External vs. In-House Advising Service: Evidence from the Financial Industry Acquisitions †
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
2.1. The Role of Financial Advisors
2.2. Financial Acquirers in the M&A Market
3. Sample and Variables
3.1. Data Sources and Sample Selection
3.2. Variables
3.2.1. Advisory Services: External vs. In-House
3.2.2. Control Variables
3.2.3. Regression Methodology and Wealth Gains in M&As
4. Empirical Results
4.1. The Choice of External vs. In-House Advisory Services
4.2. Deal Outcomes—Market Returns and Completion Rate
4.3. Market Returns to the Acquirers
4.4. Wealth Redistribution and Allocation Efficiency
4.5. Deal Completion Rate
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
1 | This study is different from the prior literature on choices of advisory services in two ways. First, we focus on the players in the financial services industry only, who are “insiders” in the financial market and may be more experienced and professional in the M&A process. Therefore, it is uncertain whether external advisors may offer incremental benefits to the financial players, such as improving the completion rate, increasing market abnormal returns, etc. Second, this study focuses on the choices of acquirer advisors, not target advisors. The conflict of interests between the acquirer and their advisor is more pronounced than that between the target firm and the advisor. Usually, the advisory fee is contingent on deal completion and the magnitude of the advisory fee is largely tied to the transaction value (McLaughlin 1990, 1992). Therefore, the acquirer’s advisor prefers a higher offer price to lock the deal whereas the acquirer would benefit by paying less in the acquisition. The situation is simpler on the target side because the incentives of the target firm and their advisor are aligned—both are willing to accept a higher offer price. Overall, the acquirers in the financial service industry provide a unique setting to investigate the cost and benefits of external vs. in-house advisory services in the M&A process. |
2 | The volume of the financial M&A market post financial crisis was low partially due to the Dodd–Frank Act which was enacted in 2010, and our sample ends in 2010 as well. In response to the financial crisis, the US enacted the Dodd–Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (Dodd–Frank Act). A major impact of the Dodd–Frank Act on the M&A market is the size threshold. It requires the Federal Reserve to establish regulatory standards based on individualized risk analysis for bank holding companies with assets greater than USD 50 billion. In other words, large banks with a size above USD 50 billion are facing more strict regulation and monitoring compared to smaller financial companies. Therefore, the incentive of the scale of economics is dampened with the threshold. In fact, bank or financial holding companies were reluctant to size up or merge, since doing so will move them up to the “above 50 billion thresholds” category. Thus, while extending the sample period into the post-crisis period provides the limited benefit of increased sample size, it will create a sample selection bias for the post-crisis deals. Large or complicated M&As where financial advisors provide the most benefits are less likely to occur in the first place. Such selection bias will be a confounding issue affecting our analysis of the impact of financial advisors on deals valuation. |
3 | Cain and Denis (2013) mention that the acquirer-side advisor information is sometimes unobservable in tender-offer deals even if an advisor is retained. Also see regulation M-A, Section 1012(b) for detailed requirements of information disclosure in tender offers. |
4 | The distribution of transaction values is highly skewed. Therefore, we convert the transaction value into log format in the regressions to eliminate biases. |
5 | The market timing theory in the M&A market is explained in Shleifer and Vishny (2003), and Rhodes-Kropf et al. (2005). The acquirer uses its overvalued stock to purchase the target, driving poor long-run acquirer stock performance due to the correction of misvaluation. |
6 | It is also possible that over-confident managers go out of state and believe they can handle the deal themselves. However, our regression result (Table 5) shows that in-house deals of financial firms, overall, have higher quality. |
7 | Kisgen et al. (2009) argue that managers of the acquirers obtain fairness opinions from financial advisors to protect themselves against potential lawsuit triggers by the outcome or performance of the M&As. Thus, investors are skeptical of such transactions and the acquirer’s announcement return is 2.3% lower. |
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Variables | Definition |
---|---|
ADV | is whether the acquirer hires an external advisor or retains the advisory services in-house: 1 = in-house; 0 = external. |
ACQ_CAR | is the acquirer’s 3-day (−1, +1) cumulative abnormal returns. |
TGT_CAR | is the target’s 3-day (−1, +1) cumulative abnormal returns. |
CCAR | is the weighted sum of the acquirer and target CARs. |
Complete | is the percentage that measures the likelihood that the deal is complete. |
Ln(Val) | is the log of the dollar value of the transaction. |
RelAsset | is the ratio of target asset to acquirer asset in the prior fiscal year. |
RelEquity | is the ratio of target market capitalization over acquirer market capitalization 30 days before the merger announcement. |
StockPay | is the payment method of the deal: 1 = the deal is at least 50% paid by stock; 0 = otherwise. |
Prior | is the number of mergers completed by the acquirer during the prior 10 years. |
SameST | is whether the acquirer and the target are headquartered in the same state: 1 = same state; 0 = otherwise. |
SameIND | is whether the acquirer and the target have the same first 3-digit SIC code: 1 = same first 3-digit SIC code; 0 = otherwise. |
#Bidder | is the number of bidders participating in the transaction. |
Toehold | is the percentage of target shares owned by the acquirer prior to the merger announcement. |
TGT_M/B | is the ratio of the market value of equity relative to the book value of equity of the target in the prior fiscal year. |
ACQ_M/B | is the ratio of the market value of equity relative to the book value of equity of the acquirer in the prior fiscal year. |
TGT_ROE | is the return on equity of the target in the prior fiscal year. |
TGT_ROA | is the return on asset of the target in the prior fiscal year. |
TGT_SGR | is the difference between the sales of the fiscal years (t − 1) and (t − 2) scaled by the sales of fiscal year (t − 2). |
TGT_IGR | is the difference between the net income of the fiscal years (t − 1) and (t − 2) scaled by the net income of fiscal year (t − 2). |
TGT_EQU | is the equity ratio of the target, which is the ratio of equity to liability. |
Panel A: Frequency of External vs. In-House Advisory Services | ||||||||
Advisory Services | Financial M&A Deals | |||||||
External | 443 | 60.6% | ||||||
In-house | 288 | 39.4% | ||||||
Total Number | 731 | 100% | ||||||
Panel B: Top 10 Acquisition Transactions in the External vs. In-House Group (by Size of the Transactions) | ||||||||
External | In-House | |||||||
Acquirer | Target | Year | Transaction Value (mil) | Acquirer | Target | Year | Transaction Value (mil) | |
1 | BANC ONE | First Chicago NBD | 1998 * | 29,616.04 | Travelers Group Inc. | Citicorp | 1998 * | 72,558.18 |
2 | AIG | American General Corp | 2001 | 23,398.16 | NationsBank Corp | Bank of America | 1998 * | 61,633.40 |
3 | Firstar Corp | US Bancorp | 2000 | 21,084.87 | JPMorgan Chase | BankOne Corp | 2004 | 58,663.15 |
4 | AIG | SunAmerica Inc. | 1998 | 18,116.98 | Bank of America | FleetBoston Financial Corp | 2003 | 49,260.63 |
5 | First Union Corp | CoreStates Financial | 1997 | 17,122.23 | Bank of America | Merrill Lynch | 2008 | 48,766.15 |
6 | St Paul Companies Inc. | Travelers Property Casualty Corp | 2003 * | 16,136.14 | Bank of America | MBNA Corp | 2005 | 35,810.27 |
7 | Fleet Financial Group | BankBoston Corp | 1999 | 15,925.20 | Chase Manhattan Corp | JP Morgan & Co Inc. | 2000 | 33,554.58 |
8 | Bank of New York | Mellon Financial | 2006 | 15,679.63 | Citigroup Inc. | Associates First Capital Corp | 2000 | 30,957.50 |
9 | Capital One Financial Corp | North Fork Bancorp | 2006 | 15,132.87 | Wachovia Corp | Golden West Financial Corp | 2006 | 25,500.89 |
10 | Washington Mutual | HF Ahmanson & Co | 1998 | 14,724.96 | Berkshire Hathaway Inc. | General Re Corp | 1998 | 22,300.17 |
External | In-House | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mean | Median | Min | Max | N | Mean | Median | Min | Max | N | |
Complete | 94% | - | - | - | 443 | 95.30% | - | - | - | 288 |
Ln(Val) | 5.81 | 5.57 | 2.26 | 10.29 | 443 | 5.17 | 4.9 | 2.03 | 11.19 | 288 |
Acquire asset (Bil) | 35.245 | 6.423 | 0.48 | 543.605 | 396 | 100.255 | 16.588 | 0.115 | 1884.318 | 262 |
Target asset (Bil) | 6.547 | 1.036 | 0.45 | 196.446 | 418 | 7.982 | 0.646 | 0.04 | 326.563 | 261 |
RelAsset | 0.38 | 0.21 | 0.0015 | 4.785 | 375 | 0.11 | 0.046 | 0.0002 | 1.06 | 241 |
RelEquity | 0.33 | 0.19 | 0.002 | 5.1 | 443 | 0.11 | 0.03 | 0.0004 | 1.41 | 288 |
% of StockPay | 80% | 100% | - | - | 443 | 74% | - | - | - | 288 |
Prior | 1.59 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 443 | 3.52 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 288 |
% of SameIND | 59% | - | - | - | 443 | 50% | - | - | - | 288 |
% of SameST | 44.99% | - | - | - | 443 | 32% | - | - | - | 288 |
#Bidder | 1.06 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 443 | 1.01 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 288 |
Toehold | 47% | 0% | 0% | 48.10% | 443 | 0.43% | 0% | 0% | 42% | 288 |
ACQ_M/B | 2.4 | 1.94 | 0.05 | 29.12 | 396 | 2.36 | 2.06 | 0.06 | 11.33 | 262 |
TGT_M/B | 1.85 | 1.6 | 0.55 | 12.59 | 417 | 1.71 | 1.52 | 0.34 | 6.46 | 261 |
TGT_ROE | 11% | 11% | −110% | 56% | 417 | 11% | 11% | −47% | 32% | 261 |
TGT_ROA | 1% | 1% | −86% | 46% | 417 | 1.40% | 1% | −32% | 20% | 261 |
TGT_SGR | 16% | 11% | −52% | 281% | 400 | 11% | 8% | −82% | 124% | 238 |
TGT_IGR | 19% | 11% | −814% | 1261% | 404 | 35% | 10% | −395% | 1030% | 241 |
TGT_EQU | 0.14 | 0.09 | 0.017 | 0.87 | 417 | 0.14 | 0.09 | 0.04 | 0.99 | 261 |
ACQ_CAR | −0.02 | −0.015 | −0.28 | 0.28 | 443 | −0.007 | −0.008 | −0.155 | 0.16 | 288 |
TGT_CAR | 0.16 | 0.13 | −0.27 | 0.91 | 443 | 0.194 | 0.159 | −0.1 | 1.04 | 288 |
Dependent Variables: | Model I | Model II | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ADV: (0 = External; 1 = In-House) | Coefficient | Marginal Effect | p-Value | Coefficient | Marginal Effect | p-Value |
RelEquity | −1.420 *** | −0.53 | 0.00 | |||
RelAsset | −1.461 *** | −0.526 | 0.00 | |||
Ln(Val) | −0.210 *** | −0.08 | 0.00 | −0.262 *** | −0.09 | 0.00 |
StockPay | −0.130 | −0.05 | 0.31 | −0.150 | −0.06 | 0.32 |
Toehold | 0.005 | 0.002 | 0.74 | 0.008 | 0.003 | 0.65 |
Prior | 0.110 *** | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.123 *** | 0.04 | 0.00 |
SameST | −0.310 *** | −0.12 | 0.00 | −0.382 *** | −0.14 | 0.00 |
SameIND | −0.143 | −0.05 | 0.19 | −0.181 | −0.07 | 0.15 |
ACQ_M/B | 0.050 | 0.02 | 0.21 | |||
TGT_M/B | −0.024 | −0.01 | 0.76 | |||
TGT_EQU | 0.250 | 0.09 | 0.64 | |||
TGT_ROE | 1.032 | 0.37 | 0.20 | |||
TGT_SGR | −0.940 *** | −0.34 | 0.00 | |||
TGT_IGR | 0.063 | 0.02 | 0.12 | |||
Observations | 731 | 577 | ||||
Pseudo R-square | 20.3% | 25.32% | ||||
Chi-square | 198.98 *** | 193.98 *** | ||||
Year fixed effect | Yes | Yes |
Panel A: Acquirer Three-Day (−1, +1) Cumulative Abnormal Returns | ||||||
DV = ACQ_CAR | OLS | p-Value | Treatment | p-Value | ||
ADV (External = 0; In-house = 1) | 0.009 ** | 0.06 | 0.045 ** | 0.00 | ||
RelAsset | 0.016 *** | 0.00 | 0.022 *** | 0.00 | ||
Ln(Val) | −0.004 | 0.00 | −0.001 | 0.56 | ||
StockPay | −0.020 *** | 0.00 | −0.018 *** | 0.00 | ||
Prior | 0.000 | 0.67 | −0.001 | 0.19 | ||
SameIND | −0.003 | 0.41 | −0.001 | 0.87 | ||
SameST | −0.009 ** | 0.05 | −0.004 | 0.48 | ||
Toehold | 0.001 * | 0.08 | 0.001 | 0.10 | ||
#Bidder | −0.005 | 0.58 | −0.005 | 0.57 | ||
ACT_M/B | −0.001 | 0.22 | −0.002 | 0.12 | ||
TGT_M/B | 0.002 | 0.52 | 0.002 | 0.53 | ||
TGT_EQU | 0.003 | 0.85 | 0.0004 | 0.98 | ||
TGT_ROE | 0.011 | 0.66 | 0.0004 | 0.98 | ||
TGT_SGR | 0.007 | 0.42 | 0.015 | 0.13 | ||
TGT_IGR | −0.002 * | 0.18 | −0.002 * | 0.06 | ||
Hazard ratio | −0.023 ** | 0.02 | ||||
Observations | 546 | 546 | ||||
R-square | 10.87% | 26.2% | ||||
p-value of F-test | <0.000 | <0.000 | ||||
Year fixed effect | Yes | Yes | ||||
Panel B: Target Three-Day (−1, +1) Cumulative Abnormal Returns | ||||||
DV = TGR_CAR | OLS | p-Value | Treatment | p-Value | ||
ADV (External = 0; In-house = 1) | 0.041 *** | 0.01 | 0.187 *** | 0.00 | ||
RelAsset | −0.046 *** | 0.00 | −0.021 | 0.31 | ||
Ln(Val) | 0.001 | 0.87 | 0.012 * | 0.09 | ||
StockPay | −0.014 | 0.49 | −0.005 | 0.81 | ||
Prior | −0.005 *** | 0.01 | −0.010 *** | 0.00 | ||
SameIND | 0.011 | 0.46 | 0.021 | 0.18 | ||
SameST | 0.012 * | 0.45 | 0.033 * | 0.08 | ||
Toehold | −0.004 ** | 0.04 | −0.003 ** | 0.04 | ||
#Bidder | −0.063 * | 0.08 | −0.062 | 0.07 | ||
ACT_M/B | 0.008 | 0.09 | 0.005 | 0.23 | ||
TGT_M/B | −0.021 ** | 0.01 | −0.021 *** | 0.01 | ||
TGT_EQU | −0.112 * | 0.09 | −0.122 * | 0.07 | ||
TGT_ROE | 0.146 | 0.11 | 0.104 | 0.28 | ||
TGT_SGR | 0.059 ** | 0.07 | 0.090 *** | 0.01 | ||
TGT_IGR | −0.002 | 0.64 | −0.004 | 0.29 | ||
Hazard ratio | 0.092 ** | 0.01 | ||||
Observations | 546 | 546 | ||||
R-square | 17.14% | 26.2% | ||||
p-value of F-test | <0.000 | <0.000 | ||||
Year fixed effect | Yes | Yes | ||||
Panel C: Combined Three-Day (−1, +1) Cumulative Abnormal Returns | ||||||
DV = CCAR | OLS | p-Value | Treatment | p-Value | ||
ADV (External = 0; In-house = 1) | 0.005 | 0.20 | 0.022 | 0.11 | ||
RelAsset | 0.029 *** | 0.00 | 0.034 *** | 0.00 | ||
Ln(Val) | 0.001 | 0.62 | 0.002 | 0.20 | ||
StockPay | −0.021 *** | 0.00 | −0.021 *** | 0.00 | ||
Prior | −0.001 *** | 0.00 | −0.002 ** | 0.01 | ||
SameIND | 0.005 | 0.21 | 0.005 | 0.19 | ||
SameST | −0.001 | 0.83 | −0.001 | 0.74 | ||
Toehold | 0.000 | 0.87 | 0.000 | 0.36 | ||
#Bidder | −0.010 | 0.27 | −0.024 * | 0.05 | ||
ACT_M/B | −0.005 *** | 0.00 | −0.005 *** | 0.00 | ||
TGT_M/B | −0.001 | 0.78 | −0.002 | 0.42 | ||
TGT_EQU | 0.003 | 0.85 | 0.001 | 0.94 | ||
TGT_ROE | 0.032 | 0.16 | 0.032 | 0.19 | ||
TGT_SGR | 0.015 * | 0.07 | 0.013 | 0.24 | ||
TGT_IGR | −0.001 | 0.24 | −0.002 * | 0.06 | ||
Hazard ratio | −0.013 | 0.21 | ||||
Observations | 546 | 546 | ||||
R-square | 19.62% | 26.2% | ||||
p-value of F-test | <0.000 | <0.000 | ||||
Year fixed effect | Yes | Yes | ||||
Panel D: Deal Completion Rate | ||||||
DV = Complete | Model I | Model II | ||||
Coefficient | Marginal Effect | p-Value | Coefficient | Marginal Effect | p-Value | |
ADV (External = 0; In-house = 1) | −0.074 | −0.004 | 0.73 | −0.383 | −0.013 | 0.15 |
RelEquity | −0.456 *** | −0.022 | 0.00 | |||
RelAsset | −0.459 *** | −0.014 | 0.00 | |||
Ln(Val) | −0.036 | −0.002 | 0.56 | −0.085 | −0.003 | 0.30 |
StockPay | 0.437 ** | 0.027 | 0.03 | 0.533 ** | 0.023 | 0.04 |
Prior | 0.043 | 0.002 | 0.21 | 0.054 | 0.002 | 0.17 |
SameIND | 0.202 | 0.010 | 0.28 | 0.097 | 0.003 | 0.68 |
SameST | 0.115 | 0.005 | 0.58 | 0.211 | 0.006 | 0.44 |
Toehold | −0.019 | −0.001 | 0.32 | −0.023 | −0.001 | 0.38 |
#Bidder | −1.106 *** | −0.052 | 0.00 | −1.1 *** | −0.033 | 0.00 |
ACT_M/B | 0.058 | 0.002 | 0.52 | |||
TGT_M/B | −0.009 | 0.000 | 0.94 | |||
TGT_EQU | −0.041 | −0.001 | 0.96 | |||
TGT_ROE | 1.163 | 0.035 | 0.37 | |||
TGT_SGR | 0.254 | 0.008 | 0.67 | |||
TGT_IGR | 0.124 | 0.004 | 0.17 | |||
Year fixed effects | Yes | Yes | ||||
Observations | 731 | 577 | ||||
Pseudo R-square | 27.99% | 36.06% | ||||
Chi-square | 86.81 *** | 87.12 *** |
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Huang, J.; Yu, H.; Zhang, Z. External vs. In-House Advising Service: Evidence from the Financial Industry Acquisitions. J. Risk Financial Manag. 2023, 16, 66. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm16020066
Huang J, Yu H, Zhang Z. External vs. In-House Advising Service: Evidence from the Financial Industry Acquisitions. Journal of Risk and Financial Management. 2023; 16(2):66. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm16020066
Chicago/Turabian StyleHuang, Jian, Han Yu, and Zhen Zhang. 2023. "External vs. In-House Advising Service: Evidence from the Financial Industry Acquisitions" Journal of Risk and Financial Management 16, no. 2: 66. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm16020066