine the grape total acid, total soluble solids, alpha amino acids, and berry weight. Extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost v2.1.1) was used to determine the ability of remote sensing data to predict the grape yield and quality parameters. Results suggested that pure cover-crop_uav was a successful predictor of grape yield and quality parameters (range of R² = 0.37–0.45), with model evaluation results comparable to pure vine_uav and Sentinel-2 models. The analysis also showed that, whilst the structural similarity between the both UAV and Sentinel-2 data was high, the cover crop is the most influential spectral component within the Sentinel-2 data. This research presents novel evidence for the ability of cover-crop_uav to predict grape yield and quality. Moreover, this finding then provides a mechanism which explains the success of the Sentinel-2 modelling of grape yield and quality. For growers and wine producers, creating grape yield and quality prediction models through moderate-resolution satellite imagery would be a significant innovation. Proving more cost-effective than UAV monitoring for large vineyards, such methodologies could also act to bring substantial cost savings to vineyard management. Full article

Accurate and timely crop growth prediction is crucial for efficient farm management and food security, particularly given challenges like labor shortages and climate change. This study presents a novel method for the early prediction of Kimchi cabbage heights using drone imagery and a long short-term memory (LSTM) model. High-resolution drone images were used to generate a canopy height model (CHM) for estimating plant heights at various growth stages. Missing height data were interpolated using a logistic growth curve, and an LSTM model was trained on this time series data to predict the final height at harvest well before the actual harvest date. The model trained on data from 44 days after planting (DAPs) demonstrated the highest accuracy (R² = 0.83, MAE = 2.48 cm, and RMSE = 3.26 cm). Color-coded maps visualizing the predicted Kimchi cabbage heights revealed distinct growth patterns between different soil types, highlighting the model’s potential for site-specific management. Considering the trade-off between accuracy and prediction timing, the model trained on DAP 36 data (MAE = 2.77 cm) was deemed most suitable for practical applications, enabling timely interventions in cultivation management. This research demonstrates the feasibility and effectiveness of integrating drone imagery, logistic growth curves, and LSTM models for the early and accurate prediction of Kimchi cabbage heights, facilitating data-driven decision-making in precision agriculture for improved crop management and yield optimization. Full article

The mechanical properties of agricultural materials influence not only the loads occurring inside agricultural silos, but also the design of several types of post-harvest machinery. The loads generated by these materials inside silos can be predicted with silo calculation methodologies from their mechanical properties. It has been known for many years that these properties are highly dependent on the moisture content of the material. However, to date, there are not many studies focused on its determination. The goal of this research is the determination of the internal friction angle, apparent cohesion, angle of dilatancy and apparent specific weight of maize when different moisture contents are applied. The equipment used for this study consisted mainly of direct shear and oedometer assay apparatus. The maize samples used were moistened using a climatic chamber. Moisture contents applied to maize samples ranged from 9.3% to 17.4%. Results similar to those provided by other authors were obtained for the internal friction angle, apparent cohesion and apparent specific weight. On the other hand, the values obtained for the dilatancy angle of maize as a function of moisture content could not be compared because nothing has been published so far. The values obtained for this parameter overlap with those published for this material under ambient conditions. In addition, for the samples tested, these results did not allow confirming the existence of a direct relationship between the dilatancy angle and the moisture content. Finally, the increase in moisture content led to an increase in apparent specific weight, which differed from that published in the literature. The values provided here can be used for the optimization of storage and handling structures for granular agricultural materials. Full article

Precise and prompt predictions of crop yields are crucial for optimising farm management, post-harvest operations, and marketing strategies within the agricultural sector. While various machine learning approaches have been employed to forecast crop yield, their application to grain quality, particularly head rice yield (HRY), is less explored. This research collated crop-level HRY data across four seasons (2017/18–2020/21) from Australia’s rice-growing region. Models were developed using the XGBoost algorithm trained at varying time steps up to 16 weeks pre-harvest. The study compared the accuracy of models trained on datasets with climate data alone or paired with vegetative indices using two- and four-week aggregations. The results suggest that model accuracy increases as the harvest date approaches. The dataset combining climate and vegetative indices aggregated over two weeks surpassed industry benchmarks early in the season, achieving the highest accuracy two weeks before harvest (LCCC = 0.65; RMSE = 6.43). The analysis revealed that HRY correlates strongly with agroclimatic conditions nearer harvest, with the significance of vegetative indices-based features increasing as the season progresses. These features, indicative of crop and grain maturity, could aid growers in determining optimal harvest timing. This investigation offers valuable insights into grain quality forecasting, presenting a model adaptable to other regions with accessible climate and satellite data, consequently enhancing farm- and industry-level decision-making. Full article

Quickly and accurately judging the quality grades of apples is the basis for choosing suitable harvesting date and setting a suitable storage strategy. At present, the research of multi-task classification algorithm models based on CNN is still in the exploration stage, and there are still some problems such as complex model structure, high computational complexity and long computing time. This paper presents a light-weight architecture based on multi-task convolutional neural networks for maturity (L-MTCNN) to eliminate immature and defective apples in the intelligent integration harvesting task. L-MTCNN architecture with diseases classification sub-network (D-Net) and maturity classification sub-network (M-Net), to realize multi-task discrimination of the apple appearance defect and maturity level. Under different light conditions, the image of fruit may have color damage, which makes it impossible to accurately judge the problem, an image preprocessing method based on brightness information was proposed to restore fruit appearance color under different illumination conditions in this paper. In addition, for the problems of inaccurate prediction results caused by tiny changes in apple appearance between different maturity levels, triplet loss is introduced as the loss function to improve the discriminating ability of maturity classification task. Based on the study and analysis of apple grade standards, three types of apples were taken as the research objects. By analyzing the changes in apple fruit appearance in each stage, the data set corresponding to the maturity level and fruit appearance was constructed. Experimental results show that D-Net and M-Net have significantly improved recall rate, precision rate and F1-Score in all classes compared with AlexNet, ResNet18, ResNet34 and VGG16. Full article

Cotton (Gossypium hirsutum L.) is one of the main crops in Uzbekistan, which makes a major contribution to the country’s economy. The cotton industry has played a pivotal role in the economic landscape of Uzbekistan for decades, generating employment opportunities and supporting the livelihoods of countless individuals across the country. Therefore, having precise and up-to-date data on cotton cultivation areas is crucial for overseeing and effectively managing cotton fields. Nonetheless, there is currently no extensive, high-resolution approach that is appropriate for mapping cotton fields on a large scale, and it is necessary to address the issues related to the absence of ground-truth data, inadequate resolution, and timeliness. In this study, we introduced an effective approach for automatically mapping cotton fields on a large scale. A crop-type mapping method based on phenology was conducted to map cotton fields across the country. This research affirms the significance of phenological metrics in enhancing the mapping of cotton fields during the growing season in Uzbekistan. We used an adaptive feature-fusion network for crop classification using single-temporal Sentinel-2 images and automatically generated samples. The map achieved an overall accuracy (OA) of 0.947 and a kappa coefficient (KC) of 0.795. This model can be integrated with additional datasets to predict yield based on the identified crop type, thereby enhancing decision-making processes related to supply chain logistics and seasonal production forecasts. The early boll opening stage, occurring approximately a little more than a month before harvest, yielded the most precise identification of cotton fields. Full article

Bactericera tremblayi (Wagner, 1961) (Hemiptera: Triozidae), the onion and leek psyllid, belongs to the Bactericera nigricornis Förster complex, along with B. trigonica and B. nigricornis. In contrast to the other two species, there has been a notable absence of studies examining the distribution and seasonal occurrence of B. tremblayi, despite its association with significant issues in leek crops. Surveys were conducted between 2017 and 2020 in the main leek-growing area of Castile and Leon (Spain). An extensive survey encompassing 29 distinct plots was monitored with sweep nets and visual inspection, counting plants with immature forms at three times in the crop cycle. Additionally, a total of seven seasonal monitoring surveys were conducted in the same area of study. Plots were monitored every ten days, employing three distinct sampling methods including horizontal green tile water traps, sweep nets, and visual inspection, counting the juvenile stages by plant. The results revealed that B. tremblayi predominated as the primary species of jumping plant-lice in leek crops throughout the entire crop cycle. To date, there exists no documented incidence of pathogenic agents within symptomatic leeks. Consequently, the manifestation of severe symptoms is highly likely to be a direct consequence of the feeding activity of the onion psyllid. Populations of B. tremblayi were present in leek crops from May–July to harvest (September–November). Adults were captured in horizontal green water traps several days before they were found in sweep net samples, making the former effective in capturing early immigrant individuals. The maximum peaks of B. tremblayi were observed at the end of the crop cycle, particularly during late-season cycles characterized by lower mean temperatures. During observations made in a controlled environment, temperature exerted a significant influence on the developmental time of all stages of B. tremblayi. The complete development from egg to adult occurred within a temperature range of 15 to 25 °C. At 30 °C, the survival of eggs and N1 nymphs was limited and B. tremblayi did not complete its developmental cycle. The optimum temperature for the development of B. tremblayi provided by the models used was close to 24 °C with the application of Briere, Taylor, and Lactin models and around 21 °C with the SSI model. These results provided a good adjustment in predicting the survival patterns of B. tremblayi under the studied environmental conditions. Full article

The study examined selected biometric and mechanical properties of fruits of three varieties of red currant (Ribes rubrum L.) from organic cultivation. The influence of the harvest date of red currant fruits, their storage time, and the use of ozone at a concentration of 10 ppm for 15 and 30 min on the water content, volume, and density, as well as the destructive force and the apparent modulus of elasticity, were determined. Fruits harvested at harvest maturity were characterized by a much larger volume and lower water content compared to fruits harvested seven days earlier. The ozonation process, regardless of the harvest date, resulted in a reduction in volume, density, and humidity. After 15 days of storage, the fruits of the tested varieties showed a decrease in the average water content from 86.15% to 83.79%. The tests showed a decrease in the destructive force and the apparent modulus of elasticity, the average value of which for fresh fruit was 76.98 ± 21.0 kPa, and after 15 days of storage, it decreased to 56.34 ± 15.96 kPa. The relationships between fruit-related parameters, harvesting, and storage conditions and fruit strength characteristics were modeled with the use of neural networks and support vector machines. These relationships are complex and nonlinear, and therefore, machine learning is usually more relevant than the traditional methods of modeling. For evaluation of the performance of the models, statistical parameters such as the coefficient of correlation (R), root-mean-squared error (RMSE), and generalization ability coefficient (GA) were used. The best models for the prediction of an apparent modulus of elasticity were developed with the use of ANNs. These models can be used in practice because the correlation between expected and predicted values was in the range 0.78–0.82, RMSE was in the range 13.38–14.71, and generalization ability was excellent. A significantly lower accuracy was achieved for models with a destructive force as the output parameter (R ≤ 0.6). Full article

Phenological shifts in peaches have been observed over the last few years due to the fluctuation of the seasonal climate conditions experienced during dormancy, affecting orchard management practices and influencing production and harvest dates. This study aimed to model the vegetative and floral budbreak of selected peach cultivars. Three peach cultivars, including “Rubyprince”, “Harvester”, and “Red Globe”, were considered in this study based on the representation of the early, early-mid, and mid-seasons. The prediction of the budbreak in peaches was assessed using different models that integrate the combination of chill and heat requirements. Models used include the Weinberger model, the modified Weinberger model, Utah, the dynamic model, and the growing degree model. The accumulation of chill varies according to the season evaluated. A model that considers both chill and heat accumulation is presented for each cultivar. Budbreak as an indicator of dormancy completion was established for each cultivar. The outcome of this study is to determine the amount of chilling accumulation and thermal time required to mark the beginning of the budbreak in selected cultivars with a model that predicts the duration of the dormancy. These results are valuable information that can be used for crop management practices and support the mitigation of cold damage during this critical period of crop development. Full article

Seasonal quantification of a crop’s evapotranspiration (ET) and water footprint (WF) is essential for sustainable agriculture. Therefore, this study was conducted to estimate the ET and WF of an irrigated potato crop using satellite imagery of Landsat and Sentinel-2 sensors. The Simplified Surface Energy Balance (SSEB) algorithm was used to evaluate the crop water use (ET_a) for potato fields belonging to the Saudi Agricultural Development Company, located in the Wadi-Ad-Dawasir region, Saudi Arabia. Normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), soil-adjusted vegetation index (SAVI), and land surface temperature (LSD) were computed for Landsat and Sentinel-2 datasets, which were used as inputs for mapping the potato tuber yield and, subsequently, the WF. The results indicated that the NDVI showed the best accuracy for the prediction of the potato tuber yield (R² = 0.72, P > F = 0.021) followed by the SAVI (R² = 0.64, P > F = 0.018), compared to the field harvested actual yield (Y_A). A comparison between the satellite-based ET_a and the actual amount of water applied (W_A) for irrigation showed a good correlation (R² = 0.89, RMSE = 4.4%, MBE = 12.9%). The WF of the potatoes in the study area was estimated at values between 475 and 357 m³ t⁻¹ for the early (September–December) and late (December–April) growing periods, respectively. A major portion (99.2%) of the WF was accounted for from irrigation with variations of 18.5% and 3.5% for early- and late-planted potatoes, respectively, compared to the baseline (crop planted in season). In conclusion, the results showed the possibility of satisfactorily estimating the WF using the SSEB algorithm by integrating the Landsat-8 and Sentinel-2 datasets. In general, the high rates of ET in the early planting season led to higher WF values compared to the in-season and late planting dates; this will help in selecting suitable planting dates for potato crops in the study area and areas with similar environments, which enhances the opportunities for sustainable management of irrigation water. Full article