Table of Contents
Sustainability, Volume 10, Issue 1 (January 2018)
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Cover Story (view full-size image) A participatory Integrated Assessment process was carried out to elicit the most fit-for-purpose [...] Read more. A participatory Integrated Assessment process was carried out to elicit the most fit-for-purpose transformations to face high-end climate change (> 2 °C) in Iberia, with special attention paid to cross-border institutional arrangements and environmental effects in the Tagus river basin. The global downscaling of 4 Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSP1, SSP3, SSP4 & SSP5) and 2 Representative Concentrated Pathways (RCP 4.5 & RPC 8.5) showed for instance that in a climate high-end, fossil-fuel intensive, and unequal scenario characterised by a RCP8.5 x SSP5 combination, the discharge deviation at the outlet of the Tagus river could diminish well below 50 per cent by 2071-2100. To anticipate situations like this, our appraisal procedure included a visioning exercised based on the assumption that positive visions of the future constitute the basis of societal transformations, required in potentially critical situations. Thus our integration process aimed at identifying not only where we cou