Key Features and Prediction of Extremely Heavy Rain Events

A special issue of Journal of Marine Science and Engineering (ISSN 2077-1312). This special issue belongs to the section "Physical Oceanography".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: 10 May 2024 | Viewed by 1573

Special Issue Editor

Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

An increasing number of extremely heavy rain events have been observed around the world over the past few decades. Some of them are closely linked to anthropogenic warming when they impact “non floodable” regions: they are particularly devastating since they may cause numerous victims, thus deceiving the vigilance of weather watch systems. This reflects a strong evolution in extreme events attributed to changes in global temperatures during the 21st century.

This Special Issue aims to gather the latest understanding of extreme precipitation events worldwide from a broad perspective in order to improve forecasting techniques and clarify their probable link to global warming while providing a rapid turnaround time for the review, publication, and dissemination of articles.

All investigative methods based on observations, reanalysis and numerical models are welcome. Potential topics include, but not limited to:

  • Case studies and climatological analysis of extremely heavy rain events. Observational and numerical analysis
  • Approaches and methods (e.g., metrics, techniques) developed to investigate extreme precipitation events.
  • Approaches and methods developed to forecast extreme precipitation events.
  • The role of the oceanic and atmospheric modes of variability: development of coherent SST anomalies, coalescence of low-pressure systems
  • Maturation time of the different mechanisms involved in cyclogenesis: Genesis, development, and termination
  • Impacted “non floodable” regions
  • What impact do marine heatwaves have?
  • Risks, vulnerability, and impacts: Assessment, mitigation, and adaptation strategies

Dr. Jean-Louis Pinault
Guest Editor

Manuscript Submission Information

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Keywords

  • extremely heavy rain events
  • climate change
  • sea surface temperature anomalies
  • case studies
  • methods to investigate extreme precipitation events

Published Papers (1 paper)

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Research

22 pages, 7743 KiB  
Article
Extreme Heavy Rainfall Events at Mid-Latitudes as the Outcome of a Slow Quasi-Resonant Ocean—Atmosphere Interaction: 10 Case Studies
by Jean-Louis Pinault
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2023, 11(2), 359; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse11020359 - 05 Feb 2023
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1198
Abstract
Based on case studies, the development of low-pressure systems leading to extreme precipitation events reveals common characteristics. They highlight the co-evolution of sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies and the clustering of mesoscale convective systems in characteristic period ranges according to harmonic modes of [...] Read more.
Based on case studies, the development of low-pressure systems leading to extreme precipitation events reveals common characteristics. They highlight the co-evolution of sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies and the clustering of mesoscale convective systems in characteristic period ranges according to harmonic modes of the annual declination of the sun. This suggests a quasi-resonance of the heat exchanges of the ocean and the atmosphere during cyclogenesis. The formation of coherent extensive positive SST anomalies in characteristic period ranges, which reflects various interactions from baroclinic waves at mid-latitudes, i.e., Rossby waves especially present where the western boundary currents move away from the continents, may be a precursor of an extreme heavy rainfall event. Fed by warm and humid air coming from coherent SST anomalies, the convective cyclonic system strengthens concomitantly with the formation of cut-off lows, favoring blocks. However, the concentration in space and time of large-amplitude rainfall anomalies requires a relative stability of the atmospheric blocking circulation during the slow maturation processes. Intensification of extratropical cyclones is presumably the consequence of natural and anthropogenic warming, which strengthens the mechanisms leading to the clustering of mesoscale convective systems. The present study should help to refine the prediction of these extreme events while contributing to enrich our understanding of their presumed link with global warming. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Key Features and Prediction of Extremely Heavy Rain Events)
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Planned Papers

The below list represents only planned manuscripts. Some of these manuscripts have not been received by the Editorial Office yet. Papers submitted to MDPI journals are subject to peer-review.

Dear Colleagues,

An increasing number of extremely heavy rain events have been observed around the world over the past few decades. Some of them are closely linked to anthropogenic warming when they impact “non floodable” regions: they are particularly devastating since they may cause numerous victims, thus deceiving the vigilance of weather watch systems. This reflects a strong evolution in extreme events attributed to changes in global temperatures during the 21st century.

This Special Issue aims to gather the latest understanding of extreme precipitation events worldwide from a broad perspective in order to improve forecasting techniques and clarify their probable link to global warming while providing a rapid turnaround time for the review, publication, and dissemination of articles.

All investigative methods based on observations, reanalysis and numerical models are welcome. Potential topics include, but not limited to:

  • Case studies and climatological analysis of extremely heavy rain events. Observational and numerical analysis
  • Approaches and methods (e.g., metrics, techniques) developed to investigate extreme precipitation events.
  • Approaches and methods developed to forecast extreme precipitation events.
  • The role of the oceanic and atmospheric modes of variability: development of coherent SST anomalies, coalescence of low-pressure systems
  • Maturation time of the different mechanisms involved in cyclogenesis: Genesis, development, and termination
  • Impacted “non floodable” regions
  • What impact do marine heatwaves have?
  • Risks, vulnerability, and impacts: Assessment, mitigation, and adaptation strategies
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