Journal Description
Journal of Risk and Financial Management
Journal of Risk and Financial Management
is an international, peer-reviewed, open access journal on risk and financial management, published monthly online by MDPI.
- Open Access— free for readers, with article processing charges (APC) paid by authors or their institutions.
- High Visibility: indexed within Scopus, EconBiz, EconLit, RePEc, and other databases.
- Journal Rank: CiteScore - Q2 (Business, Management and Accounting (miscellaneous))
- Rapid Publication: manuscripts are peer-reviewed and a first decision is provided to authors approximately 20.5 days after submission; acceptance to publication is undertaken in 4.9 days (median values for papers published in this journal in the second half of 2023).
- Recognition of Reviewers: reviewers who provide timely, thorough peer-review reports receive vouchers entitling them to a discount on the APC of their next publication in any MDPI journal, in appreciation of the work done.
Latest Articles
The Moderating Role of Corporate Governance on the Associations of Internal Audit and Its Quality with the Financial Reporting Quality: The Case of Yemeni Banks
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2024, 17(3), 124; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17030124 (registering DOI) - 19 Mar 2024
Abstract
This study investigates the moderating effect of corporate governance on the associations of the internal audit and quality of the internal audit with the quality of financial reporting among commercial banks in the Republic of Yemen. The final sample includes 210 internal auditors,
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This study investigates the moderating effect of corporate governance on the associations of the internal audit and quality of the internal audit with the quality of financial reporting among commercial banks in the Republic of Yemen. The final sample includes 210 internal auditors, heads of internal auditors, chairpersons, and members of audit committees. Using a survey-based methodology, the results of the Smart-PL4 analysis showed a positive association between the internal audit and quality of the internal audit and quality of financial reporting. Interestingly, the results showed an insignificant association between the internal audit, quality of the internal audit, and quality of financial reporting when considering the moderating effect of corporate governance. It is worth noting that the results confirm the existence of a positive relationship between the internal audit, quality of the internal audit, and quality of financial reporting. This confirms the importance of the internal audit and quality of the internal audit in enhancing the quality of financial reports and instilling confidence in improving internal control processes and the financial reporting framework. Among the study’s many contributions are that it enhances current research on the interrelationship between internal auditing, quality of internal audits, and quality of financial reporting. It highlights the pivotal role of the internal audit, its effectiveness, and its ability to improve the quality of financial reports. This study calls for more stringent internal controls and posits that strengthening the internal audit and quality of the internal audit, along with improving corporate governance, can enable managers to raise financial reporting standards in banks. It also provides a mechanism for audit committees to monitor internal audit processes and evaluate internal performance.
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(This article belongs to the Section Banking and Finance)
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Volatility Spillover from Carbon Prices to Stock Prices: Evidence from China’s Carbon Emission Trading Markets
by
Jinwang Ma, Jingran Feng, Jun Chen and Jianing Zhang
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2024, 17(3), 123; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17030123 - 18 Mar 2024
Abstract
The carbon emission trading markets represent an emerging domain within China. The primary objective of this study is to explore whether carbon price volatility influences stock market volatility among companies subject to these emission trading regulations. Employing daily returns data from 293 publicly
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The carbon emission trading markets represent an emerging domain within China. The primary objective of this study is to explore whether carbon price volatility influences stock market volatility among companies subject to these emission trading regulations. Employing daily returns data from 293 publicly traded companies regulated by these emission trading markets, this study encompasses the national carbon market and eight pilot regional carbon markets spanning from August 2013 to October 2023. The results demonstrate that volatility in regional carbon prices positively impacts the stock volatility of companies in the corresponding emission trading region, indicating a volatility spillover effect. Moreover, this spillover effect is more pronounced in sectors marked by lesser carbon intensity than those with greater carbon intensity. The volatility transmission is more pronounced in coastal areas than in inland regions. However, no notable distinctions in volatility transmission are discerned between the periods before and throughout the COVID-19 pandemic. Vector autoregression analyses substantiate that lagged carbon price fluctuations possess limited predictive capacity for contemporaneous equity market volatility and vice versa. The robustness of these outcomes is fortified by applying the E-GARCH model, which accounts for the volatility clustering phenomenon. As the first investigation into the volatility spillover effect between China’s emission trading market and corresponding stock markets, this study offers valuable insights into the investment strategies of retail investors, the formulation of carbon regulations by policymakers, and the carbon emission strategies of corporate managers.
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(This article belongs to the Section Sustainability and Finance)
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Gold Smuggling in India and Its Effect on the Bullion Industry
by
Maria Immanuvel Susai and Lazar Daniel
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2024, 17(3), 122; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17030122 - 18 Mar 2024
Abstract
This study strives to examine when and where most of the gold smuggling takes place in India. It further analyses the causal relationship between smuggled gold and other macroeconomic variables. Finally, it analyses how the smuggled gold affects the Indian bullion industry. The
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This study strives to examine when and where most of the gold smuggling takes place in India. It further analyses the causal relationship between smuggled gold and other macroeconomic variables. Finally, it analyses how the smuggled gold affects the Indian bullion industry. The data related to gold smuggling has been sourced from the website of the Directorate Revenue Intelligence and analysed using graphs and the Granger causality test. The variables used in the study are the quantity of smuggled gold, exchange rates, the major stock indices in the world, the number of auspicious days in a month, domestic and international gold prices, India’s jewellery export, the GDP, customs duty, and the domestic gold supply. The results revealed that most of the gold smuggling takes place on Fridays and mostly occurs in the months of October, November, and December. The states of West Bengal, Delhi, Maharashtra, and Tamil Nadu account for most of the gold smuggling in India. A positive correlation is observed between the smuggled gold, India’s gold demand, the number of auspicious days in the month, India’s jewellery export, India’s GDP, India’s domestic gold supply, and stock indices such as SENSEX, FTSE100, DFMGI. Gold smuggling in India is caused by India’s gold demand, the level of jewellery export, the GDP, domestic and international gold prices, and India’s customs duty.
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(This article belongs to the Special Issue Commodity Market Analysis)
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Renewable Energy Stocks’ Performance and Climate Risk: An Empirical Analysis
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Lingyu Li, Xianrong Zheng and Shuxi Wang
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2024, 17(3), 121; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17030121 - 18 Mar 2024
Abstract
This article studies the relationship between renewable energy stocks’ performance and climate risk. It shows that publicly held renewable energy stocks underperform as a reaction to climate policy information releases, modeled by feed-in tariff (FIT) legislation announcements. The study examined stock price behaviors
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This article studies the relationship between renewable energy stocks’ performance and climate risk. It shows that publicly held renewable energy stocks underperform as a reaction to climate policy information releases, modeled by feed-in tariff (FIT) legislation announcements. The study examined stock price behaviors 2 days before and 30 days after FIT policy announcements. The stock sample used in the study has 3702 firm-day combinations, which included 180 cleantech firms and 32 events from 2007 to 2017. Based on the residual analysis of the sample’s abnormal return, it indicated that the FIT announcements are associated with significant declines in returns. The cumulative abnormal return until Day 18 was a significant −0.83%, while the average abnormal return on the day was −0.16% at normal levels. The study partially excluded the likelihood of a transitory result by varying the measurement horizon. It also adopted both the market model and the Fama–French three-factor models to rule out model misspecification when estimating abnormal returns and thus increased the robustness. In fact, the results were stable to changes in estimating the model’s specifications. In addition, the study compared the portfolio’s performance with mimicking portfolios in terms of size, book-to-market equity (BE/ME), and the firms’ geographic location. It demonstrated that the documented anomaly of the portfolio of renewable energy companies is robust.
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(This article belongs to the Special Issue Finance, Risk and Sustainable Development)
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Predicting Risk of and Motives behind Fraud in Financial Statements of Jordanian Industrial Firms Using Hexagon Theory
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Ahmad Ahed Bader, Yousef A. Abu Hajar, Sulaiman Raji Sulaiman Weshah and Bisan Khalil Almasri
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2024, 17(3), 120; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17030120 - 15 Mar 2024
Abstract
This study intends to identify the motives that lead to increasing or fighting the fraud risk in the Financial Statements (FSs) of industrial companies whose shares are traded in regulated and unregulated markets at the Amman Stock Exchange (ASE) based on the Hexagon
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This study intends to identify the motives that lead to increasing or fighting the fraud risk in the Financial Statements (FSs) of industrial companies whose shares are traded in regulated and unregulated markets at the Amman Stock Exchange (ASE) based on the Hexagon theory, which divides the motives for fraud into six factors. The study relied on secondary data to collect and measure the study variables by extracting them from the annual reports that were published by those companies on the website of the ASE during the period of 2012–2017. The collected data were analyzed using the logistic regression model on the SPSS program. The results confirmed that the return on assets (ROA), percentage of independent members in audit committees, and tone-related party transactions had a statistically significant relationship with predicted fraudulent FSs, where these three variables belong to pressure, opportunity, and collusion fraud motives, respectively. Thus, it is worth mentioning that this study is distinguished from previous studies that examined the issue of fraud in Jordanian companies by detecting the motives of fraud according to the Fraud Hexagon theory. Moreover, some of the fraud motives were measured using new variables such as a change in inventory, the age of auditing committee’s members, and tone-related party transactions.
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(This article belongs to the Special Issue Risk Planning and Management in Companies)
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Digital Literacy, Insurtech Adoption and Insurance Inclusion in Uganda
by
Archillies Kiwanuka and Athenia Bongani Sibindi
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2024, 17(3), 119; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17030119 - 14 Mar 2024
Abstract
The purpose of this study was to establish whether digital literacy and insurtech adoption influence insurance inclusion in Uganda. Principally, we sought to determine whether insurtech adoption mediates the nexus between digital literacy and insurance inclusion. This study adopted a cross-sectional and quantitative
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The purpose of this study was to establish whether digital literacy and insurtech adoption influence insurance inclusion in Uganda. Principally, we sought to determine whether insurtech adoption mediates the nexus between digital literacy and insurance inclusion. This study adopted a cross-sectional and quantitative correlational approach. The study’s sample was 391 individuals who had used digital platforms such as mobile phones and computers to access insurance products and services in Uganda. Data were collected using structured survey questionnaires. Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modelling (PLSEM) was employed to test the hypothesised relationships. The results demonstrated that both digital literacy and insurtech adoption significantly and positively influence insurance inclusion. We also found digital literacy to be a significant and positive determinant of insurtech adoption. Markedly, it was found that insurtech adoption mediates the association between digital literacy and insurance inclusion in Uganda. However, this study was conducted in a developing country with an underdeveloped insurance market and with low technological advancement. This may affect the generalisation of the study’s findings. This study’s novelty lies in establishing how digital literacy and insurtech adoption interact to influence insurance inclusion in Uganda. This is the first study to examine the effect of digital literacy and insurtech adoption on insurance inclusion.
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(This article belongs to the Special Issue InsurTech Development and Insurance Inclusion)
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The Benefits of Workforce Well-Being on Profitability in Listed Companies: A Comparative Analysis between Europe and Mexico from an ESG Investor Perspective
by
Oscar V. De la Torre-Torres, Francisco Venegas-Martínez and José Álvarez-García
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2024, 17(3), 118; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17030118 - 14 Mar 2024
Abstract
This paper evaluates the relationship between investing in workforce well-being and profitability of listed companies in Mexico compared to European companies from an Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) investor perspective. In this case, the Refinitiv workforce score or High-Performance Work Policies (HPWP) is
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This paper evaluates the relationship between investing in workforce well-being and profitability of listed companies in Mexico compared to European companies from an Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) investor perspective. In this case, the Refinitiv workforce score or High-Performance Work Policies (HPWP) is used as an indicator of the quality of workforce well-being by including the industry effects (economic and business sectors) and the behavioral (sentiment) factors as control variables. Specifically, this article examines the relationships between HPWP, stock price changes (measured as a percentage), profitability (ROE), and market risk (betas). We used a sample of companies from the Refinitiv Mexico and European stock indices for this purpose. In the Mexican case, the results show that a higher level of well-being promotion relates to better company profits. The opposite happens in European companies. Regarding market prices, European companies show higher prices when they have higher HPWP and Mexican companies confirm the opposite. Regarding market risk, only European basic materials with high HPWP show less risk. Finally, in almost all Mexican business sectors, the relationship between market risk and workforce well-being is negative.
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(This article belongs to the Special Issue Bankruptcy Prediction, Equity Valuation and Stock Returns)
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Analysis of Long-Term Bond Yields Using Deviations from Covered Interest Rate Parity
by
Gab-Je Jo
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2024, 17(3), 117; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17030117 - 13 Mar 2024
Abstract
In this study, the impact of arbitrage resulting from Covered Interest Parity (CIP) deviations on Korea’s long-term interest rates was analyzed, utilizing Vector Error Correction (VEC) models for Granger Causality and Impulse Response Function analyses. This analysis covered the period from February 2002
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In this study, the impact of arbitrage resulting from Covered Interest Parity (CIP) deviations on Korea’s long-term interest rates was analyzed, utilizing Vector Error Correction (VEC) models for Granger Causality and Impulse Response Function analyses. This analysis covered the period from February 2002 to September 2023, with a comparative analysis of the periods before and after the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). The Granger Causality analysis indicated that changes in the swap basis reflecting CIP deviation presented a significant Granger causal relationship with the variations in domestic long-term interest rates. Notably, in the post-GFC period, when CIP deviations were relatively pronounced, the incentives for arbitrage trading exhibited a stronger leading effect in terms of inducing changes in domestic long-term interest rates. The Impulse Response Function analysis showed that domestic long-term interest rates significantly and negatively responded to the positive shocks in the swap basis. This response was even more pronounced during the period following the GFC. Additionally, foreign long-term interest rates and monetary policy variables also demonstrated a significant impact on domestic long-term interest rates. These findings imply that the adjustment path back to equilibrium from CIP deviations, driven by arbitrage, was developed more through changes in domestic interest rates rather than exchange rate fluctuations, especially after the GFC.
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(This article belongs to the Special Issue Emerging Issues in Economics, Finance and Business)
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Macroeconomic Shocks and Economic Performance in Malaysia: A Sectoral Analysis
by
Willem Thorbecke
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2024, 17(3), 116; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17030116 - 12 Mar 2024
Abstract
Many shocks, including COVID-19, wars, inflation, contractionary U.S. monetary policy, and oil price hikes, have recently buffeted the world economy. The literature has reported mixed results concerning how these shocks impact Malaysian stock returns. Some studies found that U.S. monetary policy mattered for
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Many shocks, including COVID-19, wars, inflation, contractionary U.S. monetary policy, and oil price hikes, have recently buffeted the world economy. The literature has reported mixed results concerning how these shocks impact Malaysian stock returns. Some studies found that U.S. monetary policy mattered for Malaysia, while others reported that it did not. This paper, employing two U.S. monetary policy measures over the 2001–2019 period, finds that U.S. policy matters little for Malaysian equities. Some studies found that oil price hikes increased Malaysian stock returns while others reported that they did not. This paper, employing updated data, reports that oil price increases, driven by both world demand shocks and oil supply shocks, raise Malaysian stock returns. The paper also compares the performance of Malaysian equities since the pandemic began, with returns forecasted based on macroeconomic variables. The period since the pandemic started has been labeled the megacrisis era. Interconnected crises, including the pandemic, wars, rising commodity prices, and climate events, all overlapped. The results indicate that industrial metals and banks have performed well since the pandemic began. Food producers, healthcare providers, medical equipment suppliers, tourist-related companies, and semiconductor firms have suffered. This paper considers several steps that could help these sectors to recover.
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(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Macroeconomics and Financial Markets)
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Bank Loan Loss Provision Determinants in Non-Crisis Years: Evidence from African, European, and Asian Countries
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Peterson K. Ozili
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2024, 17(3), 115; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17030115 - 12 Mar 2024
Abstract
Loan loss provision is an important accounting accrual in the banking sector. There have been numerous debates about the determinants of loan loss provision in several contexts. This study extends the debate by investigating the determinants of bank loan loss provision in non-crisis
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Loan loss provision is an important accounting accrual in the banking sector. There have been numerous debates about the determinants of loan loss provision in several contexts. This study extends the debate by investigating the determinants of bank loan loss provision in non-crisis years for 28 countries from 2011 to 2018. The non-crisis years cover the periods after the global financial crisis and the periods before the COVID-19 pandemic while the countries consist of African, European, and Asian countries. Using the generalized linear model regression and the quantile regression methodologies, the results show that institutional quality is a significant determinant of bank loan loss provision, indicating that the presence of strong institutions decreases the size of bank loan loss provision in non-crisis years. In the regional analyses, it was found that economic growth is a significant determinant of bank loan loss provisions in African and Asian countries. Loan loss provision is higher in times of economic prosperity in African and Asian countries. Bank overhead cost is a significant determinant of bank loan loss provisions in Asian countries. Meanwhile, bank loan loss provision determinants are insignificant in European countries.
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(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Accounting & Auditing Research)
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Asymmetric Effects of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Food Security in Nigeria
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Lydia N. Kotur, Goodness C. Aye and Josephine B. Ayoola
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2024, 17(3), 114; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17030114 - 11 Mar 2024
Abstract
This study investigates the asymmetric effects of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on food security in Nigeria, utilizing annual time series data from 1970 to 2021. The study used descriptive statistics, unit root tests, the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model and its associated
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This study investigates the asymmetric effects of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on food security in Nigeria, utilizing annual time series data from 1970 to 2021. The study used descriptive statistics, unit root tests, the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model and its associated Bounds tests to analyze the data. The analysis reveals that adult population, environmental degradation, exchange rate uncertainty (EXRU), financial deepening, food security (FS), government expenditure in agriculture uncertainty (GEAU), inflation, and interest rate uncertainty (INRU) exhibit positive mean values over the period, with varying degrees of volatility. Cointegration tests indicate a long-term relationship between EPU variables (GEAU, INRU, and EXRU) and food security. The study finds that cumulative positive and negative EPU variables have significant effects on food security in the short run. Specifically, negative GEAU, positive INRU, positive and negative EXRU have significant effects in the short run. In the long run, negative GEAU, positive and negative EXRU have significant effects on food security. Additionally, the research highlights asymmetric effects, showing that the influence of GEAU and EXRU on food security differs in the short- and long-run. The study underscores the importance of increased government expenditure on agriculture, control of exchange rate and interest rate uncertainty, and the reduction in economic policy uncertainty to mitigate risks in the agricultural sector and enhance food security. Recommendations include strategies to stabilize exchange rates to safeguard food supply and overall food security.
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(This article belongs to the Special Issue Economic Policy Uncertainty)
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The Relation between CEO-Friendly Boards and the Value of Cash Holdings
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Hoontaek Seo, Sangho Yi, Qing Yang and William McCumber
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2024, 17(3), 113; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17030113 - 11 Mar 2024
Abstract
Our study investigates how CEO-friendly boards influence the value and utilization of cash resources. In this paper, we analyze two conflicting views on CEO-friendly boards and their impact on corporate cash holdings: one view posits that such boards might be too lenient, fostering
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Our study investigates how CEO-friendly boards influence the value and utilization of cash resources. In this paper, we analyze two conflicting views on CEO-friendly boards and their impact on corporate cash holdings: one view posits that such boards might be too lenient, fostering managerial moral hazard problem, while the other contends that they encourage CEOs to share information, despite CEOs knowing that better-informed boards could enforce stricter oversight. By measuring board friendliness through CEO-board social ties, we find that firms with a friendly board tend to maintain lower cash reserves but their excess cash is valued higher by the market compared to firms without such a board. Moreover, these boards deploy excess cash in ways that significantly enhance firm value. The results remain robust even after controlling for various governance variables and CEO characteristics. Our findings offer crucial insights for corporate practitioners and policymakers, highlighting the importance of appointing and retaining CEO-friendly directors to foster effective information exchange, especially in firms with substantial CEO-board information asymmetry in capital budgeting.
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(This article belongs to the Section Business and Entrepreneurship)
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Impacts of the Expected Credit Loss Model on Pro-Cyclicality, Earnings Management, and Equity Management in the Portuguese Banking Sector
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Miguel Resende, Carla Carvalho and Cecília Carmo
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2024, 17(3), 112; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17030112 - 09 Mar 2024
Abstract
This article delves into the pro-cyclicality of loan loss provisions (LLPs) and earnings management, along with equity management, in Portuguese banks against the backdrop of implementing the IFRS 9’s expected credit loss (ECL) model. It concentrates on how LLPs mirror economic cycles and
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This article delves into the pro-cyclicality of loan loss provisions (LLPs) and earnings management, along with equity management, in Portuguese banks against the backdrop of implementing the IFRS 9’s expected credit loss (ECL) model. It concentrates on how LLPs mirror economic cycles and financial management practices, providing valuable insights into the operational dynamics of the Portuguese banking sector, marked by distinct economic and regulatory challenges. The research examined a sample of five Portuguese commercial banks, chosen from a group of seventeen in the Portuguese Banking Association. Data spanning from 2013 to 2022 were manually gathered. A multiple linear regression model was employed to scrutinize the relationship between LLPs and variables indicative of economic cycles and the earnings and equity management. The methodology use was a multiple linear regression model. The analysis indicates a pro-cyclicality in LLPs within the Portuguese context, with a positive response of LLPs to economic indicators like unemployment. Contrarily, the extent of earnings and equity management under the ECL model was less marked compared to the incurred credit loss (ICL) model, suggesting the impact of more stringent regulatory measures. The research corroborates the pro-cyclicality of LLPs in Portuguese banks under the ECL framework, underscoring the necessity for ongoing monitoring and refinement of models for forecasting and recognizing credit losses. The findings point to an area for improvement in financial management practices, despite regulatory enhancements, to promote transparency and ensure financial stability.
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(This article belongs to the Special Issue Earnings Management and Loan Contracts)
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A Bibliometric Analysis of Borrowers’ Behavior
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Douglas Mwirigi, Mária Fekete-Farkas and Zoltán Lakner
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2024, 17(3), 111; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17030111 - 09 Mar 2024
Abstract
Understanding borrowers’ behavior is essential in making lending decisions, strengthening financial inclusion, and alleviating poverty. This research adopts a bibliometric approach to provide an overview of the borrower’s behavior relative to the selected literature. Bibliometric analysis quantifies the impact and quality of scientific
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Understanding borrowers’ behavior is essential in making lending decisions, strengthening financial inclusion, and alleviating poverty. This research adopts a bibliometric approach to provide an overview of the borrower’s behavior relative to the selected literature. Bibliometric analysis quantifies the impact and quality of scientific production. This study reviewed 989 articles obtained from SCOPUS and published from 1987 to 2023. Data were cleaned, formatted, and analyzed using VOS viewer (1.6.19) and the R-Bibliometrix package. The research established an increased interest in borrowers’ behavior among scholars. Nonetheless, it is overshadowed by studies in lending behavior, microfinance, banking, peer-to-peer lending, and fintech. The scholarly focus is mainly on the supply side of the credit industry with little regard to demand-side dynamics, such as borrowers’ decision-making processes, which can affect the performance of credit facilities. This study recommends that further studies on credit facility demand-side dynamics should be carried out to understand the drivers of borrowers’ decisions.
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(This article belongs to the Special Issue Exploring the Complexities of Borrowers’ Behavior in Financial Decision-Making)
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Bidirectional Risk Spillovers between Chinese and Asian Stock Markets: A Dynamic Copula-EVT-CoVaR Approach
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Mingguo Zhao and Hail Park
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2024, 17(3), 110; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17030110 - 07 Mar 2024
Abstract
This study aims to investigate bidirectional risk spillovers between the Chinese and other Asian stock markets. To achieve this, we construct a dynamic Copula-EVT-CoVaR model based on 11 Asian stock indexes from 1 January 2007 to 31 December 2021. The findings show that,
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This study aims to investigate bidirectional risk spillovers between the Chinese and other Asian stock markets. To achieve this, we construct a dynamic Copula-EVT-CoVaR model based on 11 Asian stock indexes from 1 January 2007 to 31 December 2021. The findings show that, firstly, synchronicity exists between the Chinese stock market and other Asian stock markets, creating conditions for risk contagion. Secondly, the Chinese stock market exhibits a strong risk spillover to other Asian stock markets with time-varying and heterogeneous characteristics. Additionally, the risk spillover displays an asymmetry, indicating that the intensity of risk spillover from other Asian stock markets to the Chinese is weaker than that from the Chinese to other Asian stock markets. Finally, the Chinese stock market generated significant extreme risk spillovers to other Asian stock markets during the 2007–2009 global financial crisis, the European debt crisis, the 2015–2016 Chinese stock market crash, and the China–US trade war. However, during the COVID-19 pandemic, the risk spillover intensity of the Chinese stock market was weaker, and it acted as the recipient of risk from other Asian stock markets. The originality of this study is reflected in proposing a novel dynamic copula-EVT-CoVaR model and incorporating multiple crises into an analytical framework to examine bidirectional risk spillover effects. These findings can help Asian countries (regions) adopt effective supervision to deal with cross-border risk spillovers and assist Asian stock market investors in optimizing portfolio strategies.
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(This article belongs to the Section Financial Markets)
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The Investigation of Preference Attributes of Indonesian Mobile Banking Users to Develop a Strategy for Mobile Banking Adoption
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Toto Edrinal Sebayang, Dedi Budiman Hakim, Toni Bakhtiar and Dikky Indrawan
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2024, 17(3), 109; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17030109 - 07 Mar 2024
Abstract
A new normal has been established as a result of the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on social behavior, technology, and business. This has a significant effect on how technology is used, such as mobile banking services, which offer more hygienic and secure
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A new normal has been established as a result of the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on social behavior, technology, and business. This has a significant effect on how technology is used, such as mobile banking services, which offer more hygienic and secure payment alternatives than cash. Mobile banking has been viewed as having the ability to enhance access to unbanked customers in developing economies such as Indonesia, where 100 million people remain unbanked. This study aims to develop strategies using importance-performance analysis (IPA) to improve adoption based on the perceived importance and performance of 1441 mobile banking users during the COVID-19 pandemic. Data were collected using an online questionnaire administered during the period of September 2022 to March 2023 using the mobile banking adoption attributes of Attitude, Perceived Usefulness, Perceived Ease of Use, Compatibility, Subjective Norm, Interpersonal Influence, External Influence, Perceived Behavior Control, facilitating conditions, self-efficacy, firm reputation, trust, disease risk, performance risk, financial risk, privacy risk, time risk, psychological risk, and perceived risk. IPA results were divided into four quadrants: “concentrate here”, “keep up the good work”, “low priority”, and “possible overkill” with a representation that respondents regard as important and well-addressed. The findings show that bank strategists seeking competitive advantage must push innovation efforts to protect users by improving privacy risk and financial risk and enhancing mobile banking security from potential cyberattacks. Digital banks and associated institutions need to educate mobile banking customers on the benefits of security measures for these services, which may improve confidence and trust, and consequently, accelerate mobile banking adoption.
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(This article belongs to the Special Issue Banking during the COVID-19 Pandemia)
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FinTech and Financial Inclusion: Exploring the Mediating Role of Digital Financial Literacy and the Moderating Influence of Perceived Regulatory Support
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Muhammed Basid Amnas, Murugesan Selvam and Satyanarayana Parayitam
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2024, 17(3), 108; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17030108 - 07 Mar 2024
Abstract
Exploring the potential of financial technology (FinTech) to promote financial inclusion is the aim of this research. This study concentrated on understanding why people use FinTech and how it affects their access to financial services by taking into account the mediating role of
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Exploring the potential of financial technology (FinTech) to promote financial inclusion is the aim of this research. This study concentrated on understanding why people use FinTech and how it affects their access to financial services by taking into account the mediating role of digital financial literacy and the moderating effect of perceived regulatory support. This study used partial least squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) for testing the research model by collecting data from 608 FinTech users in India. The results revealed the role of trust, service quality, and perceived security are essential in promoting the utilization of FinTech services. This study also demonstrated that FinTech positively impacts financial inclusion, making it easier for individuals to get into formal financial services. Furthermore, digital financial literacy emerged as an important mediator between FinTech use and financial inclusion. The research also confirmed that perceived regulatory support has a significant moderation influence on the relationship between FinTech and financial inclusion. This research would contribute to advancing theoretical frameworks and offer practical advice for policymakers and FinTech companies to make financial services more inclusive.
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(This article belongs to the Special Issue Financial Technologies (Fintech) in Finance and Economics)
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Evaluation of Weather Yield Index Insurance Exposed to Deluge Risk: The Case of Sugarcane in Thailand
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Thitipong Kanchai, Wuttichai Srisodaphol, Tippatai Pongsart and Watcharin Klongdee
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2024, 17(3), 107; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17030107 - 07 Mar 2024
Abstract
Insurance serves as a mechanism to effectively manage and transfer revenue-related risks. We conducted a study to explore the potential financial advantages of index insurance, which protects agricultural producers, specifically sugarcane, against excessive rainfall. Creation of the index involved utilizing generalized additive regression
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Insurance serves as a mechanism to effectively manage and transfer revenue-related risks. We conducted a study to explore the potential financial advantages of index insurance, which protects agricultural producers, specifically sugarcane, against excessive rainfall. Creation of the index involved utilizing generalized additive regression models, allowing for consideration of non-linear effects and handling complex data by adjusting the complexity of the model through the addition or reduction of terms. Moreover, quantile generalized additive regression was deliberated to evaluate relationships with lower quantiles, such as low-yield events. To quantify the financial benefits for farmers, should they opt for excessive rainfall index insurance, we employed efficiency analysis based on metrics such as conditional tail expectation (CTE), certainty equivalence of revenue (CER), and mean root square loss (MRSL). The results of the regression model demonstrate its accuracy in predicting sugar cane yields, with a split testing R2 of 0.691. MRSL should be taken into consideration initially, as it is a farmer’s revenue assessment that distinguishes between those with and those without insurance. As a result, the GAM model indicates the least fluctuation in farmer income at the 90th percentile. Additionally, our study suggests that this type of insurance could apply to sugarcane farmers and other crop producers in regions where extreme rainfall threatens the financial sustainability of agricultural production.
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(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Predictive Analytics and Systemic Risks in Finance and Insurance)
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Open AccessArticle
Did Emotional Intelligence Traits Mitigate COVID-19 Uncertainty Effects on Financial Institutions’ Board Decision-Making Process?
by
Jessica Hall, Gregory Jones, Claire Beattie and John Sands
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2024, 17(3), 106; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17030106 - 06 Mar 2024
Abstract
This study uses a qualitative research mixed methods design to explore the Coronavirus pandemic’s uncertainty effect on mature board governance practices and a board decision processes framework within 16 large Australian financial services entities. Findings provide support for two effects. Firstly, the Coronavirus
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This study uses a qualitative research mixed methods design to explore the Coronavirus pandemic’s uncertainty effect on mature board governance practices and a board decision processes framework within 16 large Australian financial services entities. Findings provide support for two effects. Firstly, the Coronavirus pandemic had led to a hesitation effect on the board members on-going journey of developing a conscious sense of ‘self’ and awareness. Secondly, the skills and diversity of personalities of directors comprising the board has a positive impact on the effectiveness and success of strategic decisions. The ongoing ambiguity impact of the Coronavirus pandemic on effective board decision-making processes was investigated. The board members expressed confidence in the Australian financial services sector’s ability to overcome the global Coronavirus pandemic’s temporary uncertainty impact on board decision processes frameworks. Future research may extend the focus to senior executives’ or owners’ EI personality traits to investigate the relationship between such individual’s or teams’ traits and ongoing effective board decision-making processes during uncertainty in either developing or developed countries or a cross-cultural study.
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(This article belongs to the Special Issue Banking during the COVID-19 Pandemia)
Open AccessReview
Financial Inclusion and Its Ripple Effects on Socio-Economic Development: A Comprehensive Review
by
Deepak Mishra, Vinay Kandpal, Naveen Agarwal and Barun Srivastava
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2024, 17(3), 105; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17030105 - 03 Mar 2024
Abstract
This study provides an overview of the different dimensions of financial inclusion, its socioeconomic impacts on society’s sustainable development, and future research agendas. Initially, 620 studies were identified using Scopus and other databases, employing keywords such as financial literacy, financial inclusion, financial capability,
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This study provides an overview of the different dimensions of financial inclusion, its socioeconomic impacts on society’s sustainable development, and future research agendas. Initially, 620 studies were identified using Scopus and other databases, employing keywords such as financial literacy, financial inclusion, financial capability, women’s empowerment, fintech, artificial intelligence, financial accessibility, sustainable development goals, and economic growth. After refinement based on focus and relevance, 325 papers were analyzed in detail for review, primarily focused on India and emerging economies. This review highlights that access to finance by untouched segments of society is essential for sustainable and socio-economic development in developing economies. The official banking system, an effort by the government to assist the financially disadvantaged, can incorporate the impoverished into a formal financial system through campaigns and credit system reforms. Socioeconomic programs reinforce one another and foster the development of children, women, families, and society. This research paper undertakes a systematic literature review primarily focused on relevant articles in broad areas of financial inclusion and its impact analysis and offers a valuable agenda for future research.
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(This article belongs to the Special Issue Financial Reporting, Managing Risk and Banking)
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