Search Results (99)

The objective of this study is to analyze microphysical parameters affecting visibility parameterizations of a freezing fog case that occurred on 19 February 2022, during the Cold Fog Amongst Complex Terrain (CFACT) project conducted in a high-elevation alpine valley in Utah, USA. Observations are collected using visibility, droplet spectra, ice crystal spectra, and aerosol spectral instruments, as well as in-situ meteorological instruments. Particle phase is determined from relative humidity with respect to water (RH_w) as well as ground cloud imaging probe (GCIP), ceilometer (CL61) depolarization ratio, and icing accumulation on the platforms. Results showed that freezing droplet density can affect visibility (Vis) up to 100 m during Vis less than 1 km. In addition, increasing volume can lead to up to a 2 μm increase in droplet radius due to a change in the chemical composition of aerosols from Sodium Chloride (NaCl) to Ammonium Nitrate (NH₄NO₃). Overall, comparisons suggested that Vis parameterizations are highly variable, and freezing fog conditions resulted in lower Vis values compared to warm fog microphysical parameterizations. Furthermore, riming of freezing fog conditions can lead to more than 50% uncertainty in Vis. It is concluded that changing aerosol composition and freezing fog droplet density and riming can play a major role in Vis simulations. Full article

This study examines a Mei-Yu rainfall event using rain gauges (RG) and OTT Parsivel disdrometers to observe precipitation characteristics and raindrop size distributions (RSD), with comparisons made against Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model simulations. Results show that Parsivel-derived rain rates (RR) are slightly underestimated relative to RG measurements. Both observations and simulations identify 1–3 mm raindrops as the dominant precipitation contributors, though the model overestimates small and large drop contributions. At low RR, decreased small-drop and increased large-drop concentrations cause corresponding leftward and rightward RSD shifts with decreasing altitude—a pattern well captured by simulations. However, at elevated rainfall rates, the simulated concentration of large raindrops shows no significant increase, resulting in negligible rightward shifting of RSD in the model outputs. Autoconversion from cloud droplets to raindrops (ATcr), collision and breakup between raindrops (AGrr), ice melting (MLir), and evaporation of raindrops (VDrv) contribute more to the number density of raindrops. At 0.1 < RR < 1 mm·h⁻¹, ATcr dominates, while VDrv peaks in this intensity range before decreasing. At higher intensities (RR > 20 mm·h⁻¹), AGrr contributes most, followed by MLir. When the RR is high enough, the breakup of raindrops plays a more important role than collision, leading to a decrease in the number density of raindrops. The overestimation of raindrop breakup from the numerical parameterization may be one of the reasons why the RSD does not shift significantly to the right toward the surface under the heavy RR grade. The RSD near the surface varies with the RR and characterizes surface precipitation well. Toward the surface, ATcr and VDrv, but not AGrr, become similar when precipitation approaches. Full article

This study investigates the impact of desert dust on precipitation patterns using multi-model simulations. Dust-based processes of formation/removal of ice nuclei (IN) and cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) are investigated by using both the online access model WRF-CHIMERE and the online integrated model WRF-Chem. Comparisons of model predictions with rainfall measurements (GRISO: Spatial Interpolation Generator from Rainfall Observations) over the Italian peninsula show the models’ ability to reproduce heavy orographic precipitation in alpine regions. To quantify the impact of the mineral dust transport concomitant to the atmospheric river (AR) on cloud formation, a sensitivity study is performed by using the WRF-CHIMERE model (i) by setting dust concentrations to zero and (ii) by modifying the settings of the Thompson Aerosol-Aware microphysics scheme. Statistical comparisons revealed that WRF-CHIMERE outperformed WRF-Chem. It achieved a correlation coefficient of up to 0.77, mean bias (MB) between +3.56 and +5.01 mm/day, and lower RMSE and MAE values (~32 mm and ~22 mm, respectively). Conversely, WRF-Chem displayed a substantial underestimation, with an MB of −25.22 mm/day and higher RMSE and MAE values. Our findings show that, despite general agreement in spatial precipitation patterns, both models significantly underestimated the peak daily rainfall in pre-alpine regions (e.g., 216 mm observed at Malga Valine vs. 130–140 mm simulated, corresponding to a 35–40% underestimation). Although important instantaneous changes in precipitation and temperature were modeled at a local scale, no significant total changes in precipitation or air temperature averaged over the entire domain were observed. These results underline the complexity of aerosol–cloud interactions and the need for improved parameterizations in coupled meteorological models. Full article

The microphysics and visibility (Vis) of a sea fog event with precipitation were measured at the Baguan Hill Meteorological Station (BGMS) (36.07° N, 120.33° E; 86 m above sea level) from 27 June to 28 June 2022. The duration of the fog process was 880 min. The mean value of the number concentration (N_d) was 190.62 cm⁻³, and the mean value of the liquid water content (LWC) was 0.026 g m⁻³. Small droplets contributed 81% to N_d and had a greater impact on visibility attenuation, while larger droplets accounted for 58% of the total LWC. The observed droplet size distribution (DSD) was better represented by the G-exponential distribution than by the Gamma distribution. Incorporating both N_d and LWC in Vis parameterization resulted in the best prediction performance. This work enhances understanding of sea fog microphysics in the west coast of Yellow Sea in summer and highlights the need for long-term observations. Full article

Between 11 and 14 August 2017, the southern belt of the central Himalaya experienced extreme precipitation, with some stations recording more than 500 mm of accumulated rainfall, which resulted in widespread, devastating flooding. Precipitation was concentrated over the sub-Himalaya, and the established forecasting systems failed to predict the event. In this study, we evaluate the performance of six cloud microphysics schemes in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model forced with the advanced ERA5 dataset. We also examine the importance of the cumulus scheme in WRF at 3 km horizontal grid spacing in highly convective events like this. Six WRF simulations, each with one of the six different microphysics schemes with the Kain–Fritsch cumulus scheme turned off, all fail to reproduce the spatial variability of accumulated precipitation during this devastating flood-producing precipitation event. In contrast, the simulations exhibit greatly improved performance with the cumulus scheme turned on. In this study, the cumulus scheme helps to initiate convection, after which grid-scale precipitation becomes dominant. Amongst the different simulations, the WRF simulation using the Morrison microphysics scheme with the cumulus turned on displayed the best performance, with the smallest normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) of 0.25 and percentage bias (PBIAS) of −6.99%. The analysis of cloud microphysics using the two best-performing simulations reveals that the event is strongly convective, and it is essential to keep the cumulus scheme on for such convective events and capture all the precipitation characteristics showing that in regions of extreme topography, the cumulus scheme is still necessary even down to the grid spacing of at least 3 km. Full article

Tropical cyclones (TCs) form over warm ocean surfaces and are driven by complex air–sea interactions, posing significant challenges to their forecasting. Accurate parameterization of physical processes is crucial for enhancing the precision of TC predictions. In this study, we employed the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with the Simulating Waves Nearshore (WRF-SWAN) model to forecast Typhoon Doksuri (2023), which exhibited a secondary intensification process in the South China Sea (SCS). We also investigated its sensitivity to various atmospheric physical parameterization schemes (PPS). The findings indicate that improvements in microphysical and cumulus convection parameterizations have significantly enhanced the prediction accuracy of Typhoon Doksuri’s trajectory and intensity. The simulation of sea surface heat flux is primarily influenced by the microphysical scheme, while the cumulus convection scheme substantially affects the representation of the typhoon core’s size and shape. Variations in the wind field induce differences in wave height, potentially reaching up to 2–3 m at any given moment. This study provides valuable insights into the effective selection of physical parameterizations for improving typhoon forecasts. Full article

This study employed version 4.2.2 of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model for this simulation and applied two microphysics schemes, the Thompson scheme (THOM) and Milbrandt–Yau scheme (MY)—which are widely used in convective simulations—to simulate a mesoscale severe convective precipitation event that occurred in southeastern China on 8 May 2017. The simulations were then compared with dual-polarization radar observations using a radar simulator. It was found that THOM produced vertical structures of radar reflectivity (Z_H) closer to radar observations and accumulated precipitation more consistent with ground-based observations. However, both schemes overestimated specific differential phase (K_DP) and differential reflectivity (Z_DR) below the 0 °C level. Further analysis indicated that THOM produced more rain with larger raindrop sizes below the 0 °C level. Due to the close connection between raindrop breakup, evaporation rate, and raindrop size, sensitivity experiments on the breakup threshold (D_b) and the evaporation efficiency (E_E) of the THOM scheme were carried out. It was found that adjusting D_b significantly changed the simulated raindrop size distribution and had a certain impact on the strength of cold pool; whereas modifying E_E not only significantly changed the intensity and scope of the cold pool, but also had great effect on the raindrop size distribution. At the same time, comparison with dual-polarization radar observations indicated that reducing the D_b can improve the model’s simulation of polarimetric radar variables such as Z_DR. This paper specifically analyzes a severe convective precipitation event in the Guangdong region under weak synoptic conditions and a humid climate. It demonstrates the feasibility of a method based on polarimetric radar data that modifies D_b of THOM to achieve better consistency between simulations and observations in southeast China. Since the microphysical processes of different Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCSs) vary, the generalizability of this study needs to be validated through more cases and regions in the future. Full article

The weather research and forecasting (WRF) model is frequently used to investigate the meteorological field around nuclear installations. The configuration of physical process parameterization schemes in the WRF model has a significant impact on the accuracy of the simulation results. Consequently, carrying out a pre-experiment to quickly obtain the optimal combination of parameterization schemes is essential before conducting meteorological parameter research. To obtain the optimal combination of physical process parameterization schemes from the planetary boundary layer (PBL), land surface (LSF), microphysical (MP), long-wave (LW), and short-wave (SW) radiation processes of the WRF model for simulating the near-surface meteorological variables near a nuclear power plant in Sanshan Town, Fuqing City, Fujian Province, China on 4 June 2019 were observed. Orthogonal experimental design (OED), a comprehensive evaluation method based on the CRiteria Import Through Intercriteria Correlation (CRITIC) weight analysis, and comprehensive balance method were employed for the first time to conduct the research. The sensitivity of meteorological variables to physical processes was first discussed. The findings revealed that the PBL scheme configuration had a profound impact on simulating wind fields. Furthermore, the LSF scheme configuration had a significant influence on simulating near-surface temperature and relative humidity, which was much greater than that of other physical processes. In addition, the choice of the radiation scheme had a significant impact on how the temperature was distributed close to the ground and how the wind field was simulated. Furthermore, the configuration of the MP scheme was found to exert a certain influence on the simulation of relative humidity; however, it demonstrated a weak influence on other meteorological variables. Secondly, The MYNN3 scheme for PBL process, the NoahMP scheme for LSF process, the WSM5 scheme for MP process, the RRTMG scheme for LW process, and the Dudhia scheme for SW process are found to be the comprehensive optimal physical process parameterization scheme combination for simulating meteorological variables in the research area selected in this study. As evident from the findings, the use of the OED method to obtain the combinations of the optimal physical process parameterization scheme could successfully reproduce the wind field, temperature, and relative humidity in the current study. Thus, this method appears to be highly reliable and effective for use in the WRF models to explore the optimal combinations of the physical process parameterization scheme, which could provide theoretical support to quickly analyzing accurate meteorological field data for longer periods and contribute to deeply investigating the migration and diffusion behavior of airborne pollutants in the atmosphere. Full article

The microphysical characteristics of precipitation and their differences among four typical weather systems over Hainan Island were investigated via multi-source observations from 2019 to 2023. We find that the cold fronts (CFs) have the greatest concentration of small raindrops, with a more substantial raindrop condensation process. The subtropical highs (SHs), with primarily deep convection and more prominent evaporation at low levels, lead to greater medium-to-large raindrops (diameters > 1 mm). Tropical cyclones (TCs) are characterized mainly by raindrop condensation and breakup, resulting in high concentrations of small raindrops and low concentrations of large raindrops. The trough of low pressures (TLPs) produces the lowest concentration of small raindrops because of evaporation processes. The convective clusters of the SHs are between maritime-like and continental-like convective clusters, and those of the other three types of weather systems are closer to maritime-like convective clusters. The relationships between the shape parameter (μ) and the slope parameter (Λ), as well as between the reflectivity factors (Z) and the rain rates (R), were established for the four weather systems. These results could improve the accuracy of radar quantitative precipitation estimation and the microphysical parameterizations of numerical models for Hainan Island. Full article

This study utilized the WRF model to investigate the track evolution and rapid intensification (RI) of Typhoon Doksuri (2023) as it moved across the Luzon Strait and through the South China Sea (SCS). The simulation results indicate that Doksuri has a smaller track sensitivity to the use of different physics schemes, while having a greater intensity sensitivity. Sensitivity numerical experiments with different physics schemes can well capture its northwestward movement in the first two days, but they predict less westward track deflection as the typhoon moves across the Luzon Strait and through the SCS. Moreover, all the experiments successfully simulated Doksuri’s RI, albeit with quite different rates and a time lag of 12 h. Among different combinations of physics schemes, there exists an optimal set of cumulus parameterization and cloud microphysics schemes for track and intensity predictions. Doksuri’s track changes as the typhoon moved across the Luzon Strait and through the SCS were influenced by the topographic effects of the terrain of the Philippines and Taiwan, to different extents. The track changes of Doksuri are explained by the wavenumber-one potential vorticity (PV) tendency budget from different physical processes, highlighting that the horizontal PV advection dominates the PV tendency throughout most of the simulation time due to the offset of vertical PV advection and differential diabatic heating. In addition, this study applies the extended Sawyer–Eliassen (SE) equation to compare the transverse circulations of the typhoon induced by various forcing sources. The SE solution indicates that radial inflow was largely driven in the lower-tropospheric vortex by strong diabatic heating, while being significantly enhanced in the lower boundary layer due to turbulent friction. All other physical forcing terms were relatively insignificant for the induced transverse circulation. The coordinated radial inflow at low levels may have led to the eyewall development in unbalanced dynamics. Intense diabatic heating thus was vital to the severe RI of Doksuri under a weak vertical wind shear. Full article

Downscaling seasonal climate forecasts using regional climate models (RCMs) became an emerging area during the last decade owing to RCMs’ more comprehensive representation of the important physical processes at a finer resolution. However, it is crucial to test RCMs for the most appropriate model setup for a particular purpose over a given region through numerical experiments. Thus, this sensitivity study was aimed at identifying an optimum configuration in the Weather, Research, and Forecasting (WRF) model over Ethiopia. A total of 35 WRF simulations with different combinations of parameterization schemes for cumulus (CU), planetary boundary layer (PBL), cloud microphysics (MP), longwave (LW), and shortwave (SW) radiation were tested during the summer (June to August, JJA) season of 2002. The WRF simulations used a two-domain configuration with a 12 km nested domain covering Ethiopia. The initial and boundary forcing data for WRF were from the Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR). The simulations were compared with station and gridded observations to evaluate their ability to reproduce different aspects of JJA rainfall. An objective ranking method using an aggregate score of several statistics was used to select the best-performing model configuration. The JJA rainfall was found to be most sensitive to the choice of cumulus parameterization and least sensitive to cloud microphysics. All the simulations captured the spatial distribution of JJA rainfall with the pattern correlation coefficient (PCC) ranging from 0.89 to 0.94. However, all the simulations overestimated the JJA rainfall amount and the number of rainy days. Out of the 35 simulations, one that used the Grell CU, ACM2 PBL, LIN MP, RRTM LW, and Dudhia SW schemes performed the best in reproducing the amount and spatio-temporal distribution of JJA rainfall and was selected for downscaling the CFSv2 operational forecast. Full article

Understanding the macro and micro characteristics of precipitation in landfall typhoons is crucial to predicting the path and intensity of tropical cyclones by using numerical models. In this study, we use observations from the Global Precipitation Measurement Mission to analyze the microphysics of convection and stratiform precipitation during the landfall of Typhoon Lekima. The statistical results show that the correlation coefficient of the reflectivity factors of the spaceborne and ground-based radars is 0.77 and that the water content detected by the 18.7 GHz low-frequency vertical channel is positively correlated with the intense-precipitation rate. The storm top height is generally consistent with the location of heavy precipitation. The average near-surface precipitation rate and liquid water content of convective precipitation are higher than those of stratiform precipitation. The average mass-weighted raindrop diameter and particle number concentration of convective (stratiform) precipitation at a distance of 2 km above ground level are 1.52 mm (1.29 mm) and 39.52 (36.44, in decibel scale), respectively. Below the melting layer, there is a significant increase in average particle diameter, indicating that the collision aggregation growth process of raindrops is dominant. These results are potentially helpful in validating and improving microphysics parameterization in numerical models. Full article

Assessment of the concentrations of dust pollution resulting from both measurements at reference stations and those determined using mathematical modelling requires accurate identification of the sources of emission. Although the concentration of dust results from several complex transport processes, as well as chemical and microphysical transformations of aerosols, sources of emissions may have a significant impact on the local level of pollution. This pilot study aimed to use measurements of the concentrations of dust (with the specification of the PM10 and PM2.5 fractions) made over a heap/excavation and its surroundings using an airship equipped with equipment for testing the optical and microphysical properties of atmospheric aerosols, and a ground station located at the facility. On the basis of the measurements, the function of the source of emissions of dust was estimated. According to our study, the yearly emission of dust varies between 42,470 and 886,289 kg for PM10, and between 42,470 and 803,893 for PM2.5 (minimum and maximum values). A model of local air quality was also used, which allowed us to verify the parameterization of emissions of dust pollutants for the PM10 and PM2.5 fractions from heaps and excavations based on the modelling results. Full article

Cumulus parameterization schemes model the subgrid-scale effects of moist convection, affecting the prognosis of cloud formation, rainfall, energy levels reaching the surface, and air quality. Working with a spatial resolution of 1 km, we studied the influence of cumulus parameterization schemes coded in the Weather Research and Forecasting with Chemistry Version 3.2 (WRF-Chem 3.2) for modeling in an Andean city in Southern Ecuador (Cuenca, 2500 masl), during September 2014. To assess performance, we used meteorological records from the urban area and stations located mainly over the Cordillera, with heights above 3000 masl, and air quality records from the urban area. Firstly, we did not use any cumulus parameterization (0 No Cumulus). Then, we considered four schemes: 1 Kain–Fritsch, 2 Betts–Miller–Janjic, 3 Grell–Devenyi, and 4 Grell-3 Ensemble. On average, the 0 No Cumulus option was better for modeling meteorological variables over the urban area, capturing 66.5% of records and being the best for precipitation (77.8%). However, 1 Kain–Fritsch was better for temperature (78.7%), and 3 Grell–Devenyi was better for wind speed (77.0%) and wind direction (37.9%). All the options provided acceptable and comparable performances for modeling short-term and long-term air quality variables. The results suggested that using no cumulus scheme could be beneficial for holistically modeling meteorological and air quality variables in the urban area. However, all the options, including deactivating the cumulus scheme, overestimated the total amount of precipitation over the Cordillera, implying that its modeling needs to be improved, particularly for studies on water supply and hydrological management. All the options also overestimated the solar radiation levels at the surface. New WRF-Chem versions and microphysics parameterization, the other component directly related to cloud and rainfall processes, must be assessed. In the future, a more refined inner domain, or an inner domain that combines a higher resolution (less than 1 km) over the Cordillera, with 1 km cells over the urban area, can be assessed. Full article

The present study assesses the simulated precipitation and cloud properties using three microphysics schemes (Morrison, Thompson and MY) implemented in the Weather Research and Forecasting model. The precipitation, differential reflectivity (Z_DR), specific differential phase (K_DP) and mass-weighted mean diameter of raindrops (Dm) are compared with measurements from a heavy rainfall event that occurred on 27 June 2020 during the Integrative Monsoon Frontal Rainfall Experiment (IMFRE). The results indicate that all three microphysics schemes generally capture the characteristics of rainfall, Z_DR, K_DP and Dm, but tend to overestimate their intensity. To enhance the model performance, adjustments are made based on the MY scheme, which exhibited the best performance. Specifically, the overall coalescence and collision parameter (Ec) is reduced, which effectively decreases Dm and makes it more consistent with observations. Generally, reducing Ec leads to an increase in the simulated content (Qr) and number concentration (Nr) of raindrops across most time steps and altitudes. With a smaller Ec, the impact of microphysical processes on Nr and Qr varies with time and altitude. Generally, the autoconversion of droplets to raindrops primarily contributes to Nr, while the accretion of cloud droplets by raindrops plays a more significant role in increasing Qr. In this study, it is emphasized that even if the precipitation characteristics could be adequately reproduced, accurately simulating microphysical characteristics remains challenging and it still needs adjustments in the most physically based parameterizations to achieve more accurate simulation. Full article