Search Results (126)

This study focuses on Fortaleza, the largest metropolis in Brazil’s semi-arid region. Due to recurrent droughts, massive infrastructure like high-density reservoir networks, inter-municipal and interstate water transfer systems, and a seawater desalination plant have been implemented to ensure the city’s water security. To evaluate the quantitative and qualitative impact of introducing these diverse water sources into Fortaleza’s water supply macrosystem, adequate calibration of the operating and demand parameters is required. In this study, the macrosystem was calibrated using the Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) method based on hourly data from 50 pressure head monitoring points and 40 flow rate monitoring points over two typical operational days. The calibration process involved adjusting the operational rules of typical valves in large-scale Water Distribution Systems (WDS). After parameterization, the calibration presented the following results: R² of 88% for pressure head and 96% for flow rate, with average relative errors of 13% for the pressure head and flow rate. In addition, with NSE values above 0.80 after calibration for the flow rate and pressure head, the PSO method suggests a significant improvement in the simulation model’s performance. These results offer a methodology for calibrating real WDS to simulate various water injection scenarios in the Fortaleza macrosystem. Full article

With the increasing presence of large-scale new energy sources, such as wind and photovoltaic (PV) systems, integrating traditional hydropower with wind and PV power into a hydro–wind–PV complementary system in economic dispatch can effectively mitigate wind and PV fluctuations. In this study, Markov chains and the Copula joint distribution function were adopted to quantize the spatiotemporal relationships among hydro, wind and PV, whereby runoff, wind, and PV output scenarios were generated to simulate their uncertainties. A dual-objective optimization model is proposed for the long-term hydro–wind–PV co-scheduling (LHWP-CS) problem. To solve the model, a well-tailored evolutionary multi-objective optimization method was developed, which combines multiple recombination operators and two different dominance rules for basic and elite populations. The proposed model and algorithm were tested on three annual reservoirs with large wind and PV farms in the Hongshui River Basin. The proposed algorithm demonstrates superior performance, with average improvements of 2.90% and 2.63% in total power generation, and 1.23% and 0.96% in minimum output expectation compared to BORG and NSGA-II, respectively. The results also infer that the number of scenarios is a key parameter in achieving a tradeoff between economics and risk. Full article

Difficulty in clarifying the deformation characteristics of deep rocks under a high water pressure environment is a technical bottleneck restricting the safe operation of large hydropower stations. In order to study the effect of reservoir water level changes on the mechanical behavior of deep limestone, a series of mechanical tests were conducted under different dynamic high water pressure environments using a self-developed hydraulic loading test device. The test results show that the unsaturated limestone always undergoes compressive deformation during the linear increase in external water pressure, and the saturated limestone changes its deformation state from compression to expansion during the linear decrease in external water pressure. The stress–strain curve of limestone shows apparent hysteresis characteristics during the cyclic increase and decrease in external water pressure. Overall, the rock strain rate showed a significant negative correlation with the external water pressure, and the rock deformation modulus showed a certain positive correlation with the external water pressure. During hydraulic loading, saturated rocks had a smaller range of variation in the strain rate and deformation modulus and were more resistant to deformation than unsaturated rocks. Limestone was subjected to both external water pressure and internal pore water pressure in a cyclic cycle, where pore water pressure promotes pore creation and expansion, while external water pressure prevents water from degrading the pore structure. The periodic change of water pressure has a significant influence on rock mechanics and deformation behavior, and the rock mass will undergo elastic deformation, plastic deformation, and even fracture. Further study of this deformation rule can provide a more accurate theoretical basis for the safe operation of water conservancy projects. Full article

The application of nanocomposites based on polyacrylamide hydrogels as well as silica nanoparticles in various tasks related to the petroleum industry has been rapidly developing in the last 10–15 years. Analysis of the literature has shown that the introduction of nanoparticles into hydrogels significantly increases their structural and mechanical characteristics and improves their thermal stability. Nanocomposites based on hydrogels are used in different technological processes of oil production: for conformance control, water shutoff in production wells, and well killing with loss circulation control. In all these processes, hydrogels crosslinked with different crosslinkers are used, with the addition of different amounts of nanoparticles. The highest nanoparticle content, from 5 to 9 wt%, was observed in hydrogels for well killing. This is explained by the fact that the volumes of injection of block packs are counted only in tens of cubic meters, and for the sake of trouble-free workover, it is very important to preserve the structural and mechanical properties of block packs during the entire repair of the well. For water shutoff, the volumes of nanocomposite injection, depending on the well design, are from 50 to 150 m³. For conformance control, it is required to inject from one to several thousand cubic meters of hydrogel with nanoparticles. Naturally, for such operations, service companies try to select compositions with the minimum required nanoparticle content, which would ensure injection efficiency but at the same time would not lose economic attractiveness. The aim of the present work is to develop formulations of nanocomposites with increased structural and mechanical characteristics based on hydrogels made of partially hydrolyzed polyacrylamide crosslinked with resorcinol and paraform, with the addition of commercially available nanosilica, as well as to study their thermal degradation, which is necessary to predict the lifetime of gel shields in reservoir conditions. Hydrogels with additives of pyrogenic (HCSIL200, HCSIL300, RX380) and hydrated (white carbon black grades: ‘BS-50’, ‘BS-120 NU’, ‘BS-120 U’) nanosilica have been studied. The best samples in terms of their structural and mechanical properties have been established: nanocomposites with HCSIL200, HCSIL300, and BS-120 NU. The addition of hydrophilic nanosilica HCSIL200 in the amount of 0.4 wt% to a hydrogel consisting of partially hydrolyzed polyacrylamide (1%), resorcinol (0.04%), and paraform (0.09%) increased its elastic modulus by almost two times and its USS by almost three times. The thermal degradation of hydrogels was studied at 140 °C, and the experimental time was converted to the exposure time at 80 °C using Van’t Hoff’s rule. It was found that the nanocomposite with HCSIL200 retains its properties at a satisfactory level for 19 months. Filtration studies on water-saturated fractured reservoir models showed that the residual resistance factor and selectivity of the effect of nanocomposites with HCSIL200 on fractures are very high (226.4 and 91.6 for fracture with an opening of 0.05 cm and 11.0 for porous medium with a permeability of 332.3 mD). The selectivity of the isolating action on fractured intervals of the porous formation was noted. Full article

Extreme flood events present a significant challenge for operators and managers of large drinking water reservoirs. Detailed flood response analysis can predict the hydrology response of a reservoir to changing climate conditions and can aid in managing the reservoir in anticipation of extreme events. Herein, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT), a watershed model, was used in conjunction with a reservoir management model, the Operational Analysis and Simulation of Integrated Systems (OASIS) model, to evaluate extreme flood events across a set of initial reservoir storage capacities across various CMIP6 climate scenarios. The SWAT model was calibrated and validated with PRISM climate data in conjunction with land and soil cover data and multi-site gauged stream discharges. The validated model demonstrated satisfactory performance (NSE = 0.55 and R² = 0.56) for total reservoir inflow. The resulting inflow values from SWAT were utilized to set up a calibrated/validated OASIS model (NSE = 0.55 and R² = 0.68). OASIS was then used to assess alternative operating rules for the reservoir under varying climate scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) and extreme events (synthetic hurricanes). Focusing on a major reservoir in the Northeastern United States, the analysis of the reservoir response was based on (1) reservoir volume–elevation curve, (2) daily reservoir inflow, (3) daily precipitation, (4) spillway flow, and (5) reservoir evaporation. Projected future scenarios indicate a >20% increase in precipitation in April compared to historical records, coupled with likely reduced runoff from November to March. With extreme conditions most likely in the month of April, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 projections suggest that most scenarios result in a 10–15% increase in the mean of 3D30Y runoff volumes, and a 150% increase under the most extreme conditions. For 7D30Y runoff volumes in April, the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 analyses reveal an increased likelihood of the reservoir elevation reaching overspill flow levels during the latter half of the simulation period (2020 to 2080). Our findings indicate that simulations with SWAT coupled with OASIS can assist reservoir managers in regulating water levels in anticipation of extreme precipitation events. Full article

Almost all multipurpose reservoirs in Romania were put into operation 30–50 years ago or even earlier. Meanwhile, a large volume of hydrologic data has been collected, and the initial design flood should be reconsidered. Consequently, the operating rules of flow control structures (bottom gates and weir gates) should be re-examined, mainly for medium and low-frequency floods. The design flood is not unique, being characterized by different shapes and time to peak, which has consequences for flood mitigation rules. Identifying the critical design flood is an important preliminary step, although it is usually neglected in flood management. Simulating the operation of the Stânca–Costești reservoir on the Prut River, it was found that the design flood corresponding to the maximum value of the compactness coefficient is the most difficult to mitigate considering the specific conditions of the dam and the reservoir: the prescribed conservation level in the reservoir, and the design flood volume of medium and rare floods that far exceeds the flood control volume. These conditions can jeopardize both dam safety and downstream flood protection. The main steps of the proposed approach are as follows: (1) developing the hydraulic model; (2) statistical processing of the registered floods and defining critical design floods for different AEPs (Annual Exceedance Probabilities); (3) deriving optimal operation rules based on a simulation-optimization model; (4) implementing real-time adaptive operation of the mechanical outlets; and (5) critically assessing the operating rules after the event. Based on the hydrological forecast, if necessary, new outlets are put into operation while keeping the ones already activated. Based on the hydrological forecast and properly operated, the safety of the Stânca–Costești dam is guaranteed even in the event of a 0.1% CC (Climate Change) flood. However, for floods greater than 1% magnitude, the carrying capacity of the downstream riverbed is exceeded. The main gaps addressed in this paper are the following: (1) the establishment of critical design floods, and (2) the adaptive operating rules of outlet devices aimed at optimizing flood control results, using short-term flood forecasts. Full article

The efficient operation of multi-reservoirs is highly beneficial for securing supply for prevailing demand and ecological flow. This study proposes a monthly hedging rule-based aggregation–decomposition model for optimizing a parallel reservoir system. The proposed model, which is an aggregated hedging rule for ecological flow (AHRE), uses external optimization to determine the total release of the reservoir system based on improved hedging rules—the optimization model aims to minimize water demand and ecological flow deficits. Additionally, inner optimization distributes the release to individual reservoirs to maintain equal reservoir storage rates. To verify the effectiveness of the AHRE, a standard operation policy and transformed hedging rules were selected for comparison. Three parallel reservoirs in the Naesung Stream Basin in South Korea were selected as a study area. The results of this study demonstrate that the AHRE is better than the other two methods in terms of supplying water in line with demand and ecological flow. In addition, the AHRE showed relatively stable operation results with small water-level fluctuations, owing to the application of improved hedging rules and a decomposition method. The results indicate that the AHRE has the capacity to improve downstream river ecosystems while maintaining human water use and provide a superior response to uncertain droughts. Full article

Constructing and operating cascade reservoirs significantly contribute to comprehensive basin water resource management, while altering natural hydrological regimes of rivers, which imposes negative impacts on riverine ecology. The main aim of this study is to synergistically optimize the objectives of increasing hydropower generation and alleviating hydrological regime alteration for cascade reservoirs. This study first proposed a dynamic time warping scenario backward reduction (DTW-SBR) framework to extract streamflow scenarios from the historical streamflow series regarded as benchmarks for calculating deviation degrees of hydrological regimes. Then a multi-objective long-term operation model considering the hydrological regime and hydroelectricity was formed for minimizing the deviation degrees of hydrological regimes at the downstream section (O1) and maximizing the hydropower generation of cascade reservoirs (O2). The non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm-II (NSGA-II) combined with the long-term conventional operation (CO) rules of cascade reservoirs was adopted to produce the Pareto-front solutions to derive the recommended policies for guiding the long-term operation of cascade reservoirs. The six large reservoirs in the middle reaches of the Jinsha River, China with a 10-day runoff dataset spanning from 1953 to 2015 constitute a case study. The results showed that nine streamflow scenarios were extracted for calculating the O1 by the DTW-SBR framework, which could reflect the intra- and inter- annual variability of hydrological regimes at the Panzhihua hydrological station. The Pareto-front solutions obtained by the NSGA-II revealed competitive relationships between the O1 and O2. As compared to the long-term CO rules of cascade reservoirs, the O1 value could be reduced by up to 42,312 (corresponding rate of 10.51%) and the O2 value could be improved by up to 1752 × 10⁸ kW·h (corresponding rate of 5.14%). Based on the inclination to be dominated by different objectives, three typical operation schemes, A, B and C, were chosen from the Pareto-front solutions; Scheme A could be considered as the recommended solution, which simultaneously reduced the O1 value by 23,965 with the rate of 5.95% and increased the O2 value by 1752 × 10⁸ kW·h with the rate of 5.14%, as compared to the long-term CO rules. This study can provide references on boosting the synergies of hydropower production and hydrological regime restoration for the long-term ecological operation of cascade reservoirs. Full article

The Hsinchu Science Park (HSP) in Taiwan plays a vital role in the chain of semiconductor production, but water scarcity has been challenging semiconductor manufacturing. The Baoshan Reservoir (BS) and the Baoshan Second Reservoir (BSR) are two major sources of water supply to the HSP. However, the impacts of climate change on the water supply have not been analyzed. In this study, a hydrological model (i.e., SWAT) and an operation model of the BR and the BSR were coupled to assess the climate change impacts on the inflow, outflow, and water storage volume (WSV) of the reservoirs. The simulations were based on the weather data for the RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0, and RCP8.5 scenarios of AR5 for the Periods of 2021–2040, 2041–2060, 2061–2060, and 2081–2100 derived from up to 33 GCMs/EMSs. It is found that more intensified global warming would generally result in more apparent rainfall seasonality that is wetter in the wet season and dryer in the dry season and more magnified seasonality in river flow. During the hotspot period of water shortage in the HSP from February to May, future water scarcity is expected to worsen. Among the 16 combinations of scenarios and Periods, 13 indicate lower WSV in the future compared to the Baseline. The annual mean number of ten-day periods with WSV lower than the operation rule curve ranges from 4.84 to 6.95 ten-day periods, higher than the Baseline of 4.81 ten-day periods. Overall, RCP6.0 has the most significant impact on the study area, with the highest annual economic loss occurring during the 2041-2060 period, reaching USD 1 billion (~2.37% of the 2023 annual production value) for the HSP. This study also provides a three-month cumulative rainfall threshold as an operational warning indicator for the HSP. Our assessment results indicate that future water supply to the HSP should be a serious concern for stabilizing the manufacturing processes and hence the global semiconductor component supply. Full article

A univariate analysis that relies solely on precipitation data in low flow frequency analysis is a technique to express meteorological drought, so it is limited to analyzing the characteristics of hydrological drought related to available water resources. In addition, if the data for the model calibration are insufficient, the uncertainty of a single variable limits the construction of a reliable model. To improve this problem, a frequency analysis was performed by constructing a bivariate copula model as a multivariate model with a high correlation between variables targeting reservoir inflows. The methodology utilizes the theory of runs to identify low flow events, establishing a threshold based on the mandatory regional water supply plan, and determining the low flow duration and cumulative water deficit. The Gumbel copula function, effective in capturing correlations between hydrological variables, was applied to derive a joint bivariate probability distribution, facilitating the calculation of combined low flow event return periods. This study compared low flow frequencies at Soyanggang dam (’74–’22) and Chungju dam (’86–’22), which are in the same Han River basin but have different capacities and water demands, using a bivariate copula model. The top four extreme low flow events for the two adjacent dam basins did not occur in the same year and, in the years of the extreme low flow events at one of the two dam basins, there was an insignificant magnitude at the remaining dam basin. This result is noteworthy because it shows that the possibility of extreme low flow events appearing simultaneously in both watersheds is not as high as expected. The operational efficiency can be improved by setting the coordinated operation rules of the two reservoirs using the copula dependency structure. Full article

This paper presents a quantitative assessment of the value of hydroelectric power plants (HPPs) in power systems with a significant penetration of variable renewable energy sources (VRESs). Through a capacity expansion planning (CEP) model that incorporates a detailed representation of HPP operating principles, the study investigates the construction and application of HPP rule curves essential for seasonal operation. A comparative analysis is also conducted between the proposed rule curve formulation and alternative modeling techniques from the literature. The CEP model optimizes installed capacities per technology to achieve predefined VRES penetration targets, considering hourly granularity and separate rule curves for each HPP. A case study involving twelve reservoir hydropower stations and two open-loop pumped hydro stations is examined, accounting for standalone plants and cascaded hydro systems across six river basins. The study evaluates the additional generation and storage required to replace the hydropower fleet under high VRES penetration levels, assessing the resulting increases in total system cost emanating from introducing such new investments. Furthermore, the study approximates the storage capabilities of HPPs and investigates the impact of simplified HPP modeling on system operation and investment decisions. Overall, the findings underscore the importance of reevaluating hydro rule curves for future high VRES penetration conditions and highlight the significance of HPPs in the energy transition towards carbon neutrality. Full article

Gas inflow control in oil wells is one of the most challenging types of repair and sealing operations, the success rate of which does not exceed, as a rule, 30%. Conventional shutoff methods are often ineffective for this purpose. For instance, cement solutions cannot be injected into wells in the required volumes, while gel screens can only temporarily block the breakthrough zones, as gas easily seeps through the gel, forming new channels for gas inflow. Technology for the two-stage injection of gas-insulating gel systems for gas control in horizontal wells was developed. At the first stage, a self-generating foam gel composition (FGC), consisting of gel-forming and gas-forming compositions, was used. A foam gel structure with enhanced rheological and flow characteristics was formed over a controlled time as a result of the interaction between the gel-forming and gas-forming compounds. A PAM-based hydrogel crosslinked with an organic crosslinker was added to the FGC at the second stage of treatment. The laboratory experiments substantiated the technology of well gas and water shutoff by the sequential injection of self-generating foam gel composition and hydrogel. Field tests confirmed the correctness of the chosen concept. It is very important to clearly identify the sources of gas inflow for the success of this well intervention and take into account the well design, as well as the reservoir geological structure and characteristics. The gas shutoff operation can be properly designed for each well only by comparing all these factors. The validity of the selected technology was tested through a series of laboratory experiments. Successful laboratory tests allowed for the application of the studied technology in a field setting, where the gas shutoff agent was injected into three horizontal wells. As a result of the field application, the gas inflow was successfully isolated in two wells. However, the application of the technology failed in the third well which gave an opportunity to revisit the technology’s design and to review the sources of gas inflow. Overall, the achieved success rate of 66% demonstrated the high efficiency of the studied technology and supported its wider application in the field. Full article

In reservoir operation rule curves, it is necessary to apply rule curves to guide long-term reservoir management. This study proposes an approach to optimizing reservoir operation rule curves (RORCs) using intelligent optimization techniques from the firefly algorithm (FA) and a unique combination method utilizing the artificial bee colony and cultural algorithm (ABC-CA). The aim is to establish a connection with the simulation model to determine the optimal RORCs for flood control. The proposed model was used to determine the optimal flood control RORC for the Nam-Oon Reservoir (NOR) in northeastern Thailand. A minimum frequency and minimum average of excess water were provided as an objective function for assessing the efficiency of the search process. The evaluation of the effectiveness of flood control RORCs involved expressing water scarcity and excess water situations in terms of frequency, magnitude, and duration using historical inflow data synthesized from 1000 events. The results demonstrated that when using the obtained RORC to simulate the NOR system for reducing flooding in long-term operations, excess water scenarios were smaller than those using the current RORC. The results showed that the excess water scenario using the RORC obtained from the proposed model can reduce the excess water better than the current RORC usage scenario. In decreasing flood situations, the newly acquired RORC from the suggested FA and ABC-CA models performed better than the current RORC. Full article

Flood control operation of cascade reservoirs is an important technology to reduce flood disasters and increase economic benefits. Flood forecast information can help reservoir managers make better use of flood resources and reduce flood risks. In this paper, a hierarchical pre-release flood operation rule considering the flood forecast and its uncertainty information is proposed for real-time flood control. A many-objective optimization model considering the cascade reservoir’s power generation objective, flood control objective, and navigation objective is established. Then, a region search evolutionary algorithm is applied to optimize the many-objective optimization model in a real-world case study upstream of the Yangtze River basin. The optimization experimental results show that the region search evolutionary algorithm can balance convergence and diversity well, and the HV value is 40% higher than the MOEA/D algorithm. The simulation flood control results of cascade reservoirs upstream of the Yangtze River demonstrate that the optimized flood control rule can increase the average multi-year power generation of cascade reservoirs by a maximum of 27.72 × 10⁸ kWh under the condition of flood control safety. The rules proposed in this paper utilize flood resources by identifying runoff forecast information, and pre-release to the flood limit level 145 m before the big flood occurs, so as to ensure the safety downstream and the dam’s own flood control and provide reliable decision support for reservoir managers. Full article

Despite the reliability and flexibility of hydropower, the operation of hydroelectric power plants may have significant impacts on the downstream river system, including its water stage, sediment transport, and water temperature, ultimately affecting the ecology. To address these challenges, there is a need to identify water scheduling patterns that improve both hydropower economics and the environment relative to current operations. This paper presents a new methodology to explore promising operational criteria/rules that can achieve such improvements. Typical environmental impact statements and relicensing processes generally perform detailed site-specific analyses of a few alternatives that focus on reservoir water release operating rules and their associated environmental impacts. In contrast, the methodology presented in this article uses a widely applicable approach that explores a much larger solution space. This large set of potential alternatives can be represented in a multidimensional space for which one axis represents the economic value and the other axis quantify individual environmental impacts (e.g., sediment transport and fish growth), and they are explored via two approaches: a Monte Carlo simulation that identifies “win–win” alternatives and a multi-objective optimization problem that identifies Pareto-optimal alternatives. Full article