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Article

Projections on the Spatiotemporal Bioclimatic Change over the Phytogeographical Regions of Greece by the Emberger Index

by
Ioannis Charalampopoulos
1,*,
Fotoula Droulia
1,
Ioannis P. Kokkoris
2 and
Panayotis Dimopoulos
3
1
Laboratory of General and Agricultural Meteorology, Department of Crop Science, Agricultural University of Athens, 11855 Athens, Greece
2
Department of Sustainable Agriculture, University of Patras, 2 G. Seferi St., 30131 Agrinio, Greece
3
Laboratory of Botany, Department of Biology, University of Patras, 26504 Patras, Greece
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Water 2024, 16(14), 2070; https://doi.org/10.3390/w16142070 (registering DOI)
Submission received: 30 June 2024 / Revised: 19 July 2024 / Accepted: 20 July 2024 / Published: 22 July 2024
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources: Assessment and Modeling)

Abstract

Unquestionably, the rapidly changing climate and, therefore, alterations in the associated bioclimate, constitute an alarming reality with implications for daily practice and natural capital management. This research displays the present and projected bioclimate evolution over Greece’s phytogeographical regions. For this purpose, ultrahigh-resolution computation results on the spatial distribution of the Emberger index’s Q2 classes of bioclimatic characterization are analyzed and illustrated for the first time. The assessments are performed over the reference period (1970–2000) and two future time frames (2021–2040; 2041–2060) under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 emission scenarios. By 2060 and under the extreme RCP8.5, intense xerothermic trends are demonstrated owing to the resulting significant spatial evolution mainly of the Arid–Hot, Semi-Arid–Very Hot, Semi-Arid–Hot, and Semi-Arid–Temperate Q2 classes, respectively, over the phytogeographical regions of Kiklades (up to 29% occupation), Kriti and Karpathos (up to 30%), West Aegean Islands (up to 26%), North East (up to 56%), and North Central (up to 31%). The RCP8.5 long-term period exhibits the strongest impacts over approximately the right half of the Greek territory, with the bioclimate appearing more dry–thermal in the future. In conclusion, the Emberger index provides an in-depth view of the Greek area’s bioclimatic regime and the potential alterations due to climate change per phytogeographical region.
Keywords: aridisation; bioclimate classification; climate change; climate projections; natural capital management; southern Europe aridisation; bioclimate classification; climate change; climate projections; natural capital management; southern Europe

Share and Cite

MDPI and ACS Style

Charalampopoulos, I.; Droulia, F.; Kokkoris, I.P.; Dimopoulos, P. Projections on the Spatiotemporal Bioclimatic Change over the Phytogeographical Regions of Greece by the Emberger Index. Water 2024, 16, 2070. https://doi.org/10.3390/w16142070

AMA Style

Charalampopoulos I, Droulia F, Kokkoris IP, Dimopoulos P. Projections on the Spatiotemporal Bioclimatic Change over the Phytogeographical Regions of Greece by the Emberger Index. Water. 2024; 16(14):2070. https://doi.org/10.3390/w16142070

Chicago/Turabian Style

Charalampopoulos, Ioannis, Fotoula Droulia, Ioannis P. Kokkoris, and Panayotis Dimopoulos. 2024. "Projections on the Spatiotemporal Bioclimatic Change over the Phytogeographical Regions of Greece by the Emberger Index" Water 16, no. 14: 2070. https://doi.org/10.3390/w16142070

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