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Risks, Volume 12, Issue 2

2024 February - 26 articles

Cover Story: Existing methods for assessing distributional estimability require the subjective specification of thresholds. An objective measure of distributional estimability is introduced in the context of general statistical models. More specifically, this objectivity is achieved via a carefully designed cumulative distribution function sensitivity measure, under which the threshold is tailored to the empirical cumulative distribution function (ECDF), thus becoming an experiment-based quantity. The proposed definition, which was validated to be innately sound, is then employed to determine and enhance the estimability of various statistical models. View this paper
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Articles (26)

  • Article
  • Open Access
4,844 Views
20 Pages

When to Hedge Downside Risk?

  • Christos I. Giannikos,
  • Hany Guirguis,
  • Andreas Kakolyris and
  • Tin Shan (Michael) Suen

18 February 2024

Hedging downside risk before substantial price corrections is vital for risk management and long-only active equity manager performance. This study proposes a novel methodology for crafting timing signals to hedge sectors’ downside risk. These...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
5,066 Views
26 Pages

18 February 2024

We investigate the occurrence of greenwashing in the US mutual fund industry. Using panel regression methods, we test whether there exist differences in the portfolio investment behaviors of active equity funds that are self-declared to be driven by...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2,757 Views
19 Pages

18 February 2024

This study delves into a critical examination of the Size of Loss distribution patterns in the context of auto insurance during pre- and post-pandemics, emphasizing their profound influence on insurance pricing and regulatory frameworks. Through a co...

  • Obituary
  • Open Access
1 Citations
3,389 Views
6 Pages

In Memory of Peter Carr (1958–2022)

  • Giuseppe Campolieti,
  • Arash Fahim,
  • Dan Pirjol,
  • Harvey Stein,
  • Tai-Ho Wang and
  • Lingjiong Zhu

18 February 2024

The editors of this special issue and several of the contributing authors have known Peter for a long time. We thought that the special issue will be enriched by adding a few personal notes and recollections about our interactions with Peter.

  • Article
  • Open Access
2,488 Views
14 Pages

13 February 2024

This paper investigates a dynamic liability-driven investment policy for defined-benefit (DB) plans by incorporating the loss aversion of a sponsor, who is assumed to be more sensitive to underfunding than overfunding. Through the lens of prospect th...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
2,752 Views
26 Pages

13 February 2024

The phase-type aging model (PTAM) is a class of Coxian-type Markovian models that can provide a quantitative description of the effects of various aging characteristics. Owing to the unique structure of the PTAM, parametric inference on the model is...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
6,118 Views
42 Pages

8 February 2024

This study explored the complex interplay and potential risk of financial contagion across major financial indices, focusing on the Bucharest Exchange Trading Investment Funds Index (BET-FI), along with global indices like the S&P 500, Nasdaq Com...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
5,761 Views
17 Pages

5 February 2024

This paper aims to examine the determinants of life insurance consumption in 30 OECD countries using panel data from 1996 to 2020. This study uses GDP per capita, Life expectancy, Urbanization, School education, and Health expenditure as the determin...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
4,748 Views
29 Pages

5 February 2024

This study addresses the crucial but under-explored topic of ambiguity aversion, i.e., model misspecification, in the area of environmental, social, and corporate governance (ESG) within portfolio decisions. It considers a risk- and ambiguity-averse...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
3,819 Views
28 Pages

4 February 2024

The complexity of estimating multivariate GARCH models increases significantly with the increase in the number of asset series. To address this issue, we propose a general regularization framework for high-dimensional GARCH models with BEKK represent...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
4,122 Views
13 Pages

3 February 2024

The main source of financing is bank loans for Portuguese small and medium-sized entities (SMEs), which implies several constraints to obtaining additional funds. Relying on the argument of Positive Accounting Theory (PAT) that accounting choices are...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
6,508 Views
26 Pages

3 February 2024

Survival models have become popular for credit risk estimation. Most current credit risk survival models use an underlying linear model. This is beneficial in terms of interpretability but is restrictive for real-life applications since it cannot dis...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
4,401 Views
36 Pages

3 February 2024

The present paper empirically analyzes the efficiency of European Union (EU) subsidies for farms in the Southern Great Plain region of Hungary between 2014 and 2021. The aim of this analysis was to explore whether the subsidies increased the resilien...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
2,677 Views
33 Pages

2 February 2024

Several life contingency agreements are based on the assumption that policyholders have impaired life expectancy attributable to factors, such as lifestyle, social class, or preexisting health issues. Quantifying two crucial variables, augmented deat...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
2,713 Views
15 Pages

2 February 2024

We obtain the upper and lower bounds for the ruin probability in the Sparre–Andersen model. These bounds are established under various conditions: when the adjustment coefficient exists, when it does not exist, and when the interarrival distrib...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
3,250 Views
24 Pages

1 February 2024

This paper studies a long short-term memory (LSTM)-based coherent mortality forecasting method for developing countries or regions. Many of such developing countries have experienced a rapid mortality decline over the past few decades. However, their...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
3,833 Views
20 Pages

1 February 2024

As the complexity of banking technology systems increases, the prevention of technological risk becomes an endless battle. Currently, most banks rely on the experience and subjective judgement of experts and employees to allocate resources for techno...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
6,234 Views
33 Pages

30 January 2024

The study compares model approaches in predictive modeling for claim frequency and severity within the cross-border cargo insurance domain. The aim is to identify the optimal model approach between generalized linear models (GLMs) and advanced machin...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
3,098 Views
29 Pages

Stochastic Claims Reserve in the Healthcare System: A Methodology Applied to Italian Data

  • Claudio Mazzi,
  • Angelo Damone,
  • Andrea Vandelli,
  • Gastone Ciuti and
  • Milena Vainieri

29 January 2024

One of the challenges in the healthcare sector is making accurate forecasts across insurance years for claims reserve. Healthcare claims present huge variability and heterogeneity influenced by random decisions of the courts and intrinsic characteris...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
2,706 Views
13 Pages

Enhancing Sell-Type Home Reversion Products for Retirement Financing

  • Koon Shing Kwong,
  • Jing Rong Goh and
  • Ting Lin Collin Chua

29 January 2024

Loan-type reverse mortgage plans and sell-type home reversion plans for retirement financing are two well-known equity release plans that entitle homeowners not only to release cash from their properties but also to allow them to age in place. Recent...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
4,582 Views
17 Pages

Quadratic Unconstrained Binary Optimization Approach for Incorporating Solvency Capital into Portfolio Optimization

  • Ivica Turkalj,
  • Mohammad Assadsolimani,
  • Markus Braun,
  • Pascal Halffmann,
  • Niklas Hegemann,
  • Sven Kerstan,
  • Janik Maciejewski,
  • Shivam Sharma and
  • Yuanheng Zhou

29 January 2024

In this paper, we consider the inclusion of the solvency capital requirement (SCR) into portfolio optimization by the use of a quadratic proxy model. The Solvency II directive requires insurance companies to calculate their SCR based on the complete...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
4,031 Views
28 Pages

Responsible Innovations as Tools for the Management of Financial Risks to Projects of High-Tech Companies for Their Sustainable Development

  • Elena G. Popkova,
  • Muxabbat F. Xakimova,
  • Marija A. Troyanskaya,
  • Elena S. Petrenko and
  • Olga V. Fokina

27 January 2024

This paper is devoted to the resolution of the problem of risk management in a high-risk market environment. The goal of this paper was to study the experience of and prospects for the use of responsible innovations as tools for managing the financia...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
3,476 Views
23 Pages

26 January 2024

There is growing concern that climate change poses a serious threat to the sustainability of the insurance business. Understanding whether climate warming is a cause for an increase in claims and losses, and how this cause–effect relationship w...

  • Article
  • Open Access
53 Citations
36,330 Views
23 Pages

The Role of Artificial Intelligence Technology in Predictive Risk Assessment for Business Continuity: A Case Study of Greece

  • Stavros Kalogiannidis,
  • Dimitrios Kalfas,
  • Olympia Papaevangelou,
  • Grigoris Giannarakis and
  • Fotios Chatzitheodoridis

23 January 2024

This study examined the efficacy of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies in predictive risk assessment and their contribution to ensuring business continuity. This research aimed to understand how different AI components, such as natural languag...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
3,091 Views
26 Pages

23 January 2024

Wind-power generators around the world face two risks, one due to changes in wind intensity impacting energy production, and the second due to changes in electricity retail prices. To hedge these risks simultaneously, the quanto option is an ideal fi...

  • Article
  • Open Access
9 Citations
11,446 Views
15 Pages

Risk Management in Islamic Banking: The Impact of Financial Technologies through Empirical Insights from the UAE

  • Mohamed Al Hammadi,
  • Juan Antonio Jimber-Del Río,
  • María Salomé Ochoa-Rico,
  • Orlando Arencibia Montero and
  • Arnaldo Vergara-Romero

23 January 2024

Financial technology (fintech) innovations are transforming banking globally. Their adoption poses new opportunities and risks for Islamic banks with unique requirements. This study examines fintech’s implications for risk management effectiven...

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Risks - ISSN 2227-9091