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Risks, Volume 9, Issue 2

2021 February - 17 articles

Cover Story: This study found the most important variables that represent the future projections of the Bank of International Settlements’ capital adequacy ratio, which is the index of financial soundness in a bank as a comprehensive measure of capital adequacy. By using machine learning techniques, this study found 38 most important variables for representing the BIS capital adequacy ratio among 1929 variables. View this paper.
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Articles (17)

  • Article
  • Open Access
68 Citations
23,155 Views
23 Pages

20 February 2021

The growing trend in the number and severity of auto insurance claims creates a need for new methods to efficiently handle these claims. Machine learning (ML) is one of the methods that solves this problem. As car insurers aim to improve their custom...

  • Article
  • Open Access
21 Citations
5,267 Views
20 Pages

20 February 2021

This study investigates the country-level determinants of liquidity synchronization and degrees of liquidity synchronization during economic growth volatility. As a non-diversifiable risk factor, liquidity co-movement shock spreads market-wide and th...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
4,403 Views
19 Pages

20 February 2021

Index-based hedging solutions are used to transfer the longevity risk to the capital markets. However, mismatches between the liability of the hedger and the hedging instrument cause longevity basis risk. Therefore, an appropriate two-population mode...

  • Article
  • Open Access
14 Citations
6,618 Views
16 Pages

Cardless Banking System in Malaysia: An Extended TAM

  • Qaisar Ali,
  • Shazia Parveen,
  • Hakimah Yaacob and
  • Zaki Zaini

15 February 2021

The main objective of this study is to analyse consumers’ behavioural intentions to use cardless banking technology in Malaysia. The intentions to use this technology are evaluated through an extended Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) framework. The...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
2,578 Views
22 Pages

Sensitivity of Performance Indexes to Disaster Risk

  • Jiro Hodoshima and
  • Toshiyuki Yamawake

13 February 2021

We examine how sensitive the new performance indexes incorporating high moments and disaster risk are to disaster risk. The new performance indexes incorporating high moments and disaster risk are the Aumann-Serrano performance index and Foster-Hart...

  • Article
  • Open Access
9 Citations
3,859 Views
13 Pages

Tail Risk and Extreme Events: Connections between Oil and Clean Energy

  • Elisa Di Febo,
  • Matteo Foglia and
  • Eliana Angelini

11 February 2021

Do tail events in the oil market trigger extreme responses by the clean-energy financial market (and vice versa)? This paper investigates the relationship between oil price and clean-energy stock with a novel methodology, namely extreme events study....

  • Article
  • Open Access
12 Citations
3,819 Views
15 Pages

Developing a Risk Model for Assessment and Control of the Spread of COVID-19

  • Usama H. Issa,
  • Ashraf Balabel,
  • Mohammed Abdelhakeem and
  • Medhat M. A. Osman

9 February 2021

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) continues to spread rapidly all over the world challenging nearly all governments. The exact nature of COVID-19’s spread and risk factors for such a rapid spread are still imprecise as available data depend on conf...

  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
5,649 Views
17 Pages

Calibration of Transition Intensities for a Multistate Model: Application to Long-Term Care

  • Manuel L. Esquível,
  • Gracinda R. Guerreiro,
  • Matilde C. Oliveira and
  • Pedro Corte Real

8 February 2021

We consider a non-homogeneous continuous time Markov chain model for Long-Term Care with five states: the autonomous state, three dependent states of light, moderate and severe dependence levels and the death state. For a general approach, we allow f...

  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
4,439 Views
19 Pages

Myopic Savings Behaviour of Future Polish Pensioners

  • Sonia Buchholtz,
  • Jan Gąska and
  • Marek Góra

6 February 2021

Low saving rates combined with low effective retirement age herald old-age poverty. This paper examines the preferred strategies of future Polish pensioners in order to sustain the standard of living in the future. A two-step approach is used: as a f...

  • Article
  • Open Access
13 Citations
4,227 Views
19 Pages

5 February 2021

This paper proposes an age-coherent sparse Vector Autoregression mortality model, which combines the appealing features of existing VAR-based mortality models, to forecast future mortality rates. In particular, the proposed model utilizes a data-driv...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
5,983 Views
25 Pages

Smart Beta Allocation and Macroeconomic Variables: The Impact of COVID-19

  • Matteo Foglia,
  • Maria Cristina Recchioni and
  • Gloria Polinesi

4 February 2021

Smart beta strategies across economic regimes seek to address inefficiencies created by market-based indices, thereby enhancing portfolio returns above traditional benchmarks. Our goal is to develop a strategy for re-hedging smart beta portfolios tha...

  • Article
  • Open Access
16 Citations
7,911 Views
27 Pages

Triggers and Obstacles to the Development of the FinTech Sector in Poland

  • Agata Kliber,
  • Barbara Będowska-Sójka,
  • Aleksandra Rutkowska and
  • Katarzyna Świerczyńska

1 February 2021

The article aims to show the opportunities for the formation of new FinTech startups in Poland and further development of the sector, as well as to identify the most critical threats. The study offers the descriptive and deductive analysis based on t...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
6,040 Views
20 Pages

1 February 2021

This paper studies efficient market hypothesis in prediction markets and the results are illustrated for the in-play football betting market using the quoted odds for the English Premier League. Our analysis is based on the martingale property, where...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
8,682 Views
19 Pages

1 February 2021

The purpose of this study is to find the most important variables that represent the future projections of the Bank of International Settlements’ (BIS) capital adequacy ratio, which is the index of financial soundness in a bank as a comprehensive and...

  • Article
  • Open Access
13 Citations
6,658 Views
16 Pages

1 February 2021

Under the impact of both increasing credit pressure and low economic returns characterizing developed countries, investment levels have decreased over recent years. Moreover, the recent turbulence caused by the COVID-19 crisis has accelerated the lat...

  • Article
  • Open Access
12 Citations
7,339 Views
19 Pages

25 January 2021

This paper aims to compare the accuracy of financial ratios, tax arrears and annual report submission delays for the prediction of bank loan defaults. To achieve this, 12 variables from these three domains are used, while the study applies a longitud...

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Risks - ISSN 2227-9091