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Journal of Risk and Financial Management, Volume 13, Issue 3

2020 March - 23 articles

Cover Story: In this paper, we propose a modified local risk-neutral valuation relationship (mLRNVR) for the GARCH option-pricing models. In our mLRNVR, the conditional variances under two measures are designed to be different, and the variance process is more persistent in the risk-neutral measure than in the physical one, so that one is able to capture the variance risk premium. Empirical estimation exercises have shown that the GARCH option-pricing models under our mLRNVR are able to price the SPX one-month variance swap rate, i.e., VIX, accurately. Our research suggests that one should use our mLRNVR when pricing options with GARCH models. View this paper.
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Articles (23)

  • Article
  • Open Access
65 Citations
8,263 Views
15 Pages

Bankruptcy prediction is always a topical issue. The activities of all business entities are directly or indirectly affected by various external and internal factors that may influence a company in insolvency and lead to bankruptcy. It is important t...

  • Article
  • Open Access
166 Citations
44,451 Views
26 Pages

The green bond market is attracting new issuers and a more diversified base of investors. However, the size of the green bond market remains small compared to the challenges it is meant to address and to the overall traditional bond market. This pape...

  • Article
  • Open Access
47 Citations
20,110 Views
28 Pages

Assessment and estimation of bankruptcy risk is important for managers in decision making for improving a firm’s financial performance, but also important for investors that consider it prior to making investment decision in equity or bonds, cr...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
5,072 Views
22 Pages

CEO Diversity, Political Influences, and CEO Turnover in Unstable Environments: The Romanian Case

  • Ingrid-Mihaela Dragotă,
  • Andreea Curmei-Semenescu and
  • Raluca Moscu

This work expands the literature on a less studied topic, the Chief Executive Officer (CEO) turnover in post-communist economies, analyzed during an unstable and ambiguous economic and financial environment. For the period 2005–2010, the result...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
6,626 Views
19 Pages

Political Stability and Bank Flows: New Evidence

  • Mafalda Venâncio de Vasconcelos

In this paper, we use a rich dataset of several countries to analyze how sound political measures affect cross-border bank flows. Furthermore, our work is the first to comprehensively examine various components of political stability on the aforement...

  • Article
  • Open Access
9 Citations
5,517 Views
28 Pages

Consolidation in euro area banking has been the major trend post-crisis. Has it been accompanied by more or less competition? Has it led to more or less credit risk? In all or some countries? In this study, we examine the evolution of competition (th...

  • Editorial
  • Open Access
649 Citations
61,955 Views
6 Pages

Against the backdrop of the COVID-19 outbreak, an emergency policy initiative called “Suspending Classes Without Stopping Learning” was launched by the Chinese government to continue teaching activities as schools across the country were...

  • Article
  • Open Access
13 Citations
6,147 Views
16 Pages

As a rule, the economy regularly undergoes various phases, from a recession up to expansion. This paper is focused on models predicting corporate financial distress. Its aim is to analyze impact of individual phases of the economic cycle on final sco...

  • Article
  • Open Access
11 Citations
5,612 Views
18 Pages

The availability of better behavioral information about their customer portfolios holds the promise for different and more accurate pricing models for insurers. Changes in pricing, however, are always fraught with danger for insurers, as they enter l...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
8,669 Views
21 Pages

In this paper, we modify Duan’s (1995) local risk-neutral valuation relationship (mLRNVR) for the GARCH option-pricing models. In our mLRNVR, the conditional variances under two measures are designed to be different and the variance process is more p...

  • Article
  • Open Access
12 Citations
5,509 Views
14 Pages

Size of the Company as the Main Determinant of Talent Management in Slovakia

  • Radovan Savov,
  • Drahoslav Lančarič and
  • Jana Kozáková

Nowadays, all sources in the reproduction process are easily substituted, thus the most important factors in reaching a competitive advantage are human resources. Talent management is the process oriented to enrich higher the ability of employers to...

  • Article
  • Open Access
31 Citations
11,054 Views
14 Pages

Corporate Bankruptcy Prediction Model, a Special Focus on Listed Companies in Kenya

  • Daniel Ogachi,
  • Richard Ndege,
  • Peter Gaturu and
  • Zeman Zoltan

Predicting bankruptcy of companies has been a hot subject of focus for many economists. The rationale for developing and predicting the financial distress of a company is to develop a predictive model used to forecast the financial condition of a com...

  • Article
  • Open Access
32 Citations
7,840 Views
16 Pages

In 1983, Meese and Rogoff showed that traditional economic models developed since the 1970s do not perform better than the random walk in predicting out-of-sample exchange rates when using data obtained after the beginning of the floating rate system...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
3,322 Views
21 Pages

Analytical Gradients of Dynamic Conditional Correlation Models

  • Massimiliano Caporin,
  • Riccardo (Jack) Lucchetti and
  • Giulio Palomba

We provide the analytical gradient of the full model likelihood for the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) specification by Engle (2002), the generalised version by Cappiello et al. (2006), and of the cDCC model by Aielli(2013). We discuss how the...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
4,367 Views
20 Pages

A General Family of Autoregressive Conditional Duration Models Applied to High-Frequency Financial Data

  • Danúbia R. Cunha,
  • Roberto Vila,
  • Helton Saulo and
  • Rodrigo N. Fernandez

In this paper, we propose a general family of Birnbaum–Saunders autoregressive conditional duration (BS-ACD) models based on generalized Birnbaum–Saunders (GBS) distributions, denoted by GBS-ACD. We further generalize these GBS-ACD models...

  • Editorial
  • Open Access
95 Citations
33,470 Views
5 Pages

A novel coronavirus was reported to the World Health Organization (WHO) in China on 31 December 2019. The WHO named the disease COVID-19 on 11 February 2020. As of 26 February 2020, the disease has been detected on all continents, except for Antarcti...

  • Article
  • Open Access
13 Citations
7,986 Views
22 Pages

Peering through the lenses of the strategic intent perspective and strategic fit paradigm, in this study, we seek to examine the contingent conditions under which emerging market multinational enterprises (EMNEs) with strategic asset seeking (SAS) in...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
5,396 Views
21 Pages

Evaluating the Performance of Islamic Banks Using a Modified Monti-Klein Model

  • Novriana Sumarti,
  • Indah G. Andirasdini,
  • Nidya I. Ghaida and
  • Utriweni Mukhaiyar

The development of Islamic banking continues to increase in many Muslim (majority) countries. Substituting interest with profit shares in the assets of a given Islamic bank as one of the bases of operation has many interesting implications, one of wh...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2,880 Views
8 Pages

Professional forecasters can rely on an econometric model to create their forecasts. It is usually unknown to what extent they adjust an econometric model-based forecast. In this paper we show, while making just two simple assumptions, that it is pos...

  • Article
  • Open Access
10 Citations
8,081 Views
21 Pages

This paper focuses on three “safe haven” assets (gold, oil, and the Swiss Franc) and examines the impact of recent financial crises and some macroeconomic variables on their return co-movements during the last two decades. All financial c...

  • Article
  • Open Access
12 Citations
5,358 Views
10 Pages

Since 2016, the United Nations Global Compact (UNGC), one of the most prominent worldwide corporate social responsibility and sustainability initiatives, has been linked to the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). However, despite the enormous schol...

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J. Risk Financial Manag. - ISSN 1911-8074