New Trends in Stochastic Processes, Probability and Statistics

A special issue of Mathematics (ISSN 2227-7390). This special issue belongs to the section "Probability and Statistics".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: closed (30 April 2024) | Viewed by 2825

Special Issue Editors


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Guest Editor
Institute of Physics and Mathematics, Komi Science Center of Ural Division of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 167000 Syktyvkar, Russia
Interests: random matrices; strong mixing condition; limit theorems; circular law
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Guest Editor
1. Faculty of Computational Mathematics and Cybernetics, Lomonosov Moscow State University, 119991 Moscow, Russia
2. Faculty of Computer Science, National Research University—Higher School of Economics, 167005 Moscow, Russia
Interests: limit theorems of probability theory; vector-valued random variables; weak limit theorems; Gaussian processes; appoximations in statistics; transforms of probability distributions
Special Issues, Collections and Topics in MDPI journals

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Guest Editor
Faculty of Mechanics and Mathematics, Lomonosov Moscow State University, 119991 Moscow, Russia
Interests: probability theory; branching random walks in inhomogeneous and random media; stochastic model

Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

You are cordially invited to contribute to this Special Issue, entitled "New Trends in Stochastic Processes, Probability and Statistics", with an original research article or a comprehensive review paper. The primary focus of this Special Issue is modern areas of the theory of stochastic processes and mathematical statistics. Special attention will be paid to processes that enable us to study the evolution of particle systems in which each particle that is born, dies, and can move through space in different environments follows rules that take into account the random factor. Such processes have applications in a variety of fields, from statistical physics to population dynamics. One of the key issues in the analysis of such systems is the limiting behavior of the various features that describe their evolution. Despite the rigor of the theoretical results, their practical interpretation is required for numerous applications. Moreover, we hope that the manuscripts submitted will be unified by prevalent ideas in the field of branching processes; these include, in particular, controlled random processes, branching random walks in inhomogeneous and random environments, and Markov and non-Markov processes with discrete or continuous time. Currently, the theory surrounding large deviations in such processes is under active development. The development of novel methods for the study of stochastic processes, combining the martingale technique and the spectral approach for the analysis of the spectrum of high-dimensional random matrices, is also a topic we welcome the address of in this Special Issue. Simultaneously, issues pertaining to the modeling and statistical analysis of such systems in various applications might be raised. You are invited to suggest statistical approaches that might be employed to recognize the effect of intermittency on empirical data, and to show that external randomization can enable test statistics to be better approximated due to their limiting distributions. The Special Issue addresses a topic that is a vital aspect of modern applied statistics, because one of the main issues encountered in these studies is the identification of the parameters of random processes and the development of nonparametric statistical methods.

Prof. Dr. Alexander Tikhomirov
Prof. Dr. Vladimir Ulyanov
Prof. Dr. Elena Yarovaya
Guest Editors

Manuscript Submission Information

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Keywords

  • stochastic processes
  • limit theorems
  • branching processes
  • random walks
  • random environments
  • branching random walks
  • martingales
  • spectral methods
  • random matrix
  • statistical inferences
  • regression models
  • weighted random sums
  • non-asymptotic analysis

Related Special Issue

Published Papers (4 papers)

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Research

15 pages, 305 KiB  
Article
General Mean-Field BDSDEs with Stochastic Linear Growth and Discontinuous Generator
by Yufeng Shi and Jinghan Wang
Mathematics 2024, 12(7), 978; https://doi.org/10.3390/math12070978 - 25 Mar 2024
Viewed by 406
Abstract
In this paper, we consider the general mean-field backward doubly stochastic differential equations (mean-field BDSDEs) whose generator f can be discontinuous in y. We prove the existence theorem of solutions under stochastic linear growth conditions and also obtain the related comparison theorem. [...] Read more.
In this paper, we consider the general mean-field backward doubly stochastic differential equations (mean-field BDSDEs) whose generator f can be discontinuous in y. We prove the existence theorem of solutions under stochastic linear growth conditions and also obtain the related comparison theorem. Naturally, we present those results under the linear growth condition, which is a special case of the stochastic condition. Finally, a financial claim sale problem is discussed, which demonstrates the application of the general mean-field BDSDEs in finance. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue New Trends in Stochastic Processes, Probability and Statistics)
14 pages, 340 KiB  
Article
Improved Bayesian Inferences for Right-Censored Birnbaum–Saunders Data
by Kalanka P. Jayalath
Mathematics 2024, 12(6), 874; https://doi.org/10.3390/math12060874 - 16 Mar 2024
Viewed by 906
Abstract
This work focuses on making Bayesian inferences for the two-parameter Birnbaum–Saunders (BS) distribution in the presence of right-censored data. A flexible Gibbs sampler is employed to handle the censored BS data in this Bayesian work that relies on Jeffrey’s and Achcar’s reference priors. [...] Read more.
This work focuses on making Bayesian inferences for the two-parameter Birnbaum–Saunders (BS) distribution in the presence of right-censored data. A flexible Gibbs sampler is employed to handle the censored BS data in this Bayesian work that relies on Jeffrey’s and Achcar’s reference priors. A comprehensive simulation study is conducted to compare estimates under various parameter settings, sample sizes, and levels of censoring. Further comparisons are drawn with real-world examples involving Type-II, progressively Type-II, and randomly right-censored data. The study concludes that the suggested Gibbs sampler enhances the accuracy of Bayesian inferences, and both the amount of censoring and the sample size are identified as influential factors in such analyses. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue New Trends in Stochastic Processes, Probability and Statistics)
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25 pages, 410 KiB  
Article
Forward Selection of Relevant Factors by Means of MDR-EFE Method
by Alexander Bulinski
Mathematics 2024, 12(6), 831; https://doi.org/10.3390/math12060831 - 12 Mar 2024
Viewed by 460
Abstract
The suboptimal procedure under consideration, based on the MDR-EFE algorithm, provides sequential selection of relevant (in a sense) factors affecting the studied, in general, non-binary random response. The model is not assumed linear, the joint distribution of the factors vector and response is [...] Read more.
The suboptimal procedure under consideration, based on the MDR-EFE algorithm, provides sequential selection of relevant (in a sense) factors affecting the studied, in general, non-binary random response. The model is not assumed linear, the joint distribution of the factors vector and response is unknown. A set of relevant factors has specified cardinality. It is proved that under certain conditions the mentioned forward selection procedure gives a random set of factors that asymptotically (with probability tending to one as the number of observations grows to infinity) coincides with the “oracle” one. The latter means that the random set, obtained with this algorithm, approximates the features collection that would be identified, if the joint distribution of the features vector and response were known. For this purpose the statistical estimators of the prediction error functional of the studied response are proposed. They involve a new version of regularization. This permits to guarantee not only the central limit theorem for normalized estimators, but also to find the convergence rate of their first two moments to the corresponding moments of the limiting Gaussian variable. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue New Trends in Stochastic Processes, Probability and Statistics)
22 pages, 373 KiB  
Article
Branching Random Walks in a Random Killing Environment with a Single Reproduction Source
by Vladimir Kutsenko, Stanislav Molchanov and Elena Yarovaya
Mathematics 2024, 12(4), 550; https://doi.org/10.3390/math12040550 - 11 Feb 2024
Viewed by 555
Abstract
We consider a continuous-time branching random walk on Z in a random non-homogeneous environment. The process starts with a single particle at initial time t=0. This particle can walk on the lattice points or disappear with a random intensity until [...] Read more.
We consider a continuous-time branching random walk on Z in a random non-homogeneous environment. The process starts with a single particle at initial time t=0. This particle can walk on the lattice points or disappear with a random intensity until it reaches the certain point, which we call the reproduction source. At the source, the particle can split into two offspring or jump out of the source. The offspring of the initial particle evolves according to the same law, independently of each other and the entire prehistory. The aim of this paper is to study the conditions for the presence of exponential growth of the average number of particles at every lattice point. For this purpose, we investigate the spectrum of the random evolution operator of the average particle numbers. We derive the condition under which there is exponential growth with probability one. We also study the process under the violation of this condition and present the lower and upper estimates for the probability of exponential growth. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue New Trends in Stochastic Processes, Probability and Statistics)
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