Journal Description
Modelling
Modelling
is an international, peer-reviewed, open access journal on theory and applications of modelling and simulation in engineering science, published quarterly online by MDPI.
- Open Access— free for readers, with article processing charges (APC) paid by authors or their institutions.
- High Visibility: indexed within ESCI (Web of Science), Scopus, Ei Compendex, EBSCO and other databases.
- Rapid Publication: manuscripts are peer-reviewed and a first decision is provided to authors approximately 18.9 days after submission; acceptance to publication is undertaken in 3.9 days (median values for papers published in this journal in the second half of 2024).
- Journal Rank: CiteScore - Q1 (Mathematics (miscellaneous))
- Recognition of Reviewers: APC discount vouchers, optional signed peer review and reviewer names are published annually in the journal.
Impact Factor:
1.3 (2023);
5-Year Impact Factor:
1.4 (2023)
Latest Articles
Advancement of Artificial Intelligence in Cost Estimation for Project Management Success: A Systematic Review of Machine Learning, Deep Learning, Regression, and Hybrid Models
Modelling 2025, 6(2), 35; https://doi.org/10.3390/modelling6020035 - 24 Apr 2025
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This systematic review investigates the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) in cost estimation within project management, focusing on its impact on accuracy and efficiency compared to traditional methods. This study synthesizes findings from 39 high-quality articles published between 2016 and 2024, evaluating various
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This systematic review investigates the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) in cost estimation within project management, focusing on its impact on accuracy and efficiency compared to traditional methods. This study synthesizes findings from 39 high-quality articles published between 2016 and 2024, evaluating various machine learning (ML), deep learning (DL), regression, and hybrid models in sectors such as construction, healthcare, manufacturing, and real estate. The results show that AI-powered approaches, particularly artificial neural networks (ANNs)—which constitute 26.33% of the studies—, enhance predictive accuracy and adaptability to complex, dynamic project environments. Key AI techniques, including support vector machines (SVMs) (7.90% of studies), decision trees, and gradient-boosting models, offer substantial improvements in cost prediction and resource optimization. ML models, including ANNs and deep learning models, represent approximately 70% of the reviewed studies, demonstrating a clear trend toward the adoption of advanced AI techniques. On average, deep learning models perform with 85–90% accuracy in cost estimation, making them highly effective for handling complex, nonlinear relationships and large datasets. Machine learning models achieve an average accuracy of 75–80%, providing strong performance, particularly in industries like road construction and healthcare. Regression models typically deliver 70–80% accuracy, being more suitable for simpler cost estimations where the relationships between variables are linear. Hybrid models combine the strengths of different algorithms, achieving 80–90% accuracy on average, and are particularly effective in complex, multi-faceted projects. Overall, deep learning and hybrid models offer the highest accuracy in cost estimation, while machine learning and regression models still provide reliable results for specific applications.
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Open AccessArticle
An Optimal Distillation Process for Turpentine Separation Using a Firefly Algorithm
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Gustavo Mendes Platt, Otávio Knevitz de Azevedo and Francisco Bruno Souza Oliveira
Modelling 2025, 6(2), 34; https://doi.org/10.3390/modelling6020034 - 22 Apr 2025
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The optimal design of distillation separation processes has become a fundamental tool in industries in order to minimize operating costs and investments. In many cases, the optimization stage has been carried out using metaheuristics, with the process simulation stage carried out externally to
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The optimal design of distillation separation processes has become a fundamental tool in industries in order to minimize operating costs and investments. In many cases, the optimization stage has been carried out using metaheuristics, with the process simulation stage carried out externally to the optimization. This paper presents an optimal design methodology for separating the components of turpentine, a raw material of natural origin, based on coupling a distillation process simulator with the Firefly metaheuristic as an optimizer. Results were obtained for a distillation process to obtain -pinene and -pinene (two of the main components of turpentine), meeting purity criteria in the top products of the equipment while minimizing a measure of the total annualized cost. The results show that the tool developed—together with the Firefly algorithm—is capable of obtaining optimized results (although there is no guarantee of a global optimum) from a small set of initial design configurations.
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Open AccessArticle
Human Action Recognition from Videos Using Motion History Mapping and Orientation Based Three-Dimensional Convolutional Neural Network Approach
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Ishita Arora and M. Gangadharappa
Modelling 2025, 6(2), 33; https://doi.org/10.3390/modelling6020033 - 18 Apr 2025
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Human Activity Recognition (HAR) has recently attracted the attention of researchers. Human behavior and human intention are driving the intensification of HAR research rapidly. This paper proposes a novel Motion History Mapping (MHI) and Orientation-based Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) framework for action recognition
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Human Activity Recognition (HAR) has recently attracted the attention of researchers. Human behavior and human intention are driving the intensification of HAR research rapidly. This paper proposes a novel Motion History Mapping (MHI) and Orientation-based Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) framework for action recognition and classification using Machine Learning. The proposed method extracts oriented rectangular patches over the entire human body to represent the human pose in an action sequence. This distribution is represented by a spatially oriented histogram. The frames were trained with a 3D Convolution Neural Network model, thus saving time and increasing the Classification Correction Rate (CCR). The K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN) algorithm is used for the classification of human actions. The uniqueness of our model lies in the combination of Motion History Mapping approach with an Orientation-based 3D CNN, thereby enhancing precision. The proposed method is demonstrated to be effective using four widely used and challenging datasets. A comparison of the proposed method’s performance with current state-of-the-art methods finds that its Classification Correction Rate is higher than that of the existing methods. Our model’s CCRs are 92.91%, 98.88%, 87.97.% and 87.77% which are remarkably higher than the existing techniques for KTH, Weizmann, UT-Tower and YouTube datasets, respectively. Thus, our model significantly outperforms the existing models in the literature.
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Open AccessArticle
Enhancing Accuracy in Hourly Passenger Flow Forecasting for Urban Transit Using TBATS Boosting
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Madhuri Patel, Samir B. Patel, Debabrata Swain and Rishikesh Mallagundla
Modelling 2025, 6(2), 32; https://doi.org/10.3390/modelling6020032 - 17 Apr 2025
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Passenger flow forecasting is crucial for optimizing urban transit operations, especially in developing countries such as India, where congestion, infrastructure constraints, and diverse commuter behaviors pose significant challenges. Despite its importance, limited research explored forecasting models for Indian urban transit systems, particularly incorporating
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Passenger flow forecasting is crucial for optimizing urban transit operations, especially in developing countries such as India, where congestion, infrastructure constraints, and diverse commuter behaviors pose significant challenges. Despite its importance, limited research explored forecasting models for Indian urban transit systems, particularly incorporating the effects of holidays and disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. To address this gap, we propose TBATS Boosting, a novel hybrid forecasting model that integrates the statistical strengths of trigonometric, Box–Cox, ARMA, trend, and seasonal (TBATS) with the predictive power of LightGBM. The model is trained on a five-year real-world dataset from e-ticketing machines (ETM) in Thane Municipal Transport (TMT), incorporating holiday and pandemic-related variations. While Route 12 serves as a primary evaluation route, different station pairs are analyzed to validate their scalability across varying passenger demand levels. To comprehensively evaluate the proposed framework, a rigorous performance assessment was conducted using MAE, RMSE, MAPE, and WMAPE across station pairs characterized by heterogeneous passenger flow patterns. Empirical results demonstrate that the TBATS Boosting approach consistently outperforms benchmark models, including standalone SARIMA, TBATS, XGBoost, and LightGBM. By effectively capturing complex temporal dependencies, multiple seasonalities, and nonlinear relationships, the proposed framework significantly enhances forecasting accuracy. These advancements provide transit authorities with a robust tool for optimizing resource allocation, improving service reliability, and enabling data-driven decision making across varied and dynamic urban transit environments.
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Open AccessArticle
Hydrodynamic Modeling of Unstretched Length Variations in Nonlinear Catenary Mooring Systems for Floating PV Installations in Small Indonesian Islands
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Mohammad Izzuddin Jifaturrohman, I Ketut Aria Pria Utama, Teguh Putranto, Dony Setyawan, I Ketut Suastika, Septia Hardy Sujiatanti, Dendy Satrio, Noorlaila Hayati and Luofeng Huang
Modelling 2025, 6(2), 31; https://doi.org/10.3390/modelling6020031 - 16 Apr 2025
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Floating photovoltaic (FPV) systems offer a promising renewable energy solution, particularly for coastal waters. This preliminary numerical study proposes a single-array pentamaran configuration designed to maximize panel installation and enhance stability by reducing rolling motion. The study investigates the effect of mooring length
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Floating photovoltaic (FPV) systems offer a promising renewable energy solution, particularly for coastal waters. This preliminary numerical study proposes a single-array pentamaran configuration designed to maximize panel installation and enhance stability by reducing rolling motion. The study investigates the effect of mooring length on the motion behavior of FPV systems and actual line tension using the Boundary Element Method (BEM) in both frequency and time domains under irregular wave conditions. The results demonstrate that the mooring system significantly reduces all horizontal motion displacements, with reductions exceeding 90%. Even with a reduction of up to 51% in the unstretched mooring length, from the original design (304.53 m) to the shortest alternative (154.53 m), the motion response shows minimal change. This is supported by RMSE values of only 0.01 m/m for surge, 0.02 m/m for sway, and 0.09 deg/m for yaw. In the time-domain response, the shortened mooring line demonstrates improved motion performance. This improvement comes with the consequence of stronger nonlinearity in restoring forces and stiffness, resulting in higher peak tensions of up to 15.79 kN. Despite this increase, all configurations remain within the allowable tension limit of 30.69 kN, indicating that the FPV’s system satisfies safety criteria.
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(This article belongs to the Section Modelling in Engineering Structures)
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Open AccessArticle
Numerical Study on Free Convection in an Inclined Wavy Porous Cavity with Localized Heating
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Sivasankaran Sivanandam, Huey Tyng Cheong and Aasaithambi Thangaraj
Modelling 2025, 6(2), 30; https://doi.org/10.3390/modelling6020030 - 5 Apr 2025
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The goal of the present investigation is to explore the heater position and tilting angle of geometry on a buoyant convective stream and energy transport in a tilted, curved porous cavity. This work can be utilized in the field of solar panel construction
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The goal of the present investigation is to explore the heater position and tilting angle of geometry on a buoyant convective stream and energy transport in a tilted, curved porous cavity. This work can be utilized in the field of solar panel construction and electrical equipment cooling. Since no study has explored the impact of the heater location in an inclined wavy porous chamber, three locations of the heater of finite length on the left sidewall, viz., the top, middle, and bottom, are explored. The stream through the porous material is explained by the Darcy model. The upper and lower walls, as well as the remaining area in the left wall, are covered with thermal insulation, while the curved right sidewall maintains the lower temperature. The governing equations and related boundary conditions are discretized by the finite difference approximations. The equations are then iteratively solved for different heater positions, inclinations, Darcy–Rayleigh number (RaD), and corrugation of the right walls. It is witnessed that the heater locations and cavity inclinations alter the stream and thermal fields within the curved porous domain. Furthermore, all heating zones benefit from improved heat conduction due to the right sidewall’s waviness and the tilted porous domain.
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Open AccessReview
A Review of Dynamic Operating Envelopes: Computation, Applications and Challenges
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Anjala Wickramasinghe, Mahinda Vilathgamuwa, Ghavameddin Nourbakhsh and Paul Corry
Modelling 2025, 6(2), 29; https://doi.org/10.3390/modelling6020029 - 3 Apr 2025
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The integration of Distributed Energy Resources (DERs) into power grids presents significant challenges to grid performance, requiring innovative solutions for effective operation. Dynamic Operating Envelopes (DOEs) offer a promising approach by optimizing the use of existing infrastructure while ensuring compliance with network constraints.
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The integration of Distributed Energy Resources (DERs) into power grids presents significant challenges to grid performance, requiring innovative solutions for effective operation. Dynamic Operating Envelopes (DOEs) offer a promising approach by optimizing the use of existing infrastructure while ensuring compliance with network constraints. This paper reviews various DOE calculation methodologies, focusing on Optimal Power Flow (OPF)-based methods. Key findings include the role of DOEs in optimizing import and export limits, with critical factors such as forecast accuracy, network modelling, and the effects of mutual phase coupling in unbalanced networks identified as influencing DOE performance. The paper also explores the integration of DOEs into smart grid frameworks, examining both centralized and decentralized control strategies, as well as their potential for providing ancillary services. Challenges in scaling DOEs are also discussed, particularly regarding the need for accurate forecasts, computational resources, communication infrastructure, and balancing efficiency and fairness in resource allocation. Lastly, future research directions are proposed, focusing on the practical application of DOEs to improve grid performance and support network operations, as well as the development of more robust DOE calculation methodologies. This review provides a comprehensive overview of current DOE research and identifies avenues for further exploration and advancement.
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Open AccessArticle
Aspects Concerning Validation of Theoretical Solution of Generalised Ladder Problem
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Costica Lupascu, Stelian Alaci, Florina-Carmen Ciornei, Ionut-Cristian Romanu, Delia-Aurora Cerlinca and Carmen Bujoreanu
Modelling 2025, 6(2), 28; https://doi.org/10.3390/modelling6020028 - 29 Mar 2025
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One of the most well-known problems of dynamics is the “ladder problem”. In this paper, a theoretical model is proposed followed by the experimental validation of the predicted solution. The model refers to a rod of negligible thickness with the ends leaning frictionless
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One of the most well-known problems of dynamics is the “ladder problem”. In this paper, a theoretical model is proposed followed by the experimental validation of the predicted solution. The model refers to a rod of negligible thickness with the ends leaning frictionless on two walls. By approximating the rod as a segment, the problem is simplified, and the Lagrange equations can be applied. The experimental validation of the model had to address several challenges: the actual rod–wall contacts are singular points, friction cannot be neglected, and the rod’s motion must remain confined to the vertical plane. The physical “ladder” was designed as a cylindrical rod with two identical balls of well-controlled geometry, fixed at the ends. These spheres make contact with two half-cylinder grooves—one vertical and one horizontal—ensuring that the motion remains parallel to the vertical plane. The presence of dry friction in the sphere–groove contacts leads to a complex, strongly nonlinear differential equation of motion, requiring numerical methods of integration. A test-rig was designed and constructed for the experimental study of motion, and an aspect overlooked by the theoretical model was emphasised: the interruption of contact with the vertical wall. An excellent agreement was found between the experimental data and the theoretical results.
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Open AccessArticle
A Multi-Head Attention-Based Transformer Model for Predicting Causes in Aviation Incidents
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Aziida Nanyonga, Hassan Wasswa, Keith Joiner, Ugur Turhan and Graham Wild
Modelling 2025, 6(2), 27; https://doi.org/10.3390/modelling6020027 - 25 Mar 2025
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The timely identification of probable causes in aviation incidents is crucial for averting future tragedies and safeguarding passengers. Typically, investigators rely on flight data recorders; however, delays in data retrieval or damage to the devices can impede progress. In such instances, experts resort
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The timely identification of probable causes in aviation incidents is crucial for averting future tragedies and safeguarding passengers. Typically, investigators rely on flight data recorders; however, delays in data retrieval or damage to the devices can impede progress. In such instances, experts resort to supplementary sources like eyewitness testimonies and radar data to construct analytical narratives. Delays in this process have tangible consequences, as evidenced by the Boeing 737 MAX accidents involving Lion Air and Ethiopian Airlines, where the same design flaw resulted in catastrophic outcomes. To streamline investigations, scholars advocate for natural language processing (NLP) and topic modelling methodologies, which organize pertinent aviation terms for rapid analysis. However, existing techniques lack a direct mechanism for deducing probable causes. To bridge this gap, this study trains and evaluates the performance of a transformer-based model in predicting the likely causes of aviation incidents based on long-input raw text analysis narratives. Unlike traditional models that classify incidents into predefined categories such as human error, weather conditions, or maintenance issues, the trained model infers and generates the likely cause in a human-like narrative, providing a more interpretable and contextually rich explanation. By training the model on comprehensive aviation incident investigation reports like those from the National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB), the proposed approach exhibits promising performance across key evaluation metrics, including BERTScore with Precision: (M = 0.749, SD = 0.109), Recall: (M = 0.772, SD = 0.101), F1-score: (M = 0.758, SD = 0.097), Bilingual Evaluation Understudy (BLEU) with (M = 0.727, SD = 0.33), Latent Semantic Analysis (LSA similarity) with (M = 0.696, SD = 0.152), and Recall Oriented Understudy for Gisting Evaluation (ROUGE) with a precision, recall and F-measure scores of (M = 0.666, SD = 0.217), (M = 0.610, SD = 0.211), (M = 0.618, SD = 0.192) for rouge-1, (M = 0.488, SD = 0.264), (M = 0.448, SD = 0.257), M = 0.452, SD = 0.248) for rouge-2 and (M = 0.602, SD = 0.241), (M = 0.553, SD = 0.235), (M = 0.5560, SD = 0.220) for rouge-L, respectively. This demonstrates its potential to expedite investigations by promptly identifying probable causes from analysis narratives, thus bolstering aviation safety protocols.
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Open AccessReview
A Review of Finite Element Studies on Laser-Based Acoustic Applications in Solid Media
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Evaggelos Kaselouris and Vasilis Dimitriou
Modelling 2025, 6(2), 26; https://doi.org/10.3390/modelling6020026 - 24 Mar 2025
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The integration of Finite Element Method (FEM) simulations with laser-based techniques has significantly advanced acoustic research by enhancing wave measurement, analysis, and prediction in complex solid media. This review examines the role of the FEM in laser-based acoustics for wave propagation, defect detection,
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The integration of Finite Element Method (FEM) simulations with laser-based techniques has significantly advanced acoustic research by enhancing wave measurement, analysis, and prediction in complex solid media. This review examines the role of the FEM in laser-based acoustics for wave propagation, defect detection, biomedical diagnostics, and engineering applications. FEM models simulate ultrasonic wave generation and propagation in single-layer and multilayered structures, while laser-based experimental techniques provide high-resolution validation, improving modeling accuracy. The synergy between laser-generated ultrasonic waves and FEM simulations enhances defect detection and material integrity assessment, making them invaluable for non-destructive evaluation. In biomedical applications, the FEM aids in tissue characterization and disease detection, while in engineering, its integration with laser-based methods contributes to noise reduction and vibration control. Furthermore, this review provides a comprehensive synthesis of FEM simulations and experimental validation while also highlighting the emerging role of artificial intelligence and machine learning in optimizing FEM models and improving computational efficiency, which has not been addressed in previous studies. Key advancements, challenges, and future research directions in laser-based acoustic applications are discussed.
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(This article belongs to the Special Issue Finite Element Simulation and Analysis)
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Open AccessArticle
Chaos-Based Dynamic Authentication for Secure Telehealth in Smart Cities
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Mostafa Nofal and Rania A. Elmanfaloty
Modelling 2025, 6(2), 25; https://doi.org/10.3390/modelling6020025 - 21 Mar 2025
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The rise of telehealth in smart cities has introduced both opportunities and challenges, particularly in securing sensitive patient data and ensuring reliable authentication. This paper presents a chaos-based dynamic authentication scheme designed to address these challenges. Utilizing the inherent unpredictability and sensitivity of
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The rise of telehealth in smart cities has introduced both opportunities and challenges, particularly in securing sensitive patient data and ensuring reliable authentication. This paper presents a chaos-based dynamic authentication scheme designed to address these challenges. Utilizing the inherent unpredictability and sensitivity of chaotic systems, the proposed method ensures robust protection against various attacks, including replay, brute-force, man-in-the-middle, collision, and parameter prediction. The scheme operates through a dynamic challenge–response mechanism using chaotic maps, which generate highly unpredictable authentication parameters. Simulations demonstrate the system’s strong resilience, minimal collision rate, and adaptability to diverse telehealth devices. By safeguarding sensitive telehealth data and promoting secure access control, this research provides a foundational framework for implementing secure authentication systems in smart cities. Future directions include real-world deployment and integration with advanced technologies like blockchain to further enhance security and scalability.
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Open AccessArticle
Virtual Modelling Framework-Based Inverse Study for the Mechanical Metamaterials with Material Nonlinearity
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Yuhang Tian, Yuan Feng and Wei Gao
Modelling 2025, 6(1), 24; https://doi.org/10.3390/modelling6010024 - 20 Mar 2025
Cited by 1
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Mechanical metamaterials have become a critical research focus across various engineering fields. Recent advancements have pushed the development of reprogrammable mechanical metamaterials to achieve adaptive mechanical behaviours against external stimuli. The relevant designs strongly depend on a thorough understanding of the response spectrum
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Mechanical metamaterials have become a critical research focus across various engineering fields. Recent advancements have pushed the development of reprogrammable mechanical metamaterials to achieve adaptive mechanical behaviours against external stimuli. The relevant designs strongly depend on a thorough understanding of the response spectrum of the original structure, where establishing an accurate virtual model is regarded as the most efficient approach to this end up to now. By employing an extended support vector regression (X-SVR), a powerful machine learning algorithm model, this study explores the uncertainty and sensitivity analysis and inverse study of re-entrant honeycombs under quasi-static compressive loads. The proposed framework enables accurate uncertainty quantification, sensitivity analysis, and inverse study, facilitating the related design and optimisation of metastructures when extended to responsive materials. The proposed framework is considered an effective tool for uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis, enabling the identification of key parameters affecting mechanical performance. Finally, the inverse study approach leverages X-SVR to swiftly obtain the required structural configurations based on targeted mechanical responses.
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(This article belongs to the Special Issue The 5th Anniversary of Modelling)
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Open AccessArticle
Three-Dimensional Mathematical Modeling and Simulation of the Impurity Diffusion Process Under the Given Statistics of Systems of Internal Point Mass Sources
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Petro Pukach, Olha Chernukha, Yurii Chernukha and Myroslava Vovk
Modelling 2025, 6(1), 23; https://doi.org/10.3390/modelling6010023 - 17 Mar 2025
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A three-dimensional mathematical model and simulation of the impurity diffusion process are developed under the given statistical characteristics of the system of internal stochastically disposed point sources of mass. These sources, possessing varying intensities, are located within the sub-strip according to a uniform
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A three-dimensional mathematical model and simulation of the impurity diffusion process are developed under the given statistical characteristics of the system of internal stochastically disposed point sources of mass. These sources, possessing varying intensities, are located within the sub-strip according to a uniform distribution. The random source statistics are known, and the problem solution is expressed as the sum of the solution to the homogeneous problem and the convolution of Green’s function with the random point source system. The impurity concentration is averaged. Diffusive fluxes and the total amount of substance passing through any cross-sectional area over a specified time period are modeled using Fick’s laws. General and calculating formulas for averaged diffusive fluxes, including those applicable to steady-state regimes, are derived. A calculating formula for the total substance that has passed through the strip within a given time interval is obtained. A comprehensive software suite is developed to simulate the behavior of the averaged characteristics of the diffusion process influenced by the point source system. The second statistical moments of the impurity concentration are obtained and studied.
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Open AccessArticle
Global Buckling Simulation and Design of a Novel Concrete-Filled Corrugated Steel Tubular Column
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Chao-Qun Yu, Sheng-Jie Duan and Jing-Zhong Tong
Modelling 2025, 6(1), 22; https://doi.org/10.3390/modelling6010022 - 10 Mar 2025
Abstract
A novel concrete-filled corrugated steel tubular (CFCST) column composed of corner steel bars and corrugated steel plates filled with concrete has been proposed recently. Columns with large height-to-width ratios are commonly used in practice, where they are often subjected to eccentric compression. However,
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A novel concrete-filled corrugated steel tubular (CFCST) column composed of corner steel bars and corrugated steel plates filled with concrete has been proposed recently. Columns with large height-to-width ratios are commonly used in practice, where they are often subjected to eccentric compression. However, there is a lack of research on their stability behavior under such conditions. This study presented a numerical analysis to evaluate the stability performance of CFCST columns under eccentric compression, with eccentricity ratios ranging from 0 to 2.0 and height-to-width ratios between 10 and 30. The numerical results indicated that the N–M interaction curve became less convex as the height-to-width ratio increased. Concrete strength and column width had a greater impact on the stability performance of the CFCST columns at low eccentricity ratios, while steel strength and steel bar width were more influential at high eccentricity ratios. The comparison between numerical and calculation results specified in AISC 360 and GB 50936 showed that both of them were unsuitable to estimate the stability performance of the column under eccentric compression. Finally, a formula was fitted, and the error was basically within 15%, which offered significantly improved accuracy over current design codes.
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(This article belongs to the Special Issue The 5th Anniversary of Modelling)
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Open AccessArticle
Basal Heave Stability Analysis of Excavations in Bangkok Soft Clay with Confined Groundwater Recovery Using Numerical Modeling
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Avirut Puttiwongrak, Thatree Deekaoropkun, Khin Phyu Sin, Krit Saowiang, Pittaya Jamsawang and Piti Sukontasukkul
Modelling 2025, 6(1), 21; https://doi.org/10.3390/modelling6010021 - 26 Feb 2025
Abstract
This study addresses the critical issue of basal heave stability in deep excavations within Bangkok’s soft clay, particularly under conditions of confined groundwater recovery. Historical failures in excavation projects highlight the urgent need for effective stability assessments that account for fluctuating groundwater levels.
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This study addresses the critical issue of basal heave stability in deep excavations within Bangkok’s soft clay, particularly under conditions of confined groundwater recovery. Historical failures in excavation projects highlight the urgent need for effective stability assessments that account for fluctuating groundwater levels. Utilizing a comprehensive dataset derived from case studies and numerical simulations, this research employs the finite element method (FEM) to analyze the interactions between excavation depth, undrained shear strength, and groundwater dynamics. The findings reveal that groundwater recovery significantly influences effective stress, leading to increased uplift pressures that can destabilize excavation support systems. The numerical analyses indicate that Terzaghi’s method overestimates safety factors, while Bjerrum and Eide’s and Chang’s methods closely match numerical results, emphasizing the need for robust analysis that integrates groundwater effects to enhance stability assessments in urban excavations. Grouting techniques applied 10 m below the diaphragm wall significantly improved stability, with safety factors increasing by 63.47%, 87.86%, and 138.72% over various periods. This study contributes valuable insights into excavation design practices and provides empirical data that can inform future research aimed at mitigating hydraulic heave risks in urban environments. Ultimately, the findings advocate for the integration of advanced modeling techniques in geotechnical engineering to improve safety and structural integrity in excavation projects.
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(This article belongs to the Section Modelling in Engineering Structures)
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Open AccessSystematic Review
A Systematic Review of Model Predictive Control for Robust and Efficient Energy Management in Electric Vehicle Integration and V2G Applications
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Camila Minchala-Ávila, Paul Arévalo and Danny Ochoa-Correa
Modelling 2025, 6(1), 20; https://doi.org/10.3390/modelling6010020 - 26 Feb 2025
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The increasing adoption of electric vehicles has introduced challenges in maintaining grid stability, energy efficiency, and economic optimization. Advanced control strategies are required to ensure seamless integration while enhancing system reliability. This study systematically reviews predictive control applications in energy systems, particularly in
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The increasing adoption of electric vehicles has introduced challenges in maintaining grid stability, energy efficiency, and economic optimization. Advanced control strategies are required to ensure seamless integration while enhancing system reliability. This study systematically reviews predictive control applications in energy systems, particularly in electric vehicle integration and bidirectional energy exchange. Using the PRISMA 2020 methodology, 101 high-quality studies were selected from an initial dataset of 5150 records from Scopus and Web of Science. The findings demonstrate that predictive control strategies can significantly enhance energy system performance, achieving up to 35% reduction in frequency deviations, 20–30% mitigation of harmonic distortion, and a 15–20% extension of battery lifespan. Additionally, hybrid approaches combining predictive control with adaptive learning techniques improve system responsiveness by 25% under uncertain conditions, making them more suitable for dynamic and decentralized networks. Despite these advantages, major barriers remain, including high computational demands, limited scalability for large-scale electric vehicle integration, and the absence of standardized communication frameworks. Future research should focus on integrating digital modeling, real-time optimization, and machine learning techniques to improve predictive accuracy and operational resilience. Additionally, the development of collaborative platforms and regulatory frameworks is crucial for large-scale implementation.
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Open AccessArticle
FEM Method Study of the Advanced ECAP Die Channel and Tool Design
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Alexandr Arbuz, Nikita Lutchenko and Rozina Yordanova
Modelling 2025, 6(1), 19; https://doi.org/10.3390/modelling6010019 - 25 Feb 2025
Cited by 1
Abstract
Equal-channel angular pressing (ECAP) is one of the most effective methods for obtaining ultrafine-grained structures in metals and alloys, significantly improving their mechanical properties. In this work, FEM modeling and development of a new design of the instrument for ECAP were carried out,
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Equal-channel angular pressing (ECAP) is one of the most effective methods for obtaining ultrafine-grained structures in metals and alloys, significantly improving their mechanical properties. In this work, FEM modeling and development of a new design of the instrument for ECAP were carried out, followed by the production of real samples of working dies and casing. Four different designs of dies have been studied: with channel intersection angles of 90° and 45° and two schemes with the same angles and a spherical cavity to create back pressure. The main purpose of the study was to study the effect of dies geometry on the stress–strain state and pressing load, as well as to develop an optimal tool design that ensures the reliability and durability of the process. The simulation results showed that reducing the channel intersection angle to 45° increases the degree of accumulated deformation to 4.5 mm/mm but also increases the pressing load to 280 kN. The introduction of a spherical cavity contributes to a more uniform distribution of deformations, although the pressing load increases to 416 kN. Based on the data obtained, an improved tool design with a massive steel casing was developed and manufactured. The analysis and production of real samples confirmed its effectiveness and reliability, which will improve the ECAP process and obtain materials with improved characteristics while reducing operating costs.
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(This article belongs to the Special Issue Finite Element Simulation and Analysis)
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Open AccessArticle
From Direct Numerical Simulations to Data-Driven Models: Insights into Mean Velocity Profiles and Turbulent Stresses in Channel Flows
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Apostolos Palasis, Antonios Liakopoulos and George Sofiadis
Modelling 2025, 6(1), 18; https://doi.org/10.3390/modelling6010018 - 23 Feb 2025
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In this paper, we compare three mathematical models for the mean velocity and Reynolds stress profiles for fully developed pressure-driven turbulent channel flow with the aim of assessing the level of accuracy of each model. Each model is valid over the whole boundary
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In this paper, we compare three mathematical models for the mean velocity and Reynolds stress profiles for fully developed pressure-driven turbulent channel flow with the aim of assessing the level of accuracy of each model. Each model is valid over the whole boundary layer thickness (0 ), and it is formulated in terms of a law of the wall and a law of the wake. To calibrate the mathematical models, we use data obtained by direct numerical simulations (DNS) of pressure-driven turbulent channel flow in the range 182 10,049. The models selected for performance evaluation are two models (Musker’s and AL84) originally developed based on high Reynolds boundary layer experimental data and Luchini’s model, which was developed when some DNS data were also available for wall-bounded turbulent flows. Differences are quantified in terms of local relative or absolute errors. Luchini’s model outperforms the other two models in the “low” and “intermediate” Reynolds number cases ( 182 to 5186). However, for the “high” Reynolds number cases ( 8016 and 10,049). Luchini’s model exhibits larger errors than the other two models. Both Musker’s and AL84 models exhibit comparable accuracy levels when compared with the DNS datasets, and their performance improves as the Reynolds number increases.
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Open AccessArticle
Metaheuristic Prediction Models for Kerf Deviation in Nd-YAG Laser Cutting of AlZnMgCu1.5 Alloy
by
Arulvalavan Tamilarasan and Devaraj Rajamani
Modelling 2025, 6(1), 17; https://doi.org/10.3390/modelling6010017 - 12 Feb 2025
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In the present research, the AlZnMgCu1.5 alloy was machined via an industrial-type Nd-YAG laser cutting process. The Box–Behnken design of response surface methodology was used to plan the trials. The experiments were carried out by varying the nitrogen pressure (4–10 bar), pulse energy
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In the present research, the AlZnMgCu1.5 alloy was machined via an industrial-type Nd-YAG laser cutting process. The Box–Behnken design of response surface methodology was used to plan the trials. The experiments were carried out by varying the nitrogen pressure (4–10 bar), pulse energy (2.5–5.5 J), cutting speed (10–18 mm/min), and pulse width (1.5–2 ms). ANOVA was conducted to assess the impact of process factors on response characteristics. The ANOVA results suggest that nitrogen pressure has the greatest influence on the input process parameters. A detailed investigation was conducted to examine the effects of various parameters on kerf deviation. The metaheuristic algorithms (i.e., Giant Trevally Optimizer—GTO; and Zebra Optimization Algorithm—ZOA) were implemented to determine the optimum process parameters for producing the best performance measures. A comparative analysis demonstrated that the parametric value provided by the GTO algorithm, which adheres to the ZOA method, yielded the lowest response. Optimization using GTO resulted in a 6.71% improvement in kerf deviation prediction accuracy compared to experimental values, while ZOA achieved a 2.37% improvement. Furthermore, GTO demonstrated superior computational efficiency, converging in 5.687 s, significantly faster than the 11.548 s required by ZOA. The optimal solution suggested by the GTO algorithm is further verified using a confirmation test on the random settings. In addition, the surface morphology of the laser-cut kerf surfaces was analyzed using SEM images. Through this, it is confirmed that the metaheuristic algorithm of GTO is more suitable for finding the optimum process parameters.
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Open AccessArticle
Confidence Intervals for Function of Percentiles of Birnbaum-Saunders Distributions Containing Zero Values with Application to Wind Speed Modelling
by
Warisa Thangjai, Sa-Aat Niwitpong, Suparat Niwitpong and Rada Somkhuean
Modelling 2025, 6(1), 16; https://doi.org/10.3390/modelling6010016 - 11 Feb 2025
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The Birnbaum–Saunders (BS) distribution, defined only for non-negative values, is asymmetrical. However, it can be transformed into a normal distribution, which is symmetric. The BS distribution is particularly useful for analyzing data consisting of values greater than zero. This study aims to introduce
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The Birnbaum–Saunders (BS) distribution, defined only for non-negative values, is asymmetrical. However, it can be transformed into a normal distribution, which is symmetric. The BS distribution is particularly useful for analyzing data consisting of values greater than zero. This study aims to introduce six approaches for constructing confidence intervals for the difference and ratio of percentiles in Birnbaum–Saunders distributions containing zero values. The proposed approaches include the generalized confidence interval (GCI) approach, the bootstrap approach, the highest posterior density (HPD) approach based on the bootstrap method, the Bayesian approach, the HPD approach based on the Bayesian method, and the method of variance estimates recovery (MOVER) approach. To assess their performance, a Monte Carlo simulation study is conducted, focusing on coverage probability and average length. The results indicate that the MOVER approach and the HPD approach based on the Bayesian method perform better than other approaches for constructing confidence intervals for the difference between percentiles. Moreover, the GCI and Bayesian approaches outperform others when constructing confidence intervals for the ratio of percentiles. Finally, daily wind speed data from the Rayong and Prachin Buri provinces are used to demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed approaches.
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