Search Results (70)

For aircraft departure, which is a process of multi-resource coordination, strict time limitations, and complex condition constraints, the optimization of taxi-out time prediction is critical for enhancing airport surface operational efficiency, optimizing runway slot utilization, and reducing aircraft ground delay and fuel consumption. By combining aircraft taxi path and network traffic flow features, a refined airport road-level transport network model is constructed to accurately characterize the taxi path topology and node-edge attributes. On this basis, two new micro-features are introduced: estimated taxi time and the number of handovers. Experimental results show that after the introduction of the micro-features, the prediction accuracy of the taxi-out time prediction model within the error of 1 min increases from 49.29% to 54.41%, and the prediction accuracy within the error of 5 min reaches 99.42%. This method effectively addresses the limitations of traditional models that focus solely on the overall taxiing process while neglecting microscopic airfield network dynamics and time consumption during control handover procedures. The method can be integrated into the Airport Collaborative Decision Making (A-CDM) system to provide minute-level support for departure taxi-out time prediction, thereby providing a more precise and operationally aligned temporal benchmark for intelligent apron operations scheduling, aircraft sequencing optimization, and other collaborative decision making processes. Full article

Urban multimodal travel trajectory prediction is a core challenge in Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITSs). It requires modeling both spatiotemporal dependencies and dynamic interactions among different travel modes such as taxi, bike-sharing, and buses. To address the limitations of existing methods in capturing these diverse trajectory characteristics, we propose a spatiotemporal multi-model ensemble framework, which is an ensemble model called GLEN (GCN and LSTM Ensemble Network). Firstly, the trajectory feature adaptive driven model selection mechanism classifies trajectories into dynamic travel and fixed-route scenarios. Secondly, we use a Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) to capture dynamic travel patterns and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network to model fixed-route patterns. Subsequently the outputs of these models are dynamically weighted, integrated, and fused over a spatiotemporal grid to produce accurate forecasts of urban total traffic flow at multiple future time steps. Finally, experimental validation using Beijing’s Chaoyang district datasets demonstrates that our framework effectively captures spatiotemporal and interactive characteristics between multimodal travel trajectories and outperforms mainstream baselines, thereby offering robust support for urban traffic management and planning. Full article

With the emergence of joint business operations involving electric vehicle taxis (EVTs) and charging/swapping stations (CSSTs), a unified decision-making method has become essential for an EVT to select both the driving path and the energy acquisition mode (EAM). The decision making is influenced by energy acquisition cost and potential operation profit. The energy acquisition cost is closely related to the driving time required to reach a CSST, and existing prediction methods for driving time ignore the spatial–temporal interactions of traffic flows on different roads and fail to account for traffic congestion differences across various sections of a road. Existing estimation methods for potential operation income ignore the distributions of taxi orders in different areas. To address these issues, a traffic flow prediction model is first proposed based on the long short-term memory–generative adversarial network (LSTM-GAN) deep learning algorithm. A refined driving time model is developed by segmenting a road into different sections. Then, an expected operation income model is developed considering the distributions of origins and destinations of taxi orders in different areas. Then, a decision-making method for path planning and the charging/swapping mode is proposed, aiming to maximize the total profit of EVTs. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed decision-making method for EVTs is validated with a city’s traffic network. Full article

Efficient sales route optimization is a critical challenge in logistics and distribution, especially under real-world conditions involving traffic variability and dynamic constraints. This study proposes a novel Hybrid Genetic Algorithm (GAAM-TS) that integrates Adaptive Mutation, Tabu Search, and an LSTM-based travel time prediction model to enable real-time, intelligent route planning. The approach addresses the limitations of traditional genetic algorithms by enhancing solution quality, maintaining population diversity, and incorporating data-driven traffic estimations via deep learning. Experimental results on real-world data from the NYC Taxi dataset show that GAAM-TS significantly outperforms both Standard GA and GA-AM variants, achieving up to 20% improvement in travel efficiency while maintaining robustness across problem sizes. Although GAAM-TS incurs higher computational costs, it is best suited for offline or batch optimization scenarios, whereas GA-AM provides a balanced alternative for near-real-time applications. The proposed methodology is applicable to last-mile delivery, fleet routing, and sales territory management, offering a scalable and adaptive solution. Future work will explore parallelization strategies and multi-objective extensions for sustainability-aware routing. Full article

To enhance the accuracy and real-time capability of estimated in-block time (EIBT) predictions at airports, this study proposes a two-stage integrated prediction method. By extending the prediction time window for arrival times, this method systematically models and analyzes the integrated arrival time, thereby achieving precise EIBT predictions. This study divides the arrival process into the approach flight stage and the taxi-in stage, constructing predictive models for each and identifying key influencing factors. Additionally, copula entropy is employed to optimize feature selection. Based on operational data from Shanghai Pudong International Airport, a LightGBM-based prediction model was developed and validated across multiple datasets. The results demonstrate that the two-stage integrated forecasting method significantly outperforms single-stage modeling, with the best model achieving a prediction accuracy of 87.11% within a ±5 min error margin. Furthermore, this study validates the effectiveness of copula entropy in enhancing model prediction performance. This research provides theoretical support and practical references for improving the real-time predictive capabilities of airport collaborative decision-making systems, as well as a technical pathway for integrated air-surface management research at multi-runway airports. Full article

This paper discusses SESAR’s Auto-Steer Taxi at Airport (ASTAIR) project, which seeks to advance airport ground operations including engine-off taxiing to move towards sustainable airports. The ASTAIR concept integrates human–AI teaming to optimize aircraft movement from gates to runways, with the primary objectives of improving predictability, efficiency, and environmental sustainability at large airports. Building on previous initiatives such as SESAR’s AEON, ASTAIR brings high-level automation to tasks like autonomous taxiing and vehicle routing. The system assists operators by calculating conflict-free routes for vehicles and dynamically adjusting operations based on real-time data. Based on workshops with several stakeholders, we describe the operational challenges involved in implementing ASTAIR, including managing parking stand availability and adapting to unforeseen events. A significant challenge highlighted is the human–automation partnership, where AI plays a supportive role but humans retain control over critical decisions, particularly in cases of system failure. The need for clear and consistent collaboration between AI and human operators is emphasized to ensure safety, efficiency, and improved compliance with take-off schedules, which in turn facilitates in-flight optimization. Full article

Accurate travel time prediction is essential for optimizing transportation systems and alleviating congestion in urban environments. This study introduces a comprehensive framework that combines advanced spatiotemporal data refinement techniques with a deep learning model, DeepST-Net, to improve prediction accuracy. Using a dataset from the New York City Taxi and Limousine Commission (TLC), an ablation study is conducted to systematically assess the impact of various preprocessing strategies on model performance. Additionally, the DeepST-Net model is benchmarked against established models, including MURAT, ST-NN, XGB-IN, and JSTC. Our findings demonstrate that DeepST-Net, leveraging refined spatiotemporal features, achieves significant improvements in prediction accuracy, with a mean absolute error (MAE) of 59.27 s, a root mean square error (RMSE) of 89.63 s, and a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 9.73%, outperforming all benchmark models. By bridging data refinement and predictive modeling, the proposed framework offers a scalable and effective solution for travel time prediction in complex urban contexts. Full article

Integrated arrival–departure and surface scheduling (IADS) is a critical research task in next-generation air traffic management that aims to harmonize the complex and interrelated processes of airspace and airport operations in the Metroplex. This paper investigates the microscopic-level collaborative optimization framework for IADS operations, i.e., the problem of coordinating aircraft scheduling on runways and taxiways. It also describes the mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) bi-layer decision support for solving this problem. In runway scheduling, a combined arrival–departure scheduling method is introduced based on our previous research, which can identify the optimal sequence of arrival and departure streams to minimize runway delays. For taxiway scheduling, the Multi-Route Airport Surface Scheduling Method (MASM) is proposed, aiming to determine the routes and taxi metering for each aircraft while minimizing the gap compared with the runway scheduling solution. Furthermore, this paper develops a feedback mechanism to further close the runway and taxiway schedule deviation. To demonstrate the universality and validity of the proposed bi-layer decision support method, two hub airports, Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport (ICAO code: ZUUU) and Chengdu Tianfu International Airport (ICAO code: ZUTF), within the Cheng-Yu Metroplex, were selected for validation. The obtained results show that the proposed method could achieve closed-loop decision making for runway scheduling and taxiway scheduling and reduce runway delay and taxi time. The key anticipated mechanisms of benefits from this research include improving the efficiency and predictability of operations on the airport surface and maintaining situational awareness and coordination between the stand and the tower. Full article

The rapid growth in air traffic has led to increasing congestion at airports, creating bottlenecks that disrupt ground operations and compromise the efficiency of air traffic management (ATM). Ensuring the predictability of ground operations is vital for maintaining the sustainability of the ATM sector. Flight efficiency is closely tied to adherence to assigned airport arrival and departure slots, which helps minimize primary delays and prevents cascading reactionary delays. Significant deviations from scheduled arrival times—whether early or late—negatively impact airport operations and air traffic flow, often requiring the imposition of Air Traffic Flow Management (ATFM) regulations to accommodate demand fluctuations. This study leverages a data-driven machine learning approach to enhance the predictability of in-block and landing times. A Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) neural network was trained using a dataset that integrates flight trajectories, meteorological conditions, and airport operations data. The model demonstrated high accuracy in predicting landing time deviations, achieving a Root-Mean-Square Error (RMSE) of 8.71 min and showing consistent performance across various long-haul flight profiles. In contrast, in-block time predictions exhibited greater variability, influenced by limited data on ground-level factors such as taxi-in delays and gate availability. The results highlight the potential of deep learning models to optimize airport resource allocation and improve operational planning. By accurately predicting landing times, this approach supports enhanced runway management and the better alignment of ground handling resources, reducing delays and increasing efficiency in high-traffic airport environments. These findings provide a foundation for developing predictive systems that improve airport operations and air traffic management, with benefits extending to both short- and long-haul flight operations. Full article

The taxi-out time of an airport scene can be categorized into the unimpeded taxi-out time and the additional taxi-out time. Usually, additional taxi-out time is used as a key index to monitor taxi-out performance, and its accurate prediction plays an important role in optimizing the allocation of time slots at an airport and improving scene operation efficiency. Taking Shanghai Pudong International Airport as the research object, we first analyze its layout and construct the origin–destination pairs (ODPs) based on the stand groups and runways. Then, we develop a multiple linear regression model based on the arrival and departure flows to calculate the unimpeded taxi-out times for all ODPs. The actual taxi-out time is then subtracted from the unimpeded taxi-out time to obtain the historical additional taxi-out time of each flight. We propose three new flow features related to the structure: the corridor departure flow, the corridor arrival flow, and the departure flow proportion of ODPs, based on which we construct a dataset for training the prediction model. We then propose an additional taxi-out time prediction model based on the nutcracker optimization algorithm (NOA) and XGBoost and run comparison experiments on the operation data of our target airport. The results show that the optimized prediction model we proposed has the best performance compared with the traditional XGBoost model and other commonly used prediction models, and the proposed structure-related features have high correlations with additional taxi-out time. Full article

With the ubiquitous deployment of mobile and sensor technologies in modes of transportation, taxis have become a significant component of public transportation. However, vacant taxis represent an important waste of transportation resources. Forecasting taxi demand within a short time achieves a supply–demand balance and reduces oil emissions. Although earlier studies have forwarded highly developed machine learning- and deep learning-based models to forecast taxicab demands, these models often face significant computational expenses and cannot effectively utilize large-scale trajectory sensor data. To address these challenges, in this paper, we propose a hybrid deep learning-based model for taxi demand prediction. In particular, the Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) algorithm is integrated along with a Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) model to perform the prediction process. The VMD algorithm is applied to decompose time series-aware traffic features into multiple sub-modes of different frequencies. After that, the BiLSTM method is utilized to predict time series data fed with the relevant demand features. To overcome the limitation of high computational expenses, the designed model is performed on the Spark distributed platform. The performance of the proposed model is tested using a real-world dataset, and it surpasses existing state-of-the-art predictive models in terms of accuracy, efficiency, and distributed performance. These findings provide insights for enhancing the efficiency of passenger search and increasing the profit of taxicabs. Full article

The airport apron is a high-risk area for aircraft collisions due to its heavy operational load and high aircraft density. Currently, existing quantitative models for apron collision risk provide limited consideration and classification of risk areas. In response, this paper proposes a Petri net-based method for assessing aircraft collision risk. The method predicts the probability of aircraft reaching different areas at different times based on operational data, enabling the calculation of collision risks within the Petri net framework. This approach highlights areas with potential collision risks and provides a classification evaluation. Subsequently, aircraft path re-planning is carried out to reduce collision risks. The model simplifies the complex operations of the apron system, making the calculation process clearer. The results show that, during the mid-phase of aircraft taxiing, there is a significant deviation between the actual and ideal positions of aircraft. Areas with high taxiway occupancy are more prone to collision risks. On peak days, due to relatively high flight volumes, the frequency of collision risks is 14% higher than on regular days, with an average risk increase of 23.3%, and the risks are more concentrated. Therefore, reducing collision risks through path planning becomes more challenging. It is recommended to focus attention on areas with high taxiway occupancy during peak periods and carefully plan routes to ensure apron safety. Full article

This paper focuses on predicting road passenger probability and optimizing taxi driving routes based on trajectory big data. By utilizing clustering algorithms to identify key passenger points, a method for calculating and predicting road passenger probability is proposed. This method calculates the passenger probability for each road segment during different time periods and uses a BiLSTM neural network for prediction. A passenger-seeking recommendation model is then constructed with the goal of maximizing passenger probability, and it is solved using the NSGA-II algorithm. Experiments are conducted on the Chengdu taxi trajectory dataset, using MSE as the metric for model prediction accuracy. The results show that the BiLSTM prediction model improves prediction accuracy by 9.67% compared to the BP neural network and by 6.45% compared to the LSTM neural network. The proposed taxi driver passenger-seeking route selection method increases the average passenger probability by 18.95% compared to common methods. The proposed passenger-seeking recommendation framework, which includes passenger probability prediction and route optimization, maximizes road passenger efficiency and holds significant academic and practical value. Full article

This study introduces an innovative algorithm for classifying transportation modes. It categorizes modes such as walking, biking, tram, bus, taxi, and private vehicles based on data collected through sensors embedded in smartphones. The data include date, time, latitude, longitude, altitude, and speed, gathered using a mobile application specifically designed for this project. These data were collected through the smartphone’s GPS to enhance the accuracy of the analysis. The stopping times of each transport mode, as well as the distance traveled and average speed, are analyzed to identify patterns and distinctive features. Conducted in Cuenca, Ecuador, the study aims to develop and validate an algorithm to enhance urban planning. It extracts significant features from mobility patterns, including speed, acceleration, and over-acceleration, and applies longitudinal dynamics to train the classification model. The classification algorithm relies on a decision tree model, achieving a high accuracy of 94.6% in validation and 94.9% in testing, demonstrating the effectiveness of the proposed approach. Additionally, the precision metric of 0.8938 signifies the model’s ability to make correct positive predictions, with nearly 90% of positive instances correctly identified. Furthermore, the recall metric at 0.83084 highlights the model’s capability to identify real positive instances within the dataset, capturing over 80% of positive instances. The calculated F1-score of 0.86117 indicates a harmonious balance between precision and recall, showcasing the models robust and well-rounded performance in classifying transport modes effectively. The study discusses the potential applications of this method in urban planning, transport management, public transport route optimization, and urban traffic monitoring. This research represents a preliminary stage in generating an origin–destination (OD) matrix to better understand how people move within the city. Full article

Accurate prediction of taxiing time is important in ensuring efficient and safe operations on the airport surface. It helps improve ground operation efficiency, reduce fuel waste, and improve carbon emissions at the airport. In actual operations, taxiing time is influenced by various factors, including a large number of categorical features. However, few previous studies have focused on selecting such features. Additionally, traditional taxiing time prediction methods are often black-box models that only provide a single prediction result; they fail to provide effective practical references for controllers. Therefore, this paper analyses the features that affect taxiing time from different data types and forms a taxi feature set consisting of nine key features. We also propose a taxiing time prediction method based on adaptive scenario matching rules. This process classifies the scenarios into multiple typical historical scenario sets and adaptively matches the current target scenario to a typical scenario set based on quantified rules. Then, based on the matching results, a pre-trained model obtained from the corresponding scenario set is used to predict the taxiing time of an aircraft in the target scenario, aiming to mitigate the impact of data heterogeneity on prediction results. Experimental results show that compared to baseline methods, the mean absolute error and root mean square error of the proposed method decreased by 4.8% and 12.6%, respectively. This method significantly reduces the fluctuations in results caused by sample heterogeneity and enhances controllers’ acceptance of prediction results from the model. It can be used to further improve auxiliary decision making systems and enhance the precise control capabilities of airport surface operations. Full article